Page 1

perspectives

february 2010

Macro Analysis Europe runs into some turbulence Asset Allocation Risk of emerging markets overheating? Product Focus Natixis Actions Global Emergents

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4

Macroeconomic Analysis

6

Asset Allocation

7

Market Data

8

Overview of our international product range

Publishing Director: F. Lenoir Editorial Committee: T. Benoist, S. de Quelen, Ph. Le Mée, R. Monclar, F. Nicolas, Ch. Point, Ch. Lacoste, JP. Snel, B. Thiery, Ph. Waechter Coordination - Writing: N. Clémot Head of design: F. Dupertuys Contributors: L. Faure, M. Louvrier, C. Metz, P. Radot

11 Product Focus 13 News

Legal information This material has been prepared by Natixis Asset Management, a subsidiary of Natixis Global Asset Management. Natixis Asset Management is a French asset manager authorized by the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (Code 1200009, Agreement No. GP90009) and licensed to provide investment management services in the EU.

The funds mentioned in this material are not registered or authorized in all jurisdictions and may not be available to all investors in a jurisdiction. Natixis International Funds (Lux) I is organized as an investment company with variable capital under the laws of the Grand-Duchy of Luxembourg and is authorized by the financial regulator (the CSSF) as a UCITS. Natixis Global Associates S.A. is the management company of the Fund. The provision of this material does not constitute an offer of services, nor an offer or recommendation to purchase or sell shares in any financial instrument. Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks and expenses of any investment carefully before investing. In the case of a fund, these can be found in the fund’s prospectus or offering memorandum, which should be read carefully before investing. If you would like further information about any of the funds, including charges, expenses and risk considerations, contact the sender of this document or your financial advisor for a free prospectus, simplified prospectus, copy of the Articles of Incorporation, the semi and annual reports, and/ or other materials and translations that are relevant to your jurisdiction. Any reference to a ranking, a rating or an award provides no guarantee for future performance results and is not constant over time. Performance data shown represents past performance and is not a guarantee of future results. More recent performance may be lower or higher. Principal value and returns fluctuate over time (including as a result of currency fluctuations) so that shares, when redeemed, will be worth more or less than their original cost. Performance shown is net of all fund expenses, but does not include the effect of sales charges or correspondent bank charges, and assumes reinvestment of distributions. If such charges were included, returns would have been lower. The analyses, opinions, and certain of the investment themes and processes referenced herein represent the views of the author(s) referenced as of the date indicated. These, as well as the portfolio holdings and characteristics shown, are subject to change. There can be no assurance that developments will transpire as may be forecasted in this material. In certain cases, this material is provided by one of the Natixis Global Associates entities listed below, each of which is a subsidiary of Natixis Global Asset Management, the holding company of a diverse

line-up of specialised investment management and distribution entities worldwide, each of which conduct any regulated activities only in and from the jurisdictions in which they are licensed or authorized. Their services and the products they manage are not available to all investors in all jurisdictions. Although Natixis Global Associates believes that the information provided in this material to be reliable, it does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, or completeness of such information. • In the UK: This material is provided by Natixis Global Associates UK Limited which is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Services Authority (register no. 190258). This material is intended to be communicated to and/or directed at persons (1) in the United Kingdom, and should not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell securities in any other jurisdiction than the United Kingdom; and (2) who are authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000; or are high net worth businesses with called up share capital or net assets of at least £5 million or in the case of a trust assets of at least £10 million; or any other person to whom the material may otherwise lawfully be distributed in accordance with the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 or the (Promotion of Collective Investment Schemes) (Exemption) Order 2001 (the "Intended Recipients"). To the extent that this material is issued by Natixis Global Associates UK Limited, the fund, services or opinions referred to in this material are only available to the Intended Recipients and this material must not be relied nor acted upon by any other persons. Registered Address: Cannon Bridge House, 25 Dowgate Hill, London, EC4R 2YA. • In the E.U. (outside of Germany, Austria, Italy and the UK): This material is provided to the investment service provider or other Professional Client or Qualified Investor who has requested it by Natixis Global Associates S.A. or its branch office in France, Natixis Global Associates International. Natixis Global Associates S.A. is a Luxembourg management company that is authorized by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier and is incorporated under Luxembourg laws and registered under n. B 115843. Registered office of Natixis Global Associates S.A.: 2-8 Avenue Charles de Gaulle, L-1653 Luxembourg, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg. Registered

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Contacts Prospectus and sales documents required for subscription are available on demand: n Natixis Global Associates (Operations): n or CACEIS Luxembourg (Prime Transfer Agent): n or Natixis Asset Management (Clients servicing): Cover picture: © dubassy / Shutterstock

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Editorial

The interaction between developed and emerging countries will be a key factor in 2010. The latter have effectively returned to high activity levels whereas the developed countries are still being significantly impacted by the recession. The challenge is crucial for Europe where there are still no signs of a broad-based recovery. According to Philippe Waechter, Chief Economist, the rules in force within the euro zone are functioning less efficiently than in the past. They need to be redefined in order to reinforce the euro’s institutional construction. The opportunities thus seem to lie on the side of the emerging countries which are differentiating themselves with a real growth momentum and a commitment to the implementation of stimulus packages. For Pierre Radot and Christoph Metz, co-portfolio managers of the Natixis Actions Global Emergents fund, the emerging countries benefit from an intact growth potential and attractive valuations which point to some attractive medium-long term investment opportunities. Some question marks nonetheless remain on the emerging countries according to Franck Nicolas, Head of Global Asset Allocation & ALM, such as fears of overheating in China or the current credit tightening measures which could rapidly lead to increases in interest rates. As usual you can also find the summary of Natixis Asset Management’s international offer [pages 8 to 10 of this edition]. Enjoy reading it,

Philippe zaouati

Head of Business Development

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February 2010

3


Macro Analysis Europe runs into some turbulence One of the lessons of this recession is that the euro zone has lost some of its homogeneity. The rules in force until now are functioning less effectively than in the past. They will need to be redefined in order to reinforce the institutional construction of the euro when faced with adverse circumstances.

n Differences within the euro zone

The differences can be discerned via two simple economic indicators which shed light on the prolonged impact of the recession on the euro zone's economic environment. The first indicator is economic: the unemployment rate During the cycle of the early 2000s, we witnessed a convergence in the unemployment rate profiles of the countries in the zone. While the gaps between countries were significantly reduced, this is no longer the case. In Spain and in Ireland, the downturn in the employment market is very pronounced. This divergence reflects the differences between European growth rates. This factor is, nonetheless, key since the complementarity of the economic situations in Europe and the density of trading between countries in the zone ordinarily create a positive dynamic which is favorable to growth. Currently, the inability to re-establish a sound internal dynamic for each country is delaying and penalizing the return to a more favorable overall situation.

Philippe Waechter Chief Economist of Natixis Asset Management

4

February 2010

The second indicator is financial: the trend in 10-year bond yields within the euro zone Until the summer of 2008, the yield spreads between the countries in the zone were low and relatively stable. The euro zone itself provided credibility and protection, particularly to the weakest countries. The latter effectively enjoyed interest rates approaching those of the ‘virtuous’ countries. With the recession, this situation has radically changed. On average, spreads have widened with Greek and Irish interest rates amongst the highest. Since late 2009, we have seen a significant upwards move for Greece and, of late, a rapid increase in Portuguese interest rates. Two comments: • We thus note a marked upward move in this indicator in Greece and Portugal linked to revised budget deficit forecasts.

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This phenomenon was subsequently accentuated in Greece by the downgrade(1) in the sovereign debt rating to BBB+. • Note, nonetheless, that these moves are targeted: the perception is thus not one of a generalized, systemic risk. In late November, when a risk emerged in Dubaï, the risk premia represented by CDSs(2) generally increased in countries considered to be fragile. This reflected an overall concern. In the current situation, Greek and Portuguese CDS(2) spreads are widening without contagion, effectively reflecting specific concerns.

n The analysis The ‘fragile’ countries have enjoyed catch-up phases in living standards towards the more advanced European countries, as seen in sustained internal growth rates underpinned by low real interest rates. For these 'catch-up' countries, the inflation rate was slightly above the European average, while interest rates were very close to those of the most advanced countries. Their low real interest rates encouraged households to spend rather than to save and even take on debt. This led to a marked deterioration in the current accounts of each of these countries, reflected in acceleration in imports. If we were moving within a system similar to the European Monetary System, the weaker countries would devalue their currencies, as might have been the case in 1992. Currently, such a mechanism is not possible. Which means that behavior now needs to change, since the euro zone no longer enables one country to 'save itself' to the detriment of others (e.g. via a devaluation in its currency). Each of the weaker countries must modify its behavior in order to rectify its own imbalances, notably in instilling more rigor at fiscal level.

n What does this change? The shock suffered by the euro zone, the


resulting differences and the questions raised all suggest that its functioning has room for improvement. It must notably take into account behavior which is not systematically cooperative. A wide-scale adjustment in public finances is potentially more costly than a devaluation and it is understandable that individual countries ‘balk’ at the required efforts. Everyone is hoping that its cost will be borne collectively. While such an approach was not particularly easy within the EMS, it is possible currently since everyone wants to continue to benefit from the protective nature of the euro. It is worth remembering that the euro zone has strong credibility and significant institutional stability. All characteristics which attract investors and have notably enabled interest rates to remain very low over a prolonged period. No-one wants to exit this situation. It might currently be tempting for the ‘fragile’ countries to delay taking action on the expectation that other countries will do so in their place in order to continue to benefit from the euro’s protective characteristics. In such a configuration, the cost of the adjustment would be shared. In view of these considerations, it is unlikely

that a country would willingly choose to leave the euro zone. The cost incurred would be considerable since its currency would certainly be significantly devalued whereas its commitments are denominated in euros. The cost of servicing the departing country's debt would thus dramatically increase. While the euro zone is recognized for its institutional stability, the exit of any one country would spark investor distrust towards other European countries since, rightly or wrongly, they would expect other departures from the zone.

n Conclusion Thus, while the aim is shared, strategies may differ since the shocks undergone are not the same in nature for all the countries in the euro zone. This point is really new and highlights the differences in interest rates.

certain level of credit rating. In the current exceptional period, the ECB has slightly eased its constraint in accepting paper with lower ratings, enabling Greece to refinance its debt despite the downgrade in its credit rating(1). Going forward, if the ECB returns to its usual practice as proposed by Jean-Claude Trichet, the Greek banking system will no longer be able to refinance its debt directly since the BBB+ rating would be insufficient. The euro zone’s situation is such that it is forced to change and must define new rules which will enable improved efficiency. The current situation is effectively weakening the recovery in growth, creating uncertainty and causing malfunctions.

The euro zone will need to find solutions for handling this type of situation, something which can only add to its strength. For the moment it effectively has few means at its disposal to put pressure on any country which does not follow the collective rule. The only real lever resides in the refinancing of banking systems by the ECB which generally only accepts assets with a

(1) Greece’s credit rating was downgraded from A- à BBB+ by Fitch Ratings on 08/12/2009.

Written on 25/01/2010

(2) CDS or Credit Default Swap: derivatives market on issuer defaults.

Unemployment rate in the Euro zone 20 18 16

Euro zone Germany Belgium Spain Finland Portugal France Ireland Italy Netherlands Austria

14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: Datastream, Calculations: Natixis AM

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February 2010

5


Asset Allocation Risk of emerging markets overheating?

Franck nicolas

Head of Global Asset Allocation & ALM

In January, the upward trend that the equity markets seemed to be following was interrupted. At the start of the year, the markets had risen to their highest point for 52 weeks. The sharp drop since then is part of a more general reduction in appetite for risk. Several factors have begun to worry investors. There is concern regarding overheating in the Chinese economy, as the credit controls currently in place might lead to a rise in interest rates soon. Furthermore, the announcement of a plan to limit bank risk (which in its current version is particularly drastic) has had a negative impact on the share price of the banks that would be affected. Lastly, the possibility that Ben Bernanke might not be reappointed has made the markets nervous. The sudden emergence of these concerns has largely overshadowed the initial wave of quarterly results releases, which have been pretty good overall.

n Fixed income Natixis Asset Management’s scenario for the fixed income markets remains unchanged: it is premature to talk about a rise in interest rates in developed countries. At present, low inflation will mean the central banks remaining accommodative for the first half of the year. They will probably change the tone of their statements in the second half of the year if the recovery continues, although the effects of this will only start to be felt in 2011. As a result, Natixis Asset Management sees the fixed income market remaining stable in the near term, with more movement as expectations of monetary tightening change. Diversification will therefore be the key to this market, with some inflation-indexed bonds, credit instruments and emerging market debt in the portfolio.

n Equities The equity market correction related to the start of a tightening cycle often represents a buying opportunity. The situation was similar in 2004, when a long period of decline was followed by a period of rate stability. Equities fell by 6% over six weeks before a fresh rally got under way. For now, the allocation teams are using any market downturn to rebalance the equity portfolios. The portfolios managers are

keeping a close eye on any change in direct or indirect assistance (via strong emerging market growth) to developed countries. If this favorable environment is maintained, the macroeconomy and corporate results will continue their progress and should boost the markets. However, Natixis Asset Management currently prefers defensive equity investments, both in geographical (more US and less emerging countries) and sector (lower weighting for more cyclical sectors) terms.

n Currencies The key theme for the year seems to concern the falling yen. This currency is likely to be used again in carry trades as the US economy improves. For now, though, the yen is still considerably overvalued, which is hampering Japanese exporters.

n Commodities Natixis Asset Management has a relatively positive view on commodities, particularly industrial metals and agricultural commodities, since demand for energy is likely to remain low for several months, as it has at the end of every deep recession. Written on 27/01/2010

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February 2010

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Market Data As of 31/01/2010

France

Value

CAC 40 CAC Mid 100 IT CAC 20 SBF 120 SBF 250

3 739.46 6 181.06 3 263.21 2 739.31 2 675.75

Europe

Value

MSCI Europe Euro Stoxx 50 DAX Footsie

85.70 2 776.83 5 957.43 5 188.52

United-States

Value

Dow Jones S&P 500 Nasdaq Brent Crude Future

10 067.33 1 073.87 2 147.35 71.46

Asia Nikkeï Hong Kong Singapore Shanghaï

Value 10 198.04 20 121.99 2 745.35 242.63

World

Value

MSCI World

1 119.54

1 year

2010

25.74 % 42.19 % 20.76 % 27.39 % 27.54 %

-5.00 % 1.42 % -3.16 % -4.20 % -4.07 %

1 year

2010

28.09 % 24.13 % 29.28 % 25.04 %

-2.92 % -6.35 % -5.85 % -4.14 %

1 year

2010

25.83 % 30.03 % 45.44 % 55.75 %

-3.46 % -3.70 % -5.37 % -8.30 %

1 year

2010

27.57 % 51.54 % 57.19 % 94.44 %

-3.30 % -8.00 % -5.26 % -3.87 %

1 year

2010

33.46 %

-4.19 %

Money Market Rate Eonia Euribor 3 months Euribor 6 months Euribor 1 year Fed Funds

-0.947 -1.421 -1.21 -1.048 -0.11

2010 -0.084 -0.035 -0.028 -0.023 0.07

Fixed income Rate 5 years French Treasury Bond 5 years USTN 10 years French Treasury Bond 10 years USTN 30 years French Treasury Bond 30 years USTN

2.438 % 2.348 % 3.461 % 3.607 % 4.128 % 4.509 %

1 year -0.316 0.468 -0.345 0.764 -0.04 0.908

2010 -0.041 -0.338 -0.132 -0.226 -0.132 -0.121

Currencies Value Euro/Dollar Euro/Yen (100) Euro/Sterling Dollar/Yen

The monthly Index

1.390 126.006 0.867 90.655

1 year 8.46 % 9.48 % -2.41 % 0.94 %

2010 -3.12 % -5.66 % -2.37 % -2.62 %

Recent movements in the euro/dollar exchange rate

EUR/USD rateen zone euro Les tauxexchange d'intérêt

Against the euro, the dollar was still perceived recently as a weak currency that would continue to depreciate. However, the trend has reversed since the end of 2009, and the greenback has been strengthening against the euro. The explanation for this reversal appears to lie in the changes that have occurred in the euro-zone. The mixed picture in Europe (see pages 4-5) has two consequences for investors:

1.55 1.5 1.45 1.4

•E  urope now presents a particular risk because the configuration of the euro-zone has changed and the final outcome of this seems uncertain. Investors now perceive that there is a higher risk related to the euro, which has reduced its appeal. In general terms, one of the euro’s main advantages is the institutional stability attached to it. The recent doubts have affected the perception of investors on this point.

1.35 1.3 1.25 1.2 01/01/2009

0.326 % 0.665 % 0.966 % 1.225 % 0.120 %

1 year

01/04/2009

01/07/2009

01/10/2009

01/01/2010

Source: Datastream - Calculations: Natixis Asset Management

•S  econdly, the disparity between individual countries will probably affect the pace of growth in the euro-zone as a whole, delaying the moment when the ECB may increase interest rates, which is likely to be after the Federal Reserve makes its initial tightening move. These factors have reversed the trend in the dollar.

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February 2010

7


Overwiew of our international Product range Sub funds of the Natixis International F unds (Lux) I SICAV managed by Natixis AM These 7 sub funds of the Natixis International Funds (Lux) I SICAV reflect the key expertise of Natixis Asset Management

Natixis Euro Aggregate Plus Fund ic

e-Mér

elanné

eD Isabell

Benefit from a broad range of fixed income investment opportunities

• Investment universe: Mainly Euro denominated government or private issuers rated Investment / Diversifying fixed income assets • Benchmark: Barclays Capital Euro Aggregate • Minimum recommended investment period: 3 years

I, A I, D R, A R, D

EUR EUR EUR EUR

LU0161120547 LU0391146155 LU0161121271 LU0390502184

Natixis Global Inflation Fund tard

Po Sophie

Get the most out of diversification in inflationindexed bonds in a global universe

• Investment universe: International inflation-linked bonds • Benchmark: Barclays World Government Inflation linked all maturities Index hedged in euro • Minimum recommended investment period: 2 years • Risk Indicator: Target tracking-error ex ante of 2%(maximum)

H-I, A H-I, D I, A I, D R, A R, D

USD USD EUR EUR EUR EUR

LU0390502267 LU0390502341 LU0255251166 LU0255251596 LU0255251679 LU0255251752

Natixis Impact Euro Corporate Bond Fund rbier

e Ba hristin

C

Benefiting from the SRI expertise of Natixis Asset Management through a socially responsible portfolio of investment grade corporate bonds

• Investment universe: Mainly Euro-denominated investment grade debt securities issued by OECD as well as cash, money market instruments or other securities • Benchmark: Barclays Euro Aggregate Corporate Index • Minimum recommended investment period: 3 years

I, A I, D R, A R, D

EUR EUR EUR EUR

LU0155376477 LU0391146072 LU0155380156 LU0390502770

See the full prospectus which is the only legally binding document. See the Legal Information on page 2 for important information about the funds.

8

February 2010

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Natixis Emerging Europe Fund de

ndra u Belo

ie

Matth

éret

ois Th

Franç

Get the most out of the growth in the emerging European zone as part of a conviction management strategy I, A I, A I, D R, A R, A R, D

• Investment universe: Emerging Europe Equities • Benchmark: None (MSCI Emerging Europe Index: indicative only) • Minimum recommended investment period: 5 years • Risk Indicator: Target tracking-error ex ante between 6 and 10

EUR USD USD EUR USD USD

LU0147917792 LU0095830922 LU0095831060 LU0147918923 LU0084288595 LU0084288678

Natixis Europe Smaller Companies Fund Benefiting from the potential of European Small & Midcaps within the scope of a conviction-based strategy

pers

Cuy Thierry

• Investment universe: European Small and Mid Equities •B  enchmark: None (MSCI Europe Small Caps NDR: indicative only) • Minimum recommended investment period: 5 years • Risk Indicator: Target tracking-error ex ante between 4 and 7 (indicative)

I, A I, D R, A R, D

EUR EUR EUR EUR

LU0095827381 LU0095828272 LU0064070138 LU0064070211

Natixis Euro Value Fund Tapping the potential of Eurozone value equities within the scope of a conviction-based strategy

re

Lefèv Olivier

• Investment universe: Eurozone Equities • Benchmark: None (MSCI EMU NDR: indicative only) • Minimum recommended investment period: 5 years

I, A I, D R, A R, D

EUR EUR EUR EUR

LU0389329003 LU0389329185 LU0389329342 LU0389329425

Natixis Impact Europe Equities Fund Active and responsible investing to maximise SRI value added

breton

ine Le Christ

• Investment universe: European equities • Benchmark: None (MSCI Europe: indicative only) • Minimum recommended investment period: 3 years

I, C I, D R, C R, D

EUR EUR EUR EUR

LU0095828512 LU0095828785 LU0066549592 LU0066549832

See the full prospectus which is the only legally binding document. See the Legal Information on page 2 for important information about the funds.

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February 2010

9


Overwiew of our international Product range Natixis Asset Management's funds offer a range of expertise and innovation 28 complementary funds covering all asset classes. This quarterly reviewed list of funds aims to highlight Natixis Asset Management's most innovative products and its wide range of expertise.

Money Market

Asset class Fund name

Share and ISIN code

Natixis Cash Première

C: FR0010157834

Natixis Cash A1P1

C: FR0010322438

Natixis Impact Cash

C: FR0010008003

Natixis Cash Eonia

I: FR0010298943

Natixis Tréso Euribor 3 Mois

FR0000293714

Natixis Tréso Plus 3 Mois

FR0007075122

Fixed income

Natixis Dollar Reserve

FR0007003348

Natixis Souverains Euro 1-3

I: FR0010208421

Natixis Souverains Euro 3-5

FR0010036400

Natixis Souverains Euro 5-7

FR0010201699

Natixis Souverains Euro 7-10

FR0000449092

Natixis Souverains Euro

RC: FR0000003196

Natixis Inflation Euro

I: FR0007475413

R: FR0010170944

Natixis Obli Opportunités 12 Mois

I : FR0010796391

R : FR0007493226

Natixis Crédit Euro

I: FR0010171108

R: FR0010690966

I: FR0010658963

R: FR0010660142

Equities

Natixis Convertibles Euro

BalanAltern. Absolute return ced

R: FR0007084926

Natixis Convertibles Europe

C: FR0010171678

Natixis Actions Europe Dividende

IC: FR0010582478

RC: FR0010573782

Natixis Impact Life Quality

C: FR0010410274

E: FR0010458539

Natixis Actions Europe Convictions

C: FR0010346429

Natixis Actions US Value

I: FR0010256412

R: FR0010236893

Natixis Actions US Growth

I: FR0010256404

R: FR0010236877

Sonic Monde

I: FR0010555797

RC: FR0000993446

Natixis Actions Global Emergents

I: FR0010711051

R: FR0010706960

Natixis Absolute Quant Bond 18 M

I: FR0010232348

R: FR0010249219

IC: FR0010654921

RC: FR0010657924

IC, $: LU0161071237

IC, €: LU0161073951

Natixis Absolute Swap Arbitrage Natixis Constellation European Event Natixis Absolute Multistratégies

IC: FR0010688812

These funds are authorized for sale in France and possibly in other country(ies) where their sale is not contrary to local legislation. Please refer to legal information of this material.

10

February 2010

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Product Focus Natixis Actions Global Emergents Natixis Asset Management launches Natixis Actions Global Emergents, a fund that is allocated geographically to take advantage of the growth potential of emerging markets

Interview with… Pierre Radot and Christoph Metz, co-portfolios managers of the Natixis Actions Global Emergents fund What are the main advantages of emerging countries at present? The growth potential of emerging countries remains intact, and the valuations are still attractive. Moreover, the structural changes that have taken place in the last decade have significantly improved their economic fundamentals. In addition, the recession triggered by the crisis has been short-lived in most of the emerging world. As a result, GDP growth forecasts for 2010 point to a sharp acceleration versus 2009. However, the equity markets of the emerging countries remain undervalued in terms of P/E*, and therefore offer excellent medium- to long-term investment opportunities.

Which countries do you favor? We currently favor Mexico, for two reasons: first, it will be the main beneficiary of a recovery in activity in the US, and second, its currency is strongly undervalued at the moment. In Asia, South Korea and Taiwan seem particularly well positioned given their ability to capture the vitality of global growth. These two countries, which are very open to international commerce, will continue to benefit from both China’s strong growth and the economic recovery in the developed countries. In addition, we expect Asian currencies to appreciate against the euro. Written on 20/01/2010

* The P/E (or price earnings ratio of a stock) is the ratio of the share price to earnings per share. It is also known as the earnings multiple, and reflects three key factors: the future earnings growth of the company concerned, the risk attached to these forecasts and the level of interest rates.

Benefit from the dynamic universe of emerging markets Over the last few years, the emerging countries have become major economic players: -their annual growth in GDP has been greater than 6% over the last six years, compared to an average of 3% for the advanced economies(1) ; -they should vigorously emerge from the crisis, with GDP estimated at 5.5% in 2010 against 2.7% for the developed countries(2). Natixis Actions Global Emergents aims at taking advantage of this investing in emerging equities which offer attractive valuations. The outperform its benchmark index, the MSCI Emerging Markets(3) with reinvested, denominated in euros, over a recommended investment years.

dynamism by fund aims to net dividends period of five

In the portfolio, the management team implements a fundamental top-down approach based on a country allocation managed within a precise risk budget.

Choice an active management of country allocation Composed by 22 countries(3), the investment universe of Natixis Actions Global Emergents is characterized by its diversity because of the very contrasting levels of development and natures of the countries that compose it. This is why the fund has a management process based on active country allocation, which is applied in three key stages: • the “Emerging equities” Allocation Committee The Committee's approach is purely to allocate by country. It identifies the best country opportunities according to three analysis criteria: macroeconomic environment, the potential for appreciation and market conditions. • portfolio construction The quantitative optimization performed by the committee results from an assetallocation model (of the Black-Litterman type), which determines the relative weight of each country, while optimizing geographical diversification. • active portfolio management and risk control Exposure to emerging markets is through liquid investment instruments allowing great responsiveness while limiting transaction costs: emerging country, regional and/or global ETFs(4) and futures on emerging countries (for the most liquid markets).

(1) Source: World Economic Outlook 2008. (2) Source: JP Morgan, November 2009. (3) 22 countries are present in the MSCI Emerging Markets index calculated in euros (January 2010): Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Czech Republic, Egypt, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Israel, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Russia, South Africa, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey. (4) Exchange Traded Funds: quoted fund whose objective is to replicate an index, also known as a "tracker".

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February 2010

11


Focus A management team and a Committee specialized in the "emerging equities" asset class

The "Emerging Equities" Allocation Committee: country assessment criteria Macroeconomic environment Scenario

+

Valuation

Market conditions

Fundamentals +

-

-

Conditions

+

Evolution of the macroeconomic indicators Impact of monetary policies Anticipation on the currencies

Analysis of the evolution of the forecasts of profits Study of the indicators of valuation of equity markets

Analysis investors positioning Analyzes technique of stock exchange indices

Trends

Attractiveness

Momentum

Country rating

+ Overweighted

= Neutral

The portfolio management team of Natixis Actions Global Emergents is supported by the “emerging equities” Allocation Committee composed of five experts: an economist specialized in the emerging countries, a strategist and three allocation managers.

-

Sub-weighted

Fund features I Share

R Share

Management company

Natixis Asset Management

Legal form

French Mutual Fund (FCP)

UCITS compliant

Yes

Inception date

23 March 2009

Accounting currency

EUR

ISIN/Allocation of income

FR0010711051 / Accumulation

FR0010706960 / Accumulation

1.20%*

2.00%*

not paid to the fund

None

3%**

paid to the fund

None

None

not paid to the fund

None

None

paid to the fund

None

None

Maximum operating and management fees including taxes Maximum subscription fee

Maximum redemption fee

Performance fee including taxes Minimum share fraction Minimum initial / subsequent subscription Initial net asset value

20% of the performance above the index MSCI Emerging Markets One hundredth

One hundredth

€ 50,000 / 1 Share

None / None

€ 50,000

€ 100

Net asset value calculation

Daily

Cut-off time

D 12,30 pm

* Basis: net assets. ** Excluding any exoneration.

12

February 2010

www.am.natixis.com


News Products news Value Expertise In a scenario of a sustained rise in equity markets driven by expectations of a gradual economic recovery and an acceleration in the earnings cycle, value-based fund management should perform well in the first half of 2010. In the second half of the year, the direction in the markets looks, however, less clear when faced with the uncertainties weighing on the macroeconomic conditions. Focus on the Natixis Euro Value Fund and Natixis Actions Europe Dividende, two Natixis Asset Management funds which are likely to offer an effective response to these different equity market configurations.

n Natixis Euro Value Fund(1): positioned for the expected rise in equity markets during the first half

The first half of 2010 could prove particularly favorable to companies having engaged in significant restructuring during the recession. Their cost base should enable them to leverage any upturn in revenues and their discounted valuation could make them sensitive to a market regaining an appetite for risk. Natixis Euro Value Fund specifically seeks to tap into the potential of Eurozone value equities(2): it aims to outperform its reference index, the MSCI EMU DNR. The fund management team focuses on stocks deemed to be discounted or undervalued by the market in relation to their intrinsic value or equilibrium price and implements a conviction-based management approach in arbitraging between the different segments of the value style. (NB: in the second half of the year, restructuring and merger/ acquisition transactions may constitute a new source of opportunities for the fund)

n Natixis Actions Europe Dividende: selectivity and high quality for the second half

The level, sustainability and growth prospects of dividends are key to stock selection within the context of the less directional market trend expected for the second half. Investors could look for microeconomic opportunities and high-quality companies combining visibility with attractive valuations.

2010 Forecast The Natixis Asset Management’s client workshop dedicated to the 2010 Forecast brought together 300 participants around the question “2010: the start of a new cycle?” in January, Macroeconomics, asset allocation and key investment strategies: the scenarios adopted by Natixis Asset Management for 2010 were explained by Philippe Waechter, Chief Economist, Franck Nicolas, Head of Global Asset Allocation & ALM, and Dominique Sabassier, Deputy CEO and Chief Investment Officer. The Natixis Asset Management experts highlighted one key take-away from this recession: the 'victory' of the emerging countries and an ongoing shift in the balance of power globally.

Read the "Natixis Asset Management 2010 Forecast" Markets Flash at: www.am.natixis.com

Copenhagen: the aftermath? Find the expert analysis of Natixis Asset Management's Climate Change* Scientific Committee on the Copenhagen Summit. At a lunch-debate in January attended by the first investors in the Impact Funds Climate Change fund, Pierre Radanne, Committee member and energy efficiency specialist, explained that climate change is the first indivisible planetary challenge with "obligatory" solidarity. This is what makes it different: "The climate is indivisible and shared. The negotiations have occurred on a scale that is until now unprecedented in the context of international relationships, and are associated with a countdown that is vital according to scientists. We effectively need to contain global warming to below 2°C, which is to say halve our greenhouse gas emissions between now and 2050..." According to Carlos Joly, President of the Climate Change Scientific Committee, a step forward has already been taken in raising international awareness of the climate change issue and its impacts. This awareness now needs to be translated into public and political action as he explains in his article "Copenhagen: revolution or status quo?"

This is what the Natixis Actions Europe Dividende fund can offer in seeking to tap into the potential of European highdividend shares within the scope of a conviction-based strategy(2). The fund management team focuses on shares deemed to be undervalued by the market (value style) and characterized by high cash flow generation enabling the payment of regular high and growing dividends (high-dividend style). Regular dividend payouts are effectively a sign of a financially sound company over the long term. The chosen companies thus combine attractive growth prospects and a high yield (more than a 100bp premium to the market) with a sound financial situation and an accessible valuation. (1) Subfund of the Natixis International Funds (Lux) I SICAV. (2) A minimum recommended investment period of 5 years.

 or more information: www.am.natixis.com F (Our Products section)

Access this analysis at www.am.natixis.com/climatechange/eng/

*The Climate Change Scientific Committee has been set up by Natixis Asset Management in order to enlighten the Natixis Asset Management teams on the challenges of climate change.

www.am.natixis.com

February 2010

13


Perspectives is a Natixis Asset Management's publication - Natixis Asset Management - Communications Department - Business Development communication-nam@am.natixis.fr - February 2010.

Natixis Asset Management Limited Liability Company Share Capital 50 434 604,76 € RCS Number 329 450 738 Paris Regulated by AMF under n°GP 90-009 Registered Office: 21 quai d’Austerlitz 75 634 Paris, Cedex 13 - Tel. +33 1 78 40 80 00 www.am.natixis.com Natixis Multimanager Subsidiary of Natixis Asset Management A French simplified joint-stock company Share Capital of 7 536 452 euros - RCS Number 438 284 192 Paris Regulated by AMF under n°GP 01-054 Registered Office: 21 quai d’Austerlitz 75 634 Paris, Cedex 13 - Tel. +33 1 78 40 32 00 www.multimanager.natixis.com

perspectives 02.2010 EN  

perspectives 02.2010 EN

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