Page 1

Quarterly Market Wrap noeljones.com.au

October - December 2018


About Noel Jones

Established 1977

10 office locations

160+ team members

1 major charity partner

Over $270,000 raised for Ovarian Cancer Australia

Multiple community sponsorship agreements

Community events held each year

810 properties sold in 2018

4736 rentals managed (June 2018)

Office locations Balwyn 289 Whitehorse Road +61 3 9830 1644

Croydon 38 McAdam Square +61 3 9879 4422

Glen Iris 58 High Street +61 3 9885 2444

Box Hill 532 Station Street +61 3 9899 6466

Doncaster 702 Doncaster Road +61 3 9848 7888

Ringwood 265 Maroondah Hwy +61 3 9879 4422

Blackburn 67-69 Railway Road +61 3 9877 1855

Mitcham 560 Mitcham Road +61 3 9837 4444

Wantirna 10/322 Mountain Hwy +61 3 8720 6333

Camberwell 883 Toorak Road +61 3 9809 2000

noeljones.com.au

The data shown in this booklet has been sourced from CoreLogic , REIV and Domain and should be used as a guide only.


Market Wrap October - December 2018 Riding on the coat-tails of a buoyant market in 2017, nobody knew exactly what 2018 would bring. It’s pleasing to be able to report that whilst we did not continue to see the increases of quite the same magnitude as 2017, both houses and units showed a small increase on the medians that were recorded this time last year. Houses recorded an increase of 1.4%, whilst the unit median increased by 1.8%.

designed to offer customers a range of fresh food and an array of dining experiences, it’s sure to attract regular visitors to the area, as like other projects have done in nearby suburbs. The following table highlights select suburbs in the Eastern Corridor that performed in Q4. Suburb

Median House Price

Change since Q3 2018

Bayswater

$ 772,000

+ 5.2%

Suburb

Median House Price

Change since Q3 2018

+ 4.2%

$ 2,057,500

- 16.6%

Bayswater North

$ 712,500

Balwyn Blackburn

$ 1,245,000

- 6.4%

Croydon

$ 770,000

+ 5.5%

Camberwell

$ 1,880,000

- 4.1%

Croydon North

$ 815,128

+ 4.1%

Croydon

$ 770,000

+ 5.5%

Doncaster

$ 1,160,000

- 7.2%

Ferntree Gully

$ 730,000

+ 4.3%

Heathmont

$ 980,000

+ 6.5%

Nudawading

$ 1,078,000

+ 11.1%

Rowville

$ 838,000

+ 4.8%

Vermont

$ 963,000

+ 4.9%

Glen Iris

$ 1,705,000

- 5.0%

Mitcham

$ 901,250

- 2.7%

Ringwood

$ 880,000

+ 2.0%

Wantirna

$ 837,500

- 9.0%

For the most part, our local office’s base suburbs followed Melbourne’s trend this quarter; all saw a decline except for Ringwood which recorded an increase of 2% and Croydon which was up 5.5% across the quarter. Croydon continues to be popular amongst buyers, especially families. It has leafy green surrounds with the Dandenong Ranges as a backdrop, good public transport links and quality educational facilities including Luther College, Yarra Valley Grammar, The Rudolph Steiner School, Tintern Grammar, Good Shepherd Primary and the new campus of Melba College. There’s also a significant investment being made in the redevelopment of Croydon Central that will include a new market food hall;

** Data acquired from reiv.com.au and domain.com.au Whilst a number of suburbs in the inner to middle East of Victoria including the favourites of Balwyn, Mont Albert and Blackburn have held their own across the year, the highest performances have come from suburbs in the outer East, namely Belgrave, The Basin, Upwey and Mount Evelyn who recorded reasonable increases across 2018. Each of these suburbs enjoys leafy green surrounds, good infrastructure and access to desirable amenities. A number of their neighbours including Mooroolbark, Boronia, Lilydale and Chrinside Park have also remained steady across the


period. There are numerous factors that may have influenced these results, one of which surely centres around changes that we have seen to lending criteria. These changes have had an effect on both owner occupiers and investors, with loans becoming more difficult to access, and the amounts being approved less than in past years. With fewer dollars to spend, buyers and investors have been forced to revisit their buying strategies, turning them to smaller properties like apartments or units in their favoured neighbourhoods, or in many cases leading them to suburbs further from the CBD which in turn increases competition for properties within these areas. Belgrave, which has shown the highest increase to its median price has always been popular with those looking for a tree change and a slower day to day pace. Situated in the foothills of the Dandenong Ranges, Belgrave prides itself on its community focus, and the organic and fair-trade emphasis amongst many of its local businesses and residents. The distance to the CBD has in the past been seen as challenging for many inner-city workers, and for this reason some have resisted the urge to make the move to the place that is well known for its links to Puffing Billy. This issue has been alleviated to a point in recent years however, with more people able to work remotely in their job roles, at least on a part time basis. Belgrave provides a very happy compromise between suburban and country lifestyles for couples, families and empty nesters/retirees.

The table below shows how 2018 has affected a number of Eastern Corridor suburbs. It recognises those that have had growth in their median price across the past 12 months, as well as those that have remained neutral or shown a decline of less than 2%. Suburb

Median House Price

Change since Q4 2017

Balwyn

$ 2,057,500

Down 0.4%

Belgrave

$ 673,750

Up 10.1%

Blackburn

$ 1,245,000

Down 2.0%

Boronia

$ 645,000

Down 0.4%

Chirnside Park

$ 660,000

Down 1.8%

Croydon Hills

$ 877,5000

Down 0.8%

Donvale

$ 1,317,500

Up 3.6%

Heathmont

$ 980,000

Up 1.8%

Lilydale

$ 683,500

Down 1.4%

Mooroolbark

$ 705,500

Neutral

Mont Albert

$ 1,600,000

Down 1.8%

The Basin

$ 660,000

Up 6.9%

Upwey

$ 710,000

Up 6.1%

* Data acquired from reiv.com.au and domain.com.au With 2018 behind us, we now set our sights to 2019 and what we’re likely to see. Trent Wiltshire an economist from Domain has stated a belief that we will see prices continue to fall for the first half of 2019 (albeit at a slower rate to what we have recently seen), before turning around and growing modestly, resulting in growth of about 1 per cent in 2019. He also expects that Sydney and Melbourne will be two of the weakest markets in 2019 and then forecast prices to grow at about 4 per cent in 2020.

Data sourced from reiv.com.au and domain.com.au


An article by Shane Wright who is a senior economics correspondent for The Age, paints a darker picture than this, sharing a belief that Melbourne’s overall market will slip by around 6% across 2019, leading them to recommend to clients ‘In short any offer you’re receiving today should be considered unless you’d like to wait until 2020.’

Want to know what your home is worth? Contact a Noel Jones office today.

Only time will tell how the year will develop, but one thing is for certain. If you’re in the market to sell, the selection of your agent has never been more important; an incorrect decision may cost you dearly. Be sure to choose an agent with a solid customer database, a strategic marketing plan and exceptional negotiation skills, as these will all be integral in getting the best price for your property.

49 Mary Street, Kew Sold $ 1,700,000

2/73 Aylmer Street, Balwyn Sold for $ 1,510,000


Boroondara

Median Price December 2018

House: $ 1,786,500 Unit: $ 692,500 Change in median house price Dec 2017 to Dec 2018

-8.9%

21 Parkin Street, Glen Iris Sold for $ 1,670,000

Change in median unit price Dec 2017 to Dec 2018

-3.2% Median price by suburb Suburb

House

Unit

Ashburton

$ 1,590,375

-

Balwyn

$ 2,057,500

$ 616,544

Balwyn North

$ 1,505,000

$ 820,000

Camberwell

$ 1,880,000

$ 904,000

Canterbury

$ 2,035,000

$ 863,500

Deepdene

-

-

Glen Iris

$ 1,705,000

$ 619,750

Hawthorn

$ 2,217,500

$ 566,000

Hawthorn East

$ 1,730,000

$ 475,500

Kew

$ 1,975,000

$ 830,250

Kew East

$ 1,455,000

-

Surrey Hills

$ 1,850,000

$ 699,000

October - December 2018 Quarter

4/68 Wattle Valley Road, Canterbury Sold for $ 730,000

214/81-83 Riversdale Road, Hawthorn Sold for $ 550,000


Exceeding expectations Suburb Surrey Hills Location 6 Como Avenue

The lead for the listing came as a result from a past client relationship of 30 years ago. The property owners who had recently been admitted to Aged Care, needed their home sold in order to secure their accommodation. The subject property was well positioned in Surrey Hills and was also located a mere 100 metres from Balwyn.

Features 3 bedrooms

The campaign ran for 4 weeks with 91 people inspecting the

2 bathroom

time, allowing the buyers to have an extended time to look at the

2 car spaces Sold for $ 1,500,000 Office

property. The home was open 3 times a week for 45 minutes each property and ask questions. Seven groups of buyers were identified as the possible purchasers and the successful bidder came from this group. On auction day, the successful bidder had a Real Estate Agent bid for them, who opened the bidding at $1,500,000. After several attempts to engage with other buyers and receiving instructions from the vendors, the

Noel Jones Box Hill

property was sold at the opening bid.

Director

The appeal of the property was its location and its accommodation

Ted Shackleton

of 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, double garage, 2 living rooms, single level, corner block on its own title and no body corporate. With the cost of land, builders are more inclined to build a two-storey home which in most cases does not suit the requirements of buyers in the age bracket of 50 – 75 years. The result was considered to be a very good one due to the softned market. Both the purchaser and vendors were pleased with the result.


Presenting the lifestyle Suburb Balwyn Location 114 Strabane Avenue Features 4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms 2 car spaces Sold for $ 1,580,100 Office Noel Jones Balwyn Agent Jane Caulfield Director Tim Penhalluriack

Stunning design elements were evident throughout this 4 bedroom family residence renovated to the highest standard. The owners, Anthony and Liane understood that their home presented beautifully, however the bedrooms were very small, the laundry was outside, it only had a single carport, was located close to a busy intersection and was not positioned in the coveted Balwyn High School Zone. With these potential objections in mind they were looking for an agent with a track record for selling homes through the expression of interest process, superior negotiating skills and an eye for presentation. After interviewing several agents, the owners decided on Jane Caulfield, due to her expertise in their requirements. Jane suggested to the owners that the team would focus on the presentation of the lifestyle areas both in the photographs and marketing. The team engaged the services of a qualified interior designer and chose a high-end photographer. The strategy worked, the campaign had 89 groups through the 3 week campaign, took 8 offers and sold the property significantly over everyones expectations.


Manningham

Median Price December 2018

House: $ 1,230,000 Unit: $ 765,000 Change in median house price Dec 2017 to Dec 2018

-6.7%

32 Stanley Street, Bulleen Sold for $ 1,653,797

Change in median unit price Dec 2017 to Dec 2018

-3.2% Median price by suburb Suburb

House

Unit

Bulleen

$ 1,105,000

$ 745,000

Doncaster

$ 1,160,000

$ 647,000

Doncaster East

$ 1,055,000

$ 770,000

Donvale

$ 1,317,500

$ 747,500

Nunawading

$ 1,078,000

$ 782,500

Park Orchards

-

-

Ringwood Nth (part) $ 872,750

-

Templestowe

$ 864,000

$ 1,379,000

Templestowe Lower $ 1,041,750

$ 893,500

Warrandyte

$ 1,225,000

-

Warrandyte South

-

-

Wonga Park (part)

-

-

October - December 2018 Quarter

57A Estelle Street, Bulleen Sold for $ 1,285,000

46 Wood Street, Templestowe Sold for $ 960,000


Whitehorse

Median Price December 2018

House: $ 1,050,000 Unit: $ 700,500 Change in median house price Dec 2017 to Dec 2018

-8.5%

2/15 Peel Street, Mitcham Sold for $ 1,140,000

Change in median unit price Dec 2017 to Dec 2018

-5.9% Median price by suburb Suburb

House

Unit

Balwyn North (part)

$ 1,505,000

$ 820,000 $ 740,500

Blackburn

$ 1,245,000

Blackburn North

$ 1,005,000 -

Blackburn South

$ 980,500

$ 665,000 $ 532,000

Box Hill

-

Box Hill North

$ 1,043,000 $ 755,000

Box Hill South

$ 968,000

Burwood (part)

$ 1,215,000

-

Burwood East

$ 990,000

-

2/7 George Street, Mont Albert Sold for $ 892,000

$ 850,000

Forest Hill

$ 865,000

$ 620,000

Mitcham

$ 901,250

$ 660,400

Mont Albert

$ 1,600,000 -

Mont Albert North

$ 1,203,500

$ 1,106,000

Nunawading (part)

$ 1,078,000

$ 782,500

Surrey Hills (part)

$ 1,850,000

$ 699,000

Vermont South

$ 1,110,000

-

October - December 2018 Quarter

1/5-7 Casella Street, MItcham Sold for $ 842,000


Maroondah

Median Price December 2018 House: $ 830,000 Unit: $ 595,000 Change in median house price Dec 2017 to Dec 2018

-1.7%

12 Fiona Court, Ringwood Sold for $ 870,000

Change in median unit price Dec 2017 to Dec 2018

+2.6% Median price by suburb Suburb

House

Unit

Bayswater North

$ 712,500

$ 527,500

Croydon

$ 770,000

$ 597,500

Croydon Hills

$ 877,500

-

Croydon North

$ 815,128

$623,000

Croydon South

$ 731,000

-

Heathmont

$ 980,000

$ 638,250

Kilsyth (part)

$ 650,000

$ 570,000

Kilsyth South

-

-

Park Orchards (part) -

-

Ringwood

$ 880,000

$ 525,000

Ringwood East

$ 808,500

$ 540,000

Ringwood Nth (part) $ 872,750

16 Diana Street, Croydon Sold for $ 905,000

-

Vermont (part)

$ 963,000

-

Warranwood

-

-

Wonga Park (part)

-

-

October - December 2018 Quarter

2/23 Karwitha Street, Vermont Sold for $ 650,000


Knox

Median Price December 2018 House: $ 782,000 Unit: $ 600,500 Change in median house price Dec 2017 to Dec 2018

-3.0%

10 Devira Court, Rowville Sold for $ 865,000

Change in median unit price Dec ar 2017 to Dec 2018

+6.1% Median price by suburb Suburb

House

Bayswater

$ 772,000

Unit -

Boronia

$ 645,000

$ 595,000

Ferntree Gully

$ 730,000

$ 573,000

Knoxfield

$ 710,000

-

Lysterfield (part)

$ 843,000

-

Rowville

$ 838,000

$ 577,500

Scoresby

$ 752,500

-

The Basin

$ 660,000

-

Upper Ferntree Gully

-

Wantirna

$ 837,500

-

Wantirna South

$ 957,500

$ 701,000

32 Lance Road, Bayswater Sold for $ 770,000

October - December 2018 Quarter

29 Harmsworth Avenue, Wantirna Sold for $ 720,000


Record price in Knoxfield Suburb Knoxfield Location 1/11 Cherrytree Rise Features 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms 1 car space Sold for $700,000 Office Noel Jones Wantirna Agents Dylan Hare Michael Hill

In a declining market where there are less buyers attending open homes, two things are more critical now than they have been in previous years: 1) The agent has a proven process that creates the perception of competition to extract a buyer’s best offer 2) The agent is proactive in finding the right buyers rather than waiting for buyers to respond from advertising The team at Noel Jones Wantirna were recently successful in selling a property at 1/11 Cherrytree Rise in Knoxfield that had been on the market with another agent earlier in the year however, failed to sell. After marketing the home for 3 weeks, the team were able to extract a strong offer from a buyer that found the home online. The exclusive ‘Sale By Fixed Date’ campaign strategy provides an incentive for the buyer to be the first one to make an acceptable offer, rather than wait for other buyers to offer, whilst also providing a vendor with a strong offer early in the campaign. The offer presented was close to what was acceptable however the agents felt that the home could achieve more with competition. The home was re-launched and re-marketed through our Noel Jones office network and a new buyer was found that previously wasn’t considering the suburb of Knoxfield. After two days of negotiations the price achieved was over the vendor’s acceptable level and also created a record sale price for that type of property in Knoxfield.


Anytime. Anywhere. Read our latest articles online noeljones.com.au/news


Profile for remagazines

Noel Jones Quarterly Market Wrap: October - December 2018  

Noel Jones Quarterly Market Wrap: October - December 2018