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The Red Roadmaster’s US Market Re-cap + Stock Talk ™

7 January 2010

Date Line: Hong Kong (SAR) China

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US equities finished flat as the broader market consolidated Monday's big gainer for the 2nd session running on light trade.

Re-cap of the US Stock Market Action for the session ending 6 January 2010 The DJIA gained 1.66 pts, or 0.02%, to close at 10,573.68, the S&P 500 added 0.62 pts, or 0.05%, to close at 1,138.05 and the NAS tallied up a minus 7.62, or 0.33%, to end the session at 2,310.89. The FOMC minutes showed that some members think more stimulus may be desirable, thus, putting pressure on the USD; it lost 0.2% against a basket of foreign currencies. Plus, the US Federal Reserve signaled that the economic recovery is not strong enough to raise interest rates off of Ground Zero. The USD's drop helped raised commodities prices. Crude Oil prices gained 1.7% to close at US$83.18 bbl. on a January 1 inventory increase of 1.33M bbls. Agricultural: Monsanto (MON 86.64, +1.63) shares made a multi-month high Wednesday (covered on Stock Talk yesterday). Advancing Sectors: Materials (+1.5%), Energy (+1.0%), Health Care (+0.5%), Utilities (+0.5%), Financials (+0.4%), Industrials (+0.2%) Declining Sectors: Telecom (-3.0%), Tech (-0.9%), Consumer Staples (-0.1%) Unchanged: Consumer Discretionary Volume and Breadth: trade was light on the NYSE, with 1.11B/shrs changing hands, below last year's estimated daily average of 2.18B/shrs, and on the NAS, about 2.28B/shrs traded. Advancers outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by 3 to 2, and on the NAS about 5 stocks fell for every 4 that rose. Stocks to Watch Today Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX), Bank of America (BAC), Caterpillar, Inc (CAT), and The Dow Chemical

Company (DOW).


Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) Up-Date 4

Last Look: December 8, 2009

January 7, 2009 Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr. Analyst Today, let’s look at Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX), the Golden name in the world’s Gold mining sector: from a Technical POV. The overall indications, after Friday’s (01-30-2009) market action, are: Neutral, near term Neutral, mid-term Neutral, and long term Neutral. The recent Candle Stick analysis is: Neutral

** Chart by:

Latest News and Opinion: Barrick Gold: Notice to Holders of Placer Dome 2.75% Convertible Senior Debentures 2

Wednesday’s Market Action

Close 41.76 + .87

Volume 12,331,900/shrs

There is one Gap open up on January 6, 2009 at: 41.10/41.14, support at 40.72, resistance at 42.05 and the 50 day exponential moving average is 40.61. This is Barrick Gold Corporation: In the world of mining, Barrick Gold is the Gold Standard. The company became the world's One # One Gold producer, ahead of Newmont Mining and AngloGold Ashanti, after acquiring Placer Dome in 2006. Barrick puts out 8MM ozs of Gold annually and has 125MM ozs in proven and probable reserves. About ½ of its production comes from the North American operations, which include Goldstrike, located in Nevada's Carlin Trend Gold producing region. Outside of North America Barrick has active projects in Tanzania, Peru, and Australia. On the Placer Dome acquisition came huge copper mining operations that brought Barrick more than 6B Lbs of Copper reserves. Note: In the metals mining sector demand is driven by industrial demand and economic growth, both domestic and foreign. A company’s profitability depends on volume and efficient operations. Large companies like Barrick can afford to discover and develop new deposits and increase reserves. Small companies typically own just one mine, limit exploration to that one property, and operate it as efficiently as possible. Gold mining today is highly automated; annual revenue per employee is approx. US$30 Gold and Politics On August 15, 1971, US President, Richard Nixon unilaterally canceled the Bretton Woods system and stopped the direct convertibility of the United States dollar to gold. As a result, the U.S. dollar was decoupled from Gold, and Gold prices could fluctuate like any other commodity. The data is limited when comparing the performance of Gold prices as they relate to the political affiliation of the President of the United States. There are some striking similarities between the performance of Gold prices during the great Gold Bull Market of the 1970s and today's Gold Bull Market and how the Presidential political affiliation was and is tilted. When Barack Obama, was elected the 44th President of the United States of America, some Gold Bugs became extremely happy because the biggest Gold Bull Market in modern history peaked during a political landscape that is similar to what we see today. Barrick Gold Corporation (HQ) Peter Munk, Chairman and acting CEO Brookfield Place, TD Canada Trust Tower, 161 Bay St., Ste. 3700 Toronto, Ontario M5J 2S1, Canada Phone: 416-861-9911 Fax: 416-861-2492 Toll Free: 800-720-7415


Bank of America (BAC) Up-date 61

Last Look: November 19, 2009

December 7, 2009

Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr. Analyst Today let’s look at Bank of America (BAC), the USA’s big brand bank, from a Technical POV. The overall indications, after Wednesday’s (January 6, 2010) market action are, overall Neutral: in the near term Neutral, mid-term Bullish , and long term Neutral: The recent Candle Stick analysis is: Neutral.

**Chart by:

Latest News and Opinion: Nationwide credit card issuers like Citi, BofA and Capital One will be hurt by the CARD Act, but how much? partner=yahootix


Wednesday’s Market Action Close


+ .19

Volume 205,126,400/shrs

There is one Gap open up on July 30, 2009 at 13.75/13.79, the near term resistance is 16.43, support at 16.28, and the 50 day (EMA) exponential moving average is 15.69. This is Bank of America (BAC): This Company has operations in 32 states, the District of Colombia and 44 foreign countries. In the US it has more than 6,000 retail banking centers and 18,500 ATM’s. Two key areas of business for this company are Global Consumer and Small Business Banking. Global Corporate and Investment Banking provide comprehensive financial solutions to their institutional clients. Global Wealth and Investment Management offers banking and investment services to more than 3 million individual and institutional customers World Wide. Recent Major developments have afforded the opportunity to purchase various marquee businesses such as Countrywide Financial, LaSalle Bank, U.S. Trust Corp, MBNA, and FleetBoston. Acquiring of these businesses will provide BAC a strong presence in their mutually respective core markets.

Competitive Landscape Leveraged loans, collateralized debt obligations and subprime-related assets will continue to be a source of uncertainty for the entire sector. Government intervention has played a role in strengthening bank balance sheets and consumer confidence. The government recently released a framework for the purchase of the aforementioned toxic assets. The industry is heavily tied to the extension of credit to credit worthy consumers. As deterioration in consumer based businesses continues in the US coupled with tighter lending standards, banks will find it difficult to identify lucrative investment opportunities.

Bank of America (HQ) Chairman and Chief Director: Walter E Massey 100 North Tryon St. 18th Fl Charlotte, NC 28255 United States Phone: 704-386-5681 Fax: 704-356-6699


Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) Up-date 17

Last Look: November 20, 2009

January 7, 2010 Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr. Analyst Let’s have a look at Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT), the World's #1 maker of earthmoving machinery and a leading supplier of agri. equipment, from a Technical POV. The overall indications, after Thursday’s (November 19, 2009) market action, are Neutral, in the near term Neutral, mid-term Bullish, and long term Neutral. The recent Candle Stick analysis is: Neutral

**Chart by:

Latest News and Opinion: Caterpillar, CIT Options Lure Bullish Traders

6 cm_ven=YAHOO&cm_cat=FREE&cm_ite=NA Wednesday’s Market Action Close 59.43

+. 18

Volume 4,718,700/shrs

There are five Gaps open up between July 20 and September 8, 2009 at 34.30/46.36 the near term resistance 60.56, support at 57.84, and the 50 day (EMA) exponential moving average is 57.11. This is Caterpillar, Inc (CAT): Caterpillar is the world's #1 maker of earthmoving machinery and a leading supplier of agricultural equipment. It makes construction, mining, and logging machinery; diesel and natural gas engines; industrial gas turbines; and electrical power-generation systems. Caterpillar has plants worldwide and sells its equipment globally via a network of 3,600 locations in 180 countries, offering rental services through more than 1,600 outlets worldwide, and it provides financing and insurance for its dealers and customers. Cat Power Ventures invests in power projects that use Caterpillar power generation equipment, and Caterpillar Logistics Services offers supply chain services

Industries Where Caterpillar Competes Construction, Mining & Other Heavy Equipment Manufacturing Agricultural Machinery Manufacturing Financial Services Insurance Transportation Services

Caterpillar, Inc. (HQ) Chairman and CEO James W. (Jim) Owens

100 NE Adams St. Peoria, IL 61629 United States Phone: 309-675-1000 Fax: 309-675-1182

Caterpillar Subsidiaries Caterpillar Logistics Services, Inc. Mitsubishi Caterpillar Forklift America Inc. Progress Rail Services Corporation


The Dow Chemical Company (DOW) Up-date 3

Last Look: July 29, 2009

January 7, 2009 Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr. Analyst Today let’s look at The Dow Chemical Company (DOW), the # 1 US chemical company, from a Technical POV. The overall indications, after Wednesday’s (January 6, 2010) market action, are Bullish: in the near term Neutral, mid-term Bullish, and long term Bullish. The recent Candle Stick analysis is: Very Bearish.

**Chart by:

Latest News and Opinion: Dow Chemical shares jump to new 52-week high; analysts say co. positioned to gain from rebound


Tuesday’s Market Action Close 31.02

+ .54

Volume 21,970,200/shrs

There is a Bearish Doji Star on January6, 2010 and one Gap open on January 6, 2010 at 30.53/30.78, the near term resistance is 30.66, support at 32.35, and the 50 day exponential moving average is 27.30. This is Dow Chemical Company (DOW): The Company is a world leader in the production of plastics, chemicals, hydrocarbons, and agrochemicals. It is the largest chemical company in the US and #2 in the world. The company is also is a leader in performance plastics, i.e., engineering plastics, polyurethanes, and materials for Dow Automotive. Other products include polyethylene resins for packaging, such as Styrofoam brand insulation, fibers, and films, as well as performance chemicals like acrylic acid. The company also manufactures commodity chemicals (chlor-alkalies and glycols) and agricultural chemicals. A unit, Hydrocarbons and Energy, makes petrochemicals. Dow owns 50% of silicone products maker Dow Corning. Dow Chemical's competition is in the industrial, agricultural and performance sectors of the Chemical Manufacturing Industry.

Competitive Landscape Demand depends on the overall strength of the US economy, because most industrial chemicals are used in the manufacture of more-complicated products like fibers, plastics, paints, and paper. The profitability of individual companies is closely linked to efficient operations, because most products are commodities. Big producers have large economies of scale in production, which is why some chemicals are made by just a handful of companies. Small companies can compete effectively by making specialized or highlypurified products. The industry is highly automated: average annual revenue per employee is over US$600,000.

Industries Where Dow Chemical Competes Chemicals Plastic & Fiber Manufacturing Agricultural Chemicals Basic and Intermediate Chemical & Petrochemical Manufacturing Paints, Coatings & Other Finishing Product Manufacturing Specialty Chemical Manufacturing

Chemical Manufacturing - Industrial Industry Forecast The output of US petrochemicals, industrial gas, synthetic dyes and pigments, and other basic chemicals is forecast to grow at an annual compounded rate of 3.9 % between 2008 and 2013. Dow Chemical (HQ)

Chairman, President & CEO Andrew N. Liveris

2030 Dow Center Midland, MI 48674 United States Phone: 989-636-1000 Fax: 989-636-1830 Toll Free: 800-258-2436

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