Page 1

PT. BALI SECURITIES Market Update

Daily Investment Guide 21-Oct-09

20-Oct-09

IHSG

2,502.22

Down 18.708 (0.74%) 2,520.92 2,521.34 2,493.7839 - 2,531.791 N/A

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 20-Oct-09

10,336.84

Nikkei 225

Up 100.33 (0.98%) 10,236.51 10,329.30 10,307.59 - 10,357.59 N/A

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 20-Oct-09

10,041.48

DJIA

10,041.48 Down 50.71 (0.50%) 10,092.19 10,092.42 9,992.81 - 10,098.39 N/A

Index Value: Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range:

IDX Index List

Index COMPOSITE AGRI MINING BASIC-IND MISC-IND CONSUMER PROPERTY INFRASTRUC FINANCE TRADE MANUFACTUR LQ45 JII MBX DBX KOMPAS100 BISNIS-27 PEFINDO25 SRI-KEHATI

10 Most Active Stocks

Stock BUMI ADRO BNBR BMRI MIRA TINS LPKR ANTM BBRI ENRG

Previous 3,000 1,530 127 4,800 445 2,225 700 2,650 8,100 360

Daily Trading Summary

Buy/Sell

Buy

20-Oct-09

Previous Close Change 2,520.92 2,502.22 -18.71 1,862.76 1,860.24 -2.52 2,270.38 2,228.43 -41.96 264.55 263.45 -1.10 580.64 582.84 2.20 606.18 604.49 -1.69 162.80 163.08 0.27 704.25 699.03 -5.22 307.15 303.88 -3.27 281.13 280.33 -0.80 498.32 497.80 -0.52 497.11 492.43 -4.68 411.31 408.58 -2.74 709.37 705.10 -4.27 419.37 411.73 -7.64 614.02 609.03 -4.99 229.91 228.35 -1.57 202.05 203.86 1.81 145.58 144.50 -1.08

Volume Value Sell Volume Value Foreign SELL Value Net

down down down down up down up down down down down down down down down down down up down

% -0.74 -0.14 -1.85 -0.42 0.38 -0.28 0.17 -0.74 -1.06 -0.28 -0.11 -0.94 -0.67 -0.60 -1.82 -0.81 -0.68 0.89 -0.74 20-Oct-09

Close Change 2,850 -150 1,510 -20 124 -3 4,750 -50 430 -15 2,250 25 700 0 2,575 -75 7,900 -200 350 -10 Foreign Investor 3,334,040,995 941,946,623,645 3,638,111,165 1,248,510,003,215

down down down down down up down down down down

% -5.00 -1.31 -2.36 -1.04 -3.37 1.12 0.00 -2.83 -2.47 -2.78

20-Oct-09 Domestic Investor 2,900,727,940 2,811,535,594,444 2,596,657,770 2,504,972,214,874

306,563,379,570

20-Oct-09

Asia Pacific All Ordinaries Shanghai Composite Hang Seng BSE 30 Nikkei 225 NZSE 50 Straits Times Seoul Composite Taiwan Weighted 20-Oct-09

US Major DJIA Nasdaq S&P 500

20-Oct-09

% Change Close 4,852.80 Up 51.000 (1.06%) 3,084.45 Up 46.181 (1.52%) 22,384.96 Up 184.50 (0.83%) 17,223.01 Down 103.00 (0.59%) 10,336.84 Up 100.33 (0.98%) 3,252.56 Up 31.637 (0.98%) 2,711.09 Down 0.61 (0.02%) 1,659.15 Up 10.08 (0.61%) Up 2.20 (0.03%) 7,753.52

Europe ATX BEL-20 CAC 40 DAX OSE All Share Madrid General Stockholm General Swiss Market FTSE 100

% Change Close 2,752.39 Up 12.51 (0.46%) 2,584.59 Down 22.34 (0.86%) 3,871.45Down 20.9102 (0.54%) 5,811.77 Down 40.79 (0.70%) Up 1.17 (0.29%) 398.72 1,231.04 Down 15.75 (1.26%) 293.33 Down 0.51 (0.17%) 6,427.29 Down 9.08 (0.14%) 5,243.40 Down 38.14 (0.72%)

% Change Close 10,041.48 Down 50.71 (0.50%) 2,163.47 Down 12.85 (0.59%) 1,091.06 Down 6.85 (0.62%)

20-Oct-09 Commodity % Change Close US Coal Index Up 0.37 (0.12%) 319.18 OIL Nymex (Nov) 79.09 Down 0.52 (0.66%) Gold (Oct) 1,057.20 Down 0.60 (0.06%)

Daily Investment Guide and Market Analysis Indeks IHSG kembali menurun dan berada di level 2.502 atau turun 0,7%. Investor asing membukukan net sell kemarin walaupun tidak terlalu besar. Walaupun indeks indek Asia lainnya pada umumnya niak, namun indeks dalam negeri malah turun. Hal ini kemungkinan disebabkan oleh kekhawatiran beberapa investor terhadap tim menteri pilihan Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono lebih banyak berasal dari partai politik yang justru harapan sebelumnya lebih banyak dari profesional. Sementara indeks regional dan Amerika pagi ini terlihat melemah setelah aksi profit taking dan harga komoditas terkoreksi. Indeks Amerika melemah karena laporan sektor perumahan di Amerika memberikan gambaran bahwa pemulihan sektor ekonomi terlihat perlahan dan belum bergerak sperti yang diprediksi sebelumnya. Walaupun secara umum investor dan analis masih optimis menyambut tahun 2010, namun sementara ini masih akan banyak ada gejolak pada data ekonomi Amerika.

Selected News PT Bank Danamon Indonesia Tbk (BDMN) membukukan penurunan laba bersih signifikan hingga triwulan III-2009. Penurunannya mencapai 22,15% dibanding periode yang sama tahun 2008. Laba bersih BDMN di triulan III-2009 tercatat sebesar Rp 1,37 triliun, turun 22,15% dari periode yang sama tahun lalu Rp 1,76 triliun. Kendati demikian, Direktur Utama BDMN Sebastian Paredes mengatakan secara triwulanan, kinerja perseroan masih mengalami peningkatan. PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk mencatat pendapatan hingga akhir September 2009 sebesar Rp1,19 triliun atau turun sebesar 36,2% dibandingkan dengan periode yang sama tahun lalu sebesar Rp1,86 triliun. Sumber: detikfinance.com, bisnis.com


Commodity, Energy & Metals price update Commodty Indx UBS BLOOMB CMCI S&P GSCI RJ/CRB Commodity Rogers Intl

Value

Change

1,250.79 512.23 278.13 3,193.02

-7.40 -2.80 -1.52 -15.86

20-Oct-09

Open

Energy

1,258.32 514.83 279.75 3,223.40

BRENT CRD FUT (USD/bbl) GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT) GASOLINE RB FUT (USd/gal) HEATING OIL FUT (USd/gal) NAT GAS FUT (USD/MMBtu) WTI CRUDE FUT (USD/bbl.)

Price 76.75 643.75 197.50 203.75 5.17 78.70

Change -0.49 -1.00 -1.27 -0.98 0.01 -0.42

% Change -0.63 -0.16 -0.64 -0.48 0.19 -0.53

Metals

Price

COPPER FUT (USd/lb.) 293.00 GOLD 100oz FUT (USD/t oz.) 1,054.50 SILVER FUTURE (USD/t oz.) 17.42

Change

% Change

-0.20 -4.10 -0.14

-0.07 -0.39 -0.79

Sumber: Bloomberg

Where Foreign Money Flows No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

TINS ADRO ADHI BSDE ELTY PGAS BRPT INCO TLKM ASIA SMGR BBCA BBNI UNSP ANTM INDF ISAT PNBN PGAS MPPA ASII PTBA BDMN GGRM SMGR BUDI AALI BNLI BAYU CPIN

188,500 1,955,000 50,000 500,000 10,140,000 7,430,500 557,500 1,050,000 9,332,000 1,620,000 400,500 2,008,000 266,500 5,561,500 1,340,000 152,000 154,000 230,000 437,000 75,000 2,542,500 120,500 79,500 44,500 1,696,500 25,000 43,500 117,500 7,500 95,000

ForeignBuy (shares) 14,860,000 11,591,500 8,476,000 7,000,000 16,191,500 13,207,500 4,831,000 3,999,500 12,276,500 4,500,000 3,059,500 4,308,000 2,197,000 7,136,500 2,262,000 915,000 812,500 559,000 757,000 282,000 2,694,500 262,500 203,500 161,500 1,812,500 91,500 104,000 138,500 15,000 100,500

20-Oct-09 Net Buy (shares)

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

14,671,500 9,636,500 8,426,000 6,500,000 6,051,500 5,777,000 4,273,500 2,949,500 2,944,500 2,880,000 2,659,000 2,300,000 1,930,500 1,575,000 922,000 763,000 658,500 329,000 320,000 207,000 152,000 142,000 124,000 117,000 116,000 66,500 60,500 21,000 7,500 5,500

31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60

BBRI ASII ISAT UNTR BBCA PNBN HEXA INTP TINS INDF UNVR TLKM ANTM LPKR BMRI AALI PTBA BUMI BYAN INVS UNTR INTP UNVR RALS FREN TSPC AKRA JSMR ASRI BDMN

2,128,000 620,500 12,500 118,500 933,500 2,079,500 100,000 250,500 2,523,500 41,000 14,000 1,524,500 31,000 93,500 592,000 34,500 7,500 4,020,500 50,000 35,000 1,097,500 1,113,500 723,000 276,500 250,000 333,500 409,000 1,460,000 12,897,000 2,151,000

ForeignBuy (shares) 2,130,000 621,500 12,500 118,500 933,500 2,079,500 100,000 250,500 2,523,500 41,000 14,000 1,524,500 31,000 93,500 592,000 34,500 7,500 4,020,500 42,500 14,000 1,049,500 1,036,000 577,500 66,000 1,000 50,500 50,000 1,075,500 12,457,000 1,576,000

Net Buy (shares) 2,000 1,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7,500 -21,000 -48,000 -77,500 -145,500 -210,500 -249,000 -283,000 -359,000 -384,500 -440,000 -575,000

No.

Stock

ForeignSell ForeignBuy(s (shares) hares)

61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74

JPFA SMCB LSIP ITMG KLBF MIRA LPKR CTRA BBRI BKSL BMRI MLPL BUMI BNBR

1,045,500 410,500 1,121,000 430,000 800,000 63,000 1,912,000 1,110,500 3,687,500 2,880,000 1,500,000 50,000 5,960,500 350,000 10,430,000 3,618,500 13,843,500 4,145,000 10,412,500 630,000 25,134,500 3,967,500 ###### ###### 102,409,000 21,881,500 198,347,500 4,385,000

Net Buy (shares) -635,000 -691,000 -737,000 -801,500 -807,500 -1,450,000 -5,610,500 -6,811,500 -9,698,500 -9,782,500 -21,167,000 -28,552,170 -80,527,500 -193,962,500

page 2 of 7


Jakarta Composite Index Chart

20-Oct-09 IHSG

2580 2570 2560

90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45

2580 2570 2560

90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45

Money Flow Index

2550 2540 2530 2520

2550 2540 2530 2520

2510 2500 2490 2480

2510 2500 2490 2480

2470 2460 2450 2440 2430

2470 2460 2450 2440 2430

2420 2410 2400 2390

2420 2410 2400 2390

2550

2550

2500

2500

2380 2370 2360 2350

2380 2370 2360 2350

2450

2450

2400

2400

2340 2330 2320 2310 2300

2340 2330 2320 2310 2300

2350

2350

2300

2300

2250

2250

2290 2280 2270 2260

2290 2280 2270 2260

2200

2200

2150

2150

2250

2250 2100

2100

2050

2050

15000

15000

10000

10000

Relative Strength Index

75 70 65 60 55 50 2600

75 70 65 60 55 50

IHSG

2600

2000

2000

1950

1950

15000

5000

15000

10000

5000

10000

5000

5000

x1000000

x1000000

3 August

x1000000

10

18

24

31

7

14

28

September

5

12

19

26

October

2 November

29

x1000000

6

13

21

27

3 August

July

10

18

24

31

7

14

28

September

5 October

12

Market Price Update No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Stock AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

19

26

2 November

20-Oct-09

Open

High

Low

22,600 450 140 1,530 385 1,130 2,650 235 295 33,000 118 4,800 415 2,050 8,100 4,825 240 1,950 118 115 810 4,800 275 127 710 380 1,580 136 235 3,000 5,650 1,960 104 680 345 540 200 99 350 345 360 265 56 14,200 460 210 3,100 2,521 4,300 3,250

22,800 490 142 1,550 395 1,130 2,675 240 300 33,650 120 4,825 415 2,075 8,100 4,850 240 1,970 120 121 820 4,825 280 128 720 385 1,590 137 235 3,050 5,750 2,000 105 690 350 620 200 106 355 345 360 265 56 14,450 470 210 3,150 2,532 4,350 3,275

22,300 445 138 1,500 380 1,110 2,550 230 295 33,100 113 4,725 410 2,000 7,850 4,675 235 1,920 117 116 780 4,700 265 123 700 380 1,540 132 230 2,825 5,700 1,900 100 670 340 550 197 99 345 335 340 240 54 14,250 450 205 3,050 2,494 4,225 3,200

Previous

Close

22,600 22,500 450 490 140 139 1,530 1,510 385 390 1,130 1,120 2,650 2,575 235 235 295 300 33,000 33,200 118 115 4,800 4,775 415 415 2,050 2,000 8,100 7,900 4,825 4,750 240 235 1,950 1,930 118 117 115 117 810 780 4,800 4,750 275 265 127 124 710 700 380 385 1,580 1,550 136 134 235 235 3,000 2,850 5,650 5,750 1,960 1,940 104 102 680 670 345 345 540 620 200 197 99 105 350 350 345 335 360 350 265 240 56 55 14,200 14,300 460 450 210 210 3,100 3,075 2,521 2,502.22 4,300 4,250 3,250 3,200

% Change

-0.44 8.89 -0.71 -1.31 1.30 -0.88 -2.83 0.00 1.69 0.61 -2.54 -0.52 0.00 -2.44 -2.47 -1.55 -2.08 -1.03 -0.85 1.74 -3.70 -1.04 -3.64 -2.36 -1.41 1.32 -1.90 -1.47 0.00 -5.00 1.77 -1.02 -1.92 -1.47 0.00 14.81 -1.50 6.06 0.00 -2.90 -2.78 -9.43 -1.79 0.70 -2.17 0.00 -0.81 -0.74 -1.16 -1.54

Volume 502,500 37,730,000 575,000 147,739,504 9,512,500 7,482,000 37,078,000 593,000 1,619,500 4,100,000 108,818,000 11,998,500 466,000 12,553,500 20,467,500 10,054,000 176,000 364,500 179,000 72,690,000 19,039,500 34,523,500 13,592,000 570,949,504 1,324,000 24,500 22,501,500 61,233,000 210,000 346,137,504 113,000 12,449,500 1,423,000 31,592,500 30,610,000 78,628,496 43,772,000 67,867,000 6,212,500 66,949,500 108,464,000 7,308,000 74,609,000 213,000 2,995,500 6,916,500 1,698,500 6,234,999,808 17,171,500 4,002,000

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Open

High

Low

2,450 1,840 12,200 5,700 24,300 930 285 1,880 132 1,340 700 8,550 840 161 3,150 139 445 79 255 1,050 3,775 840 140 14,850 2,475 120 1,640 6,950 610 1,310 220 550 345 2,225 1,810 8,700 255 108 215 240 111 700 880 16,500 10,950 345 540

2,450 1,850 12,250 5,750 24,450 940 300 1,890 134 1,340 710 8,700 830 163 3,175 141 445 81 260 1,040 3,800 850 140 15,000 2,475 124 1,650 7,050 620 1,310 220 560 350 2,300 1,830 8,800 255 117 215 240 115 700 880 16,700 11,100 350 540

2,400 1,820 12,050 5,650 24,200 900 285 1,840 130 1,310 680 8,350 820 158 3,050 136 420 75 245 1,030 3,675 840 137 14,500 2,400 118 1,610 6,950 600 1,300 210 530 345 2,225 1,820 8,700 245 108 205 230 110 690 840 16,500 10,850 340 540

Previous 2,450 1,840 12,200 5,700 24,300 930 285 1,880 132 1,340 700 8,550 840 161 3,150 139 445 79 255 1,050 3,775 840 140 14,850 2,475 120 1,640 6,950 610 1,310 220 550 345 2,225 1,810 8,700 255 108 215 240 111 700 880 16,500 10,950 345 540

Close 2,425 1,840 12,100 5,700 24,300 910 285 1,850 131 1,320 700 8,350 830 159 3,050 137 430 75 250 1,040 3,700 850 138 14,600 2,425 118 1,620 7,000 610 1,310 215 530 350 2,250 1,820 8,700 250 111 210 235 112 700 850 16,600 10,900 350 540

% Change -1.02 0.00 -0.82 0.00 0.00 -2.15 0.00 -1.60 -0.76 -1.49 0.00 -2.34 -1.19 -1.24 -3.17 -1.44 -3.37 -5.06 -1.96 -0.95 -1.99 1.19 -1.43 -1.68 -2.02 -1.67 -1.22 0.72 0.00 0.00 -2.27 -3.64 1.45 1.12 0.55 0.00 -1.96 2.78 -2.33 -2.08 0.90 0.00 -3.41 0.61 -0.46 1.45 0.00

Volume 1,862,500 2,339,000 1,341,000 1,098,000 3,241,000 4,096,500 474,500 8,815,000 36,455,500 5,946,500 94,035,000 1,545,000 407,500 1,676,000 16,887,500 461,000 91,864,496 8,749,500 8,569,000 282,000 25,994,500 659,000 15,222,000 2,207,500 3,509,000 414,500 3,557,500 3,857,000 4,057,500 210,000 568,000 2,755,000 3,343,000 47,749,500 219,000 16,344,500 269,000 32,068,500 4,499,000 3,534,000 1,712,000 519,000 35,432,500 1,863,500 1,359,500 7,147,500 52,500

page 3 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation No

Stock

Beta

Close

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

0.83 -0.65 3.04 0.73 0.00 1.11 1.08 0.58 1.42 2.00 -0.25 2.08 1.08 0.99 1.36 1.40 0.49 0.81 0.54 0.48 0.90 1.93 0.32 0.42 0.35 0.54 0.66 0.53 -0.11 1.60 -0.46 1.32 0.19 0.61 0.90 0.06 0.99 -0.51 0.49 0.60 0.92 3.20 0.27 0.69 0.61 1.00 1.45 1.00 0.88 1.90

22,500 490 139 1,510 390 1,120 2,575 235 300 33,200 115 4,775 415 2,000 7,900 4,750 235 1,930 117 117 780 4,750 265 124 700 385 1,550 134 235 2,850 5,750 1,940 102 670 345 620 197 105 350 335 350 240 55 14,300 450 210 3,075 2,502 4,250 3,200

Support Resistant Momentum 20,850 435 131 1,370 380 1,100 2,525 225 285 32,200 113 4,650 410 1,980 7,750 4,625 235 1,910 117 114 750 4,700 265 123 700 380 1,440 131 225 2,700 5,600 1,560 99 660 330 510 197 99 345 335 340 192 52 13,750 445 199 2,800 2,446 4,000 3,025

23,400 490 174 1,550 410 1,180 2,725 255 315 35,300 128 5,350 435 2,125 8,700 4,900 255 2,025 127 127 820 5,300 305 133 740 400 1,600 141 240 3,125 5,850 2,000 114 760 375 620 210 109 360 365 380 270 60 14,650 500 215 3,225 2,560 4,375 3,300

-Overbought -Overbought ------Oversold Oversold Oversold ---Oversold -Oversold Oversold -Oversold Oversold -Oversold Oversold Overbought ----Overbought -Oversold --Oversold --Oversold -Overbought ---------

21-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

9 2 0 4 20 14 10 3 3 14 16 0 10 2 3 3 25 14 14 10 2 3 17 1 13 9 3 1 3 3 2 14 19 9 0 1 3 0 0 14 15 5 5 3 17 4 3 4 4 20

11 13 5 8 18 5 0 2 8 2 4 7 6 0 2 10 16 12 8 9 8 2 13 0 6 8 6 15 2 15 1 15 12 6 8 8 1 4 7 13 12 8 0 11 0 8 8 6 6 21

1.4 2.4 2.1 2.0 1.2 1.0 1.5 2.2 1.9 1.3 1.8 1.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.8 1.3 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 1.8 1.2 1.4 2.1 1.2 3.2 1.8 1.8 1.7 4.2 1.1 2.0 1.5 1.3 1.9 6.6 1.7 1.3 2.0 2.0 2.1 0.6 1.6 1.5

1.2 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.9 2.6 1.5 1.5 2.2 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.9 2.2 1.5 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.4 1.7 2.6 1.0 2.6 2.2 2.2 1.4 3.4 1.4 1.7 1.2 1.6 2.3 5.4 2.1 1.0 2.5 1.6 1.7 0.7 1.3 1.3

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

---Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume ----Doji ----Rally with Volume -Reaction with Volume --Doji ------Reaction with Volume -Reaction with Volume -----Rally with Volume ---Reaction with Volume -Reaction with Volume -Reaction with Volume --------Doji -----------Doji --Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume Doji ----Reaction with Volume -----Rally with Volume --Doji ---Engulfing Bear ------

Today Rekomedation

Trend Reverse

Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Sell Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Buy Bearish Sell Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Sell Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Buy Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish)

sell at 21,413 sell at 391 sell at 136 sell at 1,348 buy at 393 buy at 1,153 buy at 2,669 buy at 239 sell at 288 buy at 33,825 buy at 126 sell at 4,725 buy at 419 buy at 2,063 buy at 8,188 sell at 4,756 buy at 255 buy at 1,983 buy at 123 buy at 119 sell at 775 buy at 4,994 buy at 309 buy at 130 buy at 715 buy at 389 sell at 1,478 sell at 136 buy at 240 sell at 2,956 buy at 5,738 sell at 1,468 buy at 107 buy at 760 sell at 340 sell at 433 buy at 209 sell at 97 sell at 348 buy at 356 buy at 366 sell at 208 buy at 57 sell at 13,988 buy at 495 sell at 200 sell at 2,838 sell at 2,486 sell at 4,125 sell at 3,144

page 4 of 7


Trading Guide · · · · ·

It always recommended to invest in a good company with a good financial performance. A stock is said to be fairly valued when its P/E equals its growth rate. A growth stock should be in uptrend when you buy and value stock should be consolidating. Always concentrate on the strongest stock candidates for daily trading and long term investment. Trend is your friend. You must analyze everything from the perspective of trends.

Desclaimer Dokumen ini dibuat dari opini analis yang dibuat untuk membantu investor memahami pasar saham Indonesia. Dokumen ini dibuat berdasarkan sumbersumber yang kami percaya dan dapat diandalkan. Walaupun demikian Bali Securities tidak dapat menjamin keakuratan data dan kelengkapannya. Investor dianjurkan untuk membaca secara utuh dan lengkap dokumen ini sebagai saran dalam berinvestasi dan mengambil langkah yang hati-hati dalam berinvestasi. Keputusan investasi yang diambil tetap merupakan tanggung jawab investor semata. Help in Technical Analysis Page 4 & 5 * Harga saham cenderung naik atau turun pada harga diantara harga support dan resistant. * Beta saham adalah nilai volatilitas terhadap benchmark IHSG. Makin besar beta saham, makin besar volatilitas dibandingkan IHSG. Beta IHSG = 1. * Momentum overbought apabila Stochastic > 80, oversold apabila stochastic < 20. * Today Recommendation: Buy: Today buy, pada saat Bullish MA Crossing Hold Bullish : pada saat close > MA Bearish: pada saat Close < MA Sell: Today Sell, pada saat Bearish MA Crossing * If Trend reverse: harga beli (masuk) atau jual (keluar) jika harga/trend berbalik arah. Harga ini adalah harga hasil perhitungan matematis dan berubah setiap hari. Contoh: jika harga sell at jauh dari harga closing price, saham masih dalam area aman dan masih direkomedasi hold sampai closing price waktu itu mendekati harga sell at...disaat anda harus memperhatikan dengan seksama pergerakan hariannya dan siap-siap menjual pada harga sell at.. Baik digunakan untuk protect mid term gain. Nilai harga if trend reverse adalah sebagai patokan/konfirmasi bahwa mid trend harga saham memang sedang berbalik arah. * Forecast % Up dan % down merupakan potensi kenaikan harga dan penurunan harga hari ini. Nilai ini dihitung dari rata-rata historis pergerakan harian (high/low) setiap hari dan mencerminkan juga volatilitas saham harian. Baik digunakan untuk acuan protect gain dan stop loss. Nilai ini berubah setiap hari. * Candlestick: Doji: "Market this stock is Tired ". Hammer: Trend balik arah, sinyal bullish pada saat downtrend. Engulfing Bull: Trend balik arah, start bullish. Engulfing Bear:Trend balik arah, start bearish. Hanging Man: Trend balik arah, sinyal bearish pada saat uptrend. * Volume: Rally with Volume: Kenaikan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen naik dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini. Reaction with Volume: Penurunan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen turun dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini.

PT BALI SECURITIES

PermataBank Tower I 3rd Floor, Jl.Jend Sudirman Kav 27, Tel.5237815, 5237607 Fax. 2500638 Research Ketut Tri Bayuna 021-5237815 ext 0243

Equity Sales Suryati Budiawan 021-5237297/98

Fixed Income Sales Agus Gunawan 021-5237296

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Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation (cont'd) No Stock Beta 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

0.09 0.39 1.84 0.40 0.66 0.76 0.19 0.31 0.31 0.57 1.08 1.57 0.26 0.84 0.16 0.23 0.29 1.39 1.00 -0.11 0.58 0.72 0.91 0.69 0.79 0.75 1.60 1.09 -0.48 0.76 0.48 0.86 0.71 0.08 0.13 0.41 0.79 1.19 0.88 0.49 -0.39 0.13 1.06 2.06 0.97 0.76 0.05

Close 2,425 1,840 12,100 5,700 24,300 910 285 1,850 131 1,320 700 8,350 830 159 3,050 137 430 75 250 1,040 3,700 850 138 14,600 2,425 118 1,620 7,000 610 1,310 215 530 350 2,250 1,820 8,700 250 111 210 235 112 700 850 16,600 10,900 350 540

Support Resistant Momentum 2,400 1,760 11,450 5,300 23,100 830 280 1,790 127 1,290 670 7,700 0 158 2,975 130 420 75 245 1,010 3,500 830 137 13,900 2,025 118 1,510 6,400 600 1,200 210 530 330 2,125 1,810 8,500 245 108 200 230 100 690 830 15,200 10,750 335 540

2,525 1,880 12,400 5,750 24,600 960 305 1,890 137 1,360 730 8,750 850 180 3,225 189 480 85 275 1,090 3,800 870 146 15,000 2,475 130 1,690 7,100 660 1,340 230 580 355 2,300 1,840 8,950 260 125 235 250 137 730 900 16,750 11,400 355 600

---Overbought Overbought -Oversold -----Overbought Oversold -Oversold Oversold ---Overbought ---Overbought Oversold Overbought Overbought Oversold Overbought -------Oversold -----Overbought --Oversold

21-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

9 4 26 6 4 1 13 3 6 2 9 14 3 14 1 18 26 25 26 0 2 3 11 4 5 10 25 10 12 N/A 5 3 4 14 2 9 13 15 5 1 14 20 4 14 14 0 6

6 8 30 9 8 8 5 12 2 5 17 22 8 6 5 16 18 13 18 4 8 10 9 7 6 6 27 15 4 N/A 0 2 12 17 6 11 5 8 9 0 7 2 17 15 2 16 4

0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.7 2.8 1.9 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.9 1.7 7.7 1.1 1.5 3.3 1.6 2.6 2.1 1.1 1.4 1.2 0.9 1.5 2.2 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.4 2.2 1.7 2.2 1.0 1.7 1.2 1.0 1.5 0.6

1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.6 2.3 2.3 1.0 1.5 1.3 2.4 2.0 9.4 1.4 1.8 4.0 2.0 3.2 2.6 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.8 1.8 1.2 1.1 2.1 1.1 2.0 2.3 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.9 2.7 2.0 2.7 1.2 2.1 0.9 1.3 1.3 0.7

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

Today Rekomedation

-Doji -Doji Doji -Doji ---Doji -----------------Doji Doji -----Doji -----Doji ----Doji

--Reaction with Volume ---Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume ----Reaction with Volume -----Reaction with Volume -------Reaction with Volume ------Rally with Volume Reaction with Volume ---Reaction with Volume -----

Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Sell Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Sell Sell Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish

Trend Reverse buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at

2,481 1,770 11,800 5,425 23,650 808 291 1,805 134 1,318 703 8,163 830 168 3,156 185 469 83 283 1,048 3,544 838 145 14,188 2,056 124 1,588 6,475 643 1,228 224 573 335 2,181 1,803 8,663 260 115 218 243 118 718 868 15,375 11,013 334 558

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Technical Analysis Data (Moving Average) and Stock Performance (Price Rate of Change)

No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

Stock Close AALI 22,500 22,064 1.97 21,687 3.75 2.97 7.14 10.84 21.95 128.43 ADHI 490 452 8.44 449 9.05 11.36 10.11 12.64 13.95 92.16 ADMG 139 138 0.83 135 2.90 1.46 -13.66 25.23 32.38 95.77 ADRO 1,510 1,454 3.87 1,429 5.70 8.63 4.86 11.85 25.83 202.00 AISA 390 393 -0.72 400 -2.46 0.00 -2.50 -6.02 -8.24 -3.70 AKRA 1,120 1,127 -0.65 1,104 1.40 -0.89 -4.27 34.94 43.59 77.78 ANTM 2,575 2,596 -0.80 2,564 0.42 0.00 1.98 17.05 27.16 121.98 APOL 235 238 -1.28 239 -1.62 4.44 -6.00 4.44 2.17 8.80 ASGR 300 296 1.30 294 1.88 5.26 0.00 7.14 13.21 52.28 ASII 33,200 33,301 -0.30 32,955 0.74 -1.04 -4.05 13.31 22.06 199.10 ASRI 115 119 -3.31 118 -2.73 -4.96 -9.45 4.55 7.48 130.00 BBCA 4,775 4,774 0.03 4,736 0.82 0.53 -8.17 11.70 29.05 49.22 BBKP 415 416 -0.34 416 -0.33 0.00 -3.49 6.41 16.90 110.66 BBNI 2,000 2,036 -1.77 2,041 -2.03 0.00 -4.76 8.11 11.11 222.58 BBRI 7,900 7,979 -0.99 7,883 0.22 0.00 -2.47 9.72 15.33 78.53 BDMN 4,750 4,776 -0.54 4,766 -0.33 0.53 -2.06 4.40 -1.04 62.39 BHIT 235 244 -3.75 249 -5.43 -4.08 -7.84 -4.08 -9.62 34.29 BISI 1,930 1,959 -1.47 1,981 -2.60 -0.52 -3.02 -2.03 7.22 3.76 BKDP 117 120 -2.21 121 -3.08 -1.68 -7.14 -1.68 32.95 134.00 BKSL 117 118 -0.89 120 -2.79 0.86 -5.65 5.41 -25.48 74.63 BLTA 780 786 -0.75 780 -0.01 2.63 -3.70 8.33 -1.27 35.65 BMRI 4,750 4,832 -1.69 4,773 -0.48 -1.04 -7.77 18.75 33.80 123.53 BMTR 265 285 -6.92 293 -9.63 -8.62 -11.67 -14.52 -30.26 40.96 BNBR 124 127 -2.47 128 -3.48 0.00 -4.62 -1.59 39.33 148.00 BNGA 700 706 -0.83 706 -0.91 0.00 -5.41 2.94 2.94 62.79 BNII 385 387 -0.49 391 -1.45 0.00 -2.53 0.00 -11.49 4.05 BRPT 1,550 1,529 1.40 1,522 1.85 5.44 4.03 6.16 28.10 176.79 BTEL 134 136 -1.14 137 -2.11 0.75 -4.29 -2.90 2.29 157.69 BUDI 235 237 -0.98 238 -1.15 0.00 -2.08 2.17 19.29 83.59 BUMI 2,850 2,951 -3.42 2,992 -4.73 1.79 -7.32 4.59 39.02 220.22 BYAN 5,750 5,739 0.19 5,741 0.16 0.00 -0.86 4.55 7.48 505.26 CPIN 1,940 1,752 10.73 1,639 18.38 23.57 19.75 44.78 189.55 340.91 CSAP 102 105 -2.80 106 -3.45 -2.86 -8.11 6.25 -13.56 -31.54 CTRA 670 703 -4.75 720 -6.97 -8.22 -9.46 -9.46 -10.67 316.15 CTRP 345 345 0.10 347 -0.57 2.99 -5.48 -1.43 -12.66 173.81 CTRS 620 546 13.62 539 15.05 19.23 12.73 16.98 19.23 289.94 DEWA 197 202 -2.68 204 -3.32 -1.50 -6.19 -0.51 -1.50 286.27 DGIK 105 101 3.50 101 3.97 3.96 0.00 6.06 0.96 110.00 ELSA 350 349 0.20 349 0.14 0.00 -2.78 4.48 6.06 182.26 ELTY 335 346 -3.18 352 -4.85 -2.90 -6.94 -1.47 6.35 358.90 ENRG 350 360 -2.72 365 -4.21 0.00 -6.67 -4.11 0.00 302.30 FPNI 240 231 4.05 219 9.55 17.07 14.29 25.00 45.45 336.36 FREN 55 56 -2.27 57 -4.05 -1.79 -1.79 -8.33 0.00 10.00 GGRM 14,300 14,267 0.23 14,283 0.12 2.14 0.00 -2.05 4.38 214.29 GJTL 450 463 -2.88 452 -0.54 -2.17 -3.23 38.46 50.00 143.24 GZCO 210 208 1.10 207 1.22 2.44 0.00 6.60 17.32 159.26 HEXA 3,075 3,000 2.51 2,949 4.27 8.85 4.24 17.14 28.13 310.00 IHSG 2,502 2,498 0.17 2,479 0.94 1.22 -1.03 9.46 16.57 85.11 INCO 4,250 4,213 0.87 4,205 1.06 3.66 2.41 1.19 5.59 109.88 INDF 3,200 3,156 1.41 3,066 4.38 2.40 3.23 23.08 54.22 240.43

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Close 2,425 1,840 12,100 5,700 24,300 910 285 1,850 131 1,320 700 8,350 830 159 3,050 137 430 75 250 1,040 3,700 850 138 14,600 2,425 118 1,620 7,000 610 1,310 215 530 350 2,250 1,820 8,700 250 111 210 235 112 700 850 16,600 10,900 350 540

20-Oct-09 MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

2,450 -1.02 2,450 -1.04 0.00 -1.02 5.43 8.99 98.77 1,817 1.26 1,801 2.17 3.37 1.10 10.18 6.36 132.91 11,893 1.74 11,478 5.42 4.76 4.31 31.52 56.13 175.00 5,597 1.84 5,530 3.07 1.79 4.59 9.62 7.55 15.74 24,127 0.72 24,043 1.07 2.32 1.04 5.65 15.99 122.94 878 3.68 869 4.68 8.33 0.00 10.98 31.88 130.38 287 -0.69 288 -0.90 0.00 -5.00 3.64 -5.00 91.28 1,839 0.57 1,832 0.99 2.78 0.54 5.11 13.50 94.74 132 -0.81 132 -0.53 -1.50 -0.76 8.26 22.43 162.00 1,316 0.29 1,293 2.12 2.33 -0.75 11.86 21.10 234.18 702 -0.24 699 0.17 0.00 1.45 4.48 2.94 -7.89 8,262 1.06 8,038 3.89 5.03 5.03 12.08 28.46 167.20 833 -0.32 832 -0.19 1.22 -2.35 3.75 2.47 50.91 163 -2.40 164 -3.00 -1.85 -9.14 3.25 5.30 218.00 3,092 -1.36 3,061 -0.38 -0.81 -3.17 9.91 1.67 63.10 157 -12.51 169 -19.02 -19.41 -27.51 -30.81 9.60 92.96 447 -3.88 454 -5.32 -5.49 -6.52 -3.37 -15.69 -25.86 79 -5.00 79 -5.46 -1.32 -10.71 19.05 27.12 50.00 264 -5.25 270 -7.57 -7.41 -9.09 -3.85 -7.41 72.41 1,041 -0.07 1,034 0.56 -0.95 0.00 15.56 36.84 73.33 3,669 0.84 3,648 1.41 4.23 0.00 10.45 11.28 68.18 848 0.27 841 1.01 2.41 0.00 19.72 26.87 39.34 141 -2.10 140 -1.30 -2.13 -4.17 24.32 33.98 56.82 14,473 0.87 14,266 2.34 3.55 2.82 15.87 25.32 98.64 2,291 5.84 2,196 10.45 14.12 16.87 23.72 40.99 109.05 120 -2.02 122 -3.38 -0.84 -7.09 -4.07 -15.11 -42.44 1,588 1.99 1,516 6.86 1.89 5.19 28.57 22.73 200.00 6,782 3.21 6,625 5.65 6.87 7.69 21.74 26.13 75.00 617 -1.19 618 -1.31 -1.61 -6.15 24.49 56.41 235.16 1,273 2.88 1,238 5.83 5.65 6.50 20.18 20.18 81.94 219 -2.00 220 -2.24 -2.27 -4.44 2.38 9.69 141.57 547 -3.13 547 -3.10 -1.85 -1.85 3.92 0.00 134.51 345 1.33 345 1.52 2.94 1.45 4.48 12.90 84.21 2,212 1.70 2,188 2.81 3.45 4.65 13.64 14.21 95.65 1,813 0.39 1,810 0.53 0.55 0.55 4.60 4.00 152.78 8,672 0.32 8,619 0.94 -1.14 1.16 5.45 6.10 28.89 254 -1.57 254 -1.54 -1.96 -1.96 -3.85 -12.28 -12.28 113 -1.74 114 -2.99 -0.89 -8.26 0.91 -20.71 117.65 213 -1.56 211 -0.46 0.00 0.00 10.53 0.00 105.88 240 -2.07 244 -3.54 -2.08 -4.08 -6.00 17.50 183.13 115 -2.56 118 -4.74 0.00 -10.40 -6.67 -23.29 -81.33 703 -0.38 692 1.16 -1.41 -2.78 9.38 9.38 86.67 862 -1.42 865 -1.75 1.19 -2.30 2.41 16.44 233.33 16,116 3.01 15,681 5.86 6.07 3.11 27.69 53.00 258.92 10,926 -0.24 10,881 0.17 -1.36 -0.91 5.83 1.40 39.74 344 1.61 346 1.29 2.94 0.00 4.48 2.94 68.27 546 -1.09 549 -1.66 0.00 -3.57 0.00 12.50 203.37

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Daily Investment Guide 21 Oktober 2009  

10,041.48 10,336.84 Nikkei 225 2,502.22 Sumber: detikfinance.com, bisnis.com Selected News IDX Index List CAC 40 DAX IHSG US Coal Index OIL...

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