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2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

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2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

Billions

PP/Wheeling

$1.3

$1.4

Fixed Costs

$1.4

$1.4

Fuel

$1.5

$1.6

Oper.

$1.6

Maint.

$1.7

$1.7 $1.8

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2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

PP/Wheeling

Fixed Costs

Fuel

Oper.

Maint.

32


2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

PP/Wheeling

Fixed Costs

Fuel

Labor

Oper.

Maint.

33


2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

Billions

$2.0 $1.5 $1.0 $1.28

$1.70 $1.73 $1.64 $1.57 $1.54 $1.35 $1.36 $1.44

$1.79

$0.5 $0.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

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2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

Billions

w/o Operating Margins Member Revenue Requirement

$1.3

$1.4

$1.4

$1.4

$1.5

Revenue

$1.6

(w/o Member Sales)

$1.6

$1.7

$1.7 $1.8

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2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

Non-Member Revenue

Other Revenue

Millions $295.1 $209.9

46% 44%

13% 18%

$187.8

8% 9%

NonMember Sales Dollars MWh’s

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2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

Billions

w/o Operating Margins

“What Changed?” 2012-2021 Forecast Vs 2013-2022 Forecast

37


38


2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

Fuel Coal Facilities

$16mm

Gas Facilities

$ 2mm

Generation Changes: Coal

- 75k Mwh’s increase

Gas

- 61k Mwh’s increase

Fuel Price Changes:

2013

Coal

-

$1.16 across all tons

Gas

- ($0.69)/Dt @ Ventura

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2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

Millions

$263

$267

$281

$291

$298

$324

$329

$355

$283

$396

Gas/Oil

Coal

99%

88%


2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

$/Ton LRS

LOS AVS

DFS

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2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

$/mm BTU

LOS

LRS AVS

DFS

42


2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

O&M PP & Wheeling

$36mm Increase

Fuel Fixed Costs Admin

2013

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2013-2022 “Draft” Financial Forecast

2013 BEPC Operations (Millions)

$36mm Change = 3.0% Cost Of Electric Service

“2012-2021” Forecast

Cost Of Electric Service

“2013-2022” “Draft” Forecast 44

2013-2022-draft-basin-financial-forecast