Premier distributed an online survey to approximately 9,000 member health system leaders nationwide to solicit their perspectives on the healthcare supply chain – in particular, the impact of economic and industry trends. The survey (n=535) provided a wealth of data on the key objectives of the Premier healthcare alliance. Forecast growth in outpatient admissions
Three-quarters of respondents expect their inpatient admissions to remain static or increase in 2013, a finding that is similar to fall 2012 predictions.
E C O N O M I C S ECONOMIC O U T LO O K
With the shift toward population health management and accountable care, health systems are focusing on integrating the care continuum, including outpatient, rehabilitative, and home care. Improving the continuity of care will help health systems reach readmission goals as part of the Affordable Care Act.
As a result of a greater focus on non-acute care and changes in Medicare inpatient and outpatient designations,1 69 percent of respondents anticipate an increase in outpatient admissions in 2013, compared to the prior year. At the same time, 53 percent expect an outpatient increase of up to 5 percent, and 16 percent anticipate an admissions increase of more than 5 percent. Only 7 percent of respondents forecast a decrease in outpatients (see Figure 1).
Inpatient and outpatient admissions forecasts
100.0% 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 52.7%
8.3% 15.8% Increase by more than 5%
Increase by up to 5%
Decrease by up to 5%
Decrease by more than 5%
Source: Premier online survey for Economic Outlook Spring 2013 publication
O UTLO O K • SPR I NG 2 0 1 3 |
Beyond the Hospital Walls