Issuu on Google+

Kingdom of Thailand Bond Market Development

50 30

$ 6 Bil

20

P/N

LBA

15 ILB

10

50% ILB

20%

30%

Sustainability

7 5

3

$ 3 Bil

SB

SB

GOVT Debt Folio

9 yr ATM

Outstanding

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, KINGDOM OF THAILAND

Size

January 2013


Domestic Bond Market Development A. Evolution of Bond Market Development (1995 – Present) • 1997 Asian Financial Crisis  The Rude Awakening • Thai Bond Market Has Grown Strongly and Rapidly for More than a Decade • Innovation of Government’s Debt Securities • Equilibrium of Thai Bond Market

1

B. Building up of Benchmark Bond (FY2007 - FY2012) • PDMO Revised the Strategies of Benchmark Bond Issuance in 3 Ways • Keep Our Word to Get Investors Confidence for the Plan  Firm Committed Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget Uncertainty • Key Success Indicators of Benchmark Bond Liquidity • Market’s Favorite Benchmark Bond

5

C. Bond Supply FY2013 + Funding Needs FY2013 - FY2015 • FY 2013 Total Funding Needs (by Bills)  1,013,546 THB mil. • FY 2013 Total Fund Raising (by Instruments)  1,090,076 THB mil. • FY 2013 Benchmark Bond (3-5-7-10-15-20-30-50 tenors)  525,000 THB mil. • FY 2013’Q2 Government Bond Auction Schedule  133,000 THB mil. • Fund Raising Strategies  Building Benchmark Bond to Stabilize Yield Curve  Segmenting Investors Base to Diversify Dependency Risk •Next Phase of Inflation Linked Bond  Creating Liquidity & Extending Yield Curve

11

D. Well-Developed Bond Market Improved Government Debt Profile Dramatically • Full Capacity of Government Funding Instruments (FY 2013)  1,150,000 THB Mil (equiv. 40,000 USD Bil) • Systematic Benchmark Bond Issuance  Lengthened ATM by 3 ½ years  Lowered cost by 20 basis points  Enhanced fixed-float Ratio  Reduced bunching risk

18

Q1/FY 2013 HIGHLIGHTS  Domestic Bond Market in Transition : Funding Infrastructure Investment & Connecting ASEAN  FY2013 Inaugural Amortized Loan Bond (LBA)

22 This booklet is produced and printed in-house by Bond Market Development Bureau Public Debt Management Office Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand This booklet can be downloaded at www.pdmo.go.th

e-book


A. Evolution of Bond Market Development (1995 – Present) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

• 1997 Asian Financial Crisis  The Rude Awakening • Thai Bond Market Has Grown Strongly and Rapidly for More than a Decade • Innovation of Government’s Debt Securities • Equilibrium of Thai Bond FY 2013 Domestic Bond Market Market Development

• To Enhance Liquidity • To Broaden Investor Base • To Strengthen Fiscal Sustainability

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

50-year Benchmark Bond March 2th 2011

12-year and 18year Fixed-rate Promissory Note

30-year Benchmark Bond

December 22nd 2010

April 23nd 2008

10-year Inflation Linked Bond July 11th 2011

5-year Step-up Savings Bond

6-year Step-up Savings Bond June 7th 2010

July 15th 2009

4-year Floating Rate Bond 3-year Electronic Retail Savings Bond

July 27th 2009

September 12th 2011

FY 2008

2009

2010

2011-12

FY 2013

011


1997 Asian Financial Crisis

The Rude Awakening Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

% Share of GDP

*Bank Loan Data as of Oct 2012

140% 128%

Balanced

120%

106

%

100%

97

%*

80%

77

%

60%

8.6 THB Trillion Dec 2012

40% 24% Asian Fin. Crisis

20%

12%

0% Bank Loan /GDP

Source : ThaiBMA

Equity/GDP

Bond Market Cap. = 8.6 THB Trillion ($287 Bil.)

Bond Market / GDP

GOVT Bond = 3.0 THB Trillion ($100 Bil.)

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

% Share of GDP *Bank Loan Data as of Oct 2012

140%

Domestic Bond Market Classified by Issuer

128%

Baht Bond

120%

106% 100%

(Foreign Issuers Bond)

1%

97%*

80%

77%

Corp Bond

19%

60%

$287 Bil. 40%

24%

SOEs Bond

7%

Asian Fin. Crisis

20%

12%

0%

BOT Bond Bank Loan /GDP

Equity/GDP

Bond Market / GDP

Maturity Profile

3.1 THB Trillion

37%

BOT vs GOVT Bond BOT ATM = 11mths GOVT ATM = 7yrs 7mths 9%

2

GOVT Bond ($100 Bil.)

68%

25%

BOT

26%

16% 6%

27%

23%

<1y

2-3y

3-5y

6-10y

11-50y

MOF

3.0 THB Trillion

36%


Bond Market Developed Rapidlyand andEfficiently Efficiently The The ThaiThai Bond Market hasHas Developed Rapidly Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

10

Next Step 2013-15:

2007 – 2010 :

2011-12:

Development Oriented  Regular Benchmark Issuance  New Product Development  Regular Market Dialogue with BoT and PDs

(Market Deepening Oriented)  50-yr Bond, 10-yr LB, Electronic Retail Bond  Upgrade PD Privileges  8 Benchmark bonds create reliable reference yield curve

100%

(Financing Thailand & Connecting ASEAN)  25-yr Amortized Bond, 15-yr ILB, Zero-Coupon Bond  Bond Switching & Bond Consolidation  Foreign Currency Bond  Regional Linkage (CGIF)

8

77%

80%

Post Crisis – 2000 : Volume Oriented  Bond Market Capitalisation tripled  Government Bonds Outstanding grew by 50 times  Government Bond Market Share jumped from 3% in 1997 to 44% in 2000

60% % of GDP

THB Trillion

6

4

2

40%

Pre-Crisis - Illiquid Bond Market - Absence of Benchmark Bond - Dominated by SoE’s Bonds

20%

0

0%

FY2007 – FY2013

Innovation of GOV’T Debt Securities

FY 2007-10

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

30-yr Benchmark Bond

• Lengthen average-time-to-maturity of Total Government Debt Portfolio  5yrs 7mths to 7yrs 6mths • Meet Long-term investors’ demand

Floating Rate Bond

• Increase floating debt ratio of Total Government Debt Portfolio 10% to 18%* • Promote BIBOR (Bangkok Interbank Offered Rate)

Step-up Savings Bond

• Broaden investor base – Retail investors • Low interest burden at the initial periods of bond

FY 2012-2013

FY 2011

*From FY2007 to FY2010

Fixed Rate Promissory Note

• Broaden investor base – Insurance / Long-term investors • Non-Benchmark tenors

50-yr Benchmark Bond

• Combat low interest rate + Lengthen average time-to-maturity • 4th country in the world (1st : UK 2nd : France 3rd : China)

10-yr Inflation-Linked Bond (ILB)

• Strong anti-inflationary signal • Deepen the Development of the Bond market • 1st country in Emerging Asian Economies

Electronic Retail Savings Bond

• Lower Minimum Amount to Purchase / Offer throughout the year • Develop the retail bond into an electronic form  Scripless System • Can be purchased via ATM, in addition of Bank Retail Branches

Amortized Bond

• Suitable financing instrument for the government’s investment mega-project in the form of PPP • Pay back the bond principal by installments  Promote the government’s fiscal discipline

Bond Switching & Consolidation

Upgrade PD Privileges

• Allow both issuer and investors to improve their portfolio • Larger outstanding size + Less bond series  more liquidity in the secondary market

PDDF Activated

(Public Debt Restructuring and Domestic Bond Market Development Fund)

15-yr ILB

Baht Bond

CGIF Activated

(Credit Guarantee and Investment Facility)

3


Equilibrium of Thai Bond Market Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Issuers

• 80 percent of Thailand’s debt securities are issued by Government, Central Bank and State-owned Enterprises

Credit Rating

• 96 percent of Thailand’s debt securities are classified as Investment Grade

Investors

• Thailand’s government debt securities are held by a wide group of investor types

Thailand Bond Market (Classified by Issuers)

Thailand Bond Market (Classified by Credit Rating) BBB

Baht Bond 1%

A

19%

36%

7%

AAA

Government

3%

36%

SOEs

7%

Insurance and Other Corporation

NR 15% Household and Non-profit

34%

9%

Central Bank

Central Bank

Depository Corporation

37%

37%

33%

Total of 8.6 THB Trillion

Source : ThaiBMA ( 28 Dec 2012)

4

CB 9%

5%

Government

SOEs

Non-rated

1%4%

7%

AA

Private Sector

State Agencies Debt Securities (Classified by Types of Investors)

Total of 8.6 THB Trillion

Source : ThaiBMA (28 Dec 2012)

Total of 3.1 THB Trillion

Source : CB (28 Dec 2012)


B. Building up of Benchmark Bond (FY2007 - FY2012) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

• PDMO Revised the Strategies of Benchmark Bond Issuance in 3 Ways • Keep Our Word to Get Investors Confidence for the Plan

Firm Committed

Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget Uncertainty • Key Success Indicators of Benchmark Bond Liquidity • Market’s Favorite Benchmark Bond

5


2550 PDMO Revised the Strategy of Benchmark Bond Issuance in 3 ways (FY2007 - FY2013) ,

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

I. Reduce Auction Frequency

II. Increase Auction Size

from

Once a Week to Every Other Month

(to Create Even Distribution of the Benchmark Bond Supply over the Year)

Tenors: 3-5-7-10 yrs

Unit : THB Mil.

4,000 FY 07

6,0008,000

8,00010,000

10,00012,000

12,00015,000

15,00020,000

$500 – 700 Mil.

FY 08

III. Increase Outstanding Size

FY 09

FY 10

FY 11

FY 12

150,000200,000

Unit : THB Mil.

FY 07

6

50,00080,000 FY 08

FY 13

Tenors: 3-5-7-10 yrs

(by Re-opening)

40,000

15,00020,000

80,000100,000

100,000120,000

100,000120,000

120,000150,000

$5 – 7 Bil.

FY 09

FY 10

FY 11

FY 12

FY 13


Keep Our Word to get Investor Confidence for the Plan

Firm Committed Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget uncertainty Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

THB Mil.

+40% Plan

FY2009

Actual

+2%

Higher government funding needs due to Stimulus Package

+170%

approx.+250,000 THB Mil.

Total Funding needs increased from:

+86%

+33%

420,000 THB Mil. to 670,000 THB Mil. Benchmark Bond

Savings Bond

T-Bill (Outstanding)

THB Mil.

FY2010

Plan

0

Treasury Balance = 417,166 THB Mil.

Benchmark Bond

Non Benchmark Bond

Keep Our Word to get Investor Confidence for the Plan

-45% 154,000

170,000

100,000

+8%

-51% 82,233

(-20%)

+118% 131,000

800,000 THB Mil to 640,000 THB Mil

200,000

60,000

Total Funding needs decreased from:

Actual

281,000

310,000

300,000

Lower Borrowing needs due to Economic Recovery

309,826

0%

approx. -160,000 THB Mil.

Others

321,171

400,000

Non Benchmark Bond

261,171

59%)

(+

Treasury Balance = 278,694 THB Mil.

Savings Bond

T-Bill (Outstanding)

Others

Firm Committed Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget uncertainty Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt Management Office

Treasury Balance = 510,180 THB Mil.

400,000

Treasury Balance = 552,692 THB Mil.

Actual

149,110

177,770

34,600

45,000

190,514 40,000

9,000

1,075

54,014

Fixed P/N

-16%

Bank Loan (Outstanding)

200,000

Benchmark Bond

Non Benchmark Bond

Savings Bond

T-Bill (Outstanding)

ILB

Float P/N

Fixed P/N

-92% 30,030

88,249

+96% 45,000

125,122

-13% 52,180

+116%

120,231

-4%

-63% 60,000

0

-44%

30,000

100,000

1,140,000 THB Mil to 750,000 THB Mil

(-34%)

Float P/N

-23%

345,751

330,000

300,000

64,659

Total Funding needs decreased from:

ILB

Plan

199,110

THB Mil.

T-Bill (Outstanding)

THB Mil.

110,850

approx. -390,000

Savings Bond

-72%

+344%

+5%

FY2012 Lower-than-expected Disbursement

Non Benchmark Bond

-38% 125,691

204,000 Benchmark Bond

Actual

400,000

0

-26%

37,359

(- 36%)

100,000

-

Total Funding needs decreased from: 700,000 THB Mil to 450,000 THB Mil

200,000

100,000

THB Mil.

95,000

approx. -250,000

300,000

Plan

-3%

70,000

Higher than expected Revenue collection

349,500

FY2011

THB Mil.

339,900

400,000

Bank Loan (Outstanding)

7


FY2008-FY2012 Key Success Indicators

1. Trading Volume 3. Demand Concentration

2. Turnover Ratio 4. Auction Price

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

5-yr Benchmark Tenor : Highest Secondary Trading Volume in every year (accounted for 25% of total trading volume)

5 yr Benchmark Bond : Higher Turnover Ratio

LB155A

Unit: % share of Market Trading Volume

LB133A

27% 20%

9

LB145B

28% 20%

LB133A

16%

7% FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

2.8

2.4 FY08

FY09

4.2

FY10

FY11

FY12

Top 10 Gov’t Bond Series – Accounted for 90% of all Gov’t Bond trading in Secondary Trading Volume

Well developed Benchmark Bond pays off : Even with greater size of issuance, the cost of funding is still at market rate

Unit: % share of Market Trading Volume

Unit: Billion USD

75% FY07

76%

+0.9 bps

90% +1.4 bps

84% 77%

14.7

+3.2 bps

16.5

13.7

12.8

80% +1.2 bps

7.5 FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

-0.4 bps

FY12 FY08

8

LB15DA

3.1

1.5 FY07

4.2

LB176A

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12 F


FY2012 Total GOVT Bond = 44 Series

TOP 5

(2,447,XXX THB Mil)

> 100,000 THB Mil in Size (68% of Trading Volume)

Next 10 > 50,000 THB Mil in Size

(24% of Trading Volume)

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Top 5 (>100,000)

FY2012 Market Share of Trading Volume in Secondary Market

3 150,000

TOP 5

Next 10

3

68%

(50,000-100,000)

Outstanding size (THB Mil.)

Next 10 Bottom 30

10

0

5

50

ILB

100,000

8%

24%

100

FY 2012 on-the-run Benchmark Bond

10

7 % %

30 50,000

50

FY2012 Market’s Favorites Classified by Turnover Ratio

LB383A

LB396A

LB145A

LB406A

LB183A

LB13OA

LB22NA

LB244A

LB326A LB326A

LB157A

LB27DA LB27DA

LB143A

LB19DA

LB171A

LB214A

LB316A

LB616A LB616A

LB175A

LB25DA

LB236A

LB191A

LB14DA

LB267A

LB24DA

4

LB296A

16

LB233A

9

LB137A

7

LB167A

LB283A

LB16NA

5

LB416A LB416A

LB213A

6

LB198A

LB193A LB193A

10

LB183B

1

LB17OA

LB133A

7

10 5

ILB217A ILB217A

2

LB196A

3

LB176A LB176A

LB145B

3

LB21DA LB21DA

TTM (Year)

LB155A LB155A

0

LB15DA LB15DA

15 20

7

All 3-5-7-10 on-the-run Benchmark Bonds Have Turnover Ratio between 2.7 – 4.2 (while market turnover ratio = 1) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Turnover Ratio

4 4.2

4.00

4.00

150000

150,000

Outstanding ≥ 100,000 MB Current Outstanding 50,000-100,000 MB Current Outstanding ≤ 50,000 MB

FY 2012 on-the-run Benchmark Bond

3.2

3

3.00

3.00

2.00

2.00

1.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

2.7 2.7 2.7 100000

100,000

2

3

15

10

20 10

50

Turnover Ratio 0.2 – 1.0

LB396A

LB383A

LB214A

LB22NA

LB406A

LB183A

LB19DA

LB198A

LB267A

LB13OA

LB171A

LB175A LB244A

LB191A

LB167A

LB157A

LB283A

LB316A

LB233A

LB296A

LB14DA

LB213A

LB24DA

LB143A

LB16NA

LB145B

3

LB133A

LB15DA LB176A

7

LB155A

LB193A

10

LB193A

LB21DA

LB176A

5

LB15DA LB155A

0

0

LB21DA

1

LB27DA LB17OA ILB217A LB137A LB326A LB236A LB196A LB145A LB616A LB183B LB416A LB25DA

50000

50,000

30

Nearly No Trading

9


ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONE ER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINET COMMMITM ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATIO N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF 10 FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE


C. Bond Supply FY2013 + Funding Needs FY2013 - FY2015 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

• FY 2013 Total Funding Needs (by Bills)

 1,013,546 THB mil.

• FY 2013 Total Fund Raising (by Instruments)

 1,090,076 THB mil.

• FY 2013 Benchmark Bond (3-5-7-10-15-20-30-50 tenors)

 525,000 THB mil.

• FY 2013’Q2 Government Bond Auction Schedule

 133,000 THB mil.

• Fund Raising Strategies  Building Benchmark Bond to Stabilize Yield Curve  Segmenting Investors Base to Diversify Dependency Risk

•Next Phase of Inflation Linked Bond 

Creating Liquidity & Extending Yield Curve

11


FY2013 Total Funding Needs

(By Bills)

1,013,546 THB Mil.

• • • • •

Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring Water Insurance

300,000 157,503 166,543 340,000 49,500

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring TKK TKK Restructuring Water Management Decree Insurance Decree

THB Mil.

1,000,000

49,500

340,000

750,000 500 10,000

TENTATIVE Infrastructure Bill

? ? 70,470

260,000

500,000

340,122

250,000

25,000

157,503

201,848

113,014 239,222 52,000 344,084

232,575

129,124 69,749

58,940

139,171

166,543

300,000

200,666

250,000 150,000

-

(250,000) Annual Funding Needs (THB Mil.)

FY2010

FY2011

FY2012

656,746

424,620

694,706

FY2013 Total Fund Raising Plan

(By Bills) THB Mil.

1,000,000

750,000

Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring TKK TKK Restructuring Water Management Decree Insurance Decree Pre-Mature TKK Restructuring Pre-Mature FIDF Conversion T-Bill Conversion (Bill to Bond)

FY2013F

1,013,546

FY2014F

651,442

1,090,076 THB Mil.

• • • • • • •

FY2015F

490,231

Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring Water Insurance Pre-Mature FIDF Pre-Mature TKK

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

49,500

340,000 500 10,000

TENTATIVE Infrastructure Bill

? ? 70,470

500,000

260,000

340,122

139,171 250,000

25,000

157,503

-

201,848 239,222

52,000

300,000

200,666

250,000 150,000

28,309

18,000 5,782

117,600

128,272

FY2010 656,746

FY2011 424,620

FY2012 694,706

863,230

570,529

846,760

124,254

129,124

113,014

344,084 232,575

166,543

69,749

58,940

57,000 19,530

82,230 (250,000) Annual Funding Needs (THB Mil.) Annual Fund Raising (THB Mil.)

12

300,000 157,503 166,543 340,000 49,500 57,000 19,530

FY2013F

1,013,546 1,090,076

FY2014F 651,442

FY2015F 490,231

651,442

490,231


FY 2013 Total Fund Raising Plan (by Instruments and Bills)

1,090,076 THB Mil. Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Insurance Decree

49,500  Non-Benchmark Bond

Water Decree 340,000

Bank Loan 6 mths – 4 yrs (Now – June 2013)

 Savings Bond

 ILB  Amortized Bond  Global Bond

457,503

Float P/N

Deficit

58,000

Amortized Bond

60,000

SB

300,000

NEW NEW

6,000

Benchmark Bond (5 - 7 - 15 - 20 - 30 – 50-yr)

331,000

Restructuring 157,503

Float P/N

223,543

503

15-yr ILB

FIDF

Benchmark Bond (3 & 10-yr) 194,000

166,543 57,000

Pre-Mature FIDF Pre-Mature TKK

25,043

Other ILB 10 yr

19,530

By Bills

15,530 10,000

By Instruments

ALL FY2013 Benchmark Bond Series (3 – 5 – 7 – 10 – 15 - 20 – 30 – 50-yr + 15-yr ILB+ 25-yr LBA)

To Reach 100,000 THB Mil. in Outstanding Amount by the End of FY2013 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

200,000

3

5

7

FY 2013 Indicative Benchmark Bond Plan-to-issue Amount in FY2013

90,000

90,000

80,000

new 15-yr 10

Inflation-Linked Bond

Amortized Bond

100,000 THB Mil. 40,000

50

41,205

40,000

($ 3.3 Bil.)

LB616A

30

53,436

To be issued in 2013 : 70,000

30,000

50,000 35,000 LB326A

35,000 LB27DA

ILB283A

LBA37DA

20

50,000

85,000 LB236A

LB21DA

-

LB196A

44,000

111,110

99,994

100,000

50,000

15

LB416A

25 100,000

LB176A

Outstanding size (THB Mil.)

150,000

Outstanding Amount as of the beginning of FY2013

13


14

2-Jan-13 9-Jan-13 16-Jan-13 23-Jan-13 30-Jan-13 6-Feb-13 13-Feb-13 20-Feb-13 27-Feb-13 6-Mar-13 12-Mar-13 13-Mar-13 20-Mar-13 27-Mar-13 รวม Coupon Maturity Date

Auction date

8,000

LB326A

7,000 3.58% 17-Dec-70 Re-open

Re-open

8,000 16,000 3.775% 25-Jun-75

ILB (15 yrs) 40,000 MB syndication

7,000

LB27DA

Website http://www.pdmo.go.th/

Re-open Re-open

Re-open

28,500 3.625% 16-Jun-66

14,000

14,500

LB236A

7. LBA37DA = 8. LB416A = 9. LB616A =

Re-open

Re-open

10,000 3.65% 17-Dec-64

10,000

LB21DA

Re-open

Re-open

28,000 3.875% 13-Jun-62

14,000

14,000

LB196A LB196A

8,000 4.26% 12-Dec-80

8,000

LBA37DA LBA37DA

Government Bond Auction Schedule for Q2/FY2013

5. LB27DA = 6. LB326A =

2. LB196A = 3. LB21DA = 4. LB236A =

1. LB176A =

17,500 3.25% 16-Jun-60

17,500

LB176A

Exclusivity MoF Outright PD Only

6,000 3.80% 14-Jun-84

6,000

LB416A

12,000 4.85% 17-Jun-04

6,000

6,000

LB616A

20,500 8,000 14,000 7,000 10,000 6,000 17,500 14,000 8,000 20,000 8,000 133,000

Total

New Product : Amortized bond


Exclusivity

FY2013 Indicative Benchmark Bond

15


• Building Benchmark Bond to Stabilized Yield Curve • Diversifying Investor Base to Reduce Dependency Risk

Fund Raising Plan Strategies

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Well Diversified Investors Ensures Funding Needs

FYFull2013 Full Capacity* : 1,150,000 THB Mil Capacity* of All Government Funding Instruments 1,150,000 THB Mil.

Potential Demand for Gov’t Bond 2013

($40 Bil.)

* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

THB Bil.

CB 9%

LB 3 yrs 150,000 THB Mil. ($5 Bil.)

6.50

LB 5 yrs 120,000 THB Mil. ($4 Bil.)

LB 7 yrs

6.00

80,000 THB Mil.

($2.8 Bil.)

50

LB 10 yrs 80,000 THB Mil. ($2.8 Bil.)

Average Bidding Yield (%)

LB 15 yrs 60,000 THB Mil. ($2 Bil.) 5.50

LB 20 yrs 60,000 THB Mil. ($2 Bil.) LB 30 yrs 30,000 THB Mil. ($1 Bil.)

Benchmark Bond

4.50

10

7

4.00

15

Benchmark Bond ($3.5 Bil.) Savings Bond ($3.5 Bil.) Amortized Bond ($2.8 Bil.) Inflation Linked Bond

($20.8 Bil.)

~600,000 THB Mil. (52%) ~100,000 THB Mil. (8%) ~100,000 THB Mil. (8%) ~80,000 THB Mil. (7%) ~40,000 THB Mil. ~30,000 THB Mil.

Promissory Note ($1.0 Bil.) Floating Rate Bond

5 3

($7.0 Bil.)

($40 Bil.)

3.00

Bank Loan

Total

SB

Household and Non-profit

(4%) (3%)

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1,150,000 THB Mil. (100%)

33%

TTM (Yrs.)

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51

Outstanding of Foreign Debt

Equiv. 44,924 THB Mil (1.3% of Gov’t Debt) Equiv. 11,861 THB Mil Commercial Papers Samurai bond 5 yr 20,000 Yen Mil Samurai bond 7 yr 10,000 Yen Mil MTN 40 USD Mil

Equiv. 33,063 THB Mil Soft Loans JBIC ADB IBRD Other

- Life Insurance - Pension Funds

450

Depository Corporations

450

- Retail - Non-profit org.

200

Non-Residence

?

Bank loan FRB / LB

Source : CB (28 Dec 2012)

* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments

62,500 Yen Mil 300 USD Mil 62 USD Mil 11 USD Mil (as of Dec 2012)

16

34%

9% Depository Corporation

~200,000 THB Mil. (18%)

ThaiBMA 2.50

Insurance and Other Corporation

NR 15%

Government Funding Instruments

20

($1.4 Bil.)

3.50

LB 5/10 ILB

30

ThaiBMA

LB 50 yrs 20,000 THB Mil. ($0.8 Bil.)

5.00

P/N LB

• To diversify portfolio of government debt • To keep the presence of KOT Bond (Kingdom of Thailand) in the foreign market • To maintain KOT Bond as a reference benchmark yield for Thai private sector issuers

• To avoid crowding out effect on domestic bond market Concerns : exchange rate risk / swap cost / natural hedging


Structure of Thai Inflation Linked Bond (Inaugural ILB, July 2011) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Format Currency Tenor

Capital Indexed Bond (with Principle Protection) Thai Baht 10 years

Programme Size Interest Payment

40,000 THB Mil. (1.3 Bil USD equiv.) Every 6 months

Index Indexation Lag Index Ratio

Headline CPI 3 months CPIt /CPI0 (TBMA’s calculation)

Real Yield Repayment Method

1.2 Bullet

PD’s responsibility

Local Institutions

15,000 MB

20,000 MB

5,000 MB

Subscription : approx. 1.6 times

Next Step Continuing Issuance

Allocations Foreign Institutions

Local Retail

Enhance ILB liquidity  

FY 2012 : Develop regular annual auction plan (every quarter) FY 2012 : Top-up the existing tenor to enhance liquidity : 60,000 THB Mil. (2 USD Bil equiv.) (15,000 THB Mil. each in Feb Apr Jun and Aug) FY 2013 : Issue other Benchmark tenors (5-15years ILBs)

FY 2012 : Maintain portion of successful bid in ILB primary market FY 2013 : Maintain portion of ILB trading in secondary market FY 2013 : Provide firm bid / ask spreads in secondary market

8 International AWARDS

+

2 Domestic AWARDS

 Best Sovereign Bond 2011  Best Thailand Deal 2011  Best Local Currency Bond 2011  Best Thailand Deal 2011  Thailand Capital Markets Deal of the Year 2011  Deal of the Year from Asia  Outstanding Issuer of the Year  The Most Impressive Local Currency 2011  Deal of the Year 2011  Most Creative Issue 2011

Enhance Liquidity

: Asiamoney Awards : Asiamoney Awards : FinanceAsia Achievement Awards : FinanceAsia Achievement Awards : IFRAsia Asia Awards : Euro Money : Asset Asian Awards 2011 : Euroweek Asia : ThaiBMA : ThaiBMA

Next Phase of Inflation Linked Bond in FY2013

• Enhance Liquidity of 10-yr • Extending Yield Curve to 15-yr • PDS’ Responsibilities As Market Marker

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Keep Our Promise

10-yr ILB (ILB217A)

• Continue to re-open ILB217A in Q1/FY’13 to build up outstanding size of 100,000 THB Mil. T/R 1.1

Extending Yield Curve

New 15-yr ILB

• Build Up 15-yr ILB to around 80,000 – 100,000 THB Mil. by end of 2013 (Syndication & Auctions)

Fund Raising Instrument for Water Decree • Option A : Issue new tenor of ILB • Option B : Re-open the existing tenor

PDS’ RESPONSIBILITIES

• New 5-yr ILB • Top-up 15-yr ILB

Up To 60,000 THB Mil.

• Participate in the Primary Market • Achieve 5% of Trading Volume in the Secondary Market • Provide Bid – Offer Price 17


D. Well-Developed Bond Market Improved Government Debt Profile Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

• Public Debt Outstanding (as of Sep 2012) = 4.9 THB Trillion (43% of GDP) • Total GOV’T Debt (Direct + FIDF) • Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) • Average Cost • Fixed : Float

= 3.46 THB Trillion (70% of Public Debt) = 7yrs 6mths = 4.3% = 86 : 14

• Well-Developed Bond Market Improved GOV’T Direct Debt Profile Dramatically • Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) = 8yrs 10mths • Average Cost = 4.5% • Fixed : Float Ratio = 86 : 14 • Maturity Distribution Profile = 51-21-28

• Full Capacity of All Government Funding Instruments (FY2013)  1,150,000 THB Mil

• Maturity Profile of GOV’T Funding Instruments (Strategic Framework) • Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) • Fixed : Float • Maturity Distribution Profile

18

= 9yrs = 65 : 35 = 50-30-20


Public Debt Outstanding (as of Sep 2012) = 4.9 THB Trillion (43% of GDP) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Components of Public Debt

Units : THB Mil.

1. Government Debt (excluded FIDF)

2,381,879**

2. Government Debt (for FIDF)

1,133,132

3. Non-Financial State Enterprise Debt

1,064,289

4. Special Financial Institutions Guaranteed Debt 5. Autonomous Agency Debt (VP and EFPO)

Public Debt Outstanding (as of Sep 2012)

Special Financial Institution Guaranteed Debt

7

% 0.35 THB Trillion Autonomous Agency Debt (VP and EFPO) 0.5% 0.006 THB Trillion

352,207 5,732

4,937,239

*Including 52,647 THB Mil. of External Debt

Non-Financial State Enterprise Debt

21.5% 1.06 THB Trillion

GOV’T Debt

48% 2.38 THB Trillion

GOV’T Debt (for FIDF)

23% 1.13** THB Trillion

019


As of Sep 2012  Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) = 7yrs 6mths  Average Cost = 4.5%  Fixed : Float = 86 : 14 As of Sep 2012

Total GOV’T Debt = 3.46* THB Trillion (70% of Public Debt) * Excluded 52,647 THB Mil. of Foreign Debt

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand Assumptions : 6 months BIBOR = 3.23%, 6 months Fixed Deposit Rate = 2.58%

FIDF 1

FIDF 3

162,099

300,000

61%

GOV’T Debt (for FIDF) = 1.13* THB Trillion

31%

40,000

35,000

next 5 yrs

year 6 - 10

10yrs +

14,000

44,000

69,000

101,800

75,000

Maturity Profile

7%

37,900

25,000

39,836 66,000

64,771

64,124

159,853

-

11,309

58,440

65,000

200,000

100,000

 ATM = 5yrs 4mths  Avg. Cost = 4.7%  Fixed : Float = 79 : 21

TTM

Fiscal Year

TKK

On-lending Loan

Insurance Decree

 ATM = 8yrs 10mths  Avg. Cost = 4.3%  Fixed : Float = 87 : 13

10yrs +

41,205

year 6 - 10

27,800

29,800

20,000

53,436

5,500

6,500

5,000

41,900

35,000

15,700

next 5 yrs

2,200

96,950 47,000

43,000

50,000

18,900 76,700

32,500

111,110

90,872

-

Maturity Profile

0000

21% 28%

GOV’T Debt (exclude FIDF) = 2.33*** THB Trillion

145,994

118,209

16,000

22,000

86,630

7,156

51%

111,830

157,000

239,222

291,912

100,000

201,848

200,000

70,470

86

300,000

8,000

Budget Deficit

TTM Fiscal Year

***Excluded 52,647 THB Mil. of Foreign Debt

(1) (2) (3) (4)

Well-Developed Bond Market Improved GOV’T Direct Debt Profile Dramatically

ATM Lengthened Cost Lowered Well-Balanced Fixed-Float Ratio Well-Distributed Maturity Profile

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Note : Government Direct Debt = 2.33 THB Million

As of Dec 2007

As of Sep 2012 ATM

Average-Time-to-Maturity LENGTHENED by 3 ½ yrs

8yrs 10mths ATM

5yrs 3mths

Avg. cost

Avg. Cost LOWERED by 20 bps

4.5%

.

Avg. cost

4.3%

(While ATM Lengthened by 3 ½ yrs)

Float

Well-Balanced Fixed/Float Ratio (Target : Fixed/Float ratio = 80 : 20)

10%

Float

Fixed

Fixed

90%

87%

Maturity Profile as of Dec 2009

61% Well-Distributed Maturity Profile next 5 yrs

20

Maturity Profile as of Sep 2012

51% 24%

Target : Maturing Debt in the next 5 yrs is less than 50% of Total Debt

13%

year 6 - 10

21%

15% 10yrs +

next 5 yrs

year 6 - 10

28% 10yrs +


Full Capacity* of All Government Funding Instruments

1,150,000 THB Mil. per Year ($40 Bil.)

* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

LB 3 yrs 150,000 THB Mil. ($5 LB 5 yrs 120,000 THB Mil. LB 7 yrs

80,000 THB Mil.

LB 10 yrs 80,000 THB Mil. LB 15 yrs 60,000 THB Mil. LB 20 yrs 60,000 THB Mil. LB 30 yrs 30,000 THB Mil. LB 50 yrs 20,000 THB Mil.

Bil.) ($4 Bil.) ($2.8 Bil.) ($2.8 Bil.) ($2 Bil.) ($2 Bil.) ($1 Bil.) ($0.8 Bil.)

Thailand’s Loan Bonds weighting in international indices

GBI-EM Global JP Morgan

iBoxx Asia ex Japan Markit

7.3%

Asian Local Markets HSBC

7.8%

7.6% 50

30

Benchmark Bond

20 15

10

Government Funding Instruments ($20.4 Bil.) Benchmark Bond

7 5 3

~100,000THB Mil.

($3.5 Bil.) Amortized Bond ($2.8 Bil.) Inflation-Linked Bond

~100,000THB Mil.

(8%)

~80,000THB Mil.

(7%)

($1.4 Bil.) Promissory Note

~40,000THB Mil.

(4%)

($1.0 Bil.) Floating Rate Bond

~30,000THB Mil.

(3%)

($7.0 Bil.) Bank Loan

ThaiBMA Government Bond Yield Curve as of 08 Feb 2013

(A) ATM = 9 yrs (B) Fixed : Float = 65 : 35 (C) Maturity Distribution Profile 50 - 30 - 20

Benchmark Bond

580,000 THB Mil 150,000 150,000

1,150,000 THB Mil. (100%)

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

50% (≤ 5 yrs)

ATM Cost (Avg. past 3 yrs) Fixed : Float

30% (6-10 yrs) 120,000

350,000 THB Mil

10yrs 8mths +5 bps 100 : 0

20

20,000

15

30,000

10

60,000

7

50,000

220,000 THB Mil 60,000

80,000

20% (≥ 11 yrs) 80,000

100,000

(8%)

~200,000THB Mil. (18%)

($40 Bil.) Total

FY2012 Maturity Profile of GOV’T Funding Instruments (Strategic Framework)

~600,000THB Mil. (52%)

($3.5 Bil.) Savings Bond

30

50

-

3

5

150,000

Savings Bond 90,000

50,000

ATM Cost (Avg. past 3 yrs) Fixed : Float

6yrs 4mths + 80 bps 75 : 35

10,000

10,000

10,000

10,000

10,000

50,000

25,000

10,000

10,000

10,000

10,000

10,000

25,000

25,000

50,000

50,000

50,000 10,000

25,000

90,000

50,000

50,000

Alternative Instruments

Amortized Bond

25,000

-

25,000

50,000

25,000

25,000

-

ILB

Promissory Note

100,000

100,000

100,000

50,000 10,000

100,000150,000

50,000

Bank Loan FRB

 Not-to-Collide with Benchmark Tenors

21


ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP 2013 HIGHLIGHTS MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC1/FY DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINECOMMITMENT BOND MARKET Domestic Bond Market in DEVELOPMENT Transition : ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONE Infrastructure ConnectingCOMMMITM ASEAN ER PDDF CGIFFunding DEDICATION BENCHMARKInvestment BOND FISCAL&DISCIPLINET ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION BONDLoan PIONEER CGIF DEDICATIO  FY2013 INFLATION-LINKED Inaugural Amortized BondPDDF (LBA) N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF 22 FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE

Q


Bond Market Developed Rapidlyand andEfficiently Efficiently The The ThaiThai Bond Market hasHas Developed Rapidly Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

10

Next Step 2013-15:

2007 – 2010 :

2011-12:

Development Oriented  Regular Benchmark Issuance  New Product Development  Regular Market Dialogue with BoT and PDs

(Market Deepening Oriented)  50-yr Bond, 10-yr LB, Electronic Retail Bond  Upgrade PD Privileges  8 Benchmark bonds create reliable reference yield curve

100%

(Financing Thailand & Connecting ASEAN)  25-yr Amortized Bond, 15-yr ILB, Zero-Coupon Bond  Bond Switching & Bond Consolidation  Foreign Currency Bond  Regional Linkage (CGIF)

8

80%

77% Post Crisis – 2000 : Volume Oriented  Bond Market Capitalisation tripled  Government Bonds Outstanding grew by 50 times  Government Bond Market Share jumped from 3% in 1997 to 44% in 2000

60% % of GDP

THB Trillion

6

4

2

40%

Pre-Crisis - Illiquid Bond Market - Absence of Benchmark Bond - Dominated by SoE’s Bonds

20%

0

0%

Domestic Bond Market in Transition

 Financing Infrastructure Investment  Connecting ASEAN Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Market Deepening Oriented (2011-12)

Sustainable Source of Fund Regional Connectivity / AEC

Debt Folio Enhancement

Financing Infrastructure Investment & Connecting ASEAN (2013-15)

Water Decree (350 THB Billion)

Long-Term Infrastructure Investment (2 THB Trillion)

Thai Khem Khang (350 THB Billion)

Private Sector Participation in Infrastructure Inv’t Foreign Currency Bond

Baht Bond

Credit Guarantee Investment Facility

ATM Lengthened

Well Diversified Investor Base

Cost Lowered

Well Balanced Fixed-Floated Proportion

FIDF Decree Passed ̴ 70,000MB Fiscal Space

Well Distributed Maturity Profile

Market Infrastructure

Appointed 13 MOF-Outright PDs

Bond Switching

Activated Public Debt Management Fund

Bond Consolidation Inaugural 25-yr Amortized Loan Bond

Innovation / Product Development

Electronic Retail Savings Bond

15-yr Inflation Linked Bond Zero Coupon Bond

Inaugural 10-yr Inflation Linked Bond

Scripless Retail Savings Bond  Liquidity 30

50

Turnover Ratio = 2.5-4.0

20

Building Yield Curve / Enhancing Liquidity

(3-10yrs)

15

7 5 3

10

8 tenors of Benchmark Bond

100,000 MB Outstanding Amount 3 5 7

10

15

20

30

50

23


FY2013 Inaugural Amortized Loan Bond (LBA) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Developing New Instrument Broadening Investor base

Reducing Refinancing Risk

LBA Reducing Reinvestment Risk

Matching Liability Profile Bond Market Development

Structure of Amortized Bond (LBA) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Indicative Terms & Conditions

24

Issuer

The Ministry of Finance of The Kingdom of Thailand

Currency

Thai Baht

Type

Amortized Bond in Registered Form

Programme size

THB 30,000 million (USD 1,000 million equiv.)

Issue Date

12 December 2012

Maturity Date

23 December 2037

Tenor

25 years

Principal Repayment

5 Equal Annual Principal Repayments Commencing From the End of Year 21

Interest Payment

Fixed Rate, Payable Every 6 months

Weighted Average Life (WAL)

23 Year

Reference Benchmark

THB Government Bond Yield Curve

Expected Coupon

4.26% p.a.

Listing

The Thai Bond Market Association

Governing Law

The Laws of the Kingdom of Thailand

Documentation

Domestic Documentation

Distribution Method

Syndication: Bangkok Bank (BBL) Deutsche Bank (DB) The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC)


• Offering up to THB 30,000 Mil. Thru Syndication • Enhancing Liquidity Thru Electronic Auctions

“Super-Size” 25-year Back End Amortized Bond

Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

Comparing “Super-Size” LBA with Bullet Benchmark Bond Size

25-yr LBA… THB 300,000 Mil.

Turnover Ratio (FY2012)

 Immediate Task :

Build up to THB 100,000 Mil. in 1 Year

 Next Possible Task : Build up to “Super Size – THB 300 ,000 Mil. In 3 years”

180,000 Mil.

2.6

4.0 120,000 Mil.

100,000 Mil.

2.5

80,000 Mil.

3.1 1.6

3

5

7

10

15

0.5

20

ALL FY2013 Benchmark Bond Series (3 – 5 – 7 – 10 – 15 - 20 – 30 – 50-yr + 15-yr ILB+ 25-yr LBA)

0.2

0.3

30

50

To Reach 100,000 THB Mil. in Outstanding Amount by the End of FY2013 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

200,000

3

5

7

FY 2013 Indicative Benchmark Bond Plan-to-issue Amount in FY2013

90,000

25-yr 10

Amortized Bond

100,000 THB Mil.

53,436

50 40,000

40,000

($ 3.3 Bil.)

LB416A

To be issued in 2013 : 70,000

30,000 LBA37DA

35,000 LB326A

50,000

35,000 LB27DA

50,000

85,000 LB236A

LB21DA

-

LB196A

44,000

111,110

99,994

100,000

50,000

20

41,205

30 15

LB616A

90,000

80,000

new

100,000

LB176A

Outstanding size (THB Mil.)

150,000

Outstanding Amount as of the beginning of FY2013

25


Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt Management Office Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand

For Further Information : Chularat Suteethorn

+662 265 8050 ext. 5100

chularat@mof.go.th

Director-General, Public Debt Management Office

Prawit Sarakitprija

+662 265 8050 ext. 5111

prawit@pdmo.go.th

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5802

pimpen@pdmo.go.th

Public Debt Advisor

Pimpen Ladpli

Director of Government Bond Market Development Division Acting Director Bond Market Development Bureau

Nattakarn Boonsri

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5803

nattakarn@pdmo.go.th

Director of Fund Management and Bond Market Infrastructure Development Division

Chatmanee Sinsiri

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5804

chatmanee@pdmo.go.th

Director of International Bond Market Policy Division

Pothirat Kijsriopak

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5812

pothirat@pdmo.go.th

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5806

ittipong@pdmo.go.th

+66 2271 7999 ext. 5801

raveewan@pdmo.go.th

Economist

Ittipong Kanluan Economist

Raveewan Buanung General Administration Officer

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Kot bond market booklet q2 fy2013