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PT. BALI SECURITIES

Market Update

Daily Investment Guide

6-Jan-10

IHSG

6-Jan-10

2,603.30 Down 1.98 (0.08%) 2,605.28 2,605.48 2,587.71 - 2,622.116 1,244.87 - 2,622.116

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 6-Jan-10

10,731.45

Nikkei 225

Up 49.62 (0.46%) 10,681.83 10,709.55 10,661.17 - 10,768.61 7,021.28 - 10,791.00

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 6-Jan-10

10,573.68 Up 1.66 (0.02%) 10,572.02 10,564.72 10,546.55 - 10,594.99 6,440.08 - 10,655.20

IDX Index List

Previous Close Change 2,605.28 2,603.30 -1.98 1,835.27 1,848.94 13.67 2,314.10 2,345.67 31.57 1.31 279.50 280.81 614.13 610.38 -3.75 686.67 680.96 -5.71 148.08 147.87 -0.21 1.58 739.11 740.69 310.93 307.89 -3.04 0.51 283.62 284.13 540.41 538.45 -1.96 514.27 513.21 -1.06 1.21 430.70 431.91 742.97 741.87 -1.10 2.06 389.23 391.29 631.08 630.07 -1.01 242.53 241.63 -0.90 211.35 210.56 -0.79 150.64 149.83 -0.82

10 Most Active Stocks

Stock BUMI ELTY VRNA CFIN BBTN ENRG ADRO DEWA IKAI BNBR

Previous 2,675 215 105 225 840 198 1,790 140 820 90

Daily Trading Summary

Buy/Sell

Buy

6-Jan-10

US Major DJIA Nasdaq S&P 500

Volume Value Sell Volume Value Foreign BUY Net Value

Close Change 2,750 75 225 10 89 -16 225 0 930 90 200 2 1,800 10 150 10 700 -120 89 -1

6-Jan-10

down up up up down down down up down up down down up down up down down down down

% -0.08 0.75 1.36 0.47 -0.61 -0.83 -0.14 0.21 -0.98 0.18 -0.36 -0.21 0.28 -0.15 0.53 -0.16 -0.37 -0.37 -0.54

6-Jan-10

up up down down up up up up down down

Stock AALI ADHI ADRO ANTM ASII BBCA BBRI BLTA BMRI BTEL BUMI CTRA ELTY HEXA INCO INDF

Close 4,946.80 3,277.14

22,416.67 17,697.90 10,731.45 3,271.57 2,930.49 1,705.32 8,327.62

% Change Up 7.300 (0.15%) Up 14.539 (0.45%) Up 137.09 (0.62%) Up 11.66 (0.07%) Up 49.62 (0.46%) Up 3.380 (0.10%) Up 10.21 (0.35%) Up 14.7 (0.87%) Up 116.22 (1.42%)

% Change Close Up 1.66 (0.02%) 10,573.68 2,301.09 Down 7.62 (0.33%) Up 0.62 (0.05%) 1,137.14

10,573.68 ANALYST RATING

DJIA

Index Value: Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: Index COMPOSITE AGRI MINING BASIC-IND MISC-IND CONSUMER PROPERTY INFRASTRUC FINANCE TRADE MANUFACTUR LQ45 JII MBX DBX KOMPAS100 BISNIS-27 PEFINDO25 SRI-KEHATI

Asia Pacific All Ordinaries Shanghai Composite Hang Seng BSE 30 Nikkei 225 NZSE 50 Straits Times Seoul Composite Taiwan Weighted

Rating 2.80 2.67 1.73 3.00 2.14 2.67 1.70 3.00 2.11 3.00 2.57 1.30 1.50 1.80 2.75 1.64

Rating: 1.0=buy 2.0=outperform Recommendation update 5-Jan-10 Hold 5-Jan-10 Hold 5-Jan-10 Outperform 5-Jan-10 Hold 5-Jan-10 Outperform 5-Jan-10 Hold 5-Jan-10 Outperform 5-Jan-10 Hold 5-Jan-10 Outperform 5-Jan-10 Hold 5-Jan-10 Hold 5-Jan-10 Buy 5-Jan-10 Buy 5-Jan-10 Outperform 5-Jan-10 Hold 5-Jan-10 Outperform

7-Jan-10

6-Jan-10

Europe ATX BEL-20 CAC 40 DAX AEX General OSE All Share Madrid General Stockholm General FTSE 100 6-Jan-10 Commodity US Coal Index OIL Nymex (Feb) Gold (Jan)

Stock INTP ISAT ITMG JSMR LSIP MEDC PGAS PTBA SGRO SMCB SMGR SMRA TINS TLKM UNSP UNTR

428.74 1,272.66 305.66 5,530.04

% Change Up 56.65 (2.23%) Down 38.93 (1.55%) Down 1.06 (0.03%) Up 2.47 (0.04%) Down 2.55 (0.81%) Down 1.48 (0.34%) Up 2.28 (0.18%) Up 1.64 (0.54%) Up 7.54 (0.14%)

Close 379.62 83.23 1,135.90

% Change Up 11.44 (3.11%) Up 0.05 (0.06%) 0.00 (0.00%)

Close 2,593.65

2,470.55 Dec 9

4,012.91 6,034.33

312.88 Dec 9

3.0=hold 4.0=underperform Rating Recommendation 1.65 Outperform 2.75 Hold 2.07 Outperform 1.45 Buy 2.31 Outperform 2.44 Outperform 1.75 Outperform 2.47 Outperform 2.50 Outperform 1.67 Outperform 2.06 Outperform 1.14 Buy 2.00 Outperform 2.10 Outperform 3.25 Hold 1.67 Outperform

5.0=sell update 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10 5-Jan-10

Daily Investment Guide and Market Analysis IHSG akhirnya ditutup terkoreksi tipis kemarin walaupun dibuka naik sampai ke level 2.622. IHSG turun ke level 2.603 atau turun hanya 2 point. Indek dibuka menguat namun terkoreksi setelah dalam beberapa hari menanjak mengikuti optimisme tahun baru 2010 dan optimisme pemulihan ekonomi dunia di tahun 2010. Sementara itu harga minyak sekarang sudah mencapai $83 akibat ekspektasi permintaan oleh cuaca dingin walapun cadangan minyak Amerika naik. Demikian juga harga emas sudah mencapai $1.135 sejalan dengan harga komoditas lainnya. Walaupun indeks global sudah mulai mengendur setelah selama 2 minggu ini naik terus, namun akibat kenaikan harga komoditas tersebut sepertinya saham-saham didalam negeri masih akan naik khususnya saham-saham berbasis komoditas. Indeks batubara Amerika (US Coal Index) naik 3% kemarin walaupun major index seperti Dow Jones atau S&P500 hampir tidak bergerak.

% 2.80 4.65 -15.24 0.00 10.71 1.01 0.56 7.14 -14.63 Selected News -1.11

6-Jan-10 Foreign Investor Domestic Investor 790,936,500 4,554,579,165 1,690,659,056,500 3,444,423,291,530 444,112,500 4,901,403,165 993,187,514,500 4,141,894,833,530 Rp697,471,542,000

Chief Economist Danareksa Research Institute Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa memperkirakan laju pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia sepanjang 2009 dapat tumbuh mencapai 4,7%. Proyeksi tersebut lebih tinggi dibandingkan dengan proyeksi yang diajukan oleh Bank Indonesia yang memperkirakan laju pertumbuhan ekonomi 2009 akan tumbuh sebesar 4,3%. Sumber: bisnis.com


Commodity, Energy & Metals price update Commodty Indx UBS BLOOMBERG CMCI S&P GSCI RJ/CRB Commodity Rogers Intl

Value 1,378.59 547.88 293.75 3,407.15

Change 23.43 9.40 4.36 57.87

Open 1,364.63 539.76 289.40 3,357.88

6-Jan-10 Energy

Price

Change

BRENT CRUDE FUTR (USD/bbl.) 81.89 GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT) 668.50 GASOLINE RBOB FUT (USd/gal.) 214.12 HEATING OIL FUTR (USd/gal.) 220.59 NATURAL GAS FUTR (USD/MMBtu) 6.07 WTI CRUDE FUTURE (USD/bbl.) 83.24

1.30 3.25 0.46 0.27 0.06 0.06

% Change 1.61 0.49 0.22 0.12 1.03 0.07

Metals

Price

COPPER FUTURE (USd/lb.) 349.50 GOLD 100 OZ FUTR (USD/t oz.)1,137.20 SILVER FUTURE (USD/t oz.) 18.33

Change

% Change 0.01 0.06 0.85

0.01 0.06 0.85

Sumber: Bloomberg

Where Foreign Money Flows

6-Jan-10

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

ForeignBuy (shares)

Net Buy (shares)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

BUMI ELTY BBTN DOID INDF SMRA INCO VRNA BBNI BBRI BRPT ENRG KIJA BMTR BNBR BDMN HEXA INAF TINS BISI SMGR CTRA DEWA INDY JSMR INDF PNBN SGRO ANTM TOTL

34,517,000 246,361,500 ##### 40,348,000 86,822,500 46,474,500 14,121,000 46,923,500 32,802,500 200,000 11,315,500 11,115,500 7,830,500 16,327,500 8,497,000 2,000,000 10,487,500 8,487,500 3,058,500 10,133,500 7,075,000 750,000 7,700,000 6,950,000 2,467,500 9,126,000 6,658,500 887,500 5,847,500 4,960,000 50,000 4,404,000 4,354,000 500,000 4,543,500 4,043,500 250,000 3,500,000 3,250,000 1,137,500 4,020,500 2,883,000 6,921,500 9,762,000 2,840,500 266,000 2,840,000 2,574,000 373,000 2,888,000 2,515,000 15,002,500 17,500,000 2,497,500 1,051,000 3,492,500 2,441,500 150,000 2,450,000 2,300,000 588,000 2,825,000 2,237,000 7,543,500 9,773,500 2,230,000 10,857,500 12,941,000 2,083,500 2,170,500 4,242,500 2,072,000 100,000 2,130,500 2,030,500 1,050,000 2,834,500 1,784,500 157,500 1,896,000 1,738,500 647,000 2,380,500 1,733,500 5,731,500 7,378,500 1,647,000 750,000 2,100,000 1,350,000

No.

Stock

31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60

LSIP UNTR BWPT UNTR PTBA INTP INTP AALI MYOR UNSP BBCA BNGA RALS AKRA PTBA ASII ISAT PTSN JPFA INVS RINA JIHD BBNI SMCB PNLF ISAT GGRM BUMI BBCA ASII

ForeignSell (shares) 432,500 18,500 12,203,500 245,000 1,500 864,000 1,476,500 105,500 39,000 7,282,500 1,234,000 100,000 143,500 9,066,500 484,000 1,619,500 373,500 500 200,000 25,500 1,000 67,500 70,500 3,425,000 500,000 200,000 384,000 1,725,000 850,000 867,000

ForeignBuy (shares)

Net Buy (shares)

1,559,000 1,126,500 1,102,000 1,083,500 12,989,000 785,500 969,000 724,000 689,000 687,500 1,501,500 637,500 1,976,500 500,000 594,500 489,000 500,500 461,500 7,721,500 439,000 1,652,500 418,500 500,000 400,000 482,500 339,000 9,394,500 328,000 729,000 245,000 1,776,000 156,500 443,000 69,500 65,000 64,500 259,500 59,500 56,500 31,000 31,500 30,500 82,500 15,000 70,500 0 3,425,000 0 500,000 0 200,000 0 384,000 0 1,725,000 0 850,000 0 867,000 0

No.

Stock

ForeignSell ForeignBuy(shar (shares) es)

Net Buy (shares)

61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 90 91

TLKM CTRA BDMN LPKR BMRI BBTN BBRI ADRO PGAS LSIP INDY RALS ITMG BYAN CPIN TRUB ITMG UNVR BMRI LTLS GGRM BNII KLBF LPKR MEDC PGAS SMCB TLKM ASRI ADRO

6,795,000 5,000,000 1,000,000 3,000,000 4,709,000 4,000,000 913,500 3,654,500 1,888,500 100,000 598,000 600,000 3,500 40,000 160,000 37,500 1,189,500 1,266,000 5,440,500 550,000 872,000 2,393,500 2,872,000 3,236,500 5,161,500 11,767,500 8,549,500 11,218,000 25,852,000 92,468,000

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -15,000 -20,000 -21,500 -166,500 -357,500 -475,000 -549,500 -733,000 -2,071,500 -2,232,500 -2,588,000 -2,755,500 -2,801,500 -8,130,500 -9,364,500 -24,852,000 -60,389,500

6,795,000 5,000,000 1,000,000 3,000,000 4,709,000 4,000,000 913,500 3,654,500 1,888,500 100,000 598,000 600,000 3,500 25,000 140,000 16,000 1,023,000 908,500 4,965,500 500 139,000 322,000 639,500 648,500 2,406,000 8,966,000 419,000 1,853,500 1,000,000 32,078,500

Important Links from Bloomberg.com

US Dollar Index Currency Rates Governments Bond

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=DXY%3AIND http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies/fxc.html http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates/index.html

page 2 of 7


Jakarta Composite Index Chart

6-Jan-10 Projection Os cillator

50

50

IHSG

2600

2550

2600

P

P

2550

P

PP

P

2500

P

2450

O

P

2400

P P

2350

O

O

O

2500

O

P

P

O

O

2450

O

O O

2400

O 2350

O

2300

2300

2250

2250

15000

15000

10000

10000

5000

5000

x 1000000

27

x 1000000

3 Augus t

10

18

24

31 7 Septem ber

14

28

5 October

12

19

26

2 9 Novem ber

16

23

30 7 Decem ber

14

21

28

4 2010

11

Market Price Update No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Stock AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BSDE BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA HMSP IHSG

Open 24,200 400 143 1,790 350 1,200 2,300 170 325 35,500 107 5,100 385 1,990 7,850 4,600 194 1,440 150 95 660 4,875 210 90 730 330 1,330 860 147 225 2,675 5,750 2,175 99 510 275 530 140 88 365 215 198 200 50 21,750 440 235 3,150 10,500 2,605

18

6-Jan-10 High

Low

24,400 410 141 1,830 350 1,200 2,375 170 325 35,800 109 5,100 405 2,000 7,950 4,625 200 1,520 150 99 670 4,900 230 92 730 335 1,350 870 148 220 2,800 5,800 2,225 99 560 290 560 151 90 365 225 205 205 50 21,800 435 235 3,400 10,800 2,622

24,050 400 135 1,790 320 1,150 2,275 165 315 35,150 106 4,950 380 1,970 7,700 4,550 198 1,460 145 94 650 4,750 205 88 720 325 1,320 830 144 215 2,675 5,700 2,125 96 510 270 530 140 87 360 215 198 200 50 21,050 430 225 3,125 10,400 2,588

Previous 24,200 400 143 1,790 350 1,200 2,300 170 325 35,500 107 5,100 385 1,990 7,850 4,600 194 1,440 150 95 660 4,875 210 90 730 330 1,330 860 147 225 2,675 5,750 2,175 99 510 275 530 140 88 365 215 198 200 50 21,750 440 235 3,150 10,500 2,605

Close 24,100 405 140 1,800 350 1,190 2,300 169 320 35,300 107 4,950 405 1,980 7,750 4,575 198 1,500 146 95 670 4,800 225 89 730 325 1,350 840 147 215 2,750 5,800 2,175 99 560 285 530 150 89 360 225 200 200 50 21,300 435 230 3,325 10,650

2,603

% Change

-0.41 1.25 -2.10 0.56 0.00 -0.83 0.00 -0.59 -1.54 -0.56 0.00 -2.94 5.19 -0.50 -1.27 -0.54 2.06 4.17 -2.67 0.00 1.52 -1.54 7.14 -1.11 0.00 -1.52 1.50 -2.33 0.00 -4.44 2.80 0.87 0.00 0.00 9.80 3.64 0.00 7.14 1.14 -1.37 4.65 1.01 0.00 0.00 -2.07 -1.14 -2.13 5.56 1.43 -0.08

Volume

No.

1,020,000 6,978,000 4,027,500 230,174,496 8,000 25,359,500 25,969,000 2,689,500 354,500 2,141,500 68,322,000 5,556,500 33,940,000 15,186,000 9,531,000 4,422,500 1,245,000 17,209,500 15,543,500 66,927,500 4,012,000 17,192,500 59,147,000 703,995,520 674,500 4,719,500 11,356,000 21,089,000 146,742,000 41,000 620,257,472 180,000 6,155,000 140,500 49,086,500 26,986,000 20,860,000 297,389,504 9,981,500 21,487,500 481,276,512 340,578,496 67,000 6,978,000 1,245,000 765,500 7,168,500 4,624,000 19,500 5,345,999,872

51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

Stock INCO INDF INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA RALS SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Open 3,825 3,750 2,250 1,830 14,050 4,750 33,300 1,390 260 1,870 120 1,320 510 8,650 760 122 2,575 111 340 60 215 940 3,950 800 153 17,800 710 2,850 98 1,610 7,700 580 1,590 215 380 360 2,175 1,830 9,600 215 89 188 550 114 710 630 16,100 11,400 330 560

High

Low

3,975 3,850 2,425 1,840 14,250 4,750 34,300 1,400 265 1,900 125 1,350 510 8,750 760 127 2,625 113 345 62 230 960 4,050 820 154 18,250 710 2,900 103 1,620 7,950 610 1,620 210 405 365 2,225 1,800 9,700 220 90 198 570 117 750 650 16,300 11,450 340 560

3,825 3,725 2,275 1,780 13,950 4,675 32,950 1,380 255 1,860 120 1,290 495 8,550 750 123 2,550 110 330 60 210 940 3,950 790 149 17,800 680 2,825 98 1,580 7,700 580 1,590 210 385 350 2,150 1,800 9,450 210 84 189 530 114 710 610 15,850 11,200 330 550

Previous 3,825 3,750 2,250 1,830 14,050 4,750 33,300 1,390 260 1,870 120 1,320 510 8,650 760 122 2,575 111 340 60 215 940 3,950 800 153 17,800 710 2,850 98 1,610 7,700 580 1,590 215 380 360 2,175 1,830 9,600 215 89 188 550 114 710 630 16,100 11,400 330 560

Close 3,950 3,725 2,400 1,820 14,200 4,700 33,000 1,390 265 1,880 121 1,350 500 8,700 760 124 2,575 110 335 60 230 960 4,050 800 150 18,200 690 2,825 99 1,590 7,800 590 1,600 210 390 365 2,200 1,800 9,500 215 85 194 540 115 720 640 16,050 11,300 330 560

% Change 3.27 -0.67 6.67 -0.55 1.07 -1.05 -0.90 0.00 1.92 0.53 0.83 2.27 -1.96 0.58 0.00 1.64 0.00 -0.90 -1.47 0.00 6.98 2.13 2.53 0.00 -1.96 2.25 -2.82 -0.88 1.02 -1.24 1.30 1.72 0.63 -2.33 2.63 1.39 1.15 -1.64 -1.04 0.00 -4.49 3.19 -1.82 0.88 1.41 1.59 -0.31 -0.88 0.00 0.00

Volume 40,715,000 22,473,000 17,798,000 1,068,500 1,850,500 2,824,000 1,745,500 650,000 247,000 7,520,500 56,306,500 50,509,000 11,596,500 3,356,500 615,000 2,582,500 14,821,000 252,500 17,579,500 6,317,500 42,654,500 1,215,000 39,827,500 2,235,000 12,987,500 4,512,000 1,159,000 4,674,500 1,546,000 16,499,500 4,945,000 20,365,000 5,902,000 167,500 1,324,500 14,011,500 29,942,500 5,000 13,574,000 75,000 10,469,000 41,827,500 53,839,000 3,376,000 2,435,000 70,336,000 3,867,000 1,976,500 12,533,500 109,500

page 3 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation No Stock Beta 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BSDE BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA HMSP IHSG

1.11 0.39 1.16 0.94 -0.09 0.03 1.92 1.34 0.46 0.74 0.82 1.32 0.70 0.76 1.06 0.76 -3.69 0.24 1.58 0.89 0.68 0.86 0.42 2.04 1.22 0.93 0.98 0.43 0.77 -0.26 2.47 -0.08 0.49 0.81 1.32 1.02 0.97 1.74 0.67 0.32 2.24 1.21 0.93 0.20 0.54 0.93 1.46 1.45 0.02 1.00

Close

Support Resistant Momentum

24,100 405 140 1,800 350 1,190 2,300 169 320 35,300 107 4,950 405 1,980 7,750 4,575 198 1,500 146 95 670 4,800 225 89 730 325 1,350 840 147 215 2,750 5,800 2,175 99 560 285 530 150 89 360 225 200 200 50 21,300 435 230 3,325

22,200 400 129 1,650 0 1,010 2,050 151 290 33,500 101 4,625 365 1,880 7,300 4,300 190 1,320 122 84 630 4,375 200 78 690 325 1,150 820 135 205 2,050 5,550 2,100 86 480 235 490 113 83 335 177 182 190 50 19,700 420 210 2,875

24,400 425 159 1,830 360 1,250 2,375 171 330 35,800 111 5,100 405 2,025 7,950 4,675 205 1,570 159 102 680 4,950 230 92 750 360 1,350 900 148 225 2,800 5,800 2,400 104 560 290 580 151 90 365 225 205 205 50 22,750 440 235 3,400

Overbought --Overbought Overbought Overbought Overbought Overbought Overbought Overbought -Overbought Overbought -Overbought Overbought -----Overbought ---Oversold Overbought --Overbought Overbought Overbought ---Overbought -Overbought -Overbought Overbought --Oversold -Overbought Overbought Overbought

10,650

10,100

2,603

2,415

10,800 Overbought 2,622 Overbought

7-Jan-10

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

2 3 2 4 9 4 4 4 10 3 5 3 2 4 4 6 17 1 11 4 0 5 0 1 1 15 5 3 6 3 4 11 14 4 1 1 0 4 4 17 4 4 2 N/A N/A 2 6 3 3 5

9 1 4 8 12 11 17 16 16 4 7 8 12 11 12 8 8 27 12 13 11 10 11 12 3 11 17 2 11 10 12 14 1 9 12 24 11 23 12 23 24 N/A 10 25 N/A 10 7 7 7 8

1.4 1.3 3.0 1.1 17.5 2.5 2.1 1.8 2.1 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.5 3.5 2.9 2.6 1.7 1.7 3.4 2.8 1.4 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.0 3.1 0.7 1.7 2.7 2.9 3.9 2.2 3.3 1.6 1.3 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.0 1.8 1.2 1.9 2.5 1.1 0.7

1.1 1.6 2.5 0.9 14.3 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.6 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.2 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.4 1.4 2.8 2.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 2.0 1.4 2.4 2.6 0.6 2.0 2.2 2.4 3.2 1.8 2.7 1.3 1.0 2.5 1.5 1.3 0.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 0.9 0.6

Candlestick Last Trade ----Doji -Doji ---Doji --------Doji ----Doji ---Doji ---Doji Doji --Doji -----Doji Doji -------

Volume ---Rally with Volume Rally with Volume -----Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume -----Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume Rally with Volume Reaction with Volume ----Reaction with Volume -Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume --Reaction with Volume Reaction with Volume -Rally with Volume

---

Today If Trend Reverse Rekomedation Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish)

sell at 21,825 buy at 403 sell at 137 sell at 1,653 sell at 348 sell at 1,080 sell at 2,075 sell at 154 sell at 300 sell at 33,613 sell at 103 sell at 4,669 sell at 346 sell at 1,948 sell at 7,500 sell at 4,431 buy at 195 sell at 1,258 sell at 141 sell at 89 sell at 633 sell at 4,500 sell at 194 sell at 81 sell at 700 buy at 343 sell at 1,235 buy at 898 sell at 142 sell at 214 sell at 2,019 sell at 5,538 buy at 2,288 sell at 87 sell at 420 sell at 210 sell at 490 sell at 106 sell at 84 sell at 338 sell at 161 sell at 183 sell at 196 buy at 50 buy at 20,288 sell at 423 sell at 221 sell at 2,713 sell at 9,950 sell at 2,426

page 4 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation (cont'd) No Stock Beta 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

INCO INDF INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA RALS SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

1.73 1.16 0.75 0.73 1.81 0.76 1.22 0.29 1.57 0.92 0.65 -0.14 0.18 1.06 0.53 0.01 0.60 1.09 1.48 1.25 1.47 -1.88 1.25 0.79 1.27 0.77 0.91 1.51 -2.32 0.98 0.55 1.03 0.40 0.47 0.00 0.15 1.77 -2.00 1.34 6.67 1.44 0.25 0.90 2.27 0.42 1.82 1.32 1.28 0.25 0.79

Close 3,950 3,725 2,400 1,820 14,200 4,700 33,000 1,390 265 1,880 121 1,350 500 8,700 760 124 2,575 110 335 60 230 960 4,050 800 150 18,200 690 2,825 99 1,590 7,800 590 1,600 210 390 365 2,200 1,800 9,500 215 85 194 540 115 720 640 16,050 11,300 330 560

Support Resistant Momentum 3,275 3,275 2,000 1,650 12,000 4,500 30,000 1,350 250 1,790 114 1,290 490 7,900 0 120 2,350 106 290 58 198 880 3,625 720 140 16,900 590 2,500 0 1,440 7,250 540 1,580 200 360 335 1,760 1,780 9,400 197 79 184 315 111 700 520 14,900 10,600 315 520

3,975 3,850 2,425 1,850 14,250 4,800 34,300 1,440 290 1,900 125 1,350 520 8,750 770 138 2,625 116 360 63 230 990 4,050 820 155 18,250 730 2,900 103 1,620 7,950 610 1,690 215 405 365 2,250 1,830 10,350 220 92 198 570 133 750 650 16,300 11,450 340 560

Overbought Overbought Overbought Overbought Overbought -Overbought ----Overbought -Overbought Overbought Oversold Overbought -----Overbought Overbought -Overbought Overbought Overbought Overbought Overbought Overbought -Oversold Overbought --Overbought Overbought Oversold Overbought --Overbought Oversold -Overbought Overbought --Overbought

7-Jan-10

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days (days ago) %Up %Down ago)

4 18 5 2 6 2 11 9 7 1 5 2 N/A 2 7 13 2 2 3 0 1 1 5 10 1 4 10 4 7 3 15 0 4 6 0 1 4 1 6 3 2 1 22 12 6 3 4 1 2 5

13 23 20 4 7 27 15 0 5 12 17 3 N/A 8 8 8 14 12 23 15 7 6 10 30 9 13 16 8 0 10 16 1 2 9 23 8 16 2 5 7 11 5 N/A 9 1 23 7 4 7 8

2.1 2.0 2.6 2.0 1.3 0.8 1.9 0.9 2.9 1.1 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.3 3.1 2.3 1.7 1.8 3.2 1.7 2.9 2.5 1.3 1.6 2.3 1.3 3.1 2.2 2.8 1.4 1.3 2.5 1.1 1.3 2.7 1.9 2.4 0.9 0.9 2.8 3.6 1.5 4.4 1.7 1.7 3.1 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.4

1.7 1.7 2.1 1.7 1.1 0.9 1.5 1.0 2.4 0.9 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.1 2.5 1.9 1.4 2.2 2.6 2.1 2.4 2.0 1.1 1.3 1.9 1.1 2.5 1.8 3.4 1.2 1.1 2.0 1.4 1.1 2.2 1.6 2.0 1.1 1.2 2.3 3.0 1.2 3.6 2.1 2.1 2.6 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

-------Doji ------Doji -Doji --Doji ---Doji ---------------Doji --------Doji Doji

Rally with Volume Rally with Volume Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume Rally with Volume --------------Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume -------Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume -----

Today If Trend Reverse Rekomedation Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Sell Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish)

sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at

3,238 3,319 1,919 1,700 12,475 4,631 30,075 1,390 261 1,780 115 1,263 518 7,800 738 122 2,381 109 308 59 189 870 3,669 710 143 16,438 593 2,550 102 1,478 7,313 560 1,650 203 373 329 1,685 1,793 9,625 197 80 180 354 115 723 505 14,838 10,788 319 523

page 5 of 7


Technical Analysis Data (Moving Average) and Stock Performance (Price Rate of Change)

6-Jan-10

No. Stock

Close

ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC MA % MA MA %MA 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10Day 10Day 20Day 20Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

No. Stock

Close

ROC ROC ROC ROC MA %MA MA %MA 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 10Day 10Day 20Day 20Day (%) (%) (%) (%)

ROC 200D (%)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

24,100 405 140 1,800 350 1,190 2,300 169 320 35,300 107 4,950 405 1,980 7,750 4,575 198 1,500 146 95 670 4,800 225 89 730 325 1,350 840 147 215 2,750 5,800 2,175 99 560 285 530 150 89 360 225 200 200 50 21,300 435 230 3,325 10,650 2,603

23,475 2.66 23,412 2.94 5.01 406 -0.19 407 -0.58 1.25 138 1.62 135 3.87 4.48 1,749 2.89 1,737 3.62 4.65 348 0.67 347 0.96 1.45 1,158 2.74 1,152 3.31 6.25 2,241 2.65 2,243 2.54 4.55 164 2.87 164 3.05 5.63 311 2.80 303 5.52 6.67 34,689 1.76 34,255 3.05 3.22 105 1.44 105 1.93 0.94 4,882 1.39 4,831 2.47 4.76 384 5.59 382 6.06 8.00 1,978 0.11 1,979 0.05 -0.50 7,701 0.64 7,685 0.84 0.65 4,529 1.01 4,490 1.90 2.23 197 0.72 196 0.84 1.02 1,416 5.92 1,443 3.98 9.49 142 3.16 132 11.01 0.69 94 0.88 95 0.28 5.56 659 1.70 663 1.02 3.08 4,713 1.85 4,655 3.12 3.78 215 4.59 220 2.41 7.14 88 1.59 90 -0.67 4.71 719 1.58 717 1.85 0.00 334 -2.57 340 -4.28 -4.41 1,311 2.96 1,306 3.34 2.27 862 -2.57 857 -2.00 -1.18 145 1.15 146 0.85 0.00 216 -0.50 216 -0.55 4.88 2,499 10.02 2,476 11.07 14.58 5,685 2.02 5,626 3.10 2.65 2,200 -1.12 2,166 0.41 -3.33 95 3.97 94 5.69 12.50 510 9.71 515 8.78 14.29 258 10.31 258 10.34 16.33 524 1.16 536 -1.16 6.00 136 10.37 139 8.03 20.00 88 1.48 88 0.85 3.49 351 2.70 340 5.75 5.88 205 9.58 213 5.72 12.50 196 2.03 203 -1.68 3.09 200 -0.05 202 -1.04 1.52 50 -0.34 51 -1.47 0.00 20,879 2.02 20,105 5.94 4.16 433 0.45 434 0.16 1.16 227 1.37 223 3.34 2.22 3,102 7.18 3,032 9.65 11.76 10,392 2.48 10,320 3.20 4.41 2,544 2.34 2,518 3.38 3.73

51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

3,950 3,725 2,400 1,820 14,200 4,700 33,000 1,390 265 1,880 121 1,350 500 8,700 760 124 2,575 110 335 60 230 960 4,050 800 150 18,200 690 2,825 99 1,590 7,800 590 1,600 210 390 365 2,200 1,800 9,500 215 85 194 540 115 720 640 16,050 11,300 330 560

3,718 6.25 3,683 3,569 4.37 3,464 2,216 8.28 2,182 1,778 2.36 1,763 13,508 5.12 13,021 4,719 -0.40 4,779 31,813 3.73 30,886 1,390 0.00 1,388 264 0.40 267 1,853 1.47 1,859 119 1.60 119 1,313 2.78 1,303 510 -1.99 518 8,432 3.18 8,355 750 1.34 743 124 0.07 126 2,515 2.39 2,523 111 -1.04 113 332 0.98 336 61 -1.42 64 214 7.29 214 921 4.27 904 3,924 3.21 3,895 763 4.86 751 149 0.97 148 17,550 3.71 17,316 649 6.33 625 2,733 3.36 2,670 99 -0.49 99 1,559 1.97 1,556 7,592 2.74 7,501 582 1.30 586 1,627 -1.64 1,652 208 1.13 207 387 0.91 399 351 3.93 346 2,023 8.73 1,971 1,795 0.26 1,777 9,553 -0.55 9,485 209 2.72 207 84 0.97 85 188 2.92 189 463 16.60 393 117 -1.82 120 719 0.11 714 604 5.97 628 15,626 2.71 15,472 11,161 1.25 11,182 326 1.13 324 547 2.36 541

99.49 333.14 54.84 109.20 242.17 9.30 238.46 230.95 39.47 108.89 142.00 110.94 -39.76 180.65 31.03 148.00 22.62 19.57 -21.18 20.00 100.00 74.55 116.58 77.78 158.62 160.00 46.81 152.23 -46.49 211.76 124.46 255.42 55.34 169.23 96.97 89.12 113.59 140.00 48.44 -4.44 70.00 133.73 980.00 -61.02 69.41 109.84 200.00 41.25 57.14 77.78

AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BSDE BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA HMSP IHSG

0.63 0.00 6.06 2.86 6.06 8.18 4.55 5.63 10.34 2.32 -0.93 2.59 6.58 -0.50 1.31 1.67 -3.41 7.14 7.35 0.00 0.00 5.49 2.27 1.14 2.82 -8.45 5.47 -6.67 3.52 2.38 17.02 3.57 2.35 8.79 7.69 11.76 -5.36 16.28 1.14 4.35 9.76 2.04 0.00 0.00 5.19 1.16 6.98 5.56 3.40 3.20

6.40 -4.71 12.90 5.88 -2.78 -2.46 -5.15 0.00 12.28 4.90 -0.93 3.66 3.85 -0.50 0.65 2.23 -5.71 -12.79 48.98 0.00 -2.90 -1.54 -15.09 -6.32 7.35 -10.96 -3.57 9.09 0.00 -2.27 6.80 5.45 1.16 7.61 -1.75 1.79 -15.87 -13.79 0.00 14.29 -22.41 -31.03 -11.11 -7.41 26.04 -3.33 2.22 12.71 5.45 5.24

14.76 -8.99 -13.04 25.00 -12.50 1.71 -8.91 -32.40 6.67 2.02 -15.75 -4.81 -5.81 -5.71 -4.32 -5.67 -22.35 -24.62 15.87 -23.39 -17.28 -6.80 -25.00 -31.54 -1.35 -17.72 -9.40 23.53 5.00 -10.42 -10.57 0.00 34.26 -10.81 -24.32 -21.92 -3.64 -28.57 -15.24 0.00 -37.50 -46.67 -4.76 -10.71 48.95 -6.45 9.52 12.71 4.41 2.97

103.38 55.77 125.81 140.00 -7.89 108.77 101.75 16.55 48.84 213.78 114.00 92.23 110.94 195.52 101.30 83.00 41.43 -24.24 192.00 90.00 34.00 172.73 53.06 78.00 82.50 12.07 164.71 950.00 194.00 74.80 252.56 326.47 372.83 -23.85 77.78 109.56 125.53 172.73 78.00 164.71 192.21 185.71 217.46 0.00 326.00 135.14 183.95 343.33

4.41 102.32

INCO INDF INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA RALS SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

7.25 7.54 10.01 3.24 9.06 -1.65 6.85 0.15 -0.59 1.13 1.42 3.60 -3.40 4.13 2.23 -1.23 2.08 -2.99 -0.32 -5.86 7.71 6.15 3.98 6.56 1.09 5.10 10.37 5.81 0.18 2.16 3.99 0.75 -3.14 1.64 -2.15 5.37 11.60 1.29 0.16 3.83 0.52 2.59 37.28 -3.88 0.77 1.96 3.73 1.05 1.75 3.56

10.49 7.19 11.63 4.00 5.97 1.62 3.13 0.00 1.92 3.30 1.68 3.85 0.00 6.10 1.33 2.48 6.19 -1.79 8.06 1.69 9.52 7.87 3.18 6.67 4.17 4.60 7.81 6.60 -1.98 5.30 2.63 3.51 -2.44 2.44 2.63 5.80 18.28 0.56 -1.04 7.50 3.66 4.30 24.14 0.00 -1.37 14.29 4.56 1.80 1.54 3.70

8.97 4.93 14.29 4.00 6.77 -2.08 3.77 1.46 -5.36 0.00 2.54 3.05 -3.85 1.75 2.70 -7.46 5.10 -1.79 4.69 -4.76 2.22 2.13 3.18 9.59 -1.96 4.00 18.97 6.60 0.00 3.92 4.70 0.00 -3.03 5.00 -2.50 4.29 17.02 -0.55 -3.55 7.50 0.00 3.74 66.15 -9.45 0.00 14.29 2.23 -0.44 1.54 3.70

1.28 16.41 7.87 7.06 21.89 -9.62 22.00 -3.47 -3.64 0.53 -6.20 2.27 -15.25 9.43 4.11 -4.62 -3.74 -16.03 -6.94 -23.08 0.00 7.87 7.28 3.90 2.04 18.57 16.95 15.31 -3.88 -4.22 5.41 -3.28 3.23 2.44 -11.36 8.96 10.00 0.00 6.74 2.38 -3.41 -3.00 163.41 47.44 1.41 -16.88 1.26 5.12 3.13 3.70

-4.82 20.16 -2.04 0.00 22.41 -13.76 37.21 52.75 -11.67 2.17 -8.33 1.50 -27.54 9.43 -10.59 -29.14 -18.25 -41.80 -27.17 -28.57 -16.36 -7.69 9.46 -5.88 4.17 28.17 7.81 36.14 -22.05 3.25 20.00 -9.23 30.08 -6.67 -27.78 5.80 2.33 -0.55 10.47 -15.69 -29.75 -7.62 120.41 -8.00 0.00 -26.44 -0.31 2.73 -5.71 0.00

page 6 of 7


Desclaimer Dokumen ini dibuat dari opini analis yang dibuat untuk membantu investor memahami pasar saham Indonesia. Dokumen ini dibuat berdasarkan sumber-sumber yang kami percaya dan dapat diandalkan. Walaupun demikian Bali Securities tidak dapat menjamin keakuratan data dan kelengkapannya. Investor dianjurkan untuk membaca secara utuh dan lengkap dokumen ini sebagai saran dalam berinvestasi dan mengambil langkah yang hati-hati dalam berinvestasi. Keputusan investasi yang diambil tetap merupakan tanggung jawab investor semata.

Trading Guide · · · · ·

It always recommended to invest in a good company with a good financial performance. A stock is said to be fairly valued when its P/E equals its growth rate. A growth stock should be in uptrend when you buy and value stock should be consolidating. Always concentrate on the strongest stock candidates for daily trading and long term investment. Trend is your friend. You must analyze everything from the perspective of trends.

Help in Technical Analysis Page 4 & 5 * Harga saham cenderung naik atau turun pada harga diantara harga support dan resistant. * Beta saham adalah nilai volatilitas terhadap benchmark IHSG. Makin besar beta saham, makin besar volatilitas dibandingkan IHSG. Beta IHSG = 1. * Momentum overbought apabila Stochastic > 80, oversold apabila stochastic < 20. * Today Recommendation: Buy: Today buy, pada saat Bullish MA Crossing Hold Bullish : pada saat close > MA Bearish: pada saat Close < MA Sell: Today Sell, pada saat Bearish MA Crossing * If Trend reverse: harga beli (masuk) atau jual (keluar) jika harga/trend berbalik arah (not in the current trend). Contoh: jika harga sell at jauh dari harga closing price, saham masih dalam area aman dan masih direkomedasi hold sampai closing mendekati harga sell at...disaat anda harus memperhatikan dengan seksama pergerakan hariannya dan siap-siap menjual pada harga Baik digunakan untuk protect mid term gain. Harga ini adalah harga hasil perhitungan matematis dan berubah setiap hari. Nilai harga if trend reverse adalah sebagai patokan/konfirmasi bahwa mid trend harga saham memang sedang berbalik arah. * Forecast % Up dan % down merupakan potensi kenaikan harga dan penurunan harga hari ini. Nilai ini dihitung dari rata-rata historis pergerakan harian (high/low) setiap hari dan mencerminkan juga volatilitas saham Baik digunakan untuk acuan protect gain dan stop loss. Nilai ini berubah setiap hari. * Doji: "Market this stock is Tired ". Hammer: Trend balik arah, sinyal bullish pada saat downtrend. Engulfing Bull: Trend balik arah, start bullish. Engulfing Bear:Trend balik arah, start bearish. Hanging Man: Trend balik arah, sinyal bearish pada saat uptrend. * Volume: Rally with Volume: Kenaikan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen naik dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi Reaction with Volume: Penurunan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen turun dan besar kemungkinan masih

PT BALI SECURITIES

PermataBank Tower I, 3rd Floor, Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 27, Jakarta 12920 Telp. 021-5237815, Fax. 021-2500638

Head of Research Ketut Tri Bayuna 021-5237815 ext 0243

Head of Equity Sales Agus Gunawan 021-5237297/98 page 7 of 7


Daily Investment Guide 7 January 2010