Textboxes: The 2025 Global Landscape
iv
Comparison Between Mapping the Global Future: Report of the Intelligence Council’s 2020 Project and Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World
2
Long-Range Projections: A Cautionary Tale
5
Globalization at Risk with the 2008 Financial Crisis?
10
Science and Technology Leadership: A Test for the Emerging Powers
13
Latin America: Moderate Economic Growth, Continued Urban Violence
15
Women as Agents of Geopolitical Change
16
Higher Education Shaping the Global Landscape in 2025
17
The Impact of HIV/AIDS
23
Muslims in Western Europe
25
Timing is Everything
44
Winners and Losers in a Post-Petroleum World
46
Technology Breakthroughs by 2025
47
Two Climate Change Winners
52
Strategic Implications of an Opening Arctic
53
Sub-Saharan Africa: More Interactions with the World and More Troubled
56
A Non-nuclear Korea?
62
Middle East/North Africa: Economics Drives Change, but with Major Risk of Turmoil
65
Energy Security
66
Another Use of Nuclear Weapons?
67
Why al-Qa’ida’s “Terrorist Wave” Might Be Breaking Up
69
The Changing Character of Conflict
71
End of Ideology?
73
Potential Emergence of a Global Pandemic
75
Greater Regionalism—Plus or Minus for Global Governance?
83
Proliferating Identities and Growing Intolerance?
86
Future of Democracy: Backsliding More Likely than Another Wave
87
Anti-Americanism on the Wane?
95
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