Page 1

PT. BALI SECURITIES

Market Update

Daily Investment Guide

12-Feb-10

11-Feb-10

11-Feb-10

IHSG

2,507.75 Up 24.313 (0.98%) 2,483.44 2,483.64 2,468.854 - 2,508.2629 1,244.87 - 2,689.77

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 11-Feb-10

9,963.99

Nikkei 225

Up 31.09 (0.31%) 9,932.90 10,024.26 9,963.99 - 10,049.87 7,021.28 - 10,982.10

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 11-Feb-10

10,144.19

DJIA

10,144.19 Up 105.81 (1.05%) 10,038.38 10,037.85 9,976.71 - 10,161.57 6,440.08 - 10,767.20

Index Value: Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range:

IDX Index List

Index COMPOSITE AGRI MINING BASIC-IND MISC-IND CONSUMER PROPERTY INFRASTRUC FINANCE TRADE MANUFACTUR LQ45 JII MBX DBX KOMPAS100 BISNIS-27 PEFINDO25 SRI-KEHATI

Previous 2,483.44 1,782.12 2,095.57 275.32 597.25 683.74 153.00 674.52 294.51 288.63 532.34 481.39 403.85 705.66 382.36 594.20 227.60 203.76 140.12

10 Most Active Stocks

Stock BIPI-W BIPI BUMI ENRG PLAS ENRG-W ADRO BNBR LPKR CNKO

Previous 1 140 2,250 169 920 68 1,790 81 500 52

Daily Trading Summary

Buy/Sell

Buy

Volume Value Sell Volume Value Foreign BUY Net Value

11-Feb-10

Close Change 2,507.75 24.31 up 1,812.63 30.50 up 2,124.83 29.27 up 0.26 275.58 up 0.59 597.84 up 694.11 10.37 up 151.38 -1.63 down 686.69 12.17 up 3.00 297.51 up 288.56 -0.07 down 3.38 535.72 up 6.26 487.65 up 5.73 409.57 up 7.92 713.58 up 381.89 -0.47 down 6.37 600.58 up 3.14 230.73 up 0.08 203.85 up 2.17 142.29 up

% 0.98 1.71 1.40 0.09 0.10 1.52 -1.06 1.80 1.02 -0.02 0.64 1.30 1.42 1.12 -0.12 1.07 1.38 0.04 1.55

11-Feb-10

Asia Pacific % Change Close All Ordinaries 4,575.80 Up 42.800 (0.94%) Shanghai Composite 2,985.50 Up 2.999 (0.10%) Hang Seng 20,290.69 Up 368.47 (1.85%) BSE 30 16,170.78 Up 248.61 (1.56%) NZSE 50 3,065.28 Down 20.229 (0.66%) Straits Times 2,753.63 Up 19.24 (0.70%) Seoul Composite 1,597.81 Up 27.69 (1.76%) Taiwan Weighted 7,441.84 Feb 10 Up 80.80 (1.10%) 11-Feb-10

US Major DJIA Nasdaq S&P 500

% Change Close 10,144.19 Up 105.81 (1.05%) 2,177.41 Up 29.54 (1.38%) 1,078.47 Up 10.34 (0.97%)

ANALYST RATING Stock AALI ADHI ADRO ANTM ASII BBCA BBRI BLTA BMRI BTEL BUMI CTRA ELTY HEXA INCO INDF BBNI BDMN

Rating 2.76 2.67 1.92 2.93 2.00 2.71 1.80 3.00 1.95 3.00 2.40 1.36 1.36 2.00 2.69 1.83 2.40 2.64

Rating: 1.0=buy 2.0=outperform Recommendation update 10-Feb-10 Hold 10-Feb-10 Hold 10-Feb-10 Outperform 10-Feb-10 Hold 10-Feb-10 Outperform 10-Feb-10 Hold 10-Feb-10 Outperform 10-Feb-10 Hold 10-Feb-10 Outperform 10-Feb-10 Hold 10-Feb-10 Outperform 10-Feb-10 Buy 10-Feb-10 Buy 10-Feb-10 Outperform 10-Feb-10 Hold 9-Feb-10 Outperform 10-Feb-10 Outperform 10-Feb-10 Hold

11-Feb-10

Europe ATX CAC 40 DAX OSE All Share Madrid General Stockholm General FTSE 100

% Change Close 2,469.41 Up 17.70 (0.72%) 3,616.75 Down 18.86 (0.52%) 5,503.93 Down 32.44 (0.59%) Up 3.36 (0.86%) 392.31 1,070.91 Down 18.63 (1.71%) Up 2.23 (0.75%) 298.70 5,161.48 Up 29.49 (0.57%)

11-Feb-10 Commodity US Coal Index OIL Nymex (Mar) Gold

% Change Close 330.00 Up 15.47 (4.92%) 75.08 Down 0.20 (0.27%) 0.00 (0.00%) 1,094.20

Stock INTP ISAT ITMG JSMR LSIP MEDC PGAS PTBA SGRO SMCB SMGR SMRA TINS TLKM UNSP UNTR KLBF GGRM

3.0=hold 4.0=underperform Rating Recommendation 1.65 Outperform 2.65 Hold 1.87 Outperform 1.45 Buy 2.08 Outperform 2.44 Outperform 1.69 Outperform 2.29 Outperform 2.50 Outperform 1.67 Outperform 1.89 Outperform 1.14 Buy 1.83 Outperform 2.05 Outperform 3.00 Hold 1.68 Outperform 2.50 Outperform 2.33 Outperform

5.0=sell update 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10 10-Feb-10

Daily Investment Guide and Market Analysis Indeks akhirnya menguat kemarin setelah pada siang harinya sempat melemah. IHSG kemarin akhirnya ditutup naik 24 point (0.98 %) ke level 2.507. Sementara indeks regional kemarin secara meyakinkan naik terdorong oleh pulihnya sentimen dari Eropa selain data-data dari China dan Australia.

Close Change % 70 69 up 6,900.00 192 52 up 37.14 Indeks global mengalami tekanan terakhir ini akibat sentimen dari kekhawatiran banyaknya 2,225 -25 down -1.11 utang negara-negara maju, banyaknya kucuran dana likuiditas ke pasar dan suku bunga 157 -12 down -7.10 1,020 100 up 10.87 sangat rendah. Ketiga hal tersebut membuat ancaman lonjakan inflasi yang tinggi sekali di 63 -5 down -7.35 1,810 20 up 1.12 satu saat sementara ekonomi belum terlalu signifikan tumbuh untuk mengimbanginya. 80 -1 down -1.23 Sementara di Eropa, rencana bail out Yunani disinyalir akan menghabiskan 53 billion Euro 510 10 up 2.00 65 13 up 25.00 atau sekitar $75 billion untuk menutupi defisit dan refinance yang akan jatuh tempo. Rencana 11-Feb-10 Foreign Investor Domestic Investor 389,868,755 4,085,898,512 675,086,254,550 2,154,792,020,454

230,288,700

4,245,478,567

555,646,686,000 2,274,231,589,004

Rp119,439,568,550

bail out ini mendapat tanggapan positif dari pasar dan membuat indeks Eropa telah naik dalam 3 hari ini. Indeks masih diprediksi akan menguat kembali dimana penguatan saham akan terjadi di semua sektor setelah dalam beberapa minggu ini indeks tertekan.


Commodity, Energy & Metals price update Commodty Indx UBS BLOOMBERG CMCI S&P GSCI RJ/CRB Commodity Rogers Intl

Value 1,258.57 501.59 269.71 3,082.66

Change 20.24 7.53 3.48 37.20

Open 1,248.58 497.08 267.85 3,061.06

11-Feb-10 Energy BRENT CRUDE FUTR (USD/bbl.) GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT) GASOLINE RBOB FUT (USd/gal.) HEATING OIL FUTR (USd/gal.) NATURAL GAS FUTR (USD/MMBtu) WTI CRUDE FUTURE (USD/bbl.)

Price

Change

74.12 596.00 193.17 195.57 5.39 74.92

1.00 11.75 -0.40 -0.73 -0.01 -0.36

% Change 1.37 2.01 -0.21 -0.37 -0.19 -0.48

Metals

Price

COPPER FUTURE (USd/lb.) 313.85 GOLD 100 OZ FUTR (USD/t oz.) 1,090.50 SILVER FUTURE (USD/t oz.) 15.62

Change

% Change -0.41 -0.38 0.16

Sumber: Bloomberg

Where Foreign Money Flows No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

BIPI PNLF BUMI TINS BBNI BBTN INDY CTRP BDMN BNBR KLBF PGAS LSIP UNSP ITMG TRIM BIPIUNTR PNBN AALI SMGR UNVR AKRA JSMR ASII PTBA BUMI BYAN GGRM MDRN

3,602,500 560,000 24,018,500 1,294,500 1,488,500 750,000 1,056,000 250,000 2,044,000 14,112,500 5,550,500 502,000 263,000 450,500 35,500 560,000 1,023,000 638,000 704,500 209,500 689,000 36,000 134,000 44,500 453,000 751,500 306,500 80,000 13,000 1,000

-0.41 -0.38 0.16

11-Feb-10 ForeignBuy (shares) 83,250,000 14,680,000 33,470,500 7,463,000 7,527,000 6,218,000 6,248,500 3,750,000 5,414,000 17,255,000 8,352,000 3,089,500 1,968,500 2,024,000 1,086,000 1,500,000 1,934,000 1,530,500 1,481,500 845,500 1,247,000 498,500 501,000 390,500 683,500 947,500 362,500 131,500 62,500 33,500

Net Buy (shares)

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

79,647,500 14,120,000 9,452,000 6,168,500 6,038,500 5,468,000 5,192,500 3,500,000 3,370,000 3,142,500 2,801,500 2,587,500 1,705,500 1,573,500 1,050,500 940,000 911,000 892,500 777,000 636,000 558,000 462,500 367,000 346,000 230,500 196,000 56,000 51,500 49,500 32,500

31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60

BNGA BMRI KARK INDF MYOR LPKR BBNI INVS RINA LSIP SMGR RALS PNLF JRPT AALI PNBN TLKM BBCA BDMN UNTR ADRO ACES ASII CTRP PTBA ISAT INDY GGRM BBRI INDF

185,000 607,500 500 2,626,500 51,500 311,500 135,000 500 3,000 161,500 273,000 1,258,500 20,149,500 187,500 165,700 70,000 3,692,500 329,500 611,000 1,468,500 1,102,500 739,000 582,000 8,500 68,000 554,000 511,500 15,000 1,520,000 141,000

ForeignBuy (shares) 215,000 634,000 20,000 2,643,000 68,000 325,000 143,500 8,000 6,000 161,500 273,000 1,258,500 20,149,500 187,500 165,700 70,000 3,692,500 329,500 611,000 1,468,500 1,102,500 739,000 582,000 8,500 68,000 554,000 511,500 15,000 1,520,000 141,000

Net Buy (shares) 30,000 26,500 19,500 16,500 16,500 13,500 8,500 7,500 3,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83

PGAS INTP DEWA CNKO JPFA ACES BBRI ISAT INCO MAPI INTP SGRO BMRI ANTM BBCA BISI TLKM DOID ELTY BSDE ADRO ENRG KIJA

2,047,500 44,000 2,600,500 50,000 160,000 138,000 3,295,000 3,938,000 5,032,500 2,274,500 1,385,000 1,382,000 3,603,000 4,057,500 5,998,500 2,775,500 9,365,000 10,650,000 8,391,500 9,361,000 14,640,500 22,405,000 13,129,000

ForeignBuy (shares) 2,047,500 44,000 2,600,000 45,000 102,500 30,000 2,928,500 3,347,000 4,348,000 1,500,500 534,000 295,000 2,232,500 2,599,000 3,722,000 92,500 6,175,000 5,218,500 22,500 521,500 5,183,500 9,925,000 57,500

Net Buy (shares) 0 0 -500 -5,000 -57,500 -108,000 -366,500 -591,000 -684,500 -774,000 -851,000 -1,087,000 -1,370,500 -1,458,500 -2,276,500 -2,683,000 -3,190,000 -5,431,500 -8,369,000 -8,839,500 -9,457,000 -12,480,000 -13,071,500

Important Links from Bloomberg.com

US Dollar Index Currency Rates Governments Bond

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=DXY%3AIND http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies/fxc.html http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates/index.html

Selected News Pasca mengakuisisi PT Elnusa Tbk (ELSA), laba bersih PT Benakat Petroleum Energy Tbk (BIPI) dapat melonjak sebanyak 1.986 persen di tahun 2010 ini. Menurut Direktur Keuangan BIPI Michael Rusli, dia menuturkan jika proyeksi laba bersihnya diluar kontribusi Elnusa ditahun 2010 ini adalah sebesar Rp225 miliar. Dan pasca akuisisi Elnusa, akan ada tambahan sekira 30 persen sehingga angkanya menjadi sebesar Rp292 miliar. Sebagai perbandingan, realisasi keuangan perseroan 2009 menunjukan revenuenya hanya sebesar Rp155 miliar, dengan laba bersih sebesr Rp14 miliar. sumber: okezone.com page 2 of 7


Jakarta Composite Index Chart

11-Feb-10 IHSG

2700

2700

P

2650

2650

P

P

P

2600

2600

O

P

2550

P

2500

P PP

P P

2450

O

2400

2500

O

O

O

P

P

2550

P

O O

2450

2400

O

2350

2350

2300

2300

O 2250

2250

O 2200

2200

50000

50000

x 100000

x 100000

Bearis h 2 9 Novem ber

26

16

23

30 7 Decem ber

14

21

Bullis h 28

4 2010

11

18

Bearis h 1 8 February

25

15

22

Market Price Update No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Stock AALI ADES ADHI ADMF ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BBTN BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BSDE BTEL BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA HMSP IHSG

Open 22,950 570 375 7,700 125 1,790 340 1,020 1,950 147 330 34,250 132 4,550 375 1,830 7,150 1,060 4,675 230 1,480 134 86 620 4,350 230 81 740 280 1,190 850 140 2,250 5,700 2,050 86 690 265 500 116 83 315 235 169 24,250 465 245 3,675 13,200 2,484

U

11-Feb-10 High

Low

23,750 560 380 7,800 131 1,830 0 1,040 1,980 152 340 34,450 133 4,625 375 1,870 7,300 1,080 4,825 230 1,480 135 86 620 4,425 240 82 750 280 1,210 870 141 2,300 5,750 2,100 85 690 265 510 116 83 320 235 171 24,500 465 250 3,700 13,250 2,508

23,050 550 370 7,700 110 1,780 0 1,010 1,930 147 325 34,100 126 4,525 370 1,820 7,150 1,040 4,675 220 1,390 129 83 600 4,325 230 78 740 270 1,150 800 135 2,150 5,500 2,025 84 650 255 495 111 81 310 215 156 23,550 455 240 3,625 13,000 2,469

Previous 22,950 570 375 7,700 125 1,790 340 1,020 1,950 147 330 34,250 132 4,550 375 1,830 7,150 1,060 4,675 230 1,480 134 86 620 4,350 230 81 740 280 1,190 850 140 2,250 5,700 2,050 86 690 265 500 116 83 315 235 169 24,250 465 245 3,675 13,200 2,483

Close 23,700 560 370 7,700 120 1,810 340 1,030 1,970 147 330 34,300 129 4,625 370 1,860 7,300 1,070 4,800 220 1,400 132 83 620 4,400 240 80 750 275 1,180 800 138 2,225 5,500 2,100 84 680 265 500 112 83 320 225 157 23,950 465 250 3,700 13,250

2,508

% Change

3.27 -1.75 -1.33 0.00 -4.00 1.12 0.00 0.98 1.03 0.00 0.00 0.15 -2.27 1.65 -1.33 1.64 2.10 0.94 2.67 -4.35 -5.41 -1.49 -3.49 0.00 1.15 4.35 -1.23 1.35 -1.79 -0.84 -5.88 -1.43 -1.11 -3.51 2.44 -2.33 -1.45 0.00 0.00 -3.45 0.00 1.59 -4.26 -7.10 -1.24 0.00 2.04 0.68 0.38 0.98

Volume 1,433,000 45,500 3,446,000 9,500 445,000 64,897,500 0 19,924,500 18,357,500 565,000 310,500 1,515,500 114,124,000 8,582,000 982,000 15,344,000 14,549,500 33,773,500 10,456,500 4,369,500 3,980,000 27,015,000 9,055,500 3,569,000 15,879,500 14,541,500 388,675,488 282,000 77,500 8,379,500 28,167,000 133,348,496 223,065,504 202,000 755,500 371,000 1,987,500 10,954,000 1,203,000 131,235,000 9,604,000 17,800,500 119,278,496 437,376,512 162,500 2,335,500 6,229,500 179,000 5,500 4,476,000,256

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

Stock INAF INCO INDF INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KARK KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA RALS SGRO SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA

Open 79 3,500 3,575 2,200 2,025 13,500 5,050 29,000 1,200 220 1,740 94 110 1,500 500 8,350 720 115 2,275 108 250 76 220 1,150 3,575 780 143 15,400 850 2,575 1,650 7,850 720 1,540 205 152 370 2,000 1,820 8,550 190 80 183 500 90 680 520 16,000 10,850 305

High

Low

79 3,650 3,600 2,300 2,075 13,600 5,200 29,800 1,240 220 1,750 95 111 1,580 510 8,700 710 115 2,300 110 265 76 220 1,150 3,650 780 143 15,600 860 2,625 1,670 7,900 750 1,540 215 152 380 2,100 1,800 8,750 196 80 183 500 91 680 530 16,150 11,250 320

75 3,475 3,550 2,150 2,000 13,250 4,975 28,900 1,180 205 1,730 90 105 1,500 495 8,350 690 112 2,250 105 250 68 210 1,090 3,550 770 142 15,400 830 2,550 1,640 7,750 700 1,500 205 142 365 2,000 1,800 8,500 190 78 180 495 86 680 500 15,800 10,900 300

Previous 79 3,500 3,575 2,200 2,025 13,500 5,050 29,000 1,200 220 1,740 94 110 1,500 500 8,350 720 115 2,275 108 250 76 220 1,150 3,575 780 143 15,400 850 2,575 1,650 7,850 720 1,540 205 152 370 2,000 1,820 8,550 190 80 183 500 90 680 520 16,000 10,850 305

Close 77 3,650 3,575 2,300 2,000 13,500 5,100 29,750 1,240 210 1,740 95 108 1,580 510 8,650 710 112 2,275 110 255 70 220 1,110 3,625 780 143 15,550 840 2,600 1,660 7,850 730 1,510 210 144 380 2,100 1,800 8,750 190 79 181 500 88 680 520 15,950 11,250 320

% Change -2.53 4.29 0.00 4.55 -1.23 0.00 0.99 2.59 3.33 -4.55 0.00 1.06 -1.82 5.33 2.00 3.59 -1.39 -2.61 0.00 1.85 2.00 -7.89 0.00 -3.48 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.97 -1.18 0.97 0.61 0.00 1.39 -1.95 2.44 -5.26 2.70 5.00 -1.10 2.34 0.00 -1.25 -1.09 0.00 -2.22 0.00 0.00 -0.31 3.69 4.92

Volume 2,621,500 17,631,000 6,304,000 19,811,500 867,500 2,416,000 7,764,000 2,350,000 313,500 185,000 1,487,500 10,423,500 29,185,000 42,123,500 98,526,496 2,383,000 36,500 1,856,000 3,388,500 234,500 11,812,500 36,333,500 3,017,500 1,000,500 14,318,000 1,481,500 16,011,500 2,866,500 566,000 5,047,000 2,927,000 3,946,000 8,304,500 4,903,500 1,364,000 1,454,500 7,047,500 18,328,000 3,500 14,335,000 53,500 3,871,000 2,106,000 2,453,000 1,641,500 18,500 33,762,000 2,710,500 614,500 6,591,500

page 3 of 7


Daily Recommendation with Technical Analysis No Stock Beta 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

AALI ADES ADHI ADMF ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BBTN BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BSDE BTEL BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA HMSP IHSG

0.72 0.50 0.54 0.18 0.37 1.36 -0.23 1.06 0.73 -0.42 1.13 1.27 1.14 1.21 0.51 1.00 1.10 0.95 1.80 -1.58 -0.22 1.32 0.60 1.10 1.35 1.42 0.42 0.64 0.49 0.95 0.03 0.76 1.41 0.06 1.44 0.15 1.50 1.70 1.08 0.80 0.73 0.64 1.01 -0.43 1.09 0.82 1.85 1.45 0.86 1.00

Close

Support Resistant Momentum

23,700 560 370 7,700 120 1,810 340 1,030 1,970 147 330 34,300 129 4,625 370 1,860 7,300 1,070 4,800 220 1,400 132 83 620 4,400 240 80 750 275 1,180 800 138 2,225 5,500 2,100 84 680 265 500 112 83 320 225 157 23,950 465 250 3,700

22,800 540 370 0 110 1,760 0 980 1,920 142 325 32,750 108 4,425 365 1,730 6,950 1,000 4,275 220 1,390 126 82 600 4,150 225 78 720 260 1,130 800 135 2,150 5,500 2,000 83 650 255 490 111 81 310 215 156 23,550 445 235 3,500

24,150 620 405 8,000 136 1,960 345 1,200 2,125 191 360 36,300 137 5,000 390 1,960 7,700 1,090 4,925 255 1,670 139 92 690 4,725 255 92 750 305 1,260 940 151 2,625 5,800 2,250 91 740 285 560 126 88 330 270 177 26,500 465 265 3,875

--Oversold Overbought --Overbought Oversold Oversold Oversold --Overbought ------Oversold Oversold --Oversold --Oversold ---Oversold -Oversold -----Oversold Oversold --Oversold Oversold -----

13,250

12,600

14,350

2,508

2,432

2,619

---

12-Feb-10 Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

28 30 6 13 28 5 3 30 30 11 20 10 7 9 28 17 30 16 0 22 8 7 6 26 6 5 8 9 N/A N/A 7 N/A 5 8 5 12 6 6 6 6 6 5 10 30 9 1 5 0 5 5

18 22 4 3 20 3 8 13 20 4 9 4 17 7 18 14 14 18 12 9 3 25 4 11 4 4 5 11 N/A 19 3 16 4 0 4 10 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 22 2 7 4 3 3 4

1.6 1.6 1.3 6.0 4.0 1.6 45.1 2.0 1.3 2.7 1.8 1.1 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.9 1.3 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.9 1.6 1.7 1.3 3.0 2.1 0.9 2.0 1.8 2.6 1.9 2.8 1.3 1.8 1.6 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 2.8 2.3 1.5 1.5 2.2 1.7 1.5 0.9

1.3 1.9 1.6 7.3 4.8 1.9 36.9 2.4 1.6 3.3 2.2 1.3 2.5 1.6 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.0 2.1 1.6 2.4 2.6 0.8 2.5 2.2 3.2 2.3 3.5 1.6 2.2 1.9 2.7 2.5 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 3.5 2.8 1.8 1.2 1.8 1.4 1.9 1.0

Candlestick Last Trade ---Doji --Doji --Doji Doji ------------Doji -------------Doji Doji -Doji ----Doji --Hammer --

Volume Rally with Volume --Rally with Volume ---------------Reaction with Volume --Reaction with Volume ---------Reaction with Volume ---------Reaction with Volume ------

---

Today If Trend Reverse Rekomedation Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Sell Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish

buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at sell at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at

22,725 595 414 8,038 137 1,910 309 1,145 2,069 177 358 35,413 126 4,719 386 1,863 7,400 1,055 4,438 256 1,728 131 92 690 4,625 239 90 728 313 1,230 995 151 2,681 5,850 2,169 91 695 275 548 127 87 325 270 190 25,088 455 250 3,644 13,563 2,576

page 4 of 7


Daily Recommendation with Technical Analysis No Stock Beta 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

INAF INCO INDF INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KARK KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA RALS SGRO SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA

0.11 1.39 1.44 1.24 0.48 1.00 1.58 1.65 0.91 0.59 0.74 1.09 0.96 1.79 0.19 1.32 0.28 1.40 1.25 1.68 1.44 -0.53 0.97 -0.46 0.84 0.07 0.63 1.75 1.56 0.90 1.47 1.07 2.37 0.73 0.93 4.10 1.58 1.66 0.07 0.85 0.67 0.24 0.35 0.78 -0.16 1.07 0.89 1.53 0.88 0.78

Close 77 3,650 3,575 2,300 2,000 13,500 5,100 29,750 1,240 210 1,740 95 108 1,580 510 8,650 710 112 2,275 110 255 70 220 1,110 3,625 780 143 15,550 840 2,600 1,660 7,850 730 1,510 210 144 380 2,100 1,800 8,750 190 79 181 500 88 680 520 15,950 11,250 320

Support Resistant Momentum 75 3,350 3,375 2,150 1,980 12,600 4,925 28,100 1,160 205 1,660 90 105 1,430 480 8,100 690 112 2,200 105 240 68 210 1,020 3,500 0 140 15,050 830 2,525 1,530 7,250 670 1,460 196 142 360 1,940 0 8,400 190 78 179 495 86 670 500 14,950 10,550 300

82 3,675 3,650 2,500 2,175 13,600 5,850 32,300 1,300 245 1,800 108 122 1,630 540 8,750 740 134 2,500 119 310 109 240 1,250 3,775 820 154 17,200 930 2,875 1,710 8,000 780 1,620 215 370 395 2,225 1,900 9,450 205 92 191 540 113 700 590 17,050 11,650 320

-----Overbought Oversold --Oversold -Oversold Oversold ----Oversold --Oversold Oversold ---Overbought --Oversold Oversold -----Oversold --Overbought -Oversold Oversold -Oversold Oversold -Oversold ----

12-Feb-10 Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days (days ago) %Up %Down ago)

6 0 5 N/A 9 1 10 5 23 19 27 30 6 28 23 0 N/A 6 6 6 29 26 5 1 10 16 27 17 20 30 2 0 16 6 7 26 6 9 5 6 29 7 8 N/A 7 5 29 30 6 0

5 4 3 11 4 8 7 4 20 14 20 22 4 3 15 18 21 3 4 2 23 6 4 7 8 11 13 16 2 17 3 7 0 0 5 15 4 8 2 4 21 4 4 14 5 3 18 14 4 18

1.6 2.1 1.5 2.4 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.1 0.9 2.1 1.9 2.4 1.7 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.9 5.4 1.9 3.1 1.3 5.4 0.7 1.3 2.0 1.6 1.7 1.7 3.6 1.2 2.3 7.9 2.0 2.4 7.3 1.4 1.2 1.9 0.8 1.0 2.6 0.5 2.3 1.4 1.7 2.2

2.0 1.7 1.2 2.9 2.1 1.5 1.9 2.2 1.8 2.6 1.1 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.4 3.5 6.6 2.3 3.7 1.5 6.6 0.9 1.6 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.4 3.0 1.4 1.9 9.7 1.6 2.0 8.9 1.7 1.4 2.3 1.0 1.2 3.2 0.7 2.9 1.7 1.4 1.8

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

--Doji --Doji ----Doji -------Doji ---Doji --Doji Doji ----Doji --------Doji --Doji -Doji Doji ----

Rally with Volume -Reaction with Volume --Rally with Volume --Reaction with Volume -Reaction with Volume ---Rally with Volume -Reaction with Volume -Reaction with Volume ----------------Rally with Volume -Reaction with Volume -------Reaction with Volume -----

Today If Trend Reverse Rekomedation Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Buy Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Sell Sell Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Buy

buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at sell at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at buy at sell at

83 3,413 3,569 2,438 2,238 12,738 5,225 31,238 1,235 251 1,750 107 124 1,508 496 8,225 738 127 2,431 112 291 102 233 1,085 3,669 783 155 16,850 905 2,794 1,623 7,713 730 1,570 209 407 379 2,040 1,955 9,238 202 86 190 540 106 693 583 16,338 11,163 298

page 5 of 7


Technical Analysis Data (Moving Average) and Stock Performance (Price Rate of Change)

11-Feb-10

No. Stock

Close

ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC MA % MA MA %MA 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10Day 10Day 20Day 20Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

No. Stock

Close

ROC ROC ROC ROC MA %MA MA %MA 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 10Day 10Day 20Day 20Day (%) (%) (%) (%)

ROC 200D (%)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

23,700 560 370 7,700 120 1,810 340 1,030 1,970 147 330 34,300 129 4,625 370 1,860 7,300 1,070 4,800 220 1,400 132 83 620 4,400 240 80 750 275 1,180 800 138 2,225 5,500 2,100 84 680 265 500 112 83 320 225 157 23,950 465 250 3,700 13,250 2,508

23,479 0.94 574 -2.52 387 -4.49 7,810 -1.41 127 -5.72 1,851 -2.22 334 1.79 1,084 -4.98 2,021 -2.55 154 -4.26 340 -2.95 34,602 -0.87 126 2.03 4,670 -0.97 377 -1.94 1,861 -0.06 7,360 -0.82 1,057 1.26 4,688 2.39 233 -5.71 1,512 -7.38 131 0.52 87 -4.15 650 -4.56 4,483 -1.84 238 0.69 83 -4.11 740 1.35 291 -5.34 1,204 -1.99 867 -7.71 143 -3.67 2,406 -7.52 5,635 -2.39 2,125 -1.18 87 -3.30 682 -0.36 270 -1.72 519 -3.60 118 -5.01 84 -1.66 322 -0.75 242 -6.96 171 -8.20 24,254 -1.25 461 0.97 250 -0.07 3,684 0.43 13,394 -1.08 2,534 -1.02

51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

77 3,650 3,575 2,300 2,000 13,500 5,100 29,750 1,240 210 1,740 95 108 1,580 510 8,650 710 112 2,275 110 255 70 220 1,110 3,625 780 143 15,550 840 2,600 1,660 7,850 730 1,510 210 144 380 2,100 1,800 8,750 190 79 181 500 88 680 520 15,950 11,250 320

79 -2.98 81 -4.96 0.69 0.69 3,570 2.23 3,630 0.56 -2.05 -2.05 3,581 -0.17 3,618 -1.18 -7.07 -8.91 2,346 -1.95 2,408 -4.47 -6.98 -6.98 2,085 -4.06 2,083 -3.97 3.05 0.00 13,287 1.60 13,431 0.51 -1.92 -9.73 5,154 -1.05 5,172 -1.39 -7.18 -7.03 30,338 -1.94 31,088 -4.30 -3.88 -3.88 1,243 -0.24 1,277 -2.93 -10.64 -16.00 229 -8.21 238 -11.88 -0.57 -3.33 1,749 -0.53 1,776 -2.02 -8.65 -12.04 100 -5.03 104 -8.56 -9.24 -9.24 114 -5.51 117 -7.51 -0.63 3.27 1,520 3.93 1,487 6.24 2.00 -5.56 509 0.26 515 -0.96 0.58 0.58 8,514 1.60 8,646 0.05 -2.74 -4.05 724 -1.91 731 -2.86 -10.40 -5.88 117 -4.54 119 -5.68 -6.19 -7.14 2,337 -2.66 2,397 -5.08 -5.98 0.00 110 -0.22 111 -0.65 -12.07 -15.00 270 -5.69 286 -10.81 -20.45 -31.37 82 -14.30 81 -13.92 -6.38 -6.38 225 -2.17 227 -3.18 1.83 -8.26 1,110 0.02 1,093 1.55 -2.03 -4.61 3,648 -0.64 3,713 -2.36 -1.27 -2.50 786 -0.71 793 -1.68 -6.54 -5.30 147 -2.96 150 -4.42 -7.72 -10.12 16,108 -3.46 16,638 -6.54 -6.67 -3.45 855 -1.71 829 1.29 -7.14 -9.57 2,686 -3.18 2,769 -6.09 -2.35 1.22 1,647 0.77 1,646 0.87 0.64 -3.09 7,806 0.56 7,815 0.44 -5.19 2.82 719 1.56 692 5.44 -5.03 0.67 1,534 -1.55 1,542 -2.10 0.00 -2.33 209 0.35 212 -0.81 -59.44 -62.11 245 -41.22 299 -51.91 -2.56 -2.56 379 0.28 381 -0.31 -3.45 -6.67 2,083 0.81 2,127 -1.25 -5.26 -4.76 1,860 -3.20 1,873 -3.90 -5.41 -5.91 8,914 -1.84 9,074 -3.57 -4.52 -5.00 195 -2.51 199 -4.61 -7.06 -4.82 81 -3.06 82 -4.02 -3.21 -3.21 184 -1.88 186 -2.77 -5.66 -7.41 516 -3.08 525 -4.84 -11.11 -8.33 95 -6.92 99 -11.44 -2.86 -4.23 685 -0.78 691 -1.63 -7.14 -13.33 551 -5.55 576 -9.70 -3.33 -7.27 16,183 -1.44 16,467 -3.14 -1.32 -1.32 11,164 0.77 11,217 0.30 1.59 1.59 312 2.69 315 1.60 0.00 0.00

11.45 234.11 4.55 94.17 154.72 -10.53 101.69 153.06 -36.36 59.63 63.79 54.29 125.71 -37.04 90.11 -13.41 25.84 -13.33 -24.14 -61.94 40.00 58.27 98.21 49.48 32.20 81.01 72.78 68.00 61.49 151.52 84.71 186.27 33.63 64.06 -45.66 52.00 52.17 74.76 12.90 -44.12 27.42 44.80 747.46 -51.91 30.77 14.29 99.38 40.63 20.75 0.00

AALI ADES ADHI ADMF ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BBTN BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BSDE BTEL BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA HMSP IHSG

23,807 587 394 7,774 131 1,874 336 1,136 2,091 155 340 34,753 121 4,755 383 1,891 7,492 1,031 4,736 231 1,530 131 88 665 4,569 238 85 737 299 1,233 871 147 2,508 5,634 2,166 89 673 274 530 121 85 328 245 176 23,906 457 251 3,672 13,223 2,562

-0.45 -4.54 -6.14 -0.95 -8.31 -3.42 1.26 -9.31 -5.80 -5.45 -3.02 -1.30 6.39 -2.74 -3.37 -1.65 -2.56 3.74 1.35 -4.89 -8.48 0.58 -5.96 -6.83 -3.69 0.83 -6.19 1.78 -8.10 -4.34 -8.19 -5.86 -11.28 -2.37 -3.06 -5.51 1.04 -3.24 -5.61 -7.26 -2.70 -2.55 -8.08 -10.98 0.18 1.70 -0.41 0.77 0.21 -2.12

-0.63 -5.08 -7.50 -3.75 -7.69 -6.22 6.25 -8.85 -3.90 -9.82 -7.04 -2.97 -2.27 -2.63 -3.90 -0.53 -1.35 1.59 -8.33 -12.50 -1.49 -6.74 -7.46 -4.86 -4.00 -6.98 0.00 -8.33 -3.28 -13.04 -5.48 -13.59 -4.35 -4.55 -4.55 -4.23 -5.36 -7.41 -7.44 -3.49 -3.03 -10.00 -10.80 -6.99 0.00 -3.85 -3.90 -3.28 -3.30 -3.75

-2.47 -5.08 -8.64 -2.53 -11.11 -4.74 -1.45 -17.60 -8.37 -2.00 -8.33 -4.72 16.22 -5.13 -3.90 -4.12 -4.58 -3.03 -8.33 -6.67 3.94 -7.78 -11.43 -5.88 -2.04 -5.88 2.74 -9.84 -6.35 -8.05 -7.38 -12.75 -1.79 -4.55 -5.62 0.00 -3.64 -7.41 -8.94 -3.49 -3.03 -15.09 -10.29 -0.42 0.00 -1.96 -1.33 -3.64 -4.27 -3.75

3.72 -11.11 -8.64 13.24 -7.69 4.62 -1.45 -8.85 -12.44 -9.82 4.76 1.03 21.70 -2.12 -1.33 -7.00 -3.95 4.92 10.55 2.94 -6.38 -12.63 -6.06 -4.35 14.29 -8.05 5.63 -17.91 -11.28 -9.09 -6.12 -11.00 -2.65 -7.69 -9.68 40.21 8.16 0.00 -17.04 -6.74 -8.57 13.64 -20.30 15.70 8.14 8.70 23.33 29.27 -0.45 -7.23

6.76 -13.85 -13.95 35.09 -3.23 16.77 -5.56 -16.26 -12.44 -16.95 17.86 10.65 21.70 -1.60 -2.63 -1.06 -0.68 7.87 13.40 -17.65 37.50 -17.82 -10.14 -5.38 9.09 -14.89 11.94 -21.43 -12.59 1.27 2.99 -8.25 0.00 -9.68 -14.29 15.25 -5.36 -24.24 -32.12 -6.74 1.59 -22.41 -47.67 46.93 2.20 16.28 29.82 33.84 4.32 -8.33

57.48 38.27 13.85 146.40 53.85 90.53 -17.07 71.67 38.73 -36.09 3.13 117.09 101.56 29.37 27.59 80.58 39.05 68.42 37.50 -16.67 131.58 16.90 -12.68 77.78 29.03 5.26 22.95 -30.38 84.38 351.98 56.82 86.97 86.44 296.23 -36.84 46.24 0.00 26.58 -1.75 45.61 6.67 57.34 14.60 274.22 111.36 138.10 221.74 20.45

53.40 -2.53

INAF INCO INDF INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KARK KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA RALS SGRO SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA

-1.35 0.00 4.55 14.94 0.75 8.51 -6.89 -10.79 -17.65 -4.40 -17.39 -10.00 21.54 0.00 4.85 -5.33 -9.68 -7.14 0.00 -20.31 18.64 4.76 16.84 -7.05 5.41 0.00 -9.59 31.25 -6.31 8.50 3.97 23.73 -7.93 2.44 -62.11 8.57 6.60 0.00 -7.89 -7.32 -2.47 -3.21 -5.66 -24.79 -6.85 -11.86 3.91 2.27 0.00 0.00

-6.41 15.32 5.75 18.34 18.94 -0.97 20.94 -8.82 -23.64 -5.43 -12.04 -13.60 21.54 -17.74 11.61 -1.39 -15.15 -13.33 -12.00 -31.08 -12.50 10.00 21.98 -1.36 -3.70 0.70 5.78 37.70 7.22 4.40 9.79 15.87 2.72 2.44 -66.90 18.75 8.81 1.12 0.00 -15.56 -8.14 -9.50 132.56 10.00 -1.45 -26.76 0.31 8.70 0.00 0.00

page 6 of 7


Desclaimer Dokumen ini dibuat dari opini analis yang dibuat untuk membantu investor memahami pasar saham Indonesia. Dokumen ini dibuat berdasarkan sumber-sumber yang kami percaya dan dapat diandalkan. Walaupun demikian Bali Securities tidak dapat menjamin keakuratan data dan kelengkapannya. Investor dianjurkan untuk membaca secara utuh dan lengkap dokumen ini sebagai saran dalam berinvestasi dan mengambil langkah yang hati-hati dalam berinvestasi. Keputusan investasi yang diambil tetap merupakan tanggung jawab investor semata.

Trading Guide · · · · ·

It always recommended to invest in a good company with a good financial performance. A stock is said to be fairly valued when its P/E equals its growth rate. A growth stock should be in uptrend when you buy and value stock should be consolidating. Always concentrate on the strongest stock candidates for daily trading and long term investment. Trend is your friend. You must analyze everything from the perspective of trends.

Help in Technical Analysis Page 4 & 5 * Harga saham cenderung naik atau turun pada harga diantara harga support dan resistant. * Beta saham adalah nilai volatilitas terhadap benchmark IHSG. Makin besar beta saham, makin besar volatilitas dibandingkan IHSG. Beta IHSG = 1. * Momentum overbought apabila Stochastic > 80, oversold apabila stochastic < 20. * Today Recommendation: Buy: Today buy, pada saat Bullish MA Crossing Hold Bullish : pada saat close > MA Bearish: pada saat Close < MA Sell: Today Sell, pada saat Bearish MA Crossing * If Trend reverse: harga beli (masuk) atau jual (keluar) jika harga/trend berbalik arah (not in the current trend). Contoh: jika harga sell at jauh dari harga closing price, saham masih dalam area aman dan masih direkomedasi hold sampai closing mendekati harga sell at...disaat anda harus memperhatikan dengan seksama pergerakan hariannya dan siap-siap menjual pada harga Baik digunakan untuk protect mid term gain. Harga ini adalah harga hasil perhitungan matematis dan berubah setiap hari. Nilai harga if trend reverse adalah sebagai patokan/konfirmasi bahwa mid trend harga saham memang sedang berbalik arah. * Forecast % Up dan % down merupakan potensi kenaikan harga dan penurunan harga hari ini. Nilai ini dihitung dari rata-rata historis pergerakan harian (high/low) setiap hari dan mencerminkan juga volatilitas saham Baik digunakan untuk acuan protect gain dan stop loss. Nilai ini berubah setiap hari. * Doji: "Market this stock is Tired ". Hammer: Trend balik arah, sinyal bullish pada saat downtrend. Engulfing Bull: Trend balik arah, start bullish. Engulfing Bear:Trend balik arah, start bearish. Hanging Man: Trend balik arah, sinyal bearish pada saat uptrend. * Volume: Rally with Volume: Kenaikan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen naik dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi Reaction with Volume: Penurunan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen turun dan besar kemungkinan masih

PT BALI SECURITIES

PermataBank Tower I, 3rd Floor, Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 27, Jakarta 12920 Telp. 021-5237815, Fax. 021-2500638

Head of Research Ketut Tri Bayuna 021-5237815 ext 0243

Head of Equity Sales Agus Gunawan 021-5237297/98 page 7 of 7

Daily Investment Guide 12 February 2010  

Up 15.47 (4.92%) OIL Nymex (Mar) US Coal Index Down 0.20 (0.27%) up 1.55 Daily Trading Summary 1.30 Daily Investment Guide and Market Analys...

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