Page 1

PT. BALI SECURITIES Market Update

Daily Investment Guide 7-Oct-09

6-Oct-09

IHSG

2,528.15

Up 47.733 (1.92%) 2,480.41 2,480.83 2,480.8259 - 2,533.063 1,089.34 - 2,533.06

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 6-Oct-09

9,691.80

Nikkei 225

Up 17.31 (0.18%) 9,674.49 9,744.42 9,628.67 - 9,744.42 6,994.90 - 10,839.50

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 6-Oct-09

9,731.25

DJIA

9,731.25 Up 131.50 (1.37%) 9,599.75 9,601.26 9,601.26 - 9,774.32 6,440.08 - 10,205.00

Index Value: Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range:

IDX Index List

Index COMPOSITE AGRI MINING BASIC-IND MISC-IND CONSUMER PROPERTY INFRASTRUC FINANCE TRADE MANUFACTUR LQ45 JII MBX DBX KOMPAS100 BISNIS-27 PEFINDO25 SRI-KEHATI

10 Most Active Stocks

Stock BUMI KARK MEDC ASIA SDRA BNBR ASRI RAJA LPKR CNKO

Previous 3,125 108 3,075 156 295 129 115 105 670 79

Daily Trading Summary

Buy/Sell

Buy

6-Oct-09

Previous Close Change 2,480.41 2,528.15 47.73 1,756.23 1,779.74 23.51 2,234.27 2,231.27 -3.00 247.08 251.15 4.08 565.91 602.32 36.41 594.48 603.03 8.55 165.40 166.19 0.79 693.27 695.50 2.23 308.42 318.82 10.39 276.93 281.29 4.37 480.53 495.73 15.20 486.50 497.60 11.11 398.03 406.52 8.49 696.23 711.48 15.25 420.50 420.22 -0.28 603.35 615.80 12.45 224.64 230.63 5.99 195.15 200.22 5.07 142.27 146.65 4.37

Volume Value Sell Volume Value Foreign BUY Value Net

up up down up up up up up up up up up up up down up up up up

% 1.92 1.34 -0.13 1.65 6.43 1.44 0.48 0.32 3.37 1.58 3.16 2.28 2.13 2.19 -0.07 2.06 2.67 2.60 3.07 6-Oct-09

Close Change 3,075 -50 137 29 3,250 175 156 0 345 50 128 -1 122 7 111 6 670 0 79 0 Foreign Investor 388,504,088 1,377,147,300,592 308,250,588 1,120,585,232,592

down up up down up down up up down down

% -1.60 26.85 5.69 0.00 16.95 -0.78 6.09 5.71 0.00 0.00

6-Oct-09 Domestic Investor 5,631,532,785 3,499,267,273,231 5,711,786,285 3,755,829,341,231

256,562,068,000

6-Oct-09

Asia Pacific All Ordinaries Shanghai Composite Hang Seng BSE 30 Nikkei 225 NZSE 50 Straits Times Seoul Composite Taiwan Weighted 6-Oct-09

US Major DJIA Nasdaq S&P 500

6-Oct-09

% Change Close 4,597.20 Up 17.900 (0.39%) 2,779.43 Up 24.886 (0.90%) 20,811.53 Up 382.46 (1.87%) 16,970.56 Up 104.15 (0.62%) 9,691.80 Up 17.31 (0.18%) 3,151.55 Up 12.826 (0.41%) 2,611.89 Up 28.16 (1.09%) 1,598.44 Down 8.46 (0.53%) 7,536.05 Up 98.07 (1.32%)

Europe ATX BEL-20 CAC 40 DAX OSE All Share Madrid General Stockholm General Swiss Market FTSE 100

% Change Close 9,731.25 Up 131.50 (1.37%) 2,103.57 Up 35.42 (1.71%) 1,054.72 Up 14.26 (1.37%)

6-Oct-09 Commodity US Coal Index OIL Nymex (Nov) Gold (Sept)

Close 2,611.74 2,526.87 3,770.21 5,657.64 375.84 1,236.44 278.57 6,277.16 5,137.98

% Change Up 110.74 (4.43%) Up 80.87 (3.31%) Up 95.20 (2.59%) Up 148.79 (2.70%) Up 9.55 (2.61%) Up 27.96 (2.31%) Up 5.07 (1.85%) Up 114.26 (1.85%) Up 113.65 (2.26%)

% Change Close 288.34 Up 10.47 (3.77%) Up 0.51 (0.72%) 71.39 992.00 Down 0.50 (0.05%)

Daily Investment Guide and Market Analysis Indeks kemarin mengalami kegairahan karena invetsor kembali masuk ke saham-saham unggulan. Investor banyak masuk kesaham-saham unggulan disebabkan oleh kekhawatiran koreksi global sudah berkurang. Data ekonomi AS yang penting seperti indeks sektor service terakhir mengalami peningkatan yang diluar perkiraan sebelumnya menyebabkan optimisme bahwa pemulihan ekonomi masih berlanjut . Indeks dalam negeri juga naik dikarenakan fundamental ekonomi Indonesia dianggap sangat baik dan hal ini membuat investor melihat Indonesia menjadi salah satu pasar untuk investasi portfolio yang menjanjikan karena pertumbuhan ekonomi positif sementara harga pasar masih dianggap reasonable. Indeks IHSG sudah menembus resistant 2.500, sehingga secara umum hal ini mendorong keyakinan investor dalam negeri dan asing untuk optimis akan rally indeks ini. Hari ini kemungkinan IHSG akan melaju naik lagi karena hal tersebut selain sentimen kenaikan indeks regional pagi ini dan Amerika dan Eropa kemarin.

Selected News Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal (BKPM) mengharapkan investasi pengusaha Amerika Serikat (AS) pada tahun 2010 bisa mencapai US$ 300-400 juta. Hal ini sejalan dengan komitmen-komitmen yang sudah disampaikan, terlebih lagi investasi AS di Indonesia sudah cukup lama absen dalam menduduki posisi investasi lima teratas di Indonesia. Lembaga pemeringkat efek, Fitch Rating memberikan peringkat B dengan rating watch negatif untuk PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk (BLTA). Pemberian rating Fitch ini terkait dengan rencana pengambilalihan Camillo Eitzen & Co ASA (CECO). Fitch menilai penggabungan dua usaha perusahaan kapal tanker ini akan membuat kinerja keuangan BLTA menjadi lemah, demikian siaran pers Fitch, Selasa (6/10). CECO merupakan operator kapal tanker kimia raksasa yang bermarkas di Oslo, Norwegia. Fitch menilai penggabungan dua perusahaan, BLTA dan CECO akan menghasilkan perusahaan tanker kimia terbesar di dunia. Sumber: detikfinance.com, inilah.com


Commodity, Energy & Metals price update Commodty Indx UBS BLOOMB CMCI S&P GSCI RJ/CRB Commodity Rogers Intl

Value

Change

1,166.87 463.06 259.47 2,942.44

21.17 5.68 3.24 48.34

6-Oct-09

Open

Energy

1,156.76 462.24 256.19 2,915.07

BRENT CRD FUT (USD/bbl) GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT) GASOLINE RB FUT (USd/gal) HEATING OIL FUT (USd/gal) NAT GAS FUT (USD/MMBtu) WTI CRUDE FUT (USD/bbl.)

Price 69.20 573.50 178.80 183.27 4.93 71.47

Change 0.64 -3.00 1.53 1.85 0.05 0.59

% Change 0.93 -0.52 0.86 1.02 1.02 0.83

Metals COPPER FUT (USd/lb.) GOLD 100oz FUT (USD/t oz.) SILVER FUTURE (USD/t oz.)

Price 276.10 1,040.60 17.41

Change

% Change

-2.35 0.90 0.12

-0.84 0.09 0.66

Sumber: Bloomberg

Where Foreign Money Flows No.

Stock

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

ASRI SMCB VRNA BBRI BMRI BNBR ELTY INDF BBCA LSIP KLBF ASII UNTR BTEL UNSP SMGR CTRA UNVR BTPN BNGA INKP INTP SOBI INDF ACES ISAT LTLS AALI ANTM BBRI

ForeignSell (shares) 70,000 6,252,000 2,500,000 1,964,500 4,891,500 6,500,000 313,000 2,979,000 5,381,000 743,500 250,000 2,531,500 1,212,000 100,000 1,500 229,000 1,552,000 1,947,500 492,500 2,831,500 278,000 745,500 8,500 512,000 250,000 364,000 209,000 7,000 3,234,500 1,286,288

ForeignBuy (shares) 68,201,500 34,553,500 22,000,000 21,211,000 18,595,500 17,783,000 8,957,000 8,690,500 10,941,500 6,301,500 3,900,500 5,797,000 4,417,500 2,672,500 2,071,000 2,229,000 3,500,000 3,472,000 1,618,000 3,827,000 1,203,500 1,611,000 721,500 1,112,000 695,000 799,500 437,000 218,500 3,440,000 1,461,288

6-Oct-09 Net Buy (shares)

No.

Stock

68,131,500 28,301,500 19,500,000 19,246,500 13,704,000 11,283,000 8,644,000 5,711,500 5,560,500 5,558,000 3,650,500 3,265,500 3,205,500 2,572,500 2,069,500 2,000,000 1,948,000 1,524,500 1,125,500 995,500 925,500 865,500 713,000 600,000 445,000 435,500 228,000 211,500 205,500 175,000

31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60

TSPC SMRA ASII SDRA INTP ISAT INKP UNTR INCO SMRA UNVR BDMN BUMI ITMG TLKM PGAS BMRI PTBA RALS BBNI BBCA AALI SMCB ANTM INDY MYOR INCO BRPT PLAS TBLA

ForeignSell (shares) 150,000 100,000 1,954,500 385,000 62,500 1,860,500 299,000 666,000 75,500 2,100,000 431,600 577,500 8,086,500 10,000 1,293,254 1,737,000 3,701,946 453,500 4,011,000 138,500 1,477,000 14,000 500,000 578,000 400,000 81,500 222,500 121,500 107,000 390,000

ForeignBuy (shares) 300,500 247,000 2,024,500 401,000 72,500 1,860,500 299,000 666,000 75,500 2,100,000 431,600 577,500 8,086,500 10,000 1,293,254 1,737,000 3,701,946 453,500 4,011,000 138,500 1,477,000 14,000 500,000 578,000 384,000 38,000 170,000 50,000 7,000 252,500

Net Buy (shares) 150,500 147,000 70,000 16,000 10,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -16,000 -43,500 -52,500 -71,500 -100,000 -137,500

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77

BYAN GGRM BLTA HEXA MTDL CPRO JPFA TLKM BKSL ITTG ITMG BISI MEDC PTBA KARK SMGR BBNI KIJA ADRO DOID LPKR BDMN PGAS CTRP BUMI

336,500 192,500 1,891,500 403,500 740,000 688,500 1,537,500 12,770,000 1,500,000 2,713,500 1,345,500 2,346,500 2,549,500 4,634,500 2,276,500 8,522,500 3,960,000 2,500,000 8,528,000 8,097,000 14,557,000 13,145,000 26,735,000 23,011,500 51,042,000

ForeignBuy (shares) 182,000 13,000 1,568,000 25,000 250,000 500 818,000 11,881,000 425,000 1,571,000 111,500 1,013,000 1,039,000 3,092,500 434,500 6,562,000 1,994,500 250,000 5,870,000 3,595,000 9,231,000 2,544,500 15,400,500 2,500,500 9,457,500

Net Buy (shares) -154,500 -179,500 -323,500 -378,500 -490,000 -688,000 -719,500 -889,000 -1,075,000 -1,142,500 -1,234,000 -1,333,500 -1,510,500 -1,542,000 -1,842,000 -1,960,500 -1,965,500 -2,250,000 -2,658,000 -4,502,000 -5,326,000 -10,600,500 -11,334,500 -20,511,000 -41,584,500

page 2 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation No

Stock

Beta

Close

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

1.03 0.34 2.28 0.44 0.58 0.99 1.45 -0.29 1.19 2.20 -0.32 1.51 0.82 0.77 1.44 1.44 0.93 1.44 0.67 1.83 0.63 1.19 0.81 0.97 0.13 0.55 1.38 0.69 -0.39 1.51 0.34 0.59 0.04 1.08 1.05 1.03 1.46 0.22 1.02 1.36 1.34 0.96 0.92 0.31 1.28 1.13 1.36 1.00 0.76 1.26

21,000 445 161 1,440 400 1,170 2,525 250 300 34,600 127 5,200 430 2,100 8,100 4,850 255 1,990 126 124 810 5,150 300 130 740 395 1,490 140 240 3,075 5,800 1,620 111 740 365 550 210 105 360 360 375 210 56 14,300 465 210 2,950 2,528 4,150 3,100

Support Resistant Momentum 20,450 440 121 1,370 395 980 2,400 235 285 29,900 110 4,400 405 2,000 7,400 4,500 245 1,990 118 119 730 4,300 300 125 680 385 1,460 136 230 2,975 5,500 1,340 95 720 340 520 200 97 340 350 365 195 54 14,100 405 199 2,775 2,395 4,050 2,750

21,500 465 163 1,460 440 1,200 2,650 265 310 35,000 137 5,500 440 2,150 8,300 5,100 285 2,100 138 128 850 5,150 320 138 770 410 1,560 148 245 3,475 5,850 1,700 134 750 370 550 215 112 360 385 400 220 62 15,050 470 220 2,950 2,533 4,375 3,100

--Overbought -Oversold Overbought -----------Oversold ---Overbought Oversold -------Overbought Overbought ------Overbought ---Oversold -Overbought --Overbought -Overbought

7-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

4 6 5 10 10 4 0 15 0 4 6 9 0 5 4 9 15 4 4 0 9 4 7 1 3 17 3 12 11 16 5 4 9 4 1 0 0 2 0 4 5 0 16 9 7 7 4 4 10 10

1 3 11 11 8 5 6 24 6 7 10 12 2 6 6 0 6 2 8 11 12 6 3 8 9 12 1 5 2 5 9 5 2 2 3 2 1 4 2 3 2 2 10 1 8 12 6 6 8 11

1.2 1.0 5.6 1.3 1.0 2.7 2.0 2.7 1.5 2.8 3.7 3.6 1.9 1.8 2.7 1.2 1.5 1.0 3.5 1.7 2.7 2.7 1.4 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.9 1.2 3.4 2.7 1.4 2.5 1.8 2.4 3.2 1.5 1.5 1.6 3.0 2.2 1.2 2.5 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.8 2.2

1.0 1.2 4.6 1.1 1.2 2.2 1.6 2.2 1.2 2.3 3.1 2.9 1.5 1.4 2.2 1.5 1.2 1.2 2.9 1.4 2.2 2.2 1.7 2.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.3 2.3 1.0 2.8 3.3 1.1 2.0 1.5 1.9 2.6 1.2 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.7 1.5 2.0 1.7 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.8

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

Today Rekomedation

Trend Reverse

-Doji -----Doji --------Doji --Doji ----------Doji --------Doji --Doji --Doji -----

Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume -----Rally with Volume --------Rally with Volume Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume -Reaction with Volume ---Rally with Volume Rally with Volume Rally with Volume Rally with Volume

Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Sell Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Buy Hold(bullish) Buy Bearish Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish)

buy at 20,775 buy at 460 sell at 94 sell at 1,385 buy at 420 sell at 955 sell at 2,419 sell at 249 sell at 289 sell at 29,588 sell at 106 sell at 4,269 sell at 403 sell at 2,050 sell at 7,100 buy at 4,931 buy at 258 buy at 2,089 sell at 119 sell at 122 sell at 775 sell at 4,100 buy at 320 sell at 132 sell at 660 buy at 393 buy at 1,518 buy at 142 buy at 246 buy at 3,331 sell at 5,613 sell at 1,268 buy at 130 buy at 730 sell at 335 sell at 520 sell at 204 sell at 95 sell at 341 buy at 369 buy at 386 sell at 188 buy at 61 buy at 15,100 sell at 386 sell at 209 sell at 2,794 sell at 2,387 buy at 4,150 sell at 2,781

page 4 of 7


Jakarta Composite Index Chart 100

6-Oct-09 100

Projection Oscillator

90

90

Money Flow Index

80

50

50

0

0

80

70

70

60

60

50

Stochastic Oscillator

90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10

50

40

40

30

90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10

30 IHSG

2550

2550

2500

2500

2450

2450

2400

2400

2350

2350

2300

2300

2250

2250

2200

2200

2150

2150

2100

2100

2050

2050

2000

2000

1950

1950

1900

1900

1850

1850

1950

1800

1800

1900

1750

1750

1850

1700

IHSG 2500

P

2450

P

2400

P P

2350

O

2300

O

O

2500

P

2450 2400

O

2350

O

2300

2250

2250

2200

2200

2150

2150

P

2100

2100

2050

2050

O

2000

2000

1950

O

1900 1850

15000

15000

10000

10000

5000 15

x1000000

22

29

6

13

21

27

July

3 August

10

18

24

31

7

14

28

September

5 October

12

19

1650

20000

20000

10000

5000

x1000000

1700

1650

10000

x1000000

4

x1000000

11

18

25

1 June

8

15

22

29

6

13

21

July

27

3 August

10

18

24

31

7 September

14

Market Price Update No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Stock AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

28

5 October

12

19

6-Oct-09

Open

High

Low

20,750 445 134 1,420 405 1,160 2,475 250 295 32,200 130 5,000 420 2,075 7,700 4,775 255 2,000 129 124 820 4,875 305 136 720 390 1,500 141 245 3,150 5,800 1,650 115 730 355 530 205 108 350 360 380 195 56 14,600 460 210 2,875 2,481 4,125 2,950

21,200 450 163 1,460 410 1,190 2,575 255 300 35,000 133 5,350 440 2,125 8,300 4,875 255 2,025 138 128 840 5,150 310 138 770 410 1,520 143 245 3,175 5,850 1,700 117 750 370 550 215 112 360 365 385 220 57 14,800 470 215 2,950 2,533 4,175 3,100

20,800 440 130 1,420 400 1,160 2,500 245 295 32,800 124 5,000 425 2,050 7,800 4,775 250 1,990 126 124 800 4,850 300 130 720 395 1,480 139 240 3,050 5,750 1,610 110 730 345 530 205 103 350 355 370 197 54 14,100 455 205 2,875 2,481 4,100 2,950

Previous 20,750 445 134 1,420 405 1,160 2,475 250 295 32,200 130 5,000 420 2,075 7,700 4,775 255 2,000 129 124 820 4,875 305 136 720 390 1,500 141 245 3,150 5,800 1,650 115 730 355 530 205 108 350 360 380 195 56 14,600 460 210 2,875 2,480 4,125 2,950

Close 21,000 445 161 1,440 400 1,170 2,525 250 300 34,600 127 5,200 430 2,100 8,100 4,850 255 1,990 126 124 810 5,150 300 130 740 395 1,490 140 240 3,075 5,800 1,620 111 740 365 550 210 105 360 360 375 210 56 14,300 465 210 2,950 2,528 4,150 3,100

% Change

1.20 0.00 20.15 1.41 -1.23 0.86 2.02 0.00 1.69 7.45 -2.31 4.00 2.38 1.20 5.19 1.57 0.00 -0.50 -2.33 0.00 -1.22 5.64 -1.64 -4.41 2.78 1.28 -0.67 -0.71 -2.04 -2.38 0.00 -1.82 -3.48 1.37 2.82 3.77 2.44 -2.78 2.86 0.00 -1.32 7.69 0.00 -2.05 1.09 0.00 2.61 1.92 0.61 5.08

Volume 1,938,000 1,656,500 57,515,500 131,097,504 1,844,500 10,493,000 38,144,500 5,305,000 980,000 6,657,500 218,383,008 17,077,000 19,264,000 39,446,000 30,968,500 21,430,500 782,500 2,914,500 45,910,500 46,660,000 27,925,000 28,117,000 11,461,500 1,190,049,536 10,415,500 1,970,000 7,404,000 71,893,504 778,500 213,906,000 606,500 6,421,000 1,550,000 6,844,500 93,720,000 9,831,500 54,633,500 80,674,000 35,625,000 51,169,500 51,205,000 3,482,500 432,311,488 540,000 8,092,000 6,393,000 2,742,000 6,019,999,744 16,702,500 42,210,500

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Open

High

Low

2,475 1,790 11,350 5,500 24,200 900 295 1,830 133 1,320 670 7,600 850 176 3,275 190 465 87 270 1,050 3,725 850 148 14,100 2,100 125 1,430 6,450 670 1,180 220 550 340 2,150 1,810 8,500 255 125 210 245 131 740 860 15,300 10,750 345 540

2,525 1,830 11,800 5,500 24,300 910 305 1,850 135 1,350 700 8,000 860 180 3,350 190 465 89 280 1,060 3,775 870 148 14,350 2,125 127 1,540 6,550 690 1,230 225 560 345 2,175 1,810 8,650 260 130 215 250 135 750 880 16,250 11,000 350 560

2,425 1,790 11,400 5,450 24,000 890 290 1,820 131 1,320 660 7,550 850 174 3,150 187 455 84 270 1,040 3,675 850 144 14,100 2,075 123 1,440 6,450 650 1,170 215 540 335 2,125 1,800 8,450 255 121 205 240 121 710 850 15,400 10,800 345 540

Previous 2,475 1,790 11,350 5,500 24,200 900 295 1,830 133 1,320 670 7,600 850 176 3,275 190 465 87 270 1,050 3,725 850 148 14,100 2,100 125 1,430 6,450 670 1,180 220 550 340 2,150 1,810 8,500 255 125 210 245 131 740 860 15,300 10,750 345 540

Close 2,450 1,820 11,600 5,450 24,050 910 300 1,840 132 1,330 690 7,950 850 175 3,150 189 460 84 275 1,040 3,700 850 144 14,200 2,075 127 1,540 6,500 650 1,230 225 540 345 2,150 1,810 8,600 255 121 210 245 125 720 870 16,100 11,000 350 560

% Change -1.01 1.68 2.20 -0.91 -0.62 1.11 1.69 0.55 -0.75 0.76 2.99 4.61 0.00 -0.57 -3.82 -0.53 -1.08 -3.45 1.85 -0.95 -0.67 0.00 -2.70 0.71 -1.19 1.60 7.69 0.78 -2.99 4.24 2.27 -1.82 1.47 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.00 -3.20 0.00 0.00 -4.58 -2.70 1.16 5.23 2.33 1.45 3.70

Volume 5,431,500 2,229,500 3,356,000 1,422,500 1,773,500 2,185,500 4,456,500 13,587,500 64,437,500 15,510,500 140,167,504 13,812,000 720,500 13,546,500 58,212,500 168,500 17,637,000 16,645,000 1,198,500 952,000 41,381,500 284,500 12,502,000 7,418,000 2,976,500 130,000 107,462,496 13,176,000 6,851,500 3,141,500 1,571,500 4,650,500 11,421,500 12,776,500 58,500 27,462,000 322,500 5,266,000 15,269,500 5,724,000 3,767,500 1,768,000 52,788,500 10,527,000 3,634,000 6,076,000 11,000

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Trading Guide · · · · ·

It always recommended to invest in a good company with a good financial performance. A stock is said to be fairly valued when its P/E equals its growth rate. A growth stock should be in uptrend when you buy and value stock should be consolidating. Always concentrate on the strongest stock candidates for daily trading and long term investment. Trend is your friend. You must analyze everything from the perspective of trends.

Desclaimer Dokumen ini dibuat dari opini analis yang dibuat untuk membantu investor memahami pasar saham Indonesia. Dokumen ini dibuat berdasarkan sumbersumber yang kami percaya dan dapat diandalkan. Walaupun demikian Bali Securities tidak dapat menjamin keakuratan data dan kelengkapannya. Investor dianjurkan untuk membaca secara utuh dan lengkap dokumen ini sebagai saran dalam berinvestasi dan mengambil langkah yang hati-hati dalam berinvestasi. Keputusan investasi yang diambil tetap merupakan tanggung jawab investor semata. Help in Technical Analysis Page 4 & 5 * Harga saham cenderung naik atau turun pada harga diantara harga support dan resistant. * Beta saham adalah nilai volatilitas terhadap benchmark IHSG. Makin besar beta saham, makin besar volatilitas dibandingkan IHSG. Beta IHSG = 1. * Momentum overbought apabila Stochastic > 80, oversold apabila stochastic < 20. * Today Recommendation: Buy: Today buy, pada saat Bullish MA Crossing Hold Bullish : pada saat close > MA Bearish: pada saat Close < MA Sell: Today Sell, pada saat Bearish MA Crossing * If Trend reverse: harga beli (masuk) atau jual (keluar) jika harga/trend berbalik arah. Harga ini adalah harga hasil perhitungan matematis dan berubah setiap hari. Contoh: jika harga sell at jauh dari harga closing price, saham masih dalam area aman dan masih direkomedasi hold sampai closing price waktu itu mendekati harga sell at...disaat anda harus memperhatikan dengan seksama pergerakan hariannya dan siap-siap menjual pada harga sell at.. Baik digunakan untuk protect mid term gain. Nilai harga if trend reverse adalah sebagai patokan/konfirmasi bahwa mid trend harga saham memang sedang berbalik arah. * Forecast % Up dan % down merupakan potensi kenaikan harga dan penurunan harga hari ini. Nilai ini dihitung dari rata-rata historis pergerakan harian (high/low) setiap hari dan mencerminkan juga volatilitas saham harian. Baik digunakan untuk acuan protect gain dan stop loss. Nilai ini berubah setiap hari. * Candlestick: Doji: "Market this stock is Tired ". Hammer: Trend balik arah, sinyal bullish pada saat downtrend. Engulfing Bull: Trend balik arah, start bullish. Engulfing Bear:Trend balik arah, start bearish. Hanging Man: Trend balik arah, sinyal bearish pada saat uptrend. * Volume: Rally with Volume: Kenaikan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen naik dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini. Reaction with Volume: Penurunan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen turun dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini.

PT BALI SECURITIES

PermataBank Tower I 3rd Floor, Jl.Jend Sudirman Kav 27, Tel.5237815, 5237607 Fax. 2500638 Research Ketut Tri Bayuna 021-5237815 ext 0243

Equity Sales Suryati Budiawan 021-5237297/98

Fixed Income Sales Agus Gunawan 021-5237296

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Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation (cont'd) No Stock Beta 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

0.61 0.69 1.37 0.87 0.88 0.48 0.45 0.35 1.07 1.07 0.45 1.04 0.48 1.28 0.78 0.16 0.93 1.22 1.65 1.01 0.95 0.96 1.51 1.03 0.58 0.97 0.91 0.67 1.16 0.61 1.73 1.11 1.07 1.01 0.46 0.78 1.54 1.51 1.12 1.16 0.75 0.33 1.41 1.80 0.29 0.78 0.91

Close 2,450 1,820 11,600 5,450 24,050 910 300 1,840 132 1,330 690 7,950 850 175 3,150 189 460 84 275 1,040 3,700 850 144 14,200 2,075 127 1,540 6,500 650 1,230 225 540 345 2,150 1,810 8,600 255 121 210 245 125 720 870 16,100 11,000 350 560

Support Resistant Momentum 2,425 1,760 9,900 5,300 23,450 830 280 1,810 130 1,160 650 7,250 810 160 2,850 185 450 83 270 1,000 3,525 830 140 13,700 1,970 112 1,310 6,200 540 1,140 210 530 335 2,075 1,800 8,300 245 109 199 240 115 640 830 14,050 10,500 340 540

2,575 1,830 12,200 5,650 25,300 950 310 1,920 141 1,350 720 8,000 880 180 3,400 196 480 97 290 1,130 3,800 880 155 14,950 2,125 133 1,540 6,600 690 1,230 230 640 355 2,200 1,860 8,800 260 142 240 265 140 780 910 16,250 11,000 360 560

---------Overbought -Overbought ------------Overbought -Overbought ----Oversold -------Oversold ---Overbought Overbought ---

7-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

2 13 16 1 0 7 3 15 14 7 17 4 3 4 3 8 16 15 16 3 3 4 1 0 10 0 15 0 2 22 0 10 4 4 9 8 3 5 15 4 4 10 15 4 4 15 0

1 24 20 6 3 12 10 2 2 33 7 12 4 6 6 6 8 3 8 0 6 0 2 5 12 3 17 5 8 30 12 5 2 7 11 1 6 6 24 2 11 21 7 5 6 6 10

1.3 0.9 2.9 0.8 0.8 2.4 2.5 0.7 1.5 1.6 2.2 1.9 1.5 2.4 3.1 1.1 1.1 2.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.6 3.8 2.5 1.5 3.9 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.4 1.1 0.3 1.2 1.8 4.1 2.4 1.5 4.8 3.6 1.8 2.3 1.3 1.1 0.9

1.6 0.8 2.4 1.0 0.9 2.0 2.1 0.9 1.8 1.3 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.9 2.6 1.3 1.3 3.1 1.7 1.7 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.0 1.3 3.1 2.1 1.3 3.2 1.5 1.7 2.6 1.1 1.4 0.4 1.0 1.4 5.1 2.9 1.8 3.9 3.0 1.5 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.8

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

Today Rekomedation

------------Doji --------Doji -----------Doji Doji -Doji -Doji Doji --------

Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume Rally with Volume --------Rally with Volume Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume Rally with Volume ---Reaction with Volume Rally with Volume ------Rally with Volume Rally with Volume Rally with Volume ---

Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Sell Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Bearish Bearish Sell Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy

Trend Reverse buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at

2,494 1,775 10,000 5,475 23,950 825 270 1,878 135 1,205 665 7,100 815 155 2,869 195 466 91 281 1,043 3,631 863 146 13,963 2,044 121 1,153 6,250 535 1,135 216 565 343 2,150 1,810 8,613 253 119 210 256 120 620 860 13,975 10,538 349 533

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Technical Analysis Data (Moving Average) and Stock Performance (Price Rate of Change)

No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

Stock Close AALI 21,000 20,909 0.44 20,914 0.41 0.72 0.24 -0.71 20.34 160.87 ADHI 445 450 -1.18 452 -1.54 -3.26 -3.26 0.00 3.49 192.76 ADMG 161 134 20.24 129 25.15 26.77 29.84 38.79 59.41 168.33 ADRO 1,440 1,411 2.05 1,396 3.17 1.41 5.11 8.27 23.08 206.38 AISA 400 410 -2.34 415 -3.54 -2.44 -8.05 -4.76 -5.88 1.27 AKRA 1,170 1,082 8.13 1,026 14.07 17.00 15.84 42.68 37.65 125.00 ANTM 2,525 2,482 1.74 2,461 2.59 4.12 -2.88 6.32 23.17 157.65 APOL 250 246 1.42 243 3.07 2.04 8.70 8.70 6.38 51.52 ASGR 300 295 1.77 292 2.59 1.69 0.00 9.09 9.09 53.85 ASII 34,600 32,620 6.07 31,859 8.60 8.46 5.17 20.98 47.55 286.59 ASRI 127 119 6.41 117 8.93 9.48 14.41 14.41 12.39 154.00 BBCA 5,200 4,812 8.06 4,638 12.11 14.29 18.86 23.81 43.45 94.39 BBKP 430 417 3.14 412 4.42 2.38 6.17 10.26 36.51 132.43 BBNI 2,100 2,073 1.29 2,038 3.05 1.20 5.00 10.53 21.39 346.81 BBRI 8,100 7,689 5.34 7,579 6.87 6.58 5.19 18.25 21.80 153.13 BDMN 4,850 4,836 0.29 4,781 1.45 -3.00 8.38 10.23 7.18 83.02 BHIT 255 255 -0.13 256 -0.30 -1.92 -1.92 2.00 -7.27 42.46 BISI 1,990 2,026 -1.77 2,036 -2.26 -2.93 -2.93 -2.93 9.34 63.11 BKDP 126 124 1.79 123 2.55 0.80 1.61 6.78 32.63 152.00 BKSL 124 124 0.27 127 -2.30 0.81 0.81 -14.48 -22.01 72.22 BLTA 810 795 1.88 781 3.76 1.25 9.46 6.58 -12.90 105.06 BMRI 5,150 4,731 8.85 4,552 13.13 15.08 13.19 34.64 58.46 245.64 BMTR 300 308 -2.46 313 -4.07 -4.76 -3.23 -9.09 -14.29 78.57 BNBR 130 131 -1.01 131 -0.74 -0.76 -3.70 8.33 46.07 160.00 BNGA 740 709 4.44 702 5.41 7.25 5.71 8.82 13.85 85.00 BNII 395 394 0.31 395 -0.05 0.00 0.00 1.28 1.28 -2.47 BRPT 1,490 1,508 -1.22 1,515 -1.65 0.68 -2.61 2.05 20.16 272.50 BTEL 140 141 -0.51 141 -0.92 -0.71 -1.41 2.19 9.38 180.00 BUDI 240 242 -0.68 239 0.35 0.00 -2.04 14.29 23.08 84.62 BUMI 3,075 3,150 -2.37 3,117 -1.34 -3.91 -7.52 5.13 70.83 299.35 BYAN 5,800 5,749 0.89 5,711 1.55 0.87 0.87 8.41 9.43 590.48 CPIN 1,620 1,492 8.61 1,424 13.73 19.12 20.00 43.36 153.13 290.36 CSAP 111 113 -1.88 110 0.93 -11.20 18.09 11.00 -11.20 -19.57 CTRA 740 737 0.35 743 -0.47 0.00 1.37 -2.63 -1.33 348.48 CTRP 365 354 3.15 356 2.61 2.82 4.29 1.39 -5.19 174.44 CTRS 550 537 2.48 538 2.26 1.85 5.77 3.77 7.84 269.13 DEWA 210 207 1.34 208 1.04 2.44 0.00 -2.33 6.60 320.00 DGIK 105 101 3.51 101 3.70 5.00 6.06 0.96 -1.87 110.00 ELSA 360 352 2.28 351 2.43 1.41 1.41 1.41 5.88 224.32 ELTY 360 364 -0.99 364 -0.98 -2.70 -4.00 5.88 18.03 531.58 ENRG 375 379 -1.06 381 -1.62 -5.06 -1.32 -2.60 5.63 253.77 FPNI 210 201 4.74 199 5.45 6.06 7.14 16.02 20.00 268.42 FREN 56 58 -3.80 60 -6.55 -5.08 -8.20 -18.84 12.00 12.00 GGRM 14,300 14,552 -1.73 14,508 -1.44 -3.05 0.00 -1.38 16.73 236.47 GJTL 465 432 7.59 411 13.14 9.41 12.05 50.00 52.46 168.79 GZCO 210 209 0.43 208 1.13 0.00 2.44 0.00 17.32 150.00 HEXA 2,950 2,885 2.24 2,854 3.36 3.51 2.61 15.69 26.88 375.81 IHSG 2,528 2,466 2.51 2,433 3.92 3.45 3.64 10.99 21.82 112.00 INCO 4,150 4,165 -0.37 4,226 -1.80 0.00 -3.49 -8.79 0.61 112.82 INDF 3,100 2,933 5.68 2,831 9.52 5.08 12.73 33.33 66.67 248.31

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Close 2,450 1,820 11,600 5,450 24,050 910 300 1,840 132 1,330 690 7,950 850 175 3,150 189 460 84 275 1,040 3,700 850 144 14,200 2,075 127 1,540 6,500 650 1,230 225 540 345 2,150 1,810 8,600 255 121 210 245 125 720 870 16,100 11,000 350 560

6-Oct-09 MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

2,466 -0.64 2,458 -0.31 0.00 -2.97 4.26 0.00 131.13 1,796 1.35 1,787 1.84 1.68 3.41 8.33 1.11 136.36 10,897 6.45 10,482 10.67 9.43 16.58 24.06 61.11 226.76 5,449 0.02 5,422 0.52 0.93 0.93 6.86 -0.91 15.96 24,057 -0.03 24,039 0.05 -0.62 -3.02 3.22 23.02 182.94 877 3.75 861 5.68 8.33 7.06 13.75 42.19 142.67 289 3.95 287 4.38 7.14 7.14 5.26 -3.23 117.39 1,841 -0.06 1,826 0.76 -1.08 0.55 7.60 12.88 130.00 132 -0.33 131 0.40 -1.49 -2.22 2.33 22.22 164.00 1,280 3.89 1,259 5.62 6.40 11.76 3.10 35.71 236.71 681 1.28 685 0.66 2.99 -1.43 2.99 2.99 -21.59 7,624 4.28 7,575 4.96 6.00 6.71 8.16 32.50 214.85 836 1.68 832 2.16 2.41 2.41 1.19 10.39 70.00 167 4.64 166 5.30 6.71 7.36 6.06 9.38 250.00 3,063 2.85 3,012 4.58 9.57 5.00 5.88 4.13 87.50 192 -1.35 192 -1.54 -1.56 -1.56 -5.50 70.27 177.94 464 -0.86 470 -2.12 0.00 -2.13 -9.80 -14.81 -23.33 85 -1.19 81 3.73 -3.45 -7.69 31.25 37.70 68.00 278 -1.05 279 -1.31 -1.79 -3.51 1.85 -6.78 121.77 1,038 0.18 1,007 3.27 0.00 -5.45 25.30 36.84 67.74 3,674 0.71 3,618 2.27 1.37 -1.33 14.73 13.85 100.00 847 0.32 825 3.08 1.19 2.41 19.72 26.87 63.46 143 0.62 137 5.01 -1.37 -4.00 32.11 26.32 100.00 14,077 0.88 13,869 2.39 1.43 -4.05 10.08 24.56 132.79 2,060 0.73 2,041 1.65 1.22 2.47 2.47 20.64 97.62 125 1.87 126 1.18 0.79 3.25 -1.55 -9.93 -38.05 1,384 11.31 1,351 14.03 14.93 15.79 18.46 38.74 275.61 6,372 2.01 6,272 3.63 2.36 1.56 16.07 23.81 94.03 614 5.80 593 9.64 6.56 4.84 38.30 68.83 245.74 1,182 4.10 1,160 6.00 3.36 6.96 17.14 19.42 75.71 222 1.54 221 1.74 2.27 2.27 2.27 9.76 181.25 548 -1.47 548 -1.41 -1.82 -12.90 3.85 -6.90 610.53 344 0.30 345 0.08 0.00 -1.43 0.00 11.29 101.75 2,149 0.03 2,140 0.49 0.00 -1.15 4.88 9.14 115.00 1,809 0.03 1,809 0.03 0.00 -0.55 0.56 3.43 154.93 8,560 0.47 8,533 0.79 0.58 2.99 2.99 0.00 48.28 255 0.06 258 -1.11 2.00 2.00 -7.27 -12.07 6.25 120 0.65 119 1.87 -4.72 11.01 -4.72 -17.69 112.28 209 0.35 208 1.20 -8.70 2.44 2.44 5.00 147.06 250 -2.16 255 -4.08 -3.92 -2.00 -22.22 11.36 188.24 124 0.93 125 0.09 3.31 5.04 -10.07 -17.22 -79.17 682 5.54 670 7.43 9.09 10.77 9.09 12.50 97.26 868 0.27 871 -0.14 0.00 -2.25 0.00 27.94 314.29 15,151 6.27 14,651 9.89 9.15 11.03 34.17 60.20 391.60 10,799 1.87 10,732 2.50 1.85 1.38 0.00 11.11 41.94 349 0.20 350 -0.01 0.00 -1.41 -1.41 2.94 109.58 550 1.77 551 1.62 1.82 1.82 1.82 27.27 216.38

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Daily Investment Guide 7 Oktober 2009  

Nikkei 225 9,731.25 2,528.15 9,691.80 Sumber: detikfinance.com, inilah.com IDX Index List CAC 40 DAX IHSG US Coal Index OIL Nymex (Nov) Gold...

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