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PT. BALI SECURITIES Market Update

Daily Investment Guide 12-Oct-09

9-Oct-09

IHSG

2,474.40

Down 10.117 (0.41%) 2,484.52 2,484.94 2,464.6069 - 2,489.9231 N/A

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 9-Oct-09

10,016.39

Nikkei 225

Up 183.92 (1.87%) 9,832.47 9,893.63 9,857.39 - 10,016.39 N/A

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 9-Oct-09

9,864.94

DJIA

9,864.94 Up 78.07 (0.80%) 9,786.87 9,786.04 9,764.88 - 9,865.01 N/A

Index Value: Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range:

IDX Index List

Index COMPOSITE AGRI MINING BASIC-IND MISC-IND CONSUMER PROPERTY INFRASTRUC FINANCE TRADE MANUFACTUR LQ45 JII MBX DBX KOMPAS100 BISNIS-27 PEFINDO25 SRI-KEHATI

10 Most Active Stocks

Stock BUMI JECC BNBR ANTM ITMG LPKR MRAT MEDC BBCA SDRA

Previous 2,725 950 127 2,675 23,850 680 445 3,050 4,700 325

Daily Trading Summary

Buy/Sell

Buy

9-Oct-09

Previous Close Change 2,484.52 2,474.40 -10.12 1,779.13 1,761.39 -17.74 2,175.66 2,188.69 13.02 253.49 253.96 0.47 592.80 588.98 -3.81 598.64 601.45 2.82 163.17 162.53 -0.64 689.28 683.97 -5.31 309.33 305.76 -3.57 273.90 274.22 0.33 493.09 493.12 0.03 488.28 486.32 -1.96 401.74 401.60 -0.14 700.90 696.48 -4.42 405.26 410.73 5.47 604.44 601.91 -2.53 227.09 225.18 -1.92 199.82 201.53 1.72 144.27 143.17 -1.10

Volume Value Sell Volume Value Foreign SELL Value Net

down down up up down up down down down up up down down down up down down up down

% -0.41 -1.00 0.60 0.18 -0.64 0.47 -0.39 -0.77 -1.15 0.12 0.01 -0.40 -0.03 -0.63 1.35 -0.42 -0.84 0.86 -0.76 9-Oct-09

Close Change 2,900 175 790 -160 128 1 2,625 -50 23,250 -600 680 0 550 105 3,125 75 4,750 50 330 5 Foreign Investor 331,289,000 1,000,438,934,000 271,209,000 1,220,022,287,500

up down up down down down up up up up

% 6.42 -16.84 0.79 -1.87 -2.52 0.00 23.60 2.46 1.06 1.54

9-Oct-09 Domestic Investor 2,560,986,485 2,880,482,079,200 2,621,066,485 2,660,898,725,700

219,583,353,500

9-Oct-09

Asia Pacific All Ordinaries Shanghai Composite Hang Seng BSE 30 Nikkei 225 NZSE 50 Straits Times Seoul Composite Taiwan Weighted

9-Oct-09

% Change Close 4,754.50 Down 8.800 (0.18%) 2,911.72 Up 132.289 (4.76%) Up 6.54 (0.03%) 21,499.44 16,661.00 Down 182.54 (1.08%) 10,016.39 Up 183.92 (1.87%) 3,163.25 Down 5.684 (0.18%) Up 1.56 (0.06%) 2,652.51 1,646.79 Up 31.33 (1.94%) 7,571.96 Up 68.65 (0.91%)

9-Oct-09

US Major DJIA Nasdaq S&P 500

Close 9,864.94 2,139.28 1,071.49

% Change Up 78.07 (0.80%) Up 15.35 (0.72%) Up 6.01 (0.56%)

Europe ATX BEL-20 CAC 40 DAX OSE All Share Madrid General Stockholm General Swiss Market FTSE 100

Close 2,673.96 2,547.01 3,799.61 5,711.88 383.93 1,228.60 281.16 6,291.64 5,161.87

% Change Up 17.25 (0.65%) Up 4.73 (0.19%) Down 7.20 (0.19%) Down 4.66 (0.08%) Up 2.50 (0.65%) Down 7.22 (0.58%) Up 1.13 (0.40%) Down 14.16 (0.22%) Up 7.23 (0.14%)

9-Oct-09 Commodity % Change Close US Coal Index 300.82 Down 2.10 (0.69%) OIL Nymex (Nov) Up 0.47 (0.65%) 72.24 Gold (Oct) Up 1.80 (0.17%) 1,049.60

Daily Investment Guide and Market Analysis Indeks IHSG hari Jumat kemarin melemah terutama oleh aksi profit taking dan kecilnya volume transaksi. Walaupun saham BUMI menguat namun IHSG tetap turun 10 point ke level 2.474. Sementara indeks regional Jumat kemarin menguat akibat keyakinan pemulihan ekonomi. Indeks Shanghai yang tutup panjang langsung loncat 132 point ( +4.76%) setelah optimisme pemulihan ekonomi dunia membuat keyakinan bahwa koreksi di bursa China selama ini akan berhenti. Indeks regional pagi ini masih positif. Indeks bursa global kedepan diharapkan akan terus naik apabila laporan keuangan memberikan hasil yang baik. Laporan keuangan perusahaan global minggu ini dianggap lebih mencerminkan kondisi ekonomi global dan harapan pemulihan ekonomi masih akan berlanjut atau tidak. Sementara dari dalam negeri investor utamanya masih menunggu susunan kabinet yang baru serta arah mana yang akan diprioritaskan pada pembangunan ke lima tahun berikutnya. Namun demikian investor masih berharap bulan ini dan akhir tahun masih cukup dapat mendorong indeks ke level berikutnya. Selected News PT Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI) mengharapkan produksi dan penjualan batubara lebih tinggi pada 2009. "Kami perkirakan produksi dan penjualan pada kuartal ketiga 2009 akan memecahkan rekor sebelumnya. Bahkan Oktober ini jauh lebih baik. Produksi pada kuartal 3-2009 mencapai 17 juta ton," ujar Dileep. Dileep menambahkan kinerja BUMI hingga September 2009 sesuai target BUMI. PT Bumi Resources Tbk (Bumi) menggadaikan 70% sahamnya di PT Arutmin Indonesia dan 13,6% di PT Kaltim Prima Coal serta lebih dari 70% pada tiga anak usaha lainnya untuk memperoleh pijaman dari China Investment Corporation (CIC) senilai US$1,9 miliar. Kelima anak perusahaan Bumi tersebut yakni PT Arutmin Indonesia, jumlah saham yang dijaminkan sebanyak 7.000 lembar atau 70% dari total modal disetor saham, PT Indocoal Kaltim Resources 140.000 lembar atau 70%, PT Indocoal Kalsel Resources 140.000 lembar atau 70%, PT Sitrade Coal 5.454 lembar atau 99,9% dan PT Kaltim Prima Coal (KPC) 40.800 lembar atau 13,6%.Dana yang diperoleh dari pinjaman CIC tersebut, lanjut Dileep, lebih besar dipakai untuk belanja modal yakni sebesar US$202 juta, selanjutnya untuk pembayaran utang US$1,68 juta, dan US$10 juta untuk total biaya profesional yang dikeluarkan terkait pinjaman. Menjawab pertanyaan bursa mengenai kemampuan perseroan untuk membayar pokok utang, bunga dan IRR setiap periode jatuh tempo, Dileep mengatakan, dalam tiga tahun pertama, jumlah arus kas yang akan dimiliki perseroan melebihi US$1 miliar. Pada tahun ke-4, ke-5 dan ke-6, jumlah utang kurang dari 50% EBITDA. Bumi mendapat pinjaman dari CIC sebesar 1,9 miliar dengan kupon bunga 12% dan IRR 19%. Dengan demikian debt covenant mencapai 4x EBITDA. Sumber: inilah.co, bisnis.com


Commodity, Energy & Metals price update Commodty Indx UBS BLOOMB CMCI S&P GSCI RJ/CRB Commodity Rogers Intl

Value

Change

1,186.83 472.22 262.55 2,997.21

-6.46 -0.30 -1.36 -9.24

9-Oct-09

Open

Energy

1,188.01 471.89 263.89 2,988.33

BRENT CRD FUT (USD/bbl) GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT) GASOLINE RB FUT (USd/gal) HEATING OIL FUT (USd/gal) NAT GAS FUT (USD/MMBtu) WTI CRUDE FUT (USD/bbl.)

Price 70.40 585.75 178.45 187.30 4.82 72.38

Change 0.40 5.25 1.65 2.02 0.05 0.61

% Change 0.57 0.90 0.93 1.09 1.11 0.85

Metals

Price

COPPER FUT (USd/lb.) 285.45 GOLD 100oz FUT (USD/t oz.) 1,051.60 SILVER FUTURE (USD/t oz.) 17.82

Change

% Change

1.65 3.00 0.13

0.58 0.29 0.73

Sumber: Bloomberg

Where Foreign Money Flows No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

BNBR BUMI ANTM LPKR INDF TLKM ADRO SMGR ACES AKRA JECC TINS ISAT ASIA INTP BBRI MEDC UNTR BISI GGRM CTRA UNVR TSPC LTLS BRPT BYAN JPFA KBLI CTRA SMGR

3,852,500 55,775,500 4,802,000 1,000 2,025,500 7,653,500 34,000 1,560,000 754,000 25,000 2,000 1,269,500 338,000 500,000 413,500 7,540,000 1,716,000 505,500 142,500 12,000 221,500 3,249,500 32,500 500 131,000 306,000 1,542,000 5,000 4,000,000 2,338,500

ForeignBuy (shares) 43,475,500 76,774,000 19,875,000 7,411,000 5,217,000 10,378,000 2,641,500 3,572,000 2,280,000 1,275,000 750,000 1,850,500 826,500 915,000 826,500 7,809,000 1,851,000 586,500 208,000 70,500 267,500 3,290,000 65,500 26,000 150,000 315,000 1,550,000 7,500 4,000,000 2,338,500

9-Oct-09 Net Buy (shares)

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

39,623,000 20,998,500 15,073,000 7,410,000 3,191,500 2,724,500 2,607,500 2,012,000 1,526,000 1,250,000 748,000 581,000 488,500 415,000 413,000 269,000 135,000 81,000 65,500 58,500 46,000 40,500 33,000 25,500 19,000 9,000 8,000 2,500 0 0

31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60

UNVR BUMI UNTR ASII INCO INDF BBRI PGAS BMRI ELTY BISI TLKM ISAT INTP LSIP BTEL RALS PTBA BBNI SDRA MIRA SMCB BDMN BBCA AALI HEXA RALS DOID KLBF TRUB

244,500 928,000 317,500 1,158,500 1,615,000 1,372,500 1,949,000 2,676,000 34,500 10,000,000 317,500 1,481,000 800,000 212,000 50,000 21,500,000 3,979,000 92,000 771,500 20,000 2,500,000 200,000 238,000 96,000 125,500 17,000 70,500 100,000 1,361,000 2,223,000

ForeignBuy (shares)

Net Buy (shares)

244,500 0 928,000 0 317,500 0 1,158,500 0 1,615,000 0 1,372,500 0 1,949,000 0 2,676,000 0 34,500 0 10,000,000 0 317,500 0 1,481,000 0 800,000 0 212,000 0 50,000 0 21,500,000 0 3,979,000 0 92,000 0 771,500 0 20,000 0 2,500,000 0 200,000 0 238,000 0 96,000 0 120,000 -5,500 500 -16,500 25,000 -45,500 1,000 -99,000 584,500 -776,500 1,000,000 -1,223,000

No.

Stock

ForeignSell ForeignBuy(s (shares) hares)

Net Buy (shares)

61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74

BLTA SMCB LSIP BBNI BDMN ITTG PTBA ASII ITMG BMRI ELTY INCO BBCA PGAS

1,339,500 4,903,500 4,093,000 3,255,000 2,661,500 1,956,000 4,524,000 4,030,500 5,130,500 9,469,500 8,319,500 10,320,000 33,956,500 18,212,500

-1,253,000 -1,564,500 -1,759,000 -1,850,500 -1,934,500 -1,949,000 -1,950,000 -2,401,500 -4,911,500 -7,047,500 -7,984,000 -9,832,500 -10,102,000 -11,036,000

86,500 3,339,000 2,334,000 1,404,500 727,000 7,000 2,574,000 1,629,000 219,000 2,422,000 335,500 487,500 23,854,500 7,176,500

page 2 of 7


Jakarta Composite Index Chart

9-Oct-09 IHSG

2600

MA, MA, MA, MA, MA, MA, MA, MA, MA, MA, MA, MA

2600

2600

P 2550

2550

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P

2500

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P

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PP 2350

O

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O

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O

2300

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2300 2250

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O

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P 2200

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P 2150

2100 2050

2150

2100

P

P

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1950 2050

O

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PP

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O

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10000

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1550

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x1000000

11

1350 1300 1250

x1000000

Bullish 18

25

1 June

8

15

22

Bearish 29

Bullish 6

Bearish 13

21

27

July

3 August

Bullish 10

Bearish 18

24

31

7 September

Bullish 14

28

5 October

12

19

26

23

30

T

6

13

20

April

27

4 May

11

18

25

1 June

8

15

22

29

6

13

21

27

July

3 10 August

18

24

31 7 September

14

Market Price Update No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Stock AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

28

5 October

12

19

26

9-Oct-09

Open

High

Low

21,150 435 133 1,390 400 1,160 2,675 240 290 33,850 121 4,700 420 2,050 8,400 4,725 250 1,980 122 120 770 4,975 295 127 720 390 1,510 134 240 2,725 5,800 1,600 107 750 350 530 205 101 350 345 360 194 54 13,850 475 200 2,850 2,485 4,200 3,150

21,350 440 141 1,420 405 1,170 2,700 240 295 34,200 122 4,775 425 2,075 8,400 4,775 250 1,990 123 121 780 4,975 290 131 710 390 1,520 137 240 2,925 5,850 1,600 109 750 350 530 205 103 355 355 365 197 55 14,200 475 205 2,900 2,490 4,225 3,175

20,850 435 131 1,390 390 1,120 2,575 230 290 33,000 119 4,675 415 1,990 8,000 4,650 240 1,980 120 118 750 4,825 270 128 700 385 1,470 134 235 2,725 5,700 1,570 104 730 340 520 199 100 345 345 350 192 53 13,850 445 199 2,825 2,465 4,125 3,025

Previous 21,150 435 133 1,390 400 1,160 2,675 240 290 33,850 121 4,700 420 2,050 8,400 4,725 250 1,980 122 120 770 4,975 295 127 720 390 1,510 134 240 2,725 5,800 1,600 107 750 350 530 205 101 350 345 360 194 54 13,850 475 200 2,850 2,485 4,200 3,150

Close 21,100 440 139 1,400 390 1,130 2,625 235 290 33,550 121 4,750 425 2,025 8,050 4,725 250 1,980 120 120 760 4,875 285 128 710 390 1,490 136 240 2,900 5,750 1,580 106 740 345 530 205 101 350 350 360 194 54 14,100 470 200 2,850 2,474 4,150 3,100

% Change

-0.24 1.15 4.51 0.72 -2.50 -2.59 -1.87 -2.08 0.00 -0.89 0.00 1.06 1.19 -1.22 -4.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.64 0.00 -1.30 -2.01 -3.39 0.79 -1.39 0.00 -1.32 1.49 0.00 6.42 -0.86 -1.25 -0.93 -1.33 -1.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.81 -1.05 0.00 0.00 -0.41 -1.19 -1.59

Volume 330,000 245,500 7,712,000 15,256,000 1,877,000 12,501,500 67,693,504 261,000 784,500 4,480,000 20,668,000 42,785,500 2,286,500 22,149,500 14,899,000 6,288,500 135,500 442,000 1,075,000 8,548,500 12,517,500 14,683,000 13,518,500 744,750,976 276,000 432,000 8,538,500 60,046,500 73,000 468,199,008 670,500 873,500 280,000 1,672,000 8,680,500 917,000 93,783,504 5,560,500 6,790,000 59,917,500 67,620,496 340,000 52,006,000 368,000 2,751,000 23,896,000 561,000 2,892,000,000 16,564,000 12,141,000

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Open

High

Low

2,475 1,780 11,800 5,350 23,850 850 290 1,820 129 1,330 680 7,950 820 169 3,050 183 445 81 270 1,050 3,600 840 141 14,100 2,100 127 1,550 6,650 660 1,260 215 560 340 2,250 1,810 8,650 255 118 205 235 124 710 840 15,400 10,900 340 540

2,475 1,810 11,900 5,450 23,950 850 300 1,830 132 1,350 700 7,950 840 175 3,175 182 460 83 270 1,080 3,600 840 144 14,300 2,100 126 1,570 6,750 650 1,260 220 560 335 2,275 1,810 8,650 260 120 210 245 126 710 860 15,500 11,050 345 540

2,425 1,780 11,750 5,350 23,100 840 290 1,810 129 1,310 670 7,700 820 166 3,050 172 440 78 265 1,040 3,525 840 141 14,050 2,025 120 1,510 6,650 610 1,240 215 540 330 2,200 1,810 8,550 255 114 200 230 121 690 830 15,400 10,900 335 540

Previous 2,475 1,780 11,800 5,350 23,850 850 290 1,820 129 1,330 680 7,950 820 169 3,050 183 445 81 270 1,050 3,600 840 141 14,100 2,100 127 1,550 6,650 660 1,260 215 560 340 2,250 1,810 8,650 255 118 205 235 124 710 840 15,400 10,900 340 540

Close 2,475 1,780 11,900 5,450 23,250 850 295 1,810 132 1,320 680 7,850 830 167 3,125 180 445 80 265 1,050 3,550 840 142 14,100 2,050 125 1,560 6,650 640 1,260 215 550 330 2,200 1,810 8,550 255 118 210 240 121 710 850 15,500 11,000 345 540

% Change 0.00 0.00 0.85 1.87 -2.52 0.00 1.72 -0.55 2.33 -0.75 0.00 -1.26 1.22 -1.18 2.46 -1.64 0.00 -1.23 -1.85 0.00 -1.39 0.00 0.71 0.00 -2.38 -1.57 0.65 0.00 -3.03 0.00 0.00 -1.79 -2.94 -2.22 0.00 -1.16 0.00 0.00 2.44 2.13 -2.42 0.00 1.19 0.65 0.92 1.47 0.00

Volume 6,542,500 1,554,500 1,077,500 1,317,500 5,954,500 1,660,000 236,000 1,905,000 48,150,000 10,179,000 111,132,496 5,131,000 151,500 2,064,000 28,015,500 491,000 31,136,500 5,794,500 1,486,000 560,000 23,613,000 275,000 4,086,000 6,177,500 1,214,500 65,000 15,592,500 5,518,500 3,520,000 48,000 687,500 1,165,000 2,101,000 27,757,000 20,500 11,018,000 64,500 2,806,000 2,702,500 7,678,500 2,183,500 98,500 18,111,000 2,681,000 3,727,500 7,922,500 84,500

page 3 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation No

Stock

Beta

Close

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

0.65 0.02 2.77 0.58 0.36 1.20 1.04 -0.20 1.11 2.35 -0.26 2.00 0.86 0.75 1.40 1.34 0.70 1.03 0.51 0.49 0.68 1.67 0.55 0.47 0.11 0.53 0.77 0.43 -0.58 1.40 -0.11 0.40 0.31 1.05 1.08 0.85 1.00 0.02 0.74 1.18 1.03 1.26 0.76 0.77 0.99 0.99 1.18 1.00 0.48 1.49

21,100 440 139 1,400 390 1,130 2,625 235 290 33,550 121 4,750 425 2,025 8,050 4,725 250 1,980 120 120 760 4,875 285 128 710 390 1,490 136 240 2,900 5,750 1,580 106 740 345 530 205 101 350 350 360 194 54 14,100 470 200 2,850 2,474 4,150 3,100

Support Resistant Momentum 20,500 435 121 1,380 390 980 2,400 230 285 29,900 111 4,450 405 1,990 7,400 4,650 240 1,950 118 118 750 4,300 270 125 690 385 1,460 131 230 2,700 5,500 1,340 104 720 340 520 199 97 340 340 350 192 52 13,750 410 199 2,775 2,395 4,050 2,825

21,600 460 174 1,460 415 1,200 2,725 265 300 35,300 137 5,500 440 2,150 8,700 5,100 285 2,075 138 128 850 5,300 320 138 770 410 1,560 143 245 3,275 5,850 1,700 133 760 375 550 215 112 360 375 400 220 60 14,900 480 220 3,000 2,560 4,325 3,200

-Oversold --Oversold Overbought Overbought --------Oversold --Oversold Oversold ---------Oversold --Oversold -------Oversold Oversold -Oversold Overbought Oversold ---Overbought

12-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

2 9 8 13 13 7 3 18 3 7 9 12 3 8 7 12 18 7 7 3 12 7 10 4 6 2 0 15 14 19 8 7 12 2 4 3 3 5 3 7 8 3 19 12 10 10 7 7 2 13

4 6 14 1 11 8 9 2 1 10 13 0 5 1 9 3 9 5 1 2 1 9 6 2 12 1 4 8 5 8 12 8 5 5 1 1 1 7 0 6 5 1 13 4 11 1 1 9 11 14

1.3 0.7 6.0 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.1 1.2 2.2 2.0 2.4 1.6 1.5 2.4 1.2 1.5 0.8 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.0 1.2 0.9 1.6 1.6 0.8 3.3 1.0 2.0 2.6 1.2 1.9 1.5 1.9 2.1 1.3 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.1 3.0 1.8 1.3 0.8 1.2 2.0

1.1 0.9 4.9 1.5 1.7 2.3 1.9 2.6 1.5 1.8 2.5 3.0 1.3 1.9 2.9 1.4 1.8 0.9 2.0 1.9 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.5 1.5 1.1 2.0 1.9 1.0 4.0 1.2 1.6 3.2 1.4 2.3 1.8 2.3 2.6 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.4 2.5 1.4 2.4 2.2 1.6 0.9 1.4 1.6

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

Today Rekomedation

Trend Reverse

--------Doji -Doji ----Doji Doji Doji -Doji -----Doji --Doji ------Doji Doji Doji Doji -Doji Doji Doji --Doji Doji ----

--------------with with ------with ----------------------with -----

Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Sell Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Sell Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish)

sell at 20,900 buy at 454 sell at 132 buy at 1,433 buy at 419 sell at 1,105 sell at 2,406 buy at 256 buy at 299 sell at 33,150 sell at 121 buy at 4,969 sell at 415 buy at 2,156 sell at 7,750 buy at 5,019 buy at 259 buy at 2,046 buy at 128 buy at 124 buy at 848 sell at 4,806 buy at 324 buy at 132 sell at 713 buy at 396 sell at 1,515 buy at 142 buy at 244 buy at 3,213 sell at 5,800 sell at 1,488 buy at 121 sell at 743 buy at 360 buy at 543 buy at 209 sell at 102 buy at 355 buy at 370 buy at 391 buy at 205 buy at 59 buy at 14,813 sell at 424 buy at 219 buy at 2,938 sell at 2,495 sell at 4,175 sell at 2,950

Reaction Reaction

Reaction

Reaction

Volume Volume

Volume

Volume

page 4 of 7


Trading Guide · · · · ·

It always recommended to invest in a good company with a good financial performance. A stock is said to be fairly valued when its P/E equals its growth rate. A growth stock should be in uptrend when you buy and value stock should be consolidating. Always concentrate on the strongest stock candidates for daily trading and long term investment. Trend is your friend. You must analyze everything from the perspective of trends.

Desclaimer Dokumen ini dibuat dari opini analis yang dibuat untuk membantu investor memahami pasar saham Indonesia. Dokumen ini dibuat berdasarkan sumbersumber yang kami percaya dan dapat diandalkan. Walaupun demikian Bali Securities tidak dapat menjamin keakuratan data dan kelengkapannya. Investor dianjurkan untuk membaca secara utuh dan lengkap dokumen ini sebagai saran dalam berinvestasi dan mengambil langkah yang hati-hati dalam berinvestasi. Keputusan investasi yang diambil tetap merupakan tanggung jawab investor semata. Help in Technical Analysis Page 4 & 5 * Harga saham cenderung naik atau turun pada harga diantara harga support dan resistant. * Beta saham adalah nilai volatilitas terhadap benchmark IHSG. Makin besar beta saham, makin besar volatilitas dibandingkan IHSG. Beta IHSG = 1. * Momentum overbought apabila Stochastic > 80, oversold apabila stochastic < 20. * Today Recommendation: Buy: Today buy, pada saat Bullish MA Crossing Hold Bullish : pada saat close > MA Bearish: pada saat Close < MA Sell: Today Sell, pada saat Bearish MA Crossing * If Trend reverse: harga beli (masuk) atau jual (keluar) jika harga/trend berbalik arah. Harga ini adalah harga hasil perhitungan matematis dan berubah setiap hari. Contoh: jika harga sell at jauh dari harga closing price, saham masih dalam area aman dan masih direkomedasi hold sampai closing price waktu itu mendekati harga sell at...disaat anda harus memperhatikan dengan seksama pergerakan hariannya dan siap-siap menjual pada harga sell at.. Baik digunakan untuk protect mid term gain. Nilai harga if trend reverse adalah sebagai patokan/konfirmasi bahwa mid trend harga saham memang sedang berbalik arah. * Forecast % Up dan % down merupakan potensi kenaikan harga dan penurunan harga hari ini. Nilai ini dihitung dari rata-rata historis pergerakan harian (high/low) setiap hari dan mencerminkan juga volatilitas saham harian. Baik digunakan untuk acuan protect gain dan stop loss. Nilai ini berubah setiap hari. * Candlestick: Doji: "Market this stock is Tired ". Hammer: Trend balik arah, sinyal bullish pada saat downtrend. Engulfing Bull: Trend balik arah, start bullish. Engulfing Bear:Trend balik arah, start bearish. Hanging Man: Trend balik arah, sinyal bearish pada saat uptrend. * Volume: Rally with Volume: Kenaikan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen naik dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini. Reaction with Volume: Penurunan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen turun dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini.

PT BALI SECURITIES

PermataBank Tower I 3rd Floor, Jl.Jend Sudirman Kav 27, Tel.5237815, 5237607 Fax. 2500638 Research Ketut Tri Bayuna 021-5237815 ext 0243

Equity Sales Suryati Budiawan 021-5237297/98

Fixed Income Sales Agus Gunawan 021-5237296

page 7 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation (cont'd) No Stock Beta 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

0.22 0.27 1.20 0.71 0.76 0.45 0.32 0.36 0.52 0.49 0.96 0.97 0.54 0.77 0.30 0.33 0.61 1.35 1.52 1.03 0.96 0.90 1.59 0.96 0.37 0.69 0.86 0.38 0.43 0.65 0.77 0.46 0.82 0.52 0.07 0.68 1.19 1.37 0.81 0.51 0.25 -0.03 0.99 2.08 0.49 0.60 1.00

Close 2,475 1,780 11,900 5,450 23,250 850 295 1,810 132 1,320 680 7,850 830 167 3,125 180 445 80 265 1,050 3,550 840 142 14,100 2,050 125 1,560 6,650 640 1,260 215 550 330 2,200 1,810 8,550 255 118 210 240 121 710 850 15,500 11,000 345 540

Support Resistant Momentum 2,425 1,760 10,100 5,300 23,100 830 280 1,810 127 1,200 650 7,350 800 160 2,850 172 440 78 260 1,010 3,525 840 137 13,700 2,000 112 1,310 6,200 540 1,140 210 530 330 2,075 1,800 8,400 245 111 199 230 119 650 830 14,050 10,500 335 540

2,525 1,830 12,200 5,550 24,300 950 310 1,920 138 1,350 700 8,150 880 180 3,400 194 470 91 280 1,090 3,775 880 149 14,550 2,125 133 1,620 6,950 690 1,300 230 580 350 2,300 1,830 8,750 260 142 240 265 140 780 880 16,450 11,100 355 560

--Overbought ----Oversold -Overbought ------Oversold Oversold ---Oversold ----Overbought --Overbought --------Oversold -------Oversold

12-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

2 16 19 4 3 10 6 18 17 10 2 7 6 7 6 11 19 18 19 0 6 7 4 3 13 3 18 3 5 25 3 2 7 7 12 2 6 8 18 7 7 13 18 7 7 18 3

4 1 23 2 1 1 13 5 5 N/A 10 15 1 9 9 9 11 6 11 3 1 3 2 0 15 6 20 8 11 N/A 1 8 5 10 14 4 9 1 2 5 0 24 10 8 9 9 1

1.3 1.0 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.6 2.2 0.7 1.6 1.6 2.4 1.7 1.4 2.7 2.7 1.9 1.4 2.7 1.3 2.5 1.1 0.5 1.5 1.0 1.4 2.6 2.4 1.9 3.7 1.8 1.6 2.2 1.1 2.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.9 2.4 2.4 3.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.0 1.2 0.7

1.5 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.3 2.0 1.8 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.9 1.4 1.7 3.3 2.2 2.4 1.8 3.3 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.6 1.8 1.2 1.8 3.2 1.9 1.5 3.0 1.5 2.0 2.7 1.4 1.8 0.2 1.0 1.2 3.5 2.0 3.0 4.2 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.8 1.5 0.8

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

Today Rekomedation

Doji Doji ---Doji ----Doji -----Doji --Doji -Doji -Doji ---Doji -Doji Doji ---Doji -Doji Doji ---Doji ----Doji

----Reaction with Volume ---Rally with Volume --Reaction with Volume ---Reaction with Volume Rally with Volume -----------Reaction with Volume --------Reaction with Volume Rally with Volume -----Rally with Volume ---

Sell Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Bearish Sell Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Sell Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish

Trend Reverse sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at buy at

2,475 1,818 10,638 5,400 24,850 913 283 1,868 132 1,298 670 7,613 835 171 3,031 198 470 89 285 1,035 3,800 865 147 14,213 2,113 125 1,310 6,275 610 1,165 225 550 356 2,138 1,813 8,663 255 128 213 254 129 678 868 15,338 10,725 349 555

page 5 of 7


Technical Analysis Data (Moving Average) and Stock Performance (Price Rate of Change)

No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

Stock Close AALI 21,100 21,033 ADHI 440 445 ADMG 139 135 ADRO 1,400 1,406 AISA 390 403 AKRA 1,130 1,114 ANTM 2,625 2,550 APOL 235 243 ASGR 290 293 ASII 33,550 33,235 ASRI 121 120 BBCA 4,750 4,798 BBKP 425 420 BBNI 2,025 2,061 BBRI 8,050 7,966 BDMN 4,725 4,792 BHIT 250 254 BISI 1,980 2,004 BKDP 120 123 BKSL 120 122 BLTA 760 783 BMRI 4,875 4,833 BMTR 285 301 BNBR 128 130 BNGA 710 712 BNII 390 393 BRPT 1,490 1,502 BTEL 136 138 BUDI 240 241 BUMI 2,900 3,007 BYAN 5,750 5,757 CPIN 1,580 1,537 CSAP 106 110 CTRA 740 742 CTRP 345 351 CTRS 530 535 DEWA 205 206 DGIK 101 101 ELSA 350 352 ELTY 350 357 ENRG 360 370 FPNI 194 198 FREN 54 56 GGRM 14,100 14,278 GJTL 470 450 GZCO 200 206 HEXA 2,850 2,875 IHSG 2,474 2,476 INCO 4,150 4,176 INDF 3,100 3,019

0.32 -1.09 2.65 -0.40 -3.33 1.41 2.94 -3.14 -1.09 0.95 0.57 -0.99 1.25 -1.75 1.05 -1.40 -1.38 -1.18 -2.24 -1.57 -2.93 0.88 -5.20 -1.29 -0.27 -0.67 -0.78 -1.65 -0.39 -3.56 -0.12 2.78 -3.99 -0.32 -1.75 -0.91 -0.56 -0.22 -0.46 -2.03 -2.79 -2.13 -4.27 -1.25 4.44 -3.00 -0.88 -0.07 -0.62 2.69

21,025 0.36 0.72 448 -1.74 -1.12 131 6.29 7.75 1,396 0.27 0.00 410 -4.79 -3.70 1,059 6.69 -0.88 2,496 5.16 5.00 241 -2.53 -4.08 292 -0.60 0.00 32,486 3.27 2.76 118 2.88 -0.82 4,682 1.46 -5.94 414 2.75 3.66 2,041 -0.79 -3.57 7,791 3.32 4.55 4,771 -0.96 -4.06 254 -1.74 0.00 2,021 -2.03 -0.50 123 -2.39 0.00 123 -2.80 -0.83 774 -1.77 -8.43 4,668 4.44 1.04 307 -7.03 -6.56 131 -1.99 0.00 706 0.57 1.43 393 -0.85 0.00 1,513 -1.50 -0.67 140 -2.80 -2.16 241 -0.23 0.00 3,044 -4.74 -5.69 5,733 0.30 -0.86 1,480 6.78 -1.25 109 -2.58 -5.36 743 -0.45 1.37 353 -2.17 -1.43 537 -1.25 0.00 206 -0.71 0.00 101 0.14 2.02 351 -0.21 0.00 359 -2.61 -1.41 375 -3.91 -2.70 199 -2.57 -3.00 58 -7.31 -3.57 14,349 -1.73 -2.76 427 10.12 10.59 207 -3.15 -4.76 2,857 -0.26 -0.87 2,448 1.06 -0.22 4,190 -0.94 0.61 2,910 6.55 5.98

0.00 -3.30 11.20 0.00 -6.02 8.65 5.00 -7.84 -3.33 7.19 9.01 3.83 2.41 0.00 5.92 -2.58 -3.85 -3.41 0.84 -4.76 0.00 7.73 -10.94 -3.03 2.90 -1.27 -1.32 -4.90 -2.04 -12.12 4.55 15.33 -19.08 0.00 -1.43 -1.85 0.00 2.02 -1.41 -5.41 -5.26 -3.00 -10.00 -3.42 13.25 -4.76 0.00 1.22 -0.60 5.98

-4.52 -3.30 15.83 -2.78 -7.14 31.40 3.96 -2.08 5.45 13.73 0.83 10.47 6.25 1.25 7.33 -2.07 -1.96 -5.71 0.00 -19.46 -1.30 16.07 -17.39 0.79 4.41 -2.50 -10.24 -4.23 -4.00 -5.69 2.68 7.48 7.07 -6.33 -9.21 -5.36 -4.65 -7.34 -4.11 -6.67 -12.20 1.04 -16.92 -3.75 44.62 -6.98 -1.72 4.15 -13.09 18.10

25.22 4.76 36.27 21.74 -7.14 41.25 34.62 2.17 7.41 30.80 6.14 31.94 34.92 14.41 13.38 5.00 -9.09 9.39 30.43 -23.57 -7.32 47.73 -21.92 42.22 10.94 1.30 19.20 3.03 29.03 56.76 5.50 143.08 -13.82 0.00 -10.39 3.92 3.02 -4.72 6.06 9.38 2.86 16.17 -20.59 13.25 51.61 12.99 21.28 18.73 7.79 68.48

155.76 169.94 124.19 185.71 -2.50 113.21 165.15 54.61 48.72 245.88 142.00 59.66 123.68 268.18 117.57 81.73 39.66 46.67 140.00 71.43 92.41 163.51 70.66 156.00 75.31 13.04 263.41 172.00 83.21 249.40 576.47 276.19 -30.26 413.89 169.53 260.54 301.96 102.00 218.18 446.88 355.70 193.94 8.00 243.90 168.57 146.91 319.12

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Close 2,475 1,780 11,900 5,450 23,250 850 295 1,810 132 1,320 680 7,850 830 167 3,125 180 445 80 265 1,050 3,550 840 142 14,100 2,050 125 1,560 6,650 640 1,260 215 550 330 2,200 1,810 8,550 255 118 210 240 121 710 850 15,500 11,000 345 540

9-Oct-09 MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

2,476 1,790 11,338 5,422 23,873 870 290 1,828 132 1,298 680 7,753 830 168 3,070 187 455 83 273 1,039 3,638 845 143 14,123 2,069 125 1,465 6,517 627 1,222 219 553 340 2,173 1,809 8,581 255 119 208 245 124 695 858 15,307 10,866 346 547

-0.04 -0.54 4.95 0.52 -2.61 -2.26 1.70 -1.01 0.36 1.67 -0.06 1.26 -0.05 -0.82 1.79 -3.82 -2.26 -3.34 -2.85 1.09 -2.42 -0.62 -0.41 -0.16 -0.90 0.03 6.46 2.05 2.15 3.12 -1.91 -0.50 -3.03 1.23 0.03 -0.36 0.06 -1.20 0.88 -1.96 -2.56 2.19 -0.93 1.26 1.23 -0.27 -1.25

2,465 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.06 96.43 1,783 -0.15 -1.11 -1.66 -4.30 2.89 137.33 10,895 9.22 3.48 12.80 23.32 65.28 237.59 5,407 0.79 -0.91 -0.91 5.83 3.81 11.79 23,963 -2.98 -3.33 -2.31 -7.74 19.54 158.33 862 -1.37 -5.56 0.00 -2.30 26.87 129.73 287 2.65 3.51 5.36 1.72 -4.84 112.23 1,824 -0.77 -1.09 -4.23 2.26 7.74 115.48 131 0.77 0.00 -2.22 0.76 22.22 164.00 1,274 3.59 0.76 8.20 3.13 33.33 234.18 680 -0.02 1.49 -1.45 1.49 0.00 -20.00 7,681 2.20 2.61 5.37 -1.26 41.44 188.07 828 0.20 0.00 0.00 -3.49 9.21 66.00 167 0.14 2.45 3.09 -1.18 5.03 234.00 3,018 3.55 -3.85 7.76 1.63 3.31 82.75 190 -5.35 -5.76 -7.22 -12.20 51.26 157.14 461 -3.47 -3.26 -4.30 -11.00 -11.00 -24.58 81 -0.90 -6.98 -10.11 21.21 33.33 60.00 275 -3.55 -5.36 -5.36 -3.64 -11.67 108.66 1,017 3.26 -0.94 2.94 23.53 40.00 77.97 3,620 -1.93 -4.70 -2.07 5.97 5.97 73.17 830 1.26 -2.33 -2.33 15.07 23.53 37.70 139 2.51 -1.39 -2.07 27.93 29.09 75.31 13,946 1.11 -0.70 -0.35 4.44 25.33 104.35 2,053 -0.15 -1.20 -1.20 -5.75 17.82 91.59 125 0.08 1.63 1.63 -6.02 -10.07 -37.50 1,402 11.26 13.87 17.29 18.18 31.09 271.43 6,393 4.02 5.56 1.53 10.83 29.13 95.59 606 5.57 4.92 16.36 25.49 64.10 240.43 1,188 6.03 6.78 5.88 17.76 20.00 85.29 220 -2.16 -2.27 -4.44 -6.52 9.69 128.72 549 0.18 1.85 -5.17 0.00 -1.79 746.15 343 -3.68 -2.94 -4.35 -8.33 8.20 90.75 2,150 2.30 1.15 3.53 1.15 13.99 111.54 1,807 0.19 -0.55 0.00 -4.74 4.02 154.93 8,540 0.11 0.00 -1.16 1.18 5.56 29.55 256 -0.38 0.00 0.00 -8.93 -13.56 18.60 118 -0.18 -4.07 5.36 -5.60 -16.90 81.54 206 1.75 0.00 2.44 -2.33 -6.67 138.64 250 -4.08 -4.00 -4.00 -25.00 11.63 203.80 124 -2.55 -1.63 0.83 -12.32 -19.33 -79.83 681 4.23 7.58 9.23 4.41 10.94 91.89 865 -1.70 0.00 -3.41 -9.57 28.79 269.57 14,913 3.94 1.97 4.38 11.11 49.76 302.60 10,746 2.36 0.92 2.80 5.26 6.28 36.65 347 -0.64 -1.43 -1.43 -8.00 1.47 109.09 550 -1.79 0.00 -1.82 0.00 18.68 205.08

95.43

113.92 236.96

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Daily Investment Guide 12 Oktober 2009