Jehl & Kreilach Financial Management Presents:
WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE January 27, 2014
MORE HOMES MOVE IN DECEMBER
“Don’t let the past steal your present.” - Cherrie L. Moraga
Last month saw a 1.0% gain in existing home sales, a nice change for this key economic indicator after a few subpar months. Analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires anticipated sales improving 0.6%. The National Association of Realtors did revise November’s sales decline to 5.9% (it had been 4.3%).1,2
GAUGE OF NEAR-TERM PROSPECTS EDGES HIGHER
If you receive an inheritance, make sure your spouse understands your expectations for the money. Do you consider those assets yours to manage, or do you consider them joint assets?
WEEKLY RIDDLE You can make it and read about it today, and many classes are taught in it, but it is not part of the future. What is it? Last week’s riddle: Dave is at the hardware store to buy something for his house. Yesterday, he bought 1 for $1. The week before he bought 10 for $2 and his friend bought 100 for $3. Today he bought 907 for $3. If the prices haven’t changed, how is this possible? Last week’s answer: Dave and his friend have been buying house numbers. 907 is $3 because it costs $1 per numeral.
The Conference Board’s index of leading indicators – intended to assess economic prospects for the next 3-6 months – ticked up 0.1% for December. Additionally, the CB revised the November gain of the index from 0.8% to 1.0%.1
GOLD RALLY CONTINUES Futures advanced for a fifth straight week, settling Friday at $1,264.30 an ounce on the COMEX after rising 1.0% in 5 days, helped by a wave of disappointing economic news from overseas. The precious metal hasn’t had such a long winning streak since September 2012.3
STOCKS STAGE A MAJOR RETREAT Weak manufacturing data from China and an exit from emerging market currencies triggered a 2-day global selloff at the end of last week. The Argentine peso dropped 15% in 5 days, and the Russian ruble, South African rand and Brazil real also slumped. As a result, the DJIA had its poorest week in more than 2 years (-3.52%). The Nasdaq lost 1.65% for the week while the S&P 500 fell 2.63%. At the close Friday, here was where the big three stood: S&P, 1,790.29; DJIA, 15,879.11; NASDAQ, 4,128.17.4,5 THIS WEEK: Monday brings Q4 results from Apple and Caterpillar and the Census Bureau’s report on December new home sales. On Tuesday, investors will consider the Conference Board’s January consumer confidence index, the November CaseShiller home price index, December durable goods orders and earnings from Amgen, Ford Motor Co., Yahoo, Comcast, AT&T, Siemens and Pfizer. The earnings parade continues Wednesday with quarterly results from Dow Chemical, Novartis, Qualcomm, Boeing and Biogen – and the Federal Reserve makes a policy announcement. Thursday, NAR reports December pending home sales, the first federal estimate of Q4 growth appears, and earnings arrive from Amazon, Google, Banco Santander, Ericsson, LVMH, Royal Dutch Shell, H&M, Exxon Mobil, Visa, UPS and 3M. Friday, the Commerce Department issues its December personal spending report, the University of Michigan’s final January consumer sentiment index appears, and earnings arrive from Chevron, MasterCard and BBVA. % CHANGE
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Sources: USATODAY.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 1/24/14 Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 6,7,8,9
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Registered Representative and Principal, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research Inc., broker/dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC to residents of: IN, AK, FL, IA, IL, MI, MN, MO, TN, CT, CA, NY, NJ, SC, VA and OH. Advisory Services offered through Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor to residents of: IN, AK, FL, IA, IL, MI, MN, MO, TN, CT, CA, NY, NJ, SC, VA and OH. Jehl & Kreilach Financial Management and Cambridge are not affiliated. This material was prepared by MarketingLibrary.Net Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. Marketing Library.Net Inc. is not affiliated with any broker or brokerage firm that may be providing this information to you. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.
Citations. 1 - nasdaq.com/article/european-markets-pulled-back-on-weak-chinese-data--earnings-20140123-00763 [1/23/14] 2 - tinyurl.com/mav8xv6 [1/22/14] 3 - proactiveinvestors.com.au/companies/news/52211/gold-climbs-again-friday-longest-rally-since-september-2012-52211.html [1/24/14] 4 - thestreet.com/story/marketstory.html [1/24/14] 5 - businessweek.com/news/2014-01-24/argentina-to-ease-fx-controls-after-peso-fell-most-in-12-years [1/24/14] 6 - usatoday.com/money/markets/overview/ [1/24/14] 7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=1%2F24%2F12&x=0&y=0 [1/24/14] 7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=1%2F24%2F12&x=0&y=0 [1/24/14] 7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=1%2F24%2F13&x=0&y=0 [1/24/14] 7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=1%2F23%2F09&x=0&y=0 [1/24/14] 7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=1%2F23%2F09&x=0&y=0 [1/24/14] 7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=1%2F23%2F09&x=0&y=0 [1/24/14] 7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=1%2F23%2F04&x=0&y=0 [1/24/14] 7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=1%2F23%2F04&x=0&y=0 [1/24/14] 7 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=1%2F23%2F04&x=0&y=0 [1/24/14] 8 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [1/24/14] 9 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [1/24/14]