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GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS 2018 EDITION

© 2017 Megatrends Watch Institute


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

2018 Edition

DEMOGRAPHIC Megatrends

© 2017 Megatrends Watch Institute


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

DEMOGRAPHIC MEGATRENDS

Global Ageing Societies

2018 Edition

What will our societies look like in 2020 ? Ageing World: By 2020, the number of people aged over 60 years will outnumber children younger than 5 years. Demographic Window of Opportunity = Working-Age Population (15 to 64) > Dependent Population (Elderly + Youth)

EUROPE 1960-2000 Window closed

JAPAN 1955-1995 Window closed

UNITED STATES 1970-2020 Window closing

CHINA 1990-2025 Window open

Proportion of Population Aged 60-plus (%)

INDIA 2015-2050 Window opening

Latin America 2000-2040 Window open AFRICA 2020-2070 Window opening

2015 Sources: United Nations Population Division (2015 Revision), Global AgeWatch Index (2015) Megatrends Watch Institute developed this presentation for informational purposes. All content and graphics used in this presentation are property of their respective owners.


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

2018 Edition

ECONOMIC Megatrends

© 2017 Megatrends Watch Institute


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

ECONOMIC MEGATRENDS

Global Economic Shifts

2018 Edition

Current Economic Cycle Economic supercycles, in percentage of GDP growth

World Major Economies Growth

Global GDP Share

Real GDP growth rates, in percentage 2016-2020 annual average

Share of world GDP (PPPs), in percentage of world GDP

Sources: Standard Chartered Research (The Super Cycle Report), Angus Maddison, A.T.Kearney, PwC, International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook (2016) Megatrends Watch Institute developed this presentation for informational purposes. All content and graphics used in this presentation are property of their respective owners.


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

2018 Edition

GEOPOLITICAL Megatrends

© 2017 Megatrends Watch Institute


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

GEOPOLITICAL MEGATRENDS

Global Social Inequalities

2018 Edition

Global Wealth Distribution ― in PPP constant 2005 international dollars 20% of the world’s

85% of the global

population

wealth

20%

11%

20%

3%

20%

Global Inequality ― Gini coeffficients, percent of change in inequality 1980-2010

40%

2,800 billion people living on less than $2 a day

20%

2% 1%

Global Unemployment ― Trends and Projections, 2002-2017

Inequally rich and equally poor

Middle Class ― in % of U.S. aggregate household income

A dystopian society is emerging World's richest 1 percent control more than half of the global wealth ... Western middle classes are shrinking Global Youth Unemployment: 75 million (13%) This picture depicts high-rise luxury apartments which are separated by a wall from the slum known Paraisópolis or ‘Paradise City’, the second-largest favela in Sao Paulo, Brazil. According to Forbes, the world’s 8 richest people own assets with the same value as those owned by the poorer half of the world’s population. Credit: Tuca Vieira

Sources: Pew Research Center, International Labour Organization, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook (2015)

Megatrends Watch Institute developed this presentation for informational purposes. All content and graphics used in this presentation are property of their respective owners.


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

2018 Edition

TECHNOLOGICAL Megatrends

© 2017 Megatrends Watch Institute


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

TECHNOLOGICAL MEGATRENDS

Global Hyper Connectivity

2018 Edition

Data Traffic, Earth2020 orbit

2016

Car Traffic, London

Air Traffic, Europe

Marine Traffic, Strait of Gibraltar

Megatrends Watch Institute developed this presentation for informational purposes. All content and graphics used in this presentation are property of their respective owners.


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

2018 Edition

ENVIRONMENTAL Megatrends

© 2017 Megatrends Watch Institute


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS

ENVIRONMENTAL MEGATRENDS

Global Ecological Overshoot

2018 Edition

Global Biocapacity and Ecological Footprint Demography ─ Global Population in billions of inhabitants

2010 1975

By scenarios of ecological footprints, in number of Earths needed

$7,000

Economy ─ GDP (PPP) per capita in 1990 International Dollars Deforestation ─ Hectares of forests lost per year

Scenario of moderate growth “business as usual” (to 2050)

$3,000 $2,000

Scenario of rapid transition to environmental sustainability

$1,000

Eco Debtors and Creditors

Global Biodiversity and Species Loss

Ecological footprint by countries, surplus or deficit

By groups of species, in percentage change in species population Population index = 100 in 1970

Ecological Debtor

1970 40 km 1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

Ecological Creditor

Sources: Angus Maddison, World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF), Global Footprint Network (GFN), United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Megatrends Watch Institute developed this presentation for informational purposes. All content and graphics used in this presentation are property of their respective owners.


GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS 2018 Edition

MEGATRENDSWATCH (2018 Edition) Unquestionably, the world is being transformed at breathtaking pace, fueled by a highly complex set of megatrends ―from shifting demographics, economic prospects, geopolitical tensions, and environmental issues to technological advances― which are deeply reconfiguring the way we live. Uncertainty has become the only new certainty. However, the world of tomorrow can be inferred based on the dynamics of all these megatrends. Today, CEOs and the top management shall seek to fully integrate megatrends research into their decision-making in order to better identify and assess the new potential opportunities and risks. With this in mind, and once a year, we elaborate an insightful presentation with the most relevant megatrends currently shaping the global scene.

 

MEGATRENDSWATCH (2018 Edition) Contents: Global Megatrends (25 topics) Deliverable: 100MB PowerPoint Document (full-color interactive slides, animated graphics) Fees: 6,000 € (VAT not included)

MEGATRENDS WATCH INSTITUTE

Decoding the Foreseeable Future Index of Contents (Full Presentation ‒ 2018 Edition) 1.

Demographic Shifts 1.1 Growing Population 1.2 Ageing Societies 1.3 Muslim World 1.4 Urbanization 1.5 Migration

2.

Economic Outlook 2.1 Economic Cycle 2.2 Sharing Economy 2.3 Emerging Markets 2.4 Global Middle Class 2.5 Digitization Disruption

3.

Geopolitical Issues 3.1 Social Inequality 3.2 Global Terrorism 3.3 Public Corruption 3.4 Digital Cybercrime 3.5 Global Imbalances

4.

Technological Advances 4.1 Computing Power 4.2 Hyper Connectivity 4.3 Artificial Intelligence 4.4 Autonomous Robotics 4.5 Human Augmentation

5.

Environmental Challenges 5.1 Ecological Overshoot 5.2 Resource Scarcity 5.3 Energy Transition 5.4 Climate Change 5.5 Contamination

Megatrends Watch Institute developed this presentation for informational All content graphics used in this presentation are property of their respective owners. © 2017purposes. Megatrends Watchand Institute


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