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PT. BALI SECURITIES Market Update

Daily Investment Guide 8-Dec-09

7-Dec-09

7-Dec-09

IHSG

2,483.76 Asia Pacific

Down 27.787 (1.11%) 2,511.54 2,511.96 2,478.584 - 2,516.1841 N/A

7-Dec-09

All Ordinaries Shanghai Composite Hang Seng BSE 30 Nikkei 225 NZSE 50 Straits Times 10,167.60 Seoul Composite Up 145.01 (1.45%) Taiwan Weighted 10,022.59 10,131.90 7-Dec-09 10,106.31 - 10,204.58 US Major N/A DJIA Nasdaq S&P 500

Index Value: Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range:

10,390.11 Up 1.21 (0.01%) 10,388.90 10,386.86 10,360.18 - 10,443.16 N/A

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 7-Dec-09

Nikkei 225

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range:

10,390.11

DJIA

IDX Index List

Index COMPOSITE AGRI MINING BASIC-IND MISC-IND CONSUMER PROPERTY INFRASTRUC FINANCE TRADE MANUFACTUR LQ45 JII MBX DBX KOMPAS100 BISNIS-27 PEFINDO25 SRI-KEHATI

Previous Close Change 2,511.55 2,483.76 -27.79 1,838.58 1,834.46 -4.11 2,248.63 2,202.10 -46.52 260.48 259.61 -0.87 2.27 571.65 573.92 661.59 651.15 -10.44 147.95 145.50 -2.45 729.43 722.24 -7.20 301.75 297.66 -4.09 255.40 253.91 -1.49 509.86 506.89 -2.97 498.11 491.81 -6.30 414.72 410.68 -4.04 716.21 708.13 -8.08 375.36 371.90 -3.46 613.08 605.21 -7.87 234.64 231.77 -2.87 0.10 207.60 207.71 146.62 144.90 -1.72

10 Most Active Stocks

Stock BUMI APLI COWL BNBR LPKR INDF ANTM BKSL SDRA BTEL

Previous 2,550 63 350 97 540 3,300 2,375 98 325 146

Daily Trading Summary

Buy/Sell

Buy

Volume Value Sell Volume Value Foreign BUY Value Net

7-Dec-09

ANALYST RATING Stock AALI ADRO ANTM ASII BBCA BBRI BMRI BUMI HEXA INDF INCO

Rating 2.74 1.82 3.00 2.14 2.65 1.74 2.18 2.77 2.00 1.80 2.81

% Change Close 4,695.20 Down 26.000 (0.55%) 3,331.90 Up 14.853 (0.45%) 22,324.96 Down 173.19 (0.77%) 16,972.33 Down 129.21 (0.76%) 10,167.60 Up 145.01 (1.45%) 3,138.58 Down 7.878 (0.25%) Up 5.97 (0.21%) 2,796.98 Up 7.89 (0.49%) 1,632.65 7,775.64 Up 124.73 (1.63%) Close 10,390.11 2,189.61 1,103.25

% Change Up 1.21 (0.01%) Down 4.74 (0.22%) Down 2.73 (0.25%)

Rating: 1.0=buy 2.0=outperform Recommendation update 7-Dec-09 Hold 7-Dec-09 Outperform 7-Dec-09 Hold 7-Dec-09 Outperform 7-Dec-09 Hold 7-Dec-09 Outperform 7-Dec-09 Outperform 7-Dec-09 Hold 7-Dec-09 Outperform 7-Dec-09 Outperform 7-Dec-09 Hold

7-Dec-09

Europe ATX BEL-20 CAC 40 DAX AEX General OSE All Share Madrid General Stockholm General FTSE 100

% Change Close 2,558.59 Down 23.61 (0.91%) 2,533.86 Up 8.72 (0.35%) 3,840.05 Up 40.94 (1.08%) 5,784.75 Down 32.90 (0.57%) 320.25 Up 2.64 (0.83%) 410.00 Down 0.90 (0.22%) 1,253.30 Down 2.47 (0.20%) 303.33 Up 0.07 (0.02%) 5,310.66 Down 11.70 (0.22%)

7-Dec-09 Commodity US Coal Index OIL Nymex (Dec) Gold (Dec)

% Change Close 298.12 Down 2.14 (0.71%) 76.90 Down 0.56 (0.72%) 1,166.90 Up 3.50 (0.30%)

Stock ISAT JSMR MEDC PGAS PTBA SGRO SMCB SMGR TINS TLKM UNTR

3.0=hold 4.0=underperform Rating Recommendation 2.75 Hold 1.50 Buy 2.44 Outperform 1.67 Outperform 2.35 Outperform 2.50 Outperform 1.58 Outperform 2.06 Outperform 2.25 Outperform 2.10 Outperform 1.67 Outperform

5.0=sell update 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09 7-Dec-09

down down down down up down down down down down down down down down down down down up down

% -1.11 -0.22 -2.07 -0.33 0.40 -1.58 -1.65 -0.99 -1.35 -0.58 -0.58 -1.26 -0.97 -1.13 -0.92 -1.28 -1.22 0.05 -1.17

up down down up down up down down

24.29 -3.09 -1.85 1.52 -5.26 Selected News 2.04 -1.54 PT Apexindo Pratama Duta, merencanakan untuk melunasi obligasi mereka sebesar Rp 750 -2.05 miliar. Obligasi tersebut akan jatuh tempo pada 8 April 2010. Untuk melunasi obligasi lama,

Daily Investment Guide and Market Analysis Indeks dalam negeri mengalami koreksi setelah naik terus dalam 5 hari bertutu-turut minggu lalu. IHSG terkoreksi 27 point ke level 2.483 (-1,1%). Walaupun investor asing tetap melakukan net buy, sementara indeks regional masih mix setelah rally juga terjadi dalam seminggu terakhir. IHSG kemarin mengalami Engulfing Bear dimana candlestick bearish kemarin menutupi candlestick bullish sehari sebelumnya. Ini merupakan indikasi bearish bagi IHSG dan kondisinya sudah overbought semantara banyak saham juga sudah overbought.

Sementara sedikit koreksi juga terjadi di beberapa bursa utama dunia setelah mengalami 7-Dec-09 kenaikan selama seminggu terakhir. Bursa Amerika kemarin sedikit naik sementara indeks Close Change % 2,500 -50 down -1.96 regional pagi ini masih mix dengan demikian indeks dalam negeri kemungkinan akan 70 7 up 11.11 mengalami ketidak menentuan dengan kemungkinan koreksi akan berlanjut. 435 94 530 3,350 2,250 100 320 143

85 -3 -10 50 -125 2 -5 -3

Foreign Investor 267,528,603 781,949,296,452 140,857,703 496,205,776,452

7-Dec-09 Domestic Investor 2,922,110,919 1,794,751,243,450 3,048,781,819 2,080,494,763,450

285,743,520,000

Apexindo mengambil opsi refinancing atau pelunasan obligasi lama dengan obligasi baru yang akan mereka terbitkan Sumber: kontan.co.id


Commodity, Energy & Metals price update Commodty Indx

Value

Change

UBS BLOOMBERG CMCI 1,282.65 S&P GSCI 500.00 RJ/CRB Commodity 274.18 Rogers Intl 3,185.50

-1.53 -3.32 0.31 -20.72

Open 1,279.45 502.05 272.38 3,214.88

7-Dec-09 Energy

Price

BRENT CRUDE FUTR (USD/bbl.) 76.78 GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT) 625.00 GASOLINE RBOB FUT (USd/gal.) 195.36 HEATING OIL FUTR (USd/gal.) 202.00 NATURAL GAS FUTR (USD/MMBtu) 5.00 WTI CRUDE FUTURE (USD/bbl.) 74.34

Change 0.35 3.00 1.30 1.03 0.03 0.41

% Change 0.46 0.48 0.67 0.51 0.54 0.55

Metals

Price

COPPER FUTURE (USd/lb.) 321.50 GOLD 100 OZ FUTR (USD/t oz.) 1,168.90 SILVER FUTURE (USD/t oz.) 18.37

Change

% Change 0.19 0.42 0.05

0.19 0.42 0.05

Sumber: Bloomberg

Where Foreign Money Flows No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

BTEL BNBR INDF BMRI TLKM DOID BBNI INDF BDMN CTRA LSIP LPKR BKSL BBRI SGRO ASII SMGR RALS LTLS INTP ASIA AALI BBCA UNVR PTBA ITMG PNIN MAPI ELSA EKAD

3,000,000 1,750,000 7,291,601 4,123,500 3,214,500 2,349,000 76,500 236,000 332,000 4,415,500 664,000 1,602,500 2,440,000 12,347,000 15,000 1,034,000 204,000 500,000 5,000 783,000 1,000,000 28,000 2,527,500 204,500 373,000 172,500 292,500 200,000 5,000 27,000

ForeignBuy (shares)

7-Dec-09 Net Buy (shares)

21,707,000 18,707,000 19,514,500 17,764,500 15,276,601 7,985,000 12,104,500 7,981,000 11,051,000 7,836,500 10,048,000 7,699,000 6,995,000 6,918,500 4,803,000 4,567,000 3,809,000 3,477,000 7,846,000 3,430,500 3,424,500 2,760,500 3,999,500 2,397,000 4,750,000 2,310,000 14,408,500 2,061,500 1,930,000 1,915,000 2,476,000 1,442,000 1,559,500 1,355,500 1,820,500 1,320,500 779,500 774,500 1,352,000 569,000 1,500,000 500,000 494,000 466,000 2,933,000 405,500 588,000 383,500 720,000 347,000 498,500 326,000 617,500 325,000 524,000 324,000 250,000 245,000 203,000 176,000

No.

Stock

31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60

TIRT BRPT LSIP MNCN UNVR BBNI BBRI MLBI RINA INCO ITMG KIJA JSMR PGAS INTP GPRA CTRA GGRM PNBN UNTR ELTY PNLF SMGR TLKM ADRO BBCA BUMI DOID PTBA BDMN

ForeignSell (shares) 200,000 158,500 100,000 150,000 59,500 29,000 282,000 500 500 400,000 400,000 2,606,000 300,000 8,914,000 8,500 500 6,000,000 96,000 2 202,500 2,177,500 5,000,000 50,000 956,000 126,500 84,500 2,000,000 1,000,000 150,000 1,166,500

ForeignBuy (shares) 329,500 257,500 175,000 211,000 89,000 56,000 287,000 5,000 1,000 400,000 400,000 2,606,000 300,000 8,914,000 8,500 500 6,000,000 96,000 2 202,500 2,177,500 5,000,000 50,000 956,000 126,500 84,500 2,000,000 1,000,000 150,000 1,166,500

Net Buy (shares) 129,500 99,000 75,000 61,000 29,500 27,000 5,000 4,500 500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

No.

Stock

ForeignSell ForeignBuy(shar (shares) es)

Net Buy (shares)

61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78

AKRA MIRA INVS GGRM BYAN PNBN CPIN INCO TINS MEDC UNSP ISAT PGAS ELTY UNTR ADRO ANTM BUMI

12,500 1,000 25,000 307,500 293,500 263,000 330,000 556,000 510,000 885,500 1,295,000 1,259,000 6,084,000 7,800,000 2,321,500 5,338,000 3,630,500 19,692,000

0 -500 -24,000 -26,000 -203,500 -235,000 -272,500 -399,500 -427,500 -539,500 -1,044,500 -1,205,000 -1,698,500 -1,703,000 -2,013,500 -3,047,000 -3,427,000 -6,002,000

12,500 500 1,000 281,500 90,000 28,000 57,500 156,500 82,500 346,000 250,500 54,000 4,385,500 6,097,000 308,000 2,291,000 203,500 13,690,000

Important Links from Bloomberg.com

US Dollar Index http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=DXY%3AIND Currency Rates http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies/fxc.html Governments Bond http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates/index.html

page 2 of 7


Jakarta Composite Index Chart

7-Dec-09 Projection Os cillator

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

IHSG 2550

P

P

2550

P P

2500

P

2450

O

P PP

2400

O

2350

O

O

2500

P

2450

O

O

2400

O O

2350

O

2300

2300

2250

2250

10000

10000

5000

5000

x 1000000

18

x 1000000

24

31 7 Septem ber

14

28

5 October

12

19

26

2 Novem ber

9

16

23

30 7 Decem ber

14

Market Price Update No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Stock AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BSDE BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA HMSP IHSG

21

7-Dec-09

Open

High

Low

24,000 405 129 1,750 340 1,190 2,375 189 290 33,200 105 4,975 390 2,000 7,900 4,525 200 1,510 102 98 690 4,600 230 97 720 355 1,330 830 146 220 2,550 5,550 2,150 93 560 265 570 143 90 310 230 210 200 53 18,500 440 215 2,825 10,100 2,512

24,300 410 137 1,750 345 1,190 2,400 194 285 33,850 106 4,975 390 2,025 7,900 4,550 196 1,530 101 106 680 4,625 235 98 710 355 1,330 830 147 220 2,575 5,600 2,175 95 560 270 570 145 91 325 230 215 215 53 18,500 445 220 2,825 10,200 2,516

24,000 400 127 1,710 310 1,150 2,250 169 285 32,900 103 4,850 385 1,980 7,750 4,400 195 1,500 100 98 660 4,525 225 93 710 345 1,290 800 142 220 2,475 5,550 2,050 91 540 260 560 140 88 310 220 205 205 51 18,000 435 210 2,750 10,100 2,479

Previous 24,000 405 129 1,750 340 1,190 2,375 189 290 33,200 105 4,975 390 2,000 7,900 4,525 200 1,510 102 98 690 4,600 230 97 720 355 1,330 830 146 220 2,550 5,550 2,150 93 560 265 570 143 90 310 230 210 200 53 18,500 440 215 2,825 10,100 2,512

Close 24,000 405 129 1,710 310 1,160 2,250 169 285 33,400 105 4,850 385 1,980 7,850 4,425 196 1,500 101 100 660 4,575 230 94 710 345 1,300 810 143 220 2,500 5,550 2,075 91 540 260 560 141 89 315 225 205 210 52 18,250 440 210 2,750.0 10,200 2,484

% Change

0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.29 -8.82 -2.52 -5.26 -10.58 -1.72 0.60 0.00 -2.51 -1.28 -1.00 -0.63 -2.21 -2.00 -0.66 -0.98 2.04 -4.35 -0.54 0.00 -3.09 -1.39 -2.82 -2.26 -2.41 -2.05 0.00 -1.96 0.00 -3.49 -2.15 -3.57 -1.89 -1.75 -1.40 -1.11 1.61 -2.17 -2.38 5.00 -1.89 -1.35 0.00 -2.33 -2.65 0.99 -1.11

Volume 1,565,500 1,199,000 8,906,000 33,396,500 3,000 11,404,500 32,449,500 20,814,500 20,000 4,075,500 18,718,000 4,038,500 6,203,000 18,073,500 19,619,500 13,660,500 52,500 743,000 807,500 173,365,504 5,988,500 17,966,000 7,794,000 459,540,000 30,000 22,500 2,820,000 11,414,000 361,458,496 3,000 141,808,496 324,000 2,468,500 490,000 15,056,500 2,471,000 2,548,500 29,856,500 7,007,000 21,887,000 52,799,000 58,086,000 1,090,000 37,283,500 369,000 1,175,500 7,306,000 1,762,000 4,000 3,190,000,128

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99

Stock INCO INDF INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA RALS SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Open

High

Low

3,750 3,300 2,175 1,740 11,800 5,000 30,250 1,390 275 1,900 124 1,270 540 8,400 740 126 2,650 114 370 78 900 4,100 720 152 17,950 590 2,675 101 1,560 7,250 630 1,860 200 425 335 1,960 1,800 9,250 225 85 192 255 135 700 730 15,200 11,800 320 540

3,750 3,375 2,175 1,740 12,100 5,000 30,300 1,380 270 1,900 126 1,300 550 8,600 770 128 2,700 134 375 81 900 4,100 740 154 18,000 590 2,750 103 1,560 7,250 630 1,880 200 425 340 1,970 1,800 9,450 0 87 192 290 138 720 730 15,350 11,800 320 530

3,625 3,275 2,150 1,720 11,800 4,850 29,900 1,350 270 1,890 120 1,270 530 8,400 730 126 2,600 115 355 77 890 3,925 700 150 17,250 580 2,650 100 1,520 7,150 590 1,830 198 410 330 1,910 1,800 9,200 0 84 188 255 121 700 700 14,900 11,250 315 530

Previous 3,750 3,300 2,175 1,740 11,800 5,000 30,250 1,390 275 1,900 124 1,270 540 8,400 740 126 2,650 114 370 78 900 4,100 720 152 17,950 590 2,675 101 1,560 7,250 630 1,860 200 425 335 1,960 1,800 9,250 225 85 192 255 135 700 730 15,200 11,800 320 540

Close 3,650 3,350 2,150 1,740 12,000 4,900 30,000 1,370 270 1,890 120 1,290 530 8,400 760 127 2,600 124 355 78 900 3,950 700 150 17,600 590 2,700 100 1,530 7,200 590 1,830 198 415 335 1,910 1,800 9,300 0 85 189 275 122 710 710 14,950 11,300 315 530

% Change -2.67 1.52 -1.15 0.00 1.69 -2.00 -0.83 -1.44 -1.82 -0.53 -3.23 1.57 -1.85 0.00 2.70 0.79 -1.89 8.77 -4.05 0.00 0.00 -3.66 -2.78 -1.32 -1.95 0.00 0.93 -0.99 -1.92 -0.69 -6.35 -1.61 -1.00 -2.35 0.00 -2.55 0.00 0.54 -100.00 0.00 -1.56 7.84 -9.63 1.43 -2.74 -1.64 -4.24 -1.56 -1.85

Volume 9,497,000 28,849,500 319,500 641,000 3,429,000 2,482,500 663,500 529,000 205,500 2,150,000 57,275,500 23,697,000 103,045,000 7,230,500 1,667,500 387,000 8,399,000 5,587,500 14,122,500 23,900,000 175,000 22,095,000 325,000 5,953,500 1,734,000 3,745,500 7,322,500 79,000 4,693,000 3,117,000 9,167,500 10,096,000 494,000 320,000 18,599,500 4,450,000 9,500 12,544,500 0 958,500 3,337,500 11,090,500 29,833,000 500,000 18,662,500 4,466,000 913,000 2,236,500 52,500

page 3 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation No Stock Beta 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BSDE BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA HMSP IHSG

1.30 1.53 0.69 1.08 0.74 1.64 2.02 1.13 0.36 1.13 0.72 0.53 0.49 1.31 0.55 1.04 -2.55 0.47 1.89 1.31 0.53 1.44 3.36 2.68 0.38 0.44 1.42 1.21 2.36 0.22 3.19 0.31 0.66 1.70 1.37 0.91 1.35 3.32 0.67 0.83 2.95 2.59 1.26 0.59 0.46 0.89 1.27 0.89 -0.28 1.00

Close Support Resistant Momentum 24,000 405 129 1,710 310 1,160 2,250 169 285 33,400 105 4,850 385 1,980 7,850 4,425 196 1,500 101 100 660 4,575 230 94 710 345 1,300 810 143 220 2,500 5,550 2,075 91 540 260 560 141 89 315 225 205 210 52 18,250 440 210 2,750

22,000 390 119 1,650 0 1,120 2,175 153 280 31,400 101 4,550 380 1,920 7,400 4,250 0 1,500 95 91 660 4,300 215 88 700 340 1,270 760 134 0 2,325 5,200 1,950 89 500 260 540 139 87 290 205 200 200 51 16,700 425 200 2,750

24,300 425 142 1,780 365 1,210 2,450 194 295 33,850 108 5,000 400 2,050 8,050 4,550 215 1,670 117 109 700 4,750 270 110 760 365 1,380 880 163 230 2,875 5,700 2,175 99 590 295 620 193 97 325 300 300 225 56 18,800 460 225 2,925

10,200

9,950

10,300

2,484

2,371

Overbought ---Overbought ------Overbought --Overbought --Oversold -----------Overbought -----Oversold -Oversold ---Oversold Oversold -Overbought ----

-2,516 Overbought

8-Dec-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

3 9 4 4 7 2 3 1 3 1 1 5 1 1 3 1 0 16 3 0 1 2 19 2 15 9 1 4 21 10 16 6 2 1 2 10 23 14 12 0 19 22 13 17 24 2 1 14 15 3

5 8 9 6 5 12 0 7 5 7 10 11 9 0 5 6 6 10 0 6 7 10 6 1 1 7 0 0 5 7 6 11 11 0 N/A 7 14 6 5 6 7 18 7 8 N/A 0 8 8 5 6

1.1 1.8 3.6 1.1 10.5 1.4 2.1 5.2 0.7 1.6 1.4 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.4 25.3 1.0 1.4 3.5 1.6 1.1 2.6 2.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.9 2.1 2.1 1.1 2.1 1.9 2.2 1.6 1.2 2.1 1.4 2.0 3.6 2.7 2.4 1.5 1.6 1.3 2.0 1.1 1.1 0.8

0.9 1.5 2.9 1.3 12.8 1.7 2.6 6.4 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.7 20.7 1.2 1.7 2.8 2.0 1.3 3.1 3.1 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.9 3.5 1.7 2.6 0.9 2.6 2.3 2.7 2.0 1.4 2.6 1.7 1.6 4.4 3.3 2.0 1.9 1.3 1.6 2.4 1.4 0.9 0.6

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

Doji Rally with Volume Doji -Doji --------Reaction with Volume -----Rally with Volume Doji -----------Hammer ---Hammer --Rally with Volume ----Doji -------------Doji ---Doji ----------------Rally with Volume ----------Doji Reaction with Volume -Rally with Volume Reaction with Volume ---Engulfing Bear --

Today If Trend Reverse Rekomedation Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Bearish Sell Buy Sell Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Sell Sell Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish)

sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at sell at

22,488 400 123 1,743 389 1,178 2,406 167 288 32,000 104 4,788 384 2,004 7,575 4,419 160 1,595 104 93 690 4,506 234 99 735 356 1,343 828 152 219 2,519 5,450 2,053 93 528 281 585 168 92 299 263 243 200 53 17,188 439 209 2,888 10,150 2,436

page 4 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation (cont'd) No Stock Beta 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99

INCO INDF INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA RALS SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

1.84 0.59 1.29 0.25 1.35 0.54 1.51 0.93 1.01 0.40 1.89 0.78 0.29 0.52 0.87 0.37 1.46 0.59 1.23 1.78 -1.76 1.81 -0.06 1.94 1.60 0.87 0.32 -2.94 1.60 0.44 1.24 0.35 0.31 1.24 0.93 1.28 -2.48 0.57 7.59 0.18 1.09 1.04 0.42 0.07 2.02 1.50 1.23 0.78 0.73

Close 3,650 3,350 2,150 1,740 12,000 4,900 30,000 1,370 270 1,890 120 1,290 530 8,400 760 127 2,600 124 355 78 900 3,950 700 150 17,600 590 2,700 100 1,530 7,200 590 1,830 198 415 335 1,910 1,800 9,300 0 85 189 275 122 710 710 14,950 11,300 315 530

8-Dec-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast Candlestick Support Resistant Momentum (days (days ago) %Up %Down Last Trade ago)

3,425 3,075 2,075 1,660 10,550 4,850 26,850 1,340 260 1,850 112 1,240 510 7,800 690 123 2,450 105 350 70 0 3,525 700 135 15,550 560 2,325 0 1,480 6,900 560 1,570 198 410 315 1,820 0 8,700 0 82 188 195 106 680 670 14,400 10,600 305 520

3,900 3,375 2,250 1,780 12,100 5,150 30,300 1,450 290 1,910 130 1,310 570 8,600 770 140 2,775 135 395 81 980 4,150 780 155 18,100 600 2,750 108 1,660 7,550 630 1,880 250 500 345 2,000 1,820 9,450 230 92 205 290 159 720 830 15,700 11,950 330 550

-Overbought --Overbought -Overbought ------Overbought -Oversold ----Overbought Overbought Oversold Overbought Overbought -Overbought Overbought --Overbought Overbought Oversold Oversold --Overbought Overbought --Oversold Overbought --------

2 1 4 8 2 17 22 N/A 0 1 3 2 N/A 17 1 11 1 15 11 3 1 2 20 3 14 2 7 1 18 0 4 25 8 16 1 2 1 4 2 12 11 5 12 0 17 1 4 0 4

28 6 3 26 7 10 N/A 5 6 2 0 11 N/A 29 7 7 7 9 6 10 7 6 13 10 15 13 10 8 7 7 13 27 3 6 6 8 3 6 0 7 7 27 0 8 6 0 5 7 12

1.6 1.8 0.8 0.9 1.8 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.6 0.7 1.9 1.0 2.2 1.5 2.0 1.1 1.7 5.8 1.8 3.0 15.4 2.4 1.7 2.0 2.0 0.8 2.4 15.5 1.2 1.1 2.2 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.2 14.8 1.2 39.3 1.7 0.9 5.3 4.9 1.0 2.4 1.1 1.9 0.9 1.1

1.9 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.8 1.3 0.6 2.3 0.8 2.7 1.3 1.6 1.3 2.1 4.8 2.2 2.5 12.6 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.7 0.7 2.0 12.6 1.5 1.4 2.7 1.2 2.4 2.1 1.4 1.5 12.1 1.0 48.0 2.1 1.1 4.4 6.0 0.8 3.0 1.4 2.3 1.1 1.3

---Doji ---------Doji -----Doji Doji ----Doji --------Doji -Doji --Doji ----------

Volume ----Rally with Volume -----Reaction with Volume --Rally with Volume Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume --------Rally with Volume ----Rally with Volume -Reaction with Volume ---Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume ----Reaction with Volume ---

Today If Trend Reverse Rekomedation Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Sell Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Sell Buy Bearish Sell Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Sell

sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at

3,719 2,963 2,225 1,748 10,825 5,088 27,500 1,425 268 1,875 125 1,250 555 7,900 678 129 2,575 112 383 71 663 3,644 780 139 16,025 570 2,325 77 1,598 7,200 620 1,710 217 454 318 1,955 1,350 8,763 433 87 198 178 153 678 755 15,263 11,538 315 543

page 5 of 7


Technical Analysis Data (Moving Average) and Stock Performance (Price Rate of Change)

No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Stock AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BSDE BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA HMSP IHSG

Close 24,000 405 129 1,710 310 1,160 2,250 169 285 33,400 105 4,850 385 1,980 7,850 4,425 196 1,500 101 100 660 4,575 230 94 710 345 1,300 810 143 220 2,500 5,550 2,075 91 540 260 560 141 89 315 225 205 210 52 18,250 440 210 2,750 10,200 2,484

MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) 23,367 2.71 22,943 4.61 7.62 5.96 9.09 14.29 91.24 406 -0.14 409 -1.01 3.85 -4.71 -7.95 -8.99 55.77 127 1.39 125 3.23 5.74 3.20 -2.27 -9.15 108.06 1,720 -0.57 1,688 1.32 -1.72 0.59 5.56 28.57 98.84 340 -8.95 349 -11.23 -11.43 -11.43 -19.48 -27.06 -19.48 1,173 -1.13 1,176 -1.33 0.87 -2.52 3.57 23.40 84.13 2,331 -3.48 2,326 -3.26 2.27 -6.25 -12.62 -2.17 93.97 170 -0.74 176 -3.73 0.60 -3.43 -28.09 -24.89 -0.59 286 -0.44 286 -0.18 1.79 0.00 -5.00 -1.72 42.50 32,869 1.61 32,600 2.46 3.25 0.45 2.30 13.22 206.42 105 0.04 106 -0.69 1.94 -1.87 -8.70 -6.25 110.00 4,837 0.27 4,777 1.53 1.04 3.19 1.57 10.23 88.35 385 0.01 385 -0.09 1.32 0.00 -7.23 -4.94 97.44 1,985 -0.23 1,963 0.84 -2.22 0.00 -2.22 4.21 171.23 7,753 1.26 7,622 2.99 6.08 1.95 3.29 8.28 92.64 4,437 -0.27 4,451 -0.59 0.00 -1.67 -7.81 -4.32 108.24 177 10.58 186 5.47 -1.01 -6.67 -12.89 -21.60 40.00 1,551 -3.26 1,593 -5.81 -1.32 -9.64 -16.67 -24.62 -38.14 102 -1.04 101 0.00 6.32 2.02 -9.01 -17.21 98.04 97 2.73 97 2.93 7.53 1.01 -10.71 -23.08 100.00 675 -2.25 680 -2.97 0.00 -2.94 -15.38 -9.59 45.05 4,593 -0.38 4,620 -0.97 2.81 -3.17 -2.66 10.24 162.93 232 -0.91 233 -1.12 4.55 -11.54 -14.81 -24.59 41.98 97 -2.71 97 -2.76 5.62 -12.96 -18.97 -29.32 88.00 713 -0.39 705 0.75 -2.74 2.90 0.00 1.43 69.05 351 -1.62 353 -2.33 0.00 -4.17 -9.21 -12.66 7.81 1,327 -2.04 1,341 -3.03 1.56 -5.80 -16.67 -15.03 157.43 816 -0.77 804 0.69 -1.22 -4.71 19.12 22.73 887.80 146 -1.93 141 1.14 6.72 -8.92 11.72 2.88 186.00 220 -0.07 223 -1.13 0.00 -2.22 -6.38 -4.35 80.33 2,524 -0.96 2,509 -0.34 6.38 -11.50 -9.09 -14.53 228.95 5,510 0.72 5,503 0.85 0.91 2.78 0.00 -4.31 496.77 2,081 -0.28 2,075 0.02 2.47 3.75 -1.19 52.57 382.56 92 -1.30 92 -1.47 1.11 -5.21 -9.90 -7.14 -22.22 543 -0.56 556 -2.80 8.00 -1.82 -22.86 -28.00 80.00 270 -3.65 276 -5.66 -1.89 -8.77 -23.53 -26.76 87.05 577 -2.93 587 -4.55 -1.75 -6.67 -9.68 5.66 128.57 153 -7.62 159 -11.36 0.71 -25.40 -26.94 -31.22 151.79 90 -1.31 91 -1.68 0.00 -5.32 -12.75 -11.00 78.00 309 1.80 311 1.30 6.78 0.00 -7.35 -7.35 160.33 244 -7.68 257 -12.40 9.76 -23.73 -30.77 -39.19 184.81 227 -9.81 247 -17.01 0.00 -29.31 -35.94 -45.33 201.47 207 1.34 212 -0.97 5.00 -8.70 -17.65 6.60 275.00 53 -1.41 53 -2.15 0.00 -5.45 -7.14 -18.75 4.00 17,839 2.31 17,242 5.84 5.80 9.28 30.82 26.30 237.96 442 -0.36 441 -0.27 1.15 -2.22 4.76 3.53 129.17 211 -0.43 211 -0.70 5.00 -4.55 0.00 2.44 159.26 2,819 -2.46 2,840 -3.16 -0.90 -5.17 -8.33 0.92 358.33 10,170 0.29 10,165 0.34 0.00 -0.97 -0.97 0.49 3.03 2,470 0.54 2,451 1.33 2.81 -0.15 0.64 6.13 87.48

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99

Stock INCO INDF INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA RALS SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Close 3,650 3,350 2,150 1,740 12,000 4,900 30,000 1,370 270 1,890 120 1,290 530 8,400 760 127 2,600 124 355 78 900 3,950 700 150 17,600 590 2,700 100 1,530 7,200 590 1,830 198 415 335 1,910 1,800 9,300 0 85 189 275 122 710 710 14,950 11,300 315 530

7-Dec-09 MA ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%)

3,724 3,203 2,182 1,737 11,612 4,992 28,824 1,379 269 1,884 123 1,278 548 8,172 731 128 2,611 120 367 76 809 3,858 736 147 16,894 586 2,552 92 1,565 7,217 607 1,761 203 431 328 1,940 1,620 9,082 178 86 194 237 130 698 730 15,157 11,367 316 537

-1.99 4.59 -1.45 0.16 3.34 -1.84 4.08 -0.67 0.25 0.34 -2.38 0.97 -3.21 2.79 3.94 -0.92 -0.44 3.44 -3.28 2.74 11.19 2.39 -4.88 2.16 4.18 0.69 5.80 9.22 -2.24 -0.23 -2.85 3.94 -2.66 -3.72 2.00 -1.56 11.12 2.40 -100.00 -1.51 -2.48 15.95 -5.81 1.67 -2.70 -1.36 -0.59 -0.44 -1.37

3,786 -3.59 5.80 -5.81 3,169 5.70 8.94 4.69 2,191 -1.89 -3.37 -3.37 1,735 0.32 0.00 2.35 11,534 4.04 8.11 0.84 5,039 -2.76 1.03 -3.92 27,484 9.15 4.53 12.15 1,322 3.61 -2.14 -1.44 268 0.87 1.89 -1.82 1,869 1.15 0.53 0.00 123 -2.21 1.69 -4.76 1,275 1.14 3.20 -0.77 568 -6.64 0.00 -7.02 8,040 4.48 3.70 7.01 734 3.55 10.14 1.33 130 -2.45 0.79 -5.93 2,633 -1.25 4.00 -6.31 123 1.05 7.83 -6.06 369 -3.80 -1.39 -6.58 75 3.97 11.43 2.63 835 7.73 2.27 -7.22 3,795 4.08 8.22 1.94 750 -6.71 -5.41 -9.09 144 4.46 7.91 3.45 16,264 8.21 6.99 13.18 586 0.76 3.51 0.00 2,485 8.64 10.20 12.50 96 4.23 -0.99 -7.41 1,582 -3.30 2.00 -6.71 7,212 -0.16 -1.37 -2.70 605 -2.51 -1.67 -4.84 1,667 9.79 5.17 16.56 204 -2.90 -10.00 -0.50 436 -4.74 -3.49 -9.78 326 2.77 6.35 0.00 1,943 -1.70 1.06 -3.54 1,670 7.75 0.00 1.12 8,948 3.93 3.33 3.33 196 -100.00 -100.00 -100.00 88 -2.99 1.19 -8.60 197 -4.00 -1.05 -7.80 227 21.36 25.00 30.95 119 2.52 -10.95 -1.61 697 1.84 2.90 0.00 733 -3.13 5.97 -12.35 15,212 -1.72 0.00 -4.17 11,099 1.81 2.26 0.44 317 -0.59 3.28 -3.08 536 -1.08 -1.85 -1.85

-14.62 3.08 -8.51 -8.42 5.73 -10.91 26.85 48.91 -1.82 3.28 -6.25 0.00 -18.46 -0.59 -7.32 -19.62 -14.75 -8.82 -13.41 2.63 -10.00 7.48 -12.50 12.78 17.73 -1.67 11.34 -15.97 -3.77 7.46 0.00 39.69 -5.71 -21.70 -2.90 -13.18 -1.64 7.51 -100.00 -20.56 -10.00 19.57 16.19 2.90 -14.46 -5.97 7.62 -7.35 0.00

-14.12 31.37 -9.47 0.58 25.65 -8.41 24.74 61.18 -1.82 8.00 -4.76 8.40 -23.19 10.53 -5.00 -20.13 -7.96 -36.73 -24.47 23.81 1.12 17.91 -4.11 28.21 38.04 -9.23 38.46 -18.03 21.43 22.03 3.51 69.44 -10.00 -20.19 -1.47 -6.83 0.00 8.77 -100.00 -23.42 -3.57 3.77 2.52 10.94 -15.48 10.74 4.15 -7.35 -5.36

ROC 200D (%) 55.32 245.36 49.31 95.51 166.67 -16.24 200.00 222.35 71.97 98.95 140.00 101.56 -32.91 133.33 46.15 135.19 59.51 37.78 -30.39 56.00 73.08 95.06 40.00 123.88 133.11 29.67 114.29 -44.44 183.33 104.26 259.76 83.00 115.22 84.44 63.41 73.64 125.00 44.19 -100.00 60.38 136.25 450.00 -74.85 46.39 111.94 187.50 38.65 53.66 85.96

page 6 of 7


Trading Guide · · · · ·

It always recommended to invest in a good company with a good financial performance. A stock is said to be fairly valued when its P/E equals its growth rate. A growth stock should be in uptrend when you buy and value stock should be consolidating. Always concentrate on the strongest stock candidates for daily trading and long term investment. Trend is your friend. You must analyze everything from the perspective of trends.

Desclaimer Dokumen ini dibuat dari opini analis yang dibuat untuk membantu investor memahami pasar saham Indonesia. Dokumen ini dibuat berdasarkan sumber-sumber yang kami percaya dan dapat diandalkan. Walaupun demikian Bali Securities tidak dapat menjamin keakuratan data dan kelengkapannya. Investor dianjurkan untuk membaca secara utuh dan lengkap dokumen ini sebagai saran dalam berinvestasi dan mengambil langkah yang hati-hati dalam berinvestasi. Keputusan investasi yang diambil tetap merupakan tanggung jawab investor semata. Help in Technical Analysis Page 4 & 5 * Harga saham cenderung naik atau turun pada harga diantara harga support dan resistant. * Beta saham adalah nilai volatilitas terhadap benchmark IHSG. Makin besar beta saham, makin besar volatilitas dibandingkan IHSG. Beta IHSG = 1. * Momentum overbought apabila Stochastic > 80, oversold apabila stochastic < 20. * Today Recommendation: Buy: Today buy, pada saat Bullish MA Crossing Hold Bullish : pada saat close > MA Bearish: pada saat Close < MA Sell: Today Sell, pada saat Bearish MA Crossing * If Trend reverse: harga beli (masuk) atau jual (keluar) jika harga/trend berbalik arah. Harga ini adalah harga hasil perhitungan matematis dan berubah setiap hari. Contoh: jika harga sell at jauh dari harga closing price, saham masih dalam area aman dan masih direkomedasi hold sampai closing price waktu itu mendekati harga sell at...disaat anda harus memperhatikan dengan seksama pergerakan hariannya dan siap-siap menjual pada harga sell at.. Baik digunakan untuk protect mid term gain. Nilai harga if trend reverse adalah sebagai patokan/konfirmasi bahwa mid trend harga saham memang sedang berbalik arah. * Forecast % Up dan % down merupakan potensi kenaikan harga dan penurunan harga hari ini. Nilai ini dihitung dari rata-rata historis pergerakan harian (high/low) setiap hari dan mencerminkan juga volatilitas saham harian. Baik digunakan untuk acuan protect gain dan stop loss. Nilai ini berubah setiap hari. * Candlestick: Doji: "Market this stock is Tired ". Hammer: Trend balik arah, sinyal bullish pada saat downtrend. Engulfing Bull: Trend balik arah, start bullish. Engulfing Bear:Trend balik arah, start bearish. Hanging Man: Trend balik arah, sinyal bearish pada saat uptrend. * Volume: Rally with Volume: Kenaikan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen naik dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini. Reaction with Volume: Penurunan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen turun dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini.

PT BALI SECURITIES

PermataBank Tower I 3rd Floor, Jl.Jend Sudirman Kav 27, Tel.5237815, 5237607 Fax. 2500638 Head of Research Ketut Tri Bayuna 021-5237815 ext 0243

Head of Equity Sales Agus Gunawan 021-5237297/98

page 7 of 7

Daily Investment Guide 8 December 2009  

10,390.11 Nikkei 225 2,483.76 Sumber: kontan.co.id IDX Index List Stockholm General FTSE 100 IHSG CAC 40 DAX % Change Hang Seng 2,511.96 DJI...

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