Page 1

PT. BALI SECURITIES Market Update

Daily Investment Guide 27-Oct-09

26-Oct-09

IHSG

2,467.71

Down 0.234 (0.01%) 2,467.95 2,468.48 2,456.4209 - 2,475.906 N/A

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 26-Oct-09

10,362.62

Nikkei 225

Up 79.63 (0.77%) 10,282.99 10,271.84 10,250.84 - 10,397.69 N/A

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 26-Oct-09

9,867.96

DJIA

9,867.96 Down 104.22 (1.05%) 9,972.18 9,972.33 9,849.45 - 10,072.32 N/A

Index Value: Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range:

IDX Index List

Index COMPOSITE AGRI MINING BASIC-IND MISC-IND CONSUMER PROPERTY INFRASTRUC FINANCE TRADE MANUFACTUR LQ45 JII MBX DBX KOMPAS100 BISNIS-27 PEFINDO25 SRI-KEHATI

10 Most Active Stocks

Stock INAI BNBR BUMI PLAS ADRO SIPD SMCB BMRI ASIA LPKR

Previous 395 116 2,750 1,170 1,620 58 1,590 4,700 147 650

Daily Trading Summary

Buy/Sell

Buy

26-Oct-09

Previous Close Change 2,467.95 2,467.71 -0.23 1,823.10 1,817.88 -5.22 2,231.36 2,227.28 -4.08 256.83 258.57 1.74 572.19 578.43 6.25 591.66 593.98 2.32 159.22 159.98 0.76 691.53 686.34 -5.19 300.67 300.01 -0.66 272.33 273.32 0.99 487.12 490.59 3.47 485.10 484.98 -0.11 402.01 402.08 0.08 695.92 696.08 0.16 403.96 402.89 -1.07 600.16 600.08 -0.08 225.37 225.31 -0.06 206.15 206.93 0.78 142.15 142.50 0.35

Volume Value Sell Volume Value Foreign BUY Value Net

down down down up up up up down down up up down up up down down down up up

% -0.01 -0.29 -0.18 0.68 1.09 0.39 0.48 -0.75 -0.22 0.36 0.71 -0.02 0.02 0.02 -0.27 -0.01 -0.03 0.38 0.25 26-Oct-09

Close Change 380 -15 110 -6 2,725 -25 1,110 -60 1,600 -20 57 -1 1,720 130 4,750 50 146 -1 650 0

down down down down down down up up down down

% -3.80 -5.17 -0.91 -5.13 -1.23 -1.72 8.18 1.06 -0.68 0.00

Foreign Investor 336,733,000 481,135,118,000 229,588,500 393,428,294,000

26-Oct-09 Domestic Investor 3,285,876,447 1,756,137,362,911 3,393,020,947 1,843,844,186,911

87,706,824,000

26-Oct-09

Asia Pacific All Ordinaries Shanghai Composite Hang Seng BSE 30 Nikkei 225 NZSE 50 Straits Times Seoul Composite Taiwan Weighted 26-Oct-09

US Major DJIA Nasdaq S&P 500

26-Oct-09

% Change Close 4,832.60 Down 27.100 (0.56%) 3,109.57 Up 1.719 (0.06%) 22,589.73 Up 379.21 (1.71%) 16,740.50 Down 70.31 (0.42%) 10,362.62 Up 79.63 (0.77%) 3,214.93 Up 13.238 (0.41%) Up 1.28 (0.05%) 2,716.62 1,657.11 Up 16.94 (1.03%) 7,668.40 Up 19.12 (0.25%) % Change Close 9,867.96 Down 104.22 (1.05%) 2,141.85 Down 12.62 (0.59%) 1,066.95 Down 12.65 (1.17%)

Europe ATX BEL-20 CAC 40 DAX OSE All Share Madrid General Stockholm General Swiss Market FTSE 100

Close 2,681.19 2,493.25 3,744.45 5,642.16 387.43 1,214.70 286.54 6,303.35 5,191.74

% Change Up 10.88 (0.41%) Down 54.09 (2.12%) Down 63.79 (1.68%) Down 98.09 (1.71%) Down 4.62 (1.18%) Down 11.79 (0.96%) Down 3.83 (1.32%) Down 74.71 (1.17%) Down 50.83 (0.97%)

26-Oct-09 Commodity % Change Close US Coal Index 299.15 Down 7.17 (2.34%) OIL Nymex (Dec) Up 0.14 (0.18%) 78.82 Gold (Oct) 1,039.90 Down 2.20 (0.21%)

Daily Investment Guide and Market Analysis Indeks hanya melemah tipis kemarin setelah mengalami tekanan pada siang harinya. Indeks IHSG ditutup pada level 2.467. Investor asing tampak mulai membukukan net buy walaupun hanya Rp. 87 Milyar. Tekanan pada indeks dalam negeri belum berakhir karena sentimen dari luar sangat berpengaruh dengan minimnya sentimen dari emitten dan ekonomi dalam negeri dan membuat volume transaksi sudah jauh menurun. Hal ini membuat investor mempunyai sedikit dorongan untuk mengangkat harga saham. Sementara indeks Dow Jones dan hampir semua indeks Eropa kemarin ditutup melemah. Indeks regional juga pada pagi ini dibuka turun. Hal ini paling tidak mempengaruhi indeks dalam negeri selain sentimen negatif dari penurunan harga komoditas karena pergerakan penguatan US Dollar. Investor masih harus mencermati ekonomi data yang keluar minggu ini untuk menentukan arah pemulihan global dan menunggu apakah data ekonomi tersebut masih memberikan dorongan yang cukup untuk menggangkat harga saham global.

Selected News PT BW Plantation Tbk akan mencatatkan 30% sahamnya ke Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) pada 27 Oktober 2009. Perseroan menyiapkan penjatahan lebih (over allotment/greenshoe) untuk menstabilkan harga selama 30 hari pertama perdagangannya. Jumlah saham yang dilepas ke publik sebanyak 1.211.009.000 saham dengan harga perdana Rp 550 per saham. Target dana IPO ini sebesar Rp 666,05 miliar. Saham yang akan dilepas terdiri atas saham baru sebanyak 897.000.840 saham dan pelepasan 157.004.080 saham milik PT Cahaya Cipta Global dan 157.004.080 saham milik PT Surya Cipta Sejahtera. PT Aneka Tambang (Antm) Tbk menjelaskan sampai akhir tahun produksi Bauksit perusahaan akan capai 60% dari target karena ditutupnya tambang bauksit Kijang. Hal itu dikatakan Direktur Utama ANTM Alwinsyah Loebis kepada wartawan di Jakarta, Senin (26/10). "Produksi bauksit hanya tercapai 60% saja, hal ini terkait dengan ditutupnya tambang bauksit kijang," katanya. Sumber: detikfinance.com, inilah.com


Commodity, Energy & Metals price update Commodty Indx UBS BLOOMB CMCI S&P GSCI RJ/CRB Commodity Rogers Intl

Value

Change

1,255.34 508.84 275.88 3,189.09

-18.10 -10.44 -4.46 -58.60

26-Oct-09

Open

Energy

1,279.24 518.21 280.30 3,254.83

BRENT CRD FUT (USD/bbl) GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT) GASOLINE RB FUT (USd/gal) HEATING OIL FUT (USd/gal) NAT GAS FUT (USD/MMBtu) WTI CRUDE FUT (USD/bbl.)

Price 77.35 646.25 203.38 203.53 4.48 78.82

Change 0.09 2.25 -1.00 0.18 -0.03 0.14

% Change 0.12 0.35 -0.49 0.09 -0.71 0.18

Metals

Price

COPPER FUT (USd/lb.) 300.70 GOLD 100oz FUT (USD/t oz.) 1,041.30 SILVER FUTURE (USD/t oz.) 17.14

Change

% Change

-0.40 -1.50 0.05

-0.13 -0.14 0.26

Sumber: Bloomberg

Where Foreign Money Flows ForeignBuy (shares)

26-Oct-09

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

Net Buy (shares)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

ASRI INAI BMRI CTRP BBNI BSDE BUMI SMCB BDMN KIJA ISAT ASII PTBA UNTR ANTM HEXA PNLF PNBN PGAS ITMG AALI KLBF GGRM TLKM UNVR RALS BUMI UNTR TINS BMRI

17,000,000 157,200,000 ##### 203,500 10,565,000 10,361,500 2,283,500 9,572,000 7,288,500 512,500 6,639,500 6,127,000 651,500 5,007,500 4,356,000 1,100,000 4,750,000 3,650,000 3,813,500 7,115,000 3,301,500 3,202,500 4,813,500 1,611,000 78,500 1,529,000 1,450,500 5,504,000 6,802,500 1,298,500 95,000 1,370,000 1,275,000 146,500 1,323,000 1,176,500 10,000 1,151,000 1,141,000 205,000 1,283,000 1,078,000 75,500 1,023,500 948,000 52,500 856,500 804,000 2,990,000 3,490,000 500,000 1,751,000 2,126,500 375,500 5,159,000 5,403,000 244,000 79,000 313,000 234,000 51,500 148,500 97,000 1,875,000 1,960,000 85,000 142,000 218,500 76,500 1,417,000 1,453,000 36,000 168,500 200,000 31,500 30,000 50,000 20,000 104,000 104,000 0 651,500 651,500 0 3,325,500 3,325,500 0 2,999,500 2,999,500 0

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60

PTBA BDMN UNIT BBCA INTP SMGR PGAS BBRI SCMA LSIP ASII MNCN LTLS INTP AKRA INCO JSMR TLKM TBLA KLBF BBCA INDF ELTY ASIA LPKR TINS SMGR ADRO BBRI JPFA

126,000 367,000 12,515,000 3,941,000 51,500 407,500 580,000 3,389,000 17,500 73,000 395,500 221,500 100,000 156,500 3,524,000 1,007,500 1,458,000 2,580,000 650,000 933,000 3,015,000 1,570,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 10,486,500 4,464,500 5,834,500 8,098,500 8,090,500 12,080,000

ForeignBuy (shares) 126,000 367,000 12,515,000 3,941,000 51,500 407,500 580,000 3,389,000 500 31,500 335,500 125,000 3,000 40,000 3,275,000 753,500 1,100,000 2,150,000 50,500 25,000 2,101,000 58,500 115,000 400,000 7,706,000 1,648,000 2,034,000 1,663,000 913,000 627,500

Net Buy (shares) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -17,000 -41,500 -60,000 -96,500 -97,000 -116,500 -249,000 -254,000 -358,000 -430,000 -599,500 -908,000 -914,000 -1,511,500 -1,885,000 -2,100,000 -2,780,500 -2,816,500 -3,800,500 -6,435,500 -7,177,500 -11,452,500

No.

Stock

61 SIPD 62 BNBR

ForeignSell ForeignBuy(s (shares) hares)

Net Buy (shares)

15,400,000 59,500,000

-15,150,000 -45,386,500

250,000 14,113,500

page 2 of 7


Jakarta Composite Index Chart

26-Oct-09

IHSG, *KetutResistant, *KetutSupportt

2600

2600

2550

2550

2500

2500

85 80 75 70 65 60 55

2450

2450

65

2400

2400

2350

2350

2300

2300

2250

2250

2200

2200

2150

2150

2100

2100

2050

2050

Money Flow Index

85 80 75 70 65 60 55

Relative Strength Index 65

60

60

55

55

50

2000

2000

1950

1950

15000

15000

10000

10000

5000

5000

x1000000

x1000000

27

3 August

10

18

24

31

7

14

28

September

5

12

19

October

26

2 November

9

50

45 2580 2570 2560 2550 2540 2530 2520 2510 2500 2490 2480 2470 2460 2450 2440 2430 2420 2410 2400 2390 2380 2370 2360 2350 2340 2330 2320 2310 2300 2290 2280 2270 2260 2250

45 2580 2570 2560 2550 2540 2530 2520 2510 2500 2490 2480 2470 2460 2450 2440 2430 2420 2410 2400 2390 2380 2370 2360 2350 2340 2330 2320 2310 2300 2290 2280 2270 2260 2250

IHSG

10000

10000

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5000

x1000000

10

x1000000

18

24

31

7

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28

September

5

12

19

26

October

Market Price Update No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Stock AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

2 November

9

26-Oct-09

Open

High

Low

22,000 440 132 1,620 385 1,120 2,575 235 300 32,650 115 4,775 415 2,025 7,600 4,800 225 1,800 111 112 780 4,700 270 116 710 380 1,560 128 235 2,750 5,550 2,100 101 700 340 620 193 102 340 325 320 255 56 13,950 420 210 3,000 2,468 4,275 3,250

22,050 445 134 1,630 395 1,200 2,600 235 300 33,150 118 4,775 410 2,050 7,650 4,850 230 1,830 109 112 770 4,800 265 116 720 380 1,570 128 240 2,800 5,700 2,125 102 710 340 620 193 103 345 325 320 260 56 13,950 420 220 3,050 2,476 4,250 3,250

21,850 435 130 1,580 380 1,110 2,525 225 295 32,750 113 4,725 405 2,000 7,450 4,775 220 1,780 109 108 750 4,625 255 108 710 370 1,540 124 230 2,675 5,600 2,025 100 670 335 600 187 100 335 310 305 250 53 13,800 415 205 3,000 2,456 4,175 3,150

Previous

Close

22,000 22,000 440 440 132 132 1,620 1,600 385 385 1,120 1,200 2,575 2,550 235 225 300 300 32,650 33,100 115 114 4,775 4,775 415 410 2,025 2,000 7,600 7,500 4,800 4,775 225 220 1,800 1,790 111 109 112 109 780 760 4,700 4,750 270 260 116 110 710 710 380 375 1,560 1,540 128 124 235 240 2,750 2,725 5,550 5,650 2,100 2,075 101 100 700 680 340 340 620 610 193 189 102 100 340 340 325 315 320 310 255 255 56 55 13,950 13,900 420 420 210 215 3,000 3,050 2,468 2,467.71 4,275 4,225 3,250 3,150

% Change

0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.23 0.00 7.14 -0.97 -4.26 0.00 1.38 -0.87 0.00 -1.20 -1.23 -1.32 -0.52 -2.22 -0.56 -1.80 -2.68 -2.56 1.06 -3.70 -5.17 0.00 -1.32 -1.28 -3.13 2.13 -0.91 1.80 -1.19 -0.99 -2.86 0.00 -1.61 -2.07 -1.96 0.00 -3.08 -3.13 0.00 -1.79 -0.36 0.00 2.38 1.67 -0.01 -1.17 -3.08

Volume 244,500 6,007,000 509,500 72,724,000 2,629,000 21,197,000 8,629,500 588,000 758,500 2,046,500 282,877,504 6,012,500 1,833,000 8,701,000 12,829,000 2,890,500 987,500 1,028,000 50,000 11,999,000 5,529,000 25,877,500 4,301,500 1,329,139,968 269,500 647,500 5,637,500 42,490,000 78,500 167,830,496 204,000 1,810,000 339,500 2,981,500 8,715,500 2,893,500 49,980,500 4,721,000 4,385,500 28,473,000 63,626,000 1,934,000 64,969,000 264,000 682,000 42,033,500 1,848,000 3,623,000,064 3,999,000 6,208,000

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Open

High

Low

2,350 1,900 11,350 5,500 23,650 920 275 1,830 128 1,290 650 8,450 820 158 3,050 136 410 76 230 1,000 3,675 800 133 14,950 2,425 119 1,590 6,700 590 1,310 210 530 345 2,200 1,830 8,650 250 107 210 230 105 690 830 15,900 10,500 340 530

2,350 1,920 11,350 5,600 23,800 930 275 1,850 132 1,300 650 8,400 810 157 3,050 135 425 77 240 1,000 3,725 800 134 15,500 2,450 120 1,720 6,850 630 1,320 215 520 345 2,200 1,870 8,600 250 106 210 245 104 700 820 16,300 10,700 340 530

2,275 1,880 11,250 5,550 23,550 910 270 1,820 128 1,290 630 8,300 800 153 3,000 122 410 75 215 980 3,675 800 132 14,800 2,400 113 1,600 6,700 590 1,310 210 510 335 2,150 1,850 8,500 240 104 200 230 102 690 800 16,100 10,450 335 530

Previous 2,350 1,900 11,350 5,500 23,650 920 275 1,830 128 1,290 650 8,450 820 158 3,050 136 410 76 230 1,000 3,675 800 133 14,950 2,425 119 1,590 6,700 590 1,310 210 530 345 2,200 1,830 8,650 250 107 210 230 105 690 830 15,900 10,500 340 530

Close 2,325 1,900 11,300 5,550 23,750 930 270 1,850 129 1,300 650 8,400 810 154 3,050 125 415 76 220 980 3,700 800 133 15,500 2,425 115 1,720 6,750 630 1,320 215 520 345 2,175 1,870 8,500 250 106 205 240 102 690 810 16,250 10,700 335 530

% Change -1.06 0.00 -0.44 0.91 0.42 1.09 -1.82 1.09 0.78 0.78 0.00 -0.59 -1.22 -2.53 0.00 -8.09 1.22 0.00 -4.35 -2.00 0.68 0.00 0.00 3.68 0.00 -3.36 8.18 0.75 6.78 0.76 2.38 -1.89 0.00 -1.14 2.19 -1.73 0.00 -0.93 -2.38 4.35 -2.86 0.00 -2.41 2.20 1.90 -1.47 0.00

Volume 528,500 8,588,500 365,000 1,381,500 887,000 13,565,500 159,000 5,417,500 57,110,500 2,307,000 59,694,500 222,000 242,000 170,500 6,132,000 342,500 39,470,000 254,000 4,251,000 132,000 10,217,000 2,221,500 5,170,500 4,238,500 316,500 694,000 41,286,500 6,632,500 10,998,000 121,500 573,500 326,000 2,028,000 8,453,000 540,000 7,678,500 77,000 1,818,000 4,967,500 6,861,500 714,500 1,906,000 15,577,500 2,151,000 481,000 1,778,500 94,000

page 3 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation No

Stock

Beta

Close

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

1.02 -0.14 2.92 0.98 -0.03 1.27 0.85 0.96 1.24 2.33 -0.16 1.31 1.05 1.02 1.63 1.39 0.09 0.66 1.08 0.99 0.89 1.87 0.15 1.03 0.41 0.63 0.68 0.98 0.24 1.76 -0.24 0.69 0.21 0.41 1.02 0.28 1.07 0.10 0.68 1.35 1.66 2.89 0.48 0.49 1.12 1.19 1.34 1.00 0.78 1.68

22,000 440 132 1,600 385 1,200 2,550 225 300 33,100 114 4,775 410 2,000 7,500 4,775 220 1,790 109 109 760 4,750 260 110 710 375 1,540 124 240 2,725 5,650 2,075 100 680 340 610 189 100 340 315 310 255 55 13,900 420 215 3,050 2,468 4,225 3,150

Support Resistant Momentum 21,150 435 128 1,380 380 1,040 2,500 225 285 31,300 111 4,675 405 1,940 7,250 4,525 220 1,750 108 106 750 4,550 250 108 690 370 1,460 124 225 2,575 5,500 1,560 98 660 330 510 187 99 335 305 305 194 53 13,700 410 200 2,800 2,422 4,025 3,100

23,400 495 146 1,630 395 1,200 2,675 255 315 34,750 124 4,875 420 2,075 8,200 4,875 250 2,000 121 121 820 5,050 295 131 730 390 1,600 137 240 3,075 5,800 2,175 112 740 350 640 205 108 355 355 375 270 60 14,650 500 220 3,225 2,538 4,375 3,300

-Oversold Oversold Overbought ---Oversold --------Oversold Oversold Oversold ----Oversold ---Oversold ---Overbought Oversold ---Oversold Oversold --Oversold ---Oversold ------

27-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

13 6 4 8 24 0 14 7 7 18 20 4 14 6 7 0 29 18 18 14 6 7 21 5 0 13 7 5 0 7 6 18 23 13 4 5 7 4 4 18 19 9 9 7 21 8 0 8 8 1

2 1 2 12 22 9 4 6 12 6 8 11 10 4 6 3 20 16 12 13 2 6 17 4 1 12 10 3 6 3 5 19 16 10 2 12 5 2 3 17 16 12 4 2 4 12 1 3 10 3

1.1 2.0 1.8 2.4 1.1 3.0 1.4 2.3 1.5 1.5 2.3 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.3 2.2 1.6 1.8 2.7 2.6 1.5 1.0 1.2 1.7 1.8 2.6 1.2 2.9 1.4 2.1 1.4 2.9 1.5 1.7 1.2 2.4 2.6 3.3 2.4 0.8 1.6 2.6 1.6 0.6 1.2 1.5

1.4 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.4 2.5 1.7 2.8 1.2 1.2 2.9 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.4 2.5 1.9 1.5 2.7 1.9 1.5 3.4 3.2 1.2 1.2 1.5 2.1 1.5 3.1 1.5 2.4 1.7 2.6 1.7 2.4 1.8 2.1 1.4 2.9 3.2 2.7 2.9 0.9 1.9 2.1 1.3 0.8 1.4 1.9

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

Doji Doji Doji -Doji ---Doji --Doji ------------Doji ---------Doji ---Doji --Doji --Doji --Doji ---

-----Rally with Volume ----------Reaction with Volume ------Reaction with Volume -Reaction with Volume -------------------Rally with Volume -----

Today If Trend Reverse Rekomedation Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Buy Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish)

buy at 22,775 buy at 461 buy at 142 sell at 1,420 buy at 390 sell at 1,040 buy at 2,650 buy at 246 sell at 296 buy at 32,713 buy at 120 sell at 4,769 buy at 419 buy at 2,038 buy at 8,200 sell at 4,731 buy at 255 buy at 2,028 buy at 122 buy at 121 buy at 810 buy at 4,800 buy at 290 buy at 137 sell at 703 buy at 391 sell at 1,553 buy at 141 sell at 231 buy at 3,038 buy at 5,725 sell at 1,791 buy at 104 buy at 700 buy at 344 sell at 533 buy at 209 buy at 103 buy at 351 buy at 354 buy at 380 sell at 241 buy at 57 buy at 14,475 buy at 486 sell at 203 sell at 3,031 buy at 2,518 sell at 4,269 sell at 3,244

page 4 of 7


Trading Guide · · · · ·

It always recommended to invest in a good company with a good financial performance. A stock is said to be fairly valued when its P/E equals its growth rate. A growth stock should be in uptrend when you buy and value stock should be consolidating. Always concentrate on the strongest stock candidates for daily trading and long term investment. Trend is your friend. You must analyze everything from the perspective of trends.

Desclaimer Dokumen ini dibuat dari opini analis yang dibuat untuk membantu investor memahami pasar saham Indonesia. Dokumen ini dibuat berdasarkan sumbersumber yang kami percaya dan dapat diandalkan. Walaupun demikian Bali Securities tidak dapat menjamin keakuratan data dan kelengkapannya. Investor dianjurkan untuk membaca secara utuh dan lengkap dokumen ini sebagai saran dalam berinvestasi dan mengambil langkah yang hati-hati dalam berinvestasi. Keputusan investasi yang diambil tetap merupakan tanggung jawab investor semata. Help in Technical Analysis Page 4 & 5 * Harga saham cenderung naik atau turun pada harga diantara harga support dan resistant. * Beta saham adalah nilai volatilitas terhadap benchmark IHSG. Makin besar beta saham, makin besar volatilitas dibandingkan IHSG. Beta IHSG = 1. * Momentum overbought apabila Stochastic > 80, oversold apabila stochastic < 20. * Today Recommendation: Buy: Today buy, pada saat Bullish MA Crossing Hold Bullish : pada saat close > MA Bearish: pada saat Close < MA Sell: Today Sell, pada saat Bearish MA Crossing * If Trend reverse: harga beli (masuk) atau jual (keluar) jika harga/trend berbalik arah. Harga ini adalah harga hasil perhitungan matematis dan berubah setiap hari. Contoh: jika harga sell at jauh dari harga closing price, saham masih dalam area aman dan masih direkomedasi hold sampai closing price waktu itu mendekati harga sell at...disaat anda harus memperhatikan dengan seksama pergerakan hariannya dan siap-siap menjual pada harga sell at.. Baik digunakan untuk protect mid term gain. Nilai harga if trend reverse adalah sebagai patokan/konfirmasi bahwa mid trend harga saham memang sedang berbalik arah. * Forecast % Up dan % down merupakan potensi kenaikan harga dan penurunan harga hari ini. Nilai ini dihitung dari rata-rata historis pergerakan harian (high/low) setiap hari dan mencerminkan juga volatilitas saham harian. Baik digunakan untuk acuan protect gain dan stop loss. Nilai ini berubah setiap hari. * Candlestick: Doji: "Market this stock is Tired ". Hammer: Trend balik arah, sinyal bullish pada saat downtrend. Engulfing Bull: Trend balik arah, start bullish. Engulfing Bear:Trend balik arah, start bearish. Hanging Man: Trend balik arah, sinyal bearish pada saat uptrend. * Volume: Rally with Volume: Kenaikan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen naik dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini. Reaction with Volume: Penurunan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen turun dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini.

PT BALI SECURITIES

PermataBank Tower I 3rd Floor, Jl.Jend Sudirman Kav 27, Tel.5237815, 5237607 Fax. 2500638 Research Ketut Tri Bayuna 021-5237815 ext 0243

Equity Sales Suryati Budiawan 021-5237297/98

Fixed Income Sales Agus Gunawan 021-5237296

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Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation (cont'd) No Stock Beta 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

0.45 0.61 1.90 0.34 0.60 0.64 0.12 0.36 0.47 0.62 0.94 1.40 0.60 0.86 0.27 0.16 0.30 1.06 0.89 0.00 0.53 0.59 0.99 0.70 0.96 0.81 1.50 1.22 -0.11 0.82 0.71 1.08 0.65 0.29 0.09 0.34 0.70 1.23 0.90 0.58 0.08 0.30 1.52 1.98 0.89 0.61 0.22

Close 2,325 1,900 11,300 5,550 23,750 930 270 1,850 129 1,300 650 8,400 810 154 3,050 125 415 76 220 980 3,700 800 133 15,500 2,425 115 1,720 6,750 630 1,320 215 520 345 2,175 1,870 8,500 250 106 205 240 102 690 810 16,250 10,700 335 530

Support Resistant Momentum 2,250 1,760 10,750 5,450 23,400 830 270 1,790 125 1,290 630 7,850 0 153 2,950 122 405 72 215 980 3,500 800 130 14,000 2,100 113 1,530 6,450 580 1,210 210 510 335 2,125 1,810 8,500 240 104 200 225 101 670 790 15,350 10,400 335 530

2,475 1,920 12,400 5,750 24,600 960 300 1,890 137 1,360 730 8,750 840 166 3,175 174 460 82 275 1,060 3,800 870 146 15,500 2,475 125 1,720 7,100 640 1,340 230 580 355 2,300 1,870 8,950 260 119 235 245 118 720 900 16,750 11,400 355 550

-Overbought ----Oversold --Oversold Oversold -Overbought Oversold -Oversold Oversold -Oversold Oversold -Oversold Oversold Overbought Overbought -----Oversold Oversold ---Oversold -Oversold --Oversold ---Oversold Oversold Oversold

27-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

13 8 30 10 8 5 17 0 10 6 13 18 7 18 5 22 30 29 30 4 6 7 15 8 9 14 0 14 0 N/A 9 7 8 18 6 13 17 19 9 5 18 24 8 18 18 4 10

10 12 3 2 3 12 9 2 6 3 3 0 3 10 3 20 22 17 22 3 12 3 13 11 10 10 2 2 8 N/A 4 6 1 2 10 3 9 12 3 4 11 6 3 2 6 2 8

1.5 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.7 1.7 1.9 0.9 1.3 0.7 1.8 1.2 2.4 1.3 1.3 2.7 1.9 2.5 3.7 1.0 1.2 0.8 1.2 1.9 1.6 1.9 2.5 1.2 2.5 0.8 1.6 1.8 1.3 1.5 0.6 0.7 1.9 1.7 1.8 2.5 2.1 1.0 2.1 1.7 0.9 1.0 0.2

1.9 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.9 1.4 2.3 0.7 1.6 0.9 2.1 1.0 2.9 1.6 1.5 3.2 2.3 3.0 4.5 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.3 2.4 2.0 1.4 2.1 0.7 1.3 2.2 1.6 1.8 0.5 0.9 2.3 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.5 1.2 2.6 1.4 1.1 1.2 0.3

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

-Doji --------Doji ---Doji --Doji ---Doji Doji -Doji -------Doji ---Doji ----Doji ----Doji

-------Rally with Volume Rally with Volume -Reaction with Volume ---------------Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume -----Rally with Volume ---Reaction with Volume Rally with Volume --------

Today If Trend Reverse Rekomedation Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Bearish Sell Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Bearish Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish

buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at

2,488 1,790 12,413 5,700 24,338 860 298 1,830 132 1,330 738 8,613 845 166 3,100 157 454 78 281 1,075 3,688 873 143 13,875 2,388 122 1,525 6,938 575 1,275 219 560 350 2,263 1,765 8,838 256 113 224 233 118 705 895 16,350 10,925 350 545

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Technical Analysis Data (Moving Average) and Stock Performance (Price Rate of Change)

No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

Stock Close AALI 22,000 22,040 ADHI 440 448 ADMG 132 135 ADRO 1,600 1,524 AISA 385 389 AKRA 1,200 1,131 ANTM 2,550 2,577 APOL 225 233 ASGR 300 297 ASII 33,100 32,867 ASRI 114 117 BBCA 4,775 4,774 BBKP 410 413 BBNI 2,000 2,014 BBRI 7,500 7,737 BDMN 4,775 4,747 BHIT 220 235 BISI 1,790 1,884 BKDP 109 114 BKSL 109 114 BLTA 760 778 BMRI 4,750 4,748 BMTR 260 274 BNBR 110 120 BNGA 710 708 BNII 375 382 BRPT 1,540 1,538 BTEL 124 131 BUDI 240 236 BUMI 2,725 2,832 BYAN 5,650 5,674 CPIN 2,075 1,932 CSAP 100 102 CTRA 680 697 CTRP 340 342 CTRS 610 584 DEWA 189 196 DGIK 100 101 ELSA 340 345 ELTY 315 331 ENRG 310 337 FPNI 255 241 FREN 55 56 GGRM 13,900 14,081 GJTL 420 440 GZCO 215 209 HEXA 3,050 3,006 IHSG 2,468 2,478 INCO 4,225 4,224 INDF 3,150 3,162

-0.18 -1.80 -2.23 5.01 -0.91 6.10 -1.04 -3.37 0.95 0.71 -2.22 0.02 -0.83 -0.69 -3.07 0.59 -6.33 -5.00 -4.51 -4.44 -2.27 0.04 -5.02 -8.61 0.30 -1.84 0.15 -5.13 1.52 -3.77 -0.43 7.41 -2.38 -2.37 -0.57 4.51 -3.77 -1.10 -1.35 -4.92 -7.95 5.64 -0.90 -1.29 -4.50 2.76 1.47 -0.42 0.01 -0.37

21,751 449 134 1,477 395 1,114 2,565 236 296 33,029 117 4,741 414 2,024 7,774 4,741 241 1,932 117 117 775 4,745 284 124 707 386 1,528 134 238 2,923 5,705 1,781 104 708 344 564 200 101 347 342 350 229 57 14,156 442 208 2,970 2,476 4,211 3,094

1.14 -2.65 4.02 2.09 22.91 123.35 -2.01 -2.22 0.00 -2.22 1.15 76.00 -1.72 -5.71 -2.94 5.60 25.71 91.30 8.33 4.58 15.94 15.94 28.00 226.53 -2.53 0.00 -2.53 -9.41 -9.41 -3.75 7.75 6.19 6.19 26.32 46.34 100.00 -0.60 -3.77 -0.97 0.99 20.00 136.11 -4.57 -4.26 -4.26 -4.26 0.00 2.27 1.41 1.69 3.45 5.26 7.14 50.00 0.21 0.30 -1.49 10.52 22.37 212.26 -2.67 -3.39 -7.32 1.79 2.70 128.00 0.71 -0.52 1.06 8.52 29.05 51.59 -0.89 -1.20 0.00 2.50 -4.65 105.00 -1.19 -2.44 0.00 3.09 11.11 203.03 -3.53 -7.41 -3.85 2.74 9.49 72.41 0.71 -1.04 2.69 3.24 1.60 60.50 -8.87 -8.33 -10.20 -13.73 -12.00 22.22 -7.35 -8.21 -8.21 -10.05 -3.24 -1.65 -6.94 -7.63 -9.17 -10.66 18.48 118.00 -6.64 -5.22 -8.40 -17.42 -31.01 37.97 -1.98 -6.17 0.00 4.11 -6.17 35.71 0.10 -1.04 -1.04 14.46 31.94 137.50 -8.31 -5.45 -10.34 -18.75 -22.39 30.00 -11.48 -13.39 -12.70 -19.12 23.60 120.00 0.42 0.00 0.00 2.90 7.58 65.12 -2.79 -1.32 -3.85 -6.25 -9.64 1.35 0.79 -2.53 5.48 -1.28 21.26 156.67 -7.34 -8.82 -7.46 -11.43 -5.34 143.14 0.97 2.13 2.13 2.13 6.67 95.12 -6.78 -9.17 -3.54 -9.92 28.24 196.20 -0.96 0.00 -1.74 -2.59 4.63 488.54 16.48 5.87 31.33 48.21 169.48 382.56 -3.86 -3.85 -4.76 1.01 -16.67 -33.77 -4.00 0.00 -8.11 -11.69 -9.33 286.36 -1.23 -1.45 0.00 -5.56 -15.00 178.69 8.17 12.96 15.09 15.09 15.09 291.03 -5.41 -5.50 -5.03 -7.80 -5.03 278.00 -0.77 1.01 -1.96 0.00 -8.26 100.00 -1.91 -2.86 -2.86 -1.45 1.49 190.60 -7.90 -8.70 -10.00 -17.11 0.00 350.00 -11.36 -13.89 -12.68 -19.48 -8.82 260.47 11.24 -3.77 32.12 27.50 57.41 210.98 -2.66 -1.79 -3.51 -14.06 3.77 10.00 -1.81 -2.11 0.36 -2.46 0.72 214.12 -5.04 -8.70 -9.68 1.20 40.00 110.00 3.49 2.38 7.50 2.38 7.50 182.89 2.69 -1.61 7.02 9.91 35.56 342.03 -0.32 -2.11 0.45 4.07 11.71 84.62 0.34 -1.74 4.97 -3.43 -1.74 121.20 1.82 -3.08 0.80 18.87 44.83 242.39

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Close 2,325 1,900 11,300 5,550 23,750 930 270 1,850 129 1,300 650 8,400 810 154 3,050 125 415 76 220 980 3,700 800 133 15,500 2,425 115 1,720 6,750 630 1,320 215 520 345 2,175 1,870 8,500 250 106 205 240 102 690 810 16,250 10,700 335 530

26-Oct-09 MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

2,387 -2.60 2,418 -3.84 -5.10 -5.10 -4.12 -4.12 111.36 1,851 2.67 1,826 4.03 3.26 7.34 9.20 7.34 150.00 11,574 -2.37 11,432 -1.15 -7.38 -2.59 14.14 31.40 156.82 5,574 -0.43 5,546 0.07 -2.63 0.91 1.83 2.78 2.78 23,869 -0.50 23,956 -0.86 -2.26 0.21 -0.84 7.71 121.96 903 3.02 886 5.01 0.00 10.71 9.41 24.00 124.10 281 -3.93 284 -4.83 -5.26 -6.90 -3.57 -12.90 58.82 1,838 0.66 1,835 0.81 -1.60 2.21 3.35 13.50 103.30 130 -0.74 131 -1.29 -2.27 -5.15 1.57 0.00 158.00 1,306 -0.45 1,295 0.36 -2.99 0.00 7.44 13.04 229.11 676 -3.88 683 -4.90 -7.14 -4.41 -8.45 -9.72 -15.58 8,345 0.66 8,148 3.10 -1.75 7.01 8.39 29.23 187.18 821 -1.39 825 -1.86 -3.57 -1.22 -2.41 -1.22 52.83 159 -3.27 161 -4.53 -4.35 -6.10 -4.94 -21.03 208.00 3,063 -0.41 3,051 -0.03 -3.17 -2.40 7.02 -4.69 75.29 143 -12.71 157 -20.48 -10.07 -26.47 -36.22 -6.72 71.23 430 -3.43 441 -5.88 -6.74 -8.79 -13.54 -27.19 -27.19 77 -1.42 79 -3.55 -3.80 -2.56 18.75 28.81 52.00 244 -10.00 257 -14.27 -13.73 -18.52 -22.81 -13.73 51.72 1,018 -3.72 1,028 -4.65 -6.67 -6.67 10.11 19.51 55.56 3,683 0.47 3,674 0.71 -1.99 5.71 6.47 10.45 100.00 825 -3.01 833 -3.99 -4.76 -3.61 9.59 12.68 33.33 137 -2.66 139 -4.54 -5.00 -5.00 14.66 17.70 56.47 14,774 4.91 14,611 6.09 4.38 9.54 18.32 22.05 124.64 2,362 2.68 2,267 6.97 -2.02 16.87 19.75 42.65 105.51 119 -3.05 120 -4.22 -4.17 -4.96 -10.16 -17.27 -43.90 1,612 6.72 1,552 10.80 4.88 12.42 36.51 24.64 173.02 6,753 -0.04 6,691 0.89 -2.88 4.65 14.41 21.62 65.64 610 3.36 613 2.76 3.28 -3.08 5.00 36.96 268.42 1,293 2.08 1,264 4.45 0.76 7.32 20.00 18.92 76.00 216 -0.29 218 -1.25 -2.27 -2.27 0.00 8.59 144.32 534 -2.70 540 -3.63 -5.45 -5.45 -3.70 -5.45 131.11 345 -0.05 345 0.12 0.00 2.99 -1.43 11.29 84.49 2,200 -1.16 2,191 -0.73 -2.25 -1.14 0.00 4.82 99.54 1,827 2.34 1,818 2.88 3.31 3.31 4.47 3.89 167.14 8,627 -1.47 8,614 -1.32 -2.30 -2.30 0.59 -3.41 24.09 252 -0.91 253 -1.27 -1.96 -1.96 -1.96 -10.71 8.70 109 -3.16 112 -5.08 -1.85 -7.83 -5.36 -21.48 85.96 211 -2.66 211 -2.62 -4.65 -2.38 2.50 0.00 130.34 237 1.37 240 -0.07 0.00 2.13 -9.43 21.83 313.79 109 -6.77 113 -9.96 -8.11 -11.30 -16.39 -33.33 -83.00 693 -0.50 690 0.02 -1.43 -2.82 7.81 7.81 74.68 838 -3.35 849 -4.62 -7.95 -3.57 -7.95 14.08 205.66 16,083 1.04 15,776 3.00 -1.52 4.50 18.18 40.09 273.56 10,752 -0.49 10,786 -0.80 -2.28 -1.38 -1.83 -10.83 33.75 341 -1.78 343 -2.29 -2.90 -1.47 -2.90 -4.29 55.81 537 -1.34 543 -2.45 -1.85 -11.67 -10.17 7.07 166.33

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Daily Investment Guide 27 Oktober 2009  

Nikkei 225 9,867.96 2,467.71 Sumber: detikfinance.com, inilah.com IDX Index List CAC 40 DAX IHSG US Coal Index OIL Nymex (Dec) Gold (Oct) %...