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Architecture Engineering Architecture Interiors Engineering Planning Interiors Predictive Consulting Analytics


With roots extending back to a two-person partnership formed in 1898, Page is one of the most prolific and enduring architecture and engineering design practices. Page architects, engineers, interior designers, planners, strategic analysts and technical specialists provide services throughout the United States and abroad. Our diverse, international portfolio includes projects in the healthcare, academic, government and science and technology sectors, as well as civic, corporate and urban housing projects. The Page portfolio consists largely of complex projects that benefit from our integrated disciplines and that make a significant impact on the communities they serve. We are guided by the three core values of creativity, collaboration, and commitment, and through the force of these ideals, we live up to our promise of design that makes lives better.

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Predictive Analytics Applying objective data to design.


Predictive Analytics uses techniques from statistics, six sigma, modeling, and data mining to analyze current and historical performance trends and to develop improved, more efficient future state environments for our clients.

The Page Predictive Analytics team is an international healthcare performance consultancy consisting of architects, equipment planners, technology designers, clinicians, process improvement specialists and industrial engineers. Predictive analytics brings quantitative, objective, and data-driven focus to the entire design process. Page is able to identify, using clients’ existing performance data, areas in which operational and spatial efficiency can be improved. Employing various lean, six sigma and reengineering techniques, a new future state environment is designed and we are able to save clients time, resources, space, and money. Page’s Predictive Analytics Director, David Morgareidge, has successfully led over 40 predictive analytics projects. These projects have been extremely beneficial for clients, often providing a return on investment of nearly 20:1, with several projects resulting in multimillion dollar cost savings. David has utilized predictive analytics to improve designs for hospitals, emergency departments, medical centers, clinics, operating rooms, food courts, retail centers, and elevator systems.

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Why Simulation? To save time and money. Getting a return on your investment. Predictive analytics is targeted and effective, often yielding Return on Investments (ROIs) between 10:1 to 20:1. Applying predictive analytics to existing facilities, we determine ways to grow volumes and optimize practices while minimizing the use of capital funds and avoiding the addition of unnecessary space. Reducing or Eliminating Construction Costs Eliminated a planned $3-5M OR expansion project by focusing on process and scheduling. Reducing Equipment and FTE Costs Saved $100,000 per year in ED FTE operating costs and reduced Central Pharmacy FTE requirements by 26%. Reducing Operating Costs Reduced annual operating cost of a 33 physician clinical practice by $528,000 per year. Preventing Over & Under-Building Determined a clinic could accept additional service lines with no degradation in service or Visit Cycle Time, avoiding over-building. Prevented further development of an initial ED design that would have resulted in queuing of up to 11 ambulances at one time. Increasing Revenue Increased a clinic’s revenue per exam room by 50%. Transformed 21,000 non-value added nursing hours into direct patient care. Reducing Visit Cycle Time & Length of Stay Reduced clinic Visit Cycle Time by 30%. Reduced ED Length Of Stay by 40%. Reducing Turn-Around-Time Reduced Turn Around Time of labs by 40%.

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Predictive Analytics


Integrated Design Multidisciplinary metrics. By testing multiple metrics at the same time, Predictive analytics saves you time, resources, space and money.

Page incorporates architectural space, medical equipment, IT and clinical communication technologies, staffing models, clinical processes, and patient arrival patterns into a realistic model of your facility. Using this data, we consider a multitude of alternatives to determine the optimal solution to meet your goals. Applying data in a systematic, quantitative way, we design solutions that create leaner, more effective facilities – allowing you to invest confidently in your future.

Medical Equipment

Communication Technology

Architectural Space

Staffing Model

Scheduling Protocols

Clinical Processes

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The Process Simulating for the best solution. There are five steps to finding your best solution. The simulation process is repeated until all options are exhausted.

01 Project Initiation

During this stage, we work with clients to determine the clinical and financial performance criteria that will be used to measure the project’s success.

02 Data Collection

Data is collected to document the current state of the facility. Page employs four strategies to accomplish this, including gathering empirical data from the Electronic Health Record, manual patient tracking techniques, input from staff, or real time location-based service technology.

03 Defining Alternatives

When creating alternatives, Page considers architectural space, medical equipment, IT and clinical communications technology, staffing models, scheduling protocols, and detailed definitions of clinical processes.

04 Simulating & Evaluating Alternatives

Page simulates batches of alternatives, assesses the results, refines the direction and scope of the next batch based upon the results, and continues this iterative process until all options have been exhausted.

Simulation Process

Alternatives

   Optimal Solution

05 Optimal Solution

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All of the results of Step 04 are rank-ordered based on performance, using the clients criteria from Step 01, and the best performing, most cost-effective and least disruptive solution is identified and presented to the client.

Predictive Analytics


Data Collection Multiple options for different needs. Page will work within your budget to come up with the best solution for tracking current state performance information.

Data collection is an important part of defining your facility’s current state processes, which are then used as a beginning point from which to develop improved future state processes. The following are examples of five different techniques to accomplish this task.

Anecdotal Tracking Easy and less inexpensive but can be less accurate and takes staff time away from patient care.

01 Process Flow Spreadsheets

Often the easiest method for clients who do not have an Electronic Health Record source. Since most people are familiar with spreadsheets, process flow spreadsheets are easily developed, shared and modified.

02 Process Flow Diagrams

Creating a flow diagram that defines patient or staff journeys can work as an alternative to the spreadsheet tool described above though it is sometimes more difficult for clients to revise the diagrams.

Empirical Tracking This method is the most accurate and least intrusive to patient care but two technologies can be expensive.

03 Electronic Health Record (EHR)

This type of data collection is more accurate and the results flow easily into the simulation program, though because of lax implementation it may not contain reliable data for process analysis purposes. When the data is usable, this is the least expensive and quickest technique.

04 Manual Tracking Form

This type of data collection is accurate and flows easily into the simulation program. Providers complete these forms which track the patient journey through the clinic.

05 Real Time Location Based Services (RTLS)

This technique is the most accurate and least intrusive to clinical work. Its results are easily moved directly into the simulation program, however, it is also the most expensive method.

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Deliverables Customized Solutions No preconceptions. What will your optimal solution include? It might incorporate adjustments to space, or to equipment, or to staffing, or to processes —or it might be a blend of some or all of these. We let the facts and data guide us, without any bias from any facet of the design team. Utilizing predictive analytics and simulation, we identify the least disruptive, most economical blend of these elements that achieve your objectives. What will your deliverables include? We provide the most comprehensive and integrated “concept of operations� available in the marketplace today. Included are floor plans, medical equipment plans, IT and clinical communication technology plans, staffing models, scheduling protocols and detailed clinical process definitions. All of these are engineered and optimized to work in balanced concert with each other to deliver precisely the performance you desire.

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Predictive Analytics


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