Moore’s Law Revisited: From Circuit Boards to App Stores Moore’s Law could hit a wall as soon as 2021¹, when some experts believe the ability to continue shrinking transistors to a significant degree will disappear, the 2015 International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors found.
The problem facing the semiconductor industry is fairly straightforward - with fabrication processes improving at a rapid pace, engineers are eventually going to run out of the physical space that would allow them to shrink transistors any further. Or, at least, it won’t be possible to keep up with Moore’s Law, which posits that the number of transistors within an integrated circuit will double every two years. While the computing world may begin running into some physical walls over the next five years, the spirit of constant innovation that underpins Moore’s Law isn’t going anywhere.
Moore’s Law and The Enterprise To a great extent, Moore’s Law has historically been an abstract concept for enterprise IT department. Basically, it served as a reminder that computing technologies are advancing so quickly that hardware can change substantially within just a two-year period. As such, IT teams needed to be ready for that change and avoid getting overly dependent on legacy systems that could no longer keep up with operational demands. Even if Moore’s Law ceases to be accurate on the transistor side of the technology world in the near
future, it’s implications for business teams aren’t going anywhere. Virtualization and cloud computing have redefined how users access new technology. Want to give a business team access to an advanced app to meet their operational demands? You may not need a stateof-the-art, end-user device, but you do need a cloud ecosystem that can handle the complex processing and storage requirements of the app. What’s more, you also need to ensure that endpoints are advanced enough to handle the architectural demands of modern apps and services - try running modern cloud apps on an old laptop with a single- or dual-core processor that can only handle 32-bit operating systems and you’ll quickly find that the app demands more than the device can usually handle. For businesses today, Moore’s Law may be declining from a hardware perspective, but the apps and systems users depend on are becoming more sophisticated at the same blistering pace that Moore’s Law once set forth for the transistor sector, and your organization must be able to keep up.
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SOLUTION BRIEF Moore’s Law Revisited: From Circuit Boards to App Stores(continued)
Dealing With Rapidly Evolving Application Requirements Businesses have been facing meteoric app advances for a few years now, and three strategies generally come through as primary responses:
1. Stick with Legacy Apps: Organizations that are not prepared to establish the compute environments needed to handle complex apps and are not able to train users for these solutions will often neglect innovation. The Result: A dependence on legacy apps that severely limit a company’s ability to adjust to shifting market demands, hindering its ability to meet customer expectations.
2. Make Half-Hearted Upgrades: In some cases, organizations will update to more advanced apps as they become available, but cut users off from more complex features in order to avoid the technology learning curve as solutions evolve at a breakneck pace. The Result: An illusion of progress that can cause processes to slow to a crawl and hold a business back over time.
3. Align Training and Technology: The businesses that are finding success keeping up with the blistering pace off innovation in the app sector are doing so by developing robust training capabilities to go alongside their app strategies. The Result: Empowered business and IT users who stay ahead of the curve and use new technology effectively as it emerges. Moore’s Law has shifted. The days of joking about devices being obsolete after a couple of months may be gone. However, an increased reliance on converged architectures that support complex apps has created an operational climate where end-user capabilities are advancing as quickly as hardware was improving in the heyday of Moore’s Law. Businesses can face a staggering challenge trying to equip their users with the tools needed to take full advantage of everything modern apps and services have to offer. Establishing formalized training programs to stay ahead of technology innovation curve is essential. With the cloud, mobile, social, virtualization, and big data movements all coming together at once, businesses must be prepared for technological change that happens at a relentless pace.
Learning Tree can offer personal or corporate training programs that enable organizations or individuals to keep up with new technology demands. Our courses cover a wide range of topics, offering the combination of depth and breadth you need to handle new challenges as they arise.
Sources: 1 http://www.semiconductors.org/news/2016/07/08/press_releases_2015/international_technology_roadmap_for_semiconductors_examines_next_15_years_of_chip_innovation/
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