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PT. BALI SECURITIES Market Update

Daily Investment Guide 1-Oct-09

30-Sep-09

IHSG

2,467.59

Up 23.76 (0.97%) 2,443.83 2,444.25 2,435.02 - 2,471.8779 1,089.34 - 2,482.85

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 30-Sep-09

10,133.23

Nikkei 225

Up 33.03 (0.33%) 10,100.20 10,105.17 10,063.69 - 10,138.04 6,994.90 - 11,565.70

Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range: 30-Sep-09

9,712.28

DJIA

9,712.28 Down 29.92 (0.31%) 9,742.20 9,741.83 9,608.59 - 9,776.82 6,440.08 - 11,022.10

Index Value: Change: Prev Close: Open: Day's Range: 52wk Range:

IDX Index List

Index COMPOSITE MINING AGRI INFRASTRUC MBX KOMPAS100 CONSUMER CONSUMER MISC-IND LQ45 MANUFACTUR DBX JII FINANCE FINANCE TRADE BASIC-IND BISNIS-27 SRI-KEHATI

10 Most Active Stocks

Stock BUMI SDRA TOTL BMRI BNBR ASII MRAT TMPI LPKR ADRO

Previous 3,200 285 230 4,475 131 31,900 455 127 670 1,420

Daily Trading Summary

Buy/Sell

Buy

30-Sep-09

Previous Close Change 2,443.83 2,467.59 23.76 2,228.03 2,238.59 10.56 1,768.76 1,784.21 15.44 690.96 695.65 4.68 684.55 691.68 7.13 592.39 599.33 6.95 596.71 597.63 0.92 596.71 597.63 0.92 564.44 584.96 20.51 477.54 483.96 6.42 475.56 481.85 6.30 420.69 422.63 1.94 395.88 401.53 5.64 296.94 300.70 3.76 296.94 300.70 3.76 274.36 277.40 3.04 238.07 238.46 0.40 219.22 222.80 3.59 138.63 140.82 2.19

Volume Value Sell Volume Value Foreign SELL Value Net

up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up

% 0.97 0.47 0.87 0.68 1.04 1.17 0.15 0.15 3.63 1.34 1.32 0.46 1.43 1.27 1.27 1.11 0.17 1.64 1.58 30-Sep-09

Close Change 3,225 25 310 25 210 -20 4,700 225 131 0 33,350 1,450 440 -15 128 1 670 0 1,430 10 Foreign Investor 559,500,021 1,003,700,532,555 643,015,521 1,135,757,025,055

up up down up down up down up down up

% 0.78 8.77 -8.70 5.03 0.00 4.55 -3.30 0.79 0.00 0.70

30-Sep-09 Domestic Investor 3,069,482,910 2,714,024,318,795 2,985,967,410 2,581,967,826,295

132,056,492,500

30-Sep-09

Asia Pacific All Ordinaries Shanghai Composite Hang Seng BSE 30 Nikkei 225 NZSE 50 Straits Times Seoul Composite Taiwan Weighted 30-Sep-09

US Major DJIA Nasdaq S&P 500

30-Sep-09

Close 4,739.30 2,779.43 20,955.25 17,115.38 10,133.23 3,161.06 2,662.31 1,673.14 7,509.17

% Change Down 7.900 (0.17%) Up 24.886 (0.90%) Down 57.92 (0.28%) Up 262.47 (1.56%) Up 33.03 (0.33%) Up 5.669 (0.18%) Down 1.00 (0.04%) Down 16.91 (1.00%) Up 79.19 (1.07%)

% Change Close 9,712.28 Down 29.92 (0.31%) 2,122.42 Down 1.62 (0.08%) 1,057.08 Down 3.53 (0.33%)

Europe ATX BEL-20 CAC 40 DAX OSE All Share Madrid General Stockholm General Swiss Market FTSE 100

% Change Close 2,637.28 Up 29.54 (1.13%) 2,485.62 Down 5.16 (0.21%) 3,795.41Down 18.6902 (0.49%) 5,675.16 Down 38.36 (0.67%) Up 0.30 (0.08%) 370.83 1,229.35 Down 9.65 (0.78%) 280.40 Down 1.68 (0.60%) Up 6.46 (0.10%) 6,323.18 5,133.90 Down 25.82 (0.50%)

30-Sep-09 Commodity US Coal Index OIL Nymex (Nov) Gold (Sept)

% Change Close 279.70 Down 2.13 (0.76%) 70.08 Down 0.53 (0.75%) 992.00 Down 0.50 (0.05%)

Daily Investment Guide and Market Analysis Indeks naik kembali pada perdagangan kemarin pada saat kembalinya investor dalam negeri ke saham-saham unggulan yang memang mempunyai fundamental baik dan diharapkan melaporkan kenaikan laba di kuartal III tahun ini. Indeks naik 23 point ke level 2.467, hampir sama dengan level tertinggi yaitu pada tanggal 24 September lalu. Sementara bursa regional kemarin masih mix dengan diwarnai kecendrungan kewaspadaan investor terhadap pemulihan ekonomi global dan kewaspadaan bahwa saham sudah jenuh beli . Pagi ini terlihat juga investor masih bersikap waspada akibat penurunan indeks di Amerika kemarin. Dari dalam negeri investor asing masih net sell dalam beberapa hari ini karena sentimen investor saham global mengendur. Indeks regional pagi ini terlihat melemah dan kemungkinan hal ini membuat IHSG kita tertahan setelah dua hari berturut-turut naik dan tampaknya belum bisa menembus level resistant 2.500.

Selected News *PT Delta Dunia Property Tbk (DOID) resmi berganti nama menjadi PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. Selain pergantian nama perusahaan, pemegang saham DOID juga merestui rencana akusisi PT Bukit Makmur (BUMA) dan pencarian dana untuk akusisi tersebut sebesar US$ 240 juta dalam bentuk ekuitas. Barclays Capital ditunjuk sebagai pemimpin konsorsium pencarian dana pinjaman akuisisi DOID. **Iran, pengekspor minyak mentah terbesar ketiga di dunia, pada Senin melakukan uji coba rudal yang katanya bisa mencapai sasaran di dalam Israel dan segera menarik kecaman dari Amerika Serikat dan negara-negara Barat lainnya. "Premi risiko geopolitik pasar minyak dari meningkatnya ketegangan antara Iran dan Barat tidak setinggi yang telah kita lihat di masa lalu karena besarnya tingkat persediaan dan kapasitas cadangan saat ini jauh lebih besar," kata analis Sucden Financial Research, Nimit Khamar. Sumber: kontan.co.id, antaranews.com


Commodity, Energy & Metals price update Commodty Indx UBS BLOOMB CMCI S&P GSCI RJ/CRB Commodity Rogers Intl

Value

Change

1,170.05 462.75 259.39 2,946.62

30.24 18.27 7.26 93.53

30-Sep-09

Open

Energy

1,148.10 447.32 252.39 2,866.07

BRENT CRD FUT (USD/bbl) GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT) GASOLINE RB FUT (USd/gal) HEATING OIL FUT (USd/gal) NAT GAS FUT (USD/MMBtu) WTI CRUDE FUT (USD/bbl.)

Price 68.67 573.00 174.22 182.13 4.79 70.10

Change -0.40 13.50 -0.94 -1.11 -0.05 -0.51

% Change -0.58 2.41 -0.54 -0.61 -1.05 -0.72

Metals ALUMINUM FUT(USd/lb.) COPPER FUT (USd/lb.) GOLD 100oz FUT (USD/t oz.) SILVER FUTURE (USD/t oz.)

Price NaN 281.35 1,008.10 16.73

Change

% Change

NaN -0.55 -1.20 0.07

NaN -0.20 -0.12 0.43

Sumber: Bloomberg

Where Foreign Money Flows No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

ADRO BNBR INDF BMRI KLBF SMGR UNTR LPKR TOTL BDMN AKRA BRPT ITTG ASII SMRA SMGR BUDI HEXA BBCA PNLF BNGA UNVR BYAN ACES ANTM PNBN JSMR AALI INDF BYAN

3,160,000 16,034,500 4,404,000 8,936,500 1,464,000 1,057,000 1,425,500 4,202,000 75,000 181,000 15,000 75,000 900,000 2,242,500 8,750,000 6,975,000 200,000 50,000 5,238,500 7,900,000 25,000 403,000 197,000 1,237,500 1,459,000 339,000 75,500 200,500 111,000 3,000,000

ForeignBuy (shares) 23,183,000 34,185,000 14,914,500 18,449,000 8,556,000 4,155,500 3,813,000 6,528,000 2,400,000 2,450,500 2,250,000 1,410,000 2,212,000 3,343,500 9,835,500 7,975,000 1,073,500 695,000 5,867,500 8,480,000 585,500 899,500 495,500 1,460,000 1,644,500 521,500 179,000 251,500 111,000 3,000,000

30-Sep-09 Net Buy (shares)

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

ForeignBuy (shares)

Net Buy (shares)

20,023,000 18,150,500 10,510,500 9,512,500 7,092,000 3,098,500 2,387,500 2,326,000 2,325,000 2,269,500 2,235,000 1,335,000 1,312,000 1,101,000 1,085,500 1,000,000 873,500 645,000 629,000 580,000 560,500 496,500 298,500 222,500 185,500 182,500 103,500 51,000 0 0

31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60

BUMI UNTR PGAS ASII BBRI BBCA BMRI PTBA TLKM INCO LPKR PNBN MLPL INTP ITMG KAEF GGRM SMCB INKP INTP ISAT SDRA LSIP CTRA JPFA PTBA BLTA ADHI ELTY INCO

4,378,500 4,378,500 0 3,500 3,500 0 278,000 278,000 0 217,500 217,500 0 13,255,500 13,255,500 0 100,000 100,000 0 8,637,000 8,637,000 0 531,500 531,500 0 1,964,500 1,964,500 0 10,000 10,000 0 1,077,000 1,077,000 0 426 426 0 281,306,095 281,306,095 0 117,000 117,000 0 416,000 382,000 -34,000 210,500 110,500 -100,000 342,000 238,500 -103,500 1,553,500 1,409,000 -144,500 1,379,000 1,213,500 -165,500 1,148,000 926,500 -221,500 1,145,000 915,500 -229,500 650,000 400,000 -250,000 275,000 15,000 -260,000 2,372,500 1,962,000 -410,500 678,500 100,000 -578,500 2,291,000 1,699,500 -591,500 1,105,000 145,000 -960,000 1,319,500 110,500 -1,209,000 4,875,500 3,198,000 -1,677,500 2,570,500 729,500 -1,841,000

No.

Stock

ForeignSell (shares)

61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70

TLKM BBRI PGAS BBNI ENRG DOID TINS MEDC BTEL BUMI

10,220,000 7,561,000 6,873,000 7,027,500 5,674,500 10,000,000 11,079,500 10,425,500 14,242,500 91,014,000

ForeignBuy (shares) 7,581,000 3,952,500 3,113,000 1,787,000 329,000 2,729,500 2,175,000 1,036,000 500,500 22,646,500

Net Buy (shares) -2,639,000 -3,608,500 -3,760,000 -5,240,500 -5,345,500 -7,270,500 -8,904,500 -9,389,500 -13,742,000 -68,367,500

page 2 of 7


Jakarta Composite Index Chart

30-Sep-09 Stochastic Oscillator

100

100 IHSG

90

90

80

80

70

70

60

60

50

50

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40

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30

2500 2450

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2100 2050

2100 2050

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1900 1850

1900 1850

1800 1750

1800 1750

1700 1650

1700 1650

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1600

1550 1500

1550 1500

1450 1400

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1350 1300

1350 1300

1250 1200

1250 1200

30000 24999 20000 15000 10000 5000 x1000000

30000 24999 20000 15000 10000 5000 x1000000 10

16

23

30

6

13

20

27

April

4 May

11

18

25

1 June

8

15

22

29

6

13

July

21

27

3 August

10

18

24

31 7 September

14

28

5 October

P

P P

2400

2550

2500 2450

2 March

2500

2450

O

2300

2400

O

O

No.

Stock AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

2350

O

2300

2250

2250

2200

2200

2150

2150

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2100

P

2050

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1950

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O

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15000

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10000

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x1000000

x1000000

22

12

29

6

13

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27

July

3 August

10

18

24

31

7

14

28

September

Market Price Update 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

2450

P P

2350

IHSG

2550

2500

5 October

12

30-Sep-09

Open

High

Low

20,850 460 127 1,420 410 1,000 2,425 245 295 31,900 116 4,550 420 2,075 7,600 5,000 260 2,050 125 123 800 4,475 315 131 690 395 1,480 141 240 3,200 5,750 1,360 125 740 355 540 205 100 355 370 395 198 59 14,750 425 210 2,850 2,444 4,150 2,950

21,450 460 129 1,440 410 1,050 2,500 250 295 33,350 116 4,650 420 2,125 7,700 5,050 260 2,075 125 123 800 4,725 315 131 700 395 1,530 141 245 3,225 5,800 1,370 125 740 355 540 210 100 355 370 395 200 59 14,900 425 220 2,950 2,472 4,175 3,050

20,750 450 124 1,400 405 1,000 2,425 245 290 31,200 113 4,525 415 2,075 7,500 4,925 255 2,025 123 121 790 4,500 305 128 690 390 1,470 139 230 3,100 5,650 1,360 117 730 340 520 205 97 345 360 380 200 57 14,750 415 205 2,850 2,435 4,100 2,900

Previous 20,850 460 127 1,420 410 1,000 2,425 245 295 31,900 116 4,550 420 2,075 7,600 5,000 260 2,050 125 123 800 4,475 315 131 690 395 1,480 141 240 3,200 5,750 1,360 125 740 355 540 205 100 355 370 395 198 59 14,750 425 210 2,850 2,444 4,150 2,950

Close 21,050 460 128 1,430 410 1,050 2,450 245 295 33,350 114 4,625 420 2,125 7,500 4,950 255 2,075 123 122 790 4,700 310 131 700 395 1,530 141 245 3,225 5,750 1,370 118 740 350 540 210 97 355 370 385 200 59 14,900 420 215 2,950 2,468 4,150 3,025

% Change

0.96 0.00 0.79 0.70 0.00 5.00 1.03 0.00 0.00 4.55 -1.72 1.65 0.00 2.41 -1.32 -1.00 -1.92 1.22 -1.60 -0.81 -1.25 5.03 -1.59 0.00 1.45 0.00 3.38 0.00 2.08 0.78 0.00 0.74 -5.60 0.00 -1.41 0.00 2.44 -3.00 0.00 0.00 -2.53 1.01 0.00 1.02 -1.18 2.38 3.51 0.97 0.00 2.54

Volume 2,117,000 2,417,500 2,907,000 47,690,000 601,000 12,153,000 20,568,000 1,240,000 2,386,000 5,226,500 21,627,500 11,126,500 3,453,000 31,256,500 15,904,000 10,260,500 1,144,000 268,500 1,465,000 8,784,000 31,692,000 45,176,500 7,315,000 468,222,496 945,500 57,000 21,447,500 47,704,500 1,508,500 270,929,504 678,500 1,467,000 4,431,000 5,006,000 19,134,000 1,272,000 23,523,000 17,559,000 11,681,000 56,736,000 122,294,496 11,500 110,154,496 489,000 512,000 52,073,500 4,185,500 3,628,999,936 19,916,000 35,716,500

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Open

High

Low

2,450 1,790 10,600 5,400 24,200 840 280 1,860 134 1,250 670 7,500 830 164 2,875 192 460 87 280 1,040 3,650 840 146 14,000 2,050 126 1,340 6,350 610 1,190 220 550 345 2,150 1,810 8,550 250 127 230 255 121 660 870 14,750 10,800 350 550

2,475 1,820 10,600 5,450 24,300 900 285 1,870 134 1,330 680 7,650 820 167 2,925 192 460 89 280 1,060 3,650 860 146 14,150 2,100 126 1,340 6,450 610 1,220 225 570 350 2,175 1,810 8,650 255 142 240 255 124 680 880 15,700 10,900 350 550

2,425 1,780 10,450 5,350 23,950 840 280 1,850 131 1,250 660 7,450 810 163 2,875 190 455 84 275 1,020 3,600 840 144 13,850 2,000 122 1,320 6,300 580 1,170 215 540 340 2,125 1,810 8,550 250 127 210 245 121 660 850 14,750 10,600 345 550

Previous 2,450 1,790 10,600 5,400 24,200 840 280 1,860 134 1,250 670 7,500 830 164 2,875 192 460 87 280 1,040 3,650 840 146 14,000 2,050 126 1,340 6,350 610 1,190 220 550 345 2,150 1,810 8,550 250 127 230 255 121 660 870 14,750 10,800 350 550

Close 2,450 1,820 10,600 5,450 24,250 880 285 1,870 133 1,330 670 7,650 820 164 2,900 190 460 86 280 1,030 3,650 860 145 14,100 2,075 125 1,330 6,300 580 1,180 220 540 350 2,150 1,810 8,650 255 128 210 255 124 680 870 15,600 10,700 350 550

% Change 0.00 1.68 0.00 0.93 0.21 4.76 1.79 0.54 -0.75 6.40 0.00 2.00 -1.20 0.00 0.87 -1.04 0.00 -1.15 0.00 -0.96 0.00 2.38 -0.68 0.71 1.22 -0.79 -0.75 -0.79 -4.92 -0.84 0.00 -1.82 1.45 0.00 0.00 1.17 2.00 0.79 -8.70 0.00 2.48 3.03 0.00 5.76 -0.93 0.00 0.00

Volume 1,212,000 3,573,000 1,811,500 1,687,500 851,000 2,434,000 160,500 6,375,000 52,260,000 38,890,000 92,394,496 4,367,000 44,000 5,213,000 15,453,500 1,141,500 19,520,500 19,973,500 2,201,500 709,500 11,027,000 761,000 23,715,500 4,887,500 6,868,000 89,500 7,181,500 5,751,000 13,934,000 3,896,500 1,133,000 5,801,500 7,221,000 17,280,500 1,500 13,555,500 45,000 57,561,500 97,790,000 15,671,500 21,500 2,013,500 37,026,000 8,260,000 1,327,500 1,285,500 71,000

page 3 of 7


Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation No

Stock

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

AALI ADHI ADMG ADRO AISA AKRA ANTM APOL ASGR ASII ASRI BBCA BBKP BBNI BBRI BDMN BHIT BISI BKDP BKSL BLTA BMRI BMTR BNBR BNGA BNII BRPT BTEL BUDI BUMI BYAN CPIN CSAP CTRA CTRP CTRS DEWA DGIK ELSA ELTY ENRG FPNI FREN GGRM GJTL GZCO HEXA IHSG INCO INDF

Beta 0.98 0.56 1.49 0.43 0.59 1.08 1.77 0.00 0.96 1.45 0.38 1.30 0.83 0.95 1.34 1.28 1.14 1.62 1.12 2.22 0.76 1.22 0.84 1.65 0.46 0.63 1.77 1.04 0.06 1.98 0.50 1.21 0.57 0.99 1.13 0.83 1.45 0.60 1.00 1.48 1.57 0.95 1.25 0.63 1.58 1.18 1.44 1.00 1.12 1.37

Close 21,050 460 128 1,430 410 1,050 2,450 245 295 33,350 114 4,625 420 2,125 7,500 4,950 255 2,075 123 122 790 4,700 310 131 700 395 1,530 141 245 3,225 5,750 1,370 118 740 350 540 210 97 355 370 385 200 59 14,900 420 215 2,950 2,468 4,150 3,025

Support Resistant Momentum 20,150 445 121 1,340 405 940 2,375 230 285 29,900 110 4,275 395 1,990 7,250 4,425 250 2,000 118 121 720 4,300 300 128 680 390 1,460 138 215 3,000 5,500 1,320 94 720 335 520 200 96 345 360 365 194 57 13,700 390 197 2,775 2,377 4,075 2,625

21,500 465 131 1,440 440 1,050 2,650 260 310 34,150 117 4,850 425 2,125 7,900 5,050 285 2,125 127 132 810 4,950 320 138 710 410 1,630 148 245 3,475 5,800 1,380 134 760 365 550 215 102 360 385 400 205 65 15,050 440 220 2,950 2,483 4,375 3,050

---Overbought Oversold -Oversold --------Overbought ---Oversold -----Oversold Oversold -Overbought -------------Oversold ------Overbought

1-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

0 2 1 6 6 0 12 11 20 0 2 5 5 1 0 5 11 0 0 12 5 0 3 6 14 13 11 8 7 12 1 0 5 0 0 5 0 5 10 0 1 3 12 5 3 3 0 0 6 6

1 3 7 7 4 1 2 20 2 3 6 8 7 2 2 8 2 2 4 7 8 2 26 4 5 8 7 1 16 1 5 1 11 8 7 16 2 0 26 4 2 1 6 12 4 8 2 2 4 7

1.5 1.1 2.1 1.5 0.9 2.0 1.6 2.2 1.7 2.9 1.5 1.9 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.2 2.0 2.4 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.6 1.0 2.0 1.7 1.4 0.7 4.4 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.2 1.1 1.6 1.3 1.8 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.9 2.2

1.2 0.9 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.7 1.9 2.6 1.4 2.4 1.3 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.8 1.4 2.2 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.6 2.1 1.1 0.6 3.6 1.0 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.1 1.5 1.8 0.9 2.0 1.1 1.5 2.1 1.3 0.7 1.1 1.8

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

Today Rekomedation

Trend Reverse

-Doji --Doji --Doji Doji ---Doji ----------Doji -Doji -Doji --Doji --Doji -Doji --Doji Doji --Doji -----Doji --

Rally with Volume --Reaction with Volume -Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume -----------Rally with Volume ----Rally with Volume --Reaction with Volume -Rally with Volume --Reaction with Volume ----------Rally with Volume Rally with Volume Rally with Volume Reaction with Volume --

Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Buy Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Buy Buy Hold(bullish) Buy Sell Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Buy Bearish Hold(bullish)

sell at 20,513 sell at 455 sell at 121 sell at 1,343 buy at 431 sell at 970 buy at 2,544 sell at 243 buy at 296 sell at 30,513 sell at 111 sell at 4,381 sell at 401 sell at 1,938 sell at 7,588 sell at 4,475 buy at 260 sell at 2,025 sell at 120 buy at 126 sell at 713 sell at 4,331 sell at 313 buy at 133 buy at 693 buy at 395 buy at 1,490 buy at 143 sell at 239 buy at 3,288 sell at 5,613 sell at 1,343 sell at 105 sell at 730 sell at 351 sell at 530 sell at 201 buy at 101 sell at 345 sell at 369 sell at 374 buy at 198 buy at 63 sell at 13,950 sell at 405 sell at 195 sell at 2,775 sell at 2,396 buy at 4,250 sell at 2,606

page 4 of 7


Trading Guide · · · · ·

It always recommended to invest in a good company with a good financial performance. A stock is said to be fairly valued when its P/E equals its growth rate. A growth stock should be in uptrend when you buy and value stock should be consolidating. Always concentrate on the strongest stock candidates for daily trading and long term investment. Trend is your friend. You must analyze everything from the perspective of trends.

Desclaimer Dokumen ini dibuat dari opini analis yang dibuat untuk membantu investor memahami pasar saham Indonesia. Dokumen ini dibuat berdasarkan sumbersumber yang kami percaya dan dapat diandalkan. Walaupun demikian Bali Securities tidak dapat menjamin keakuratan data dan kelengkapannya. Investor dianjurkan untuk membaca secara utuh dan lengkap dokumen ini sebagai saran dalam berinvestasi dan mengambil langkah yang hati-hati dalam berinvestasi. Keputusan investasi yang diambil tetap merupakan tanggung jawab investor semata. Help in Technical Analysis Page 4 & 5 * Harga saham cenderung naik atau turun pada harga diantara harga support dan resistant. * Beta saham adalah nilai volatilitas terhadap benchmark IHSG. Makin besar beta saham, makin besar volatilitas dibandingkan IHSG. Beta IHSG = 1. * Momentum overbought apabila Stochastic > 80, oversold apabila stochastic < 20. * Today Recommendation: Buy: Today buy, pada saat Bullish MA Crossing Hold Bullish : pada saat close > MA Bearish: pada saat Close < MA Sell: Today Sell, pada saat Bearish MA Crossing * If Trend reverse: harga beli (masuk) atau jual (keluar) jika harga/trend berbalik arah. Harga ini adalah harga hasil perhitungan matematis dan berubah setiap hari. Contoh: jika harga sell at jauh dari harga closing price, saham masih dalam area aman dan masih direkomedasi hold sampai closing price waktu itu mendekati harga sell at...disaat anda harus memperhatikan dengan seksama pergerakan hariannya dan siap-siap menjual pada harga sell at.. Baik digunakan untuk protect mid term gain. Nilai harga if trend reverse adalah sebagai patokan/konfirmasi bahwa mid trend harga saham memang sedang berbalik arah. * Forecast % Up dan % down merupakan potensi kenaikan harga dan penurunan harga hari ini. Nilai ini dihitung dari rata-rata historis pergerakan harian (high/low) setiap hari dan mencerminkan juga volatilitas saham harian. Baik digunakan untuk acuan protect gain dan stop loss. Nilai ini berubah setiap hari. * Candlestick: Doji: "Market this stock is Tired ". Hammer: Trend balik arah, sinyal bullish pada saat downtrend. Engulfing Bull: Trend balik arah, start bullish. Engulfing Bear:Trend balik arah, start bearish. Hanging Man: Trend balik arah, sinyal bearish pada saat uptrend. * Volume: Rally with Volume: Kenaikan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen naik dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini. Reaction with Volume: Penurunan harga dan volume pada 2 hari terakhir. Tanda sentimen turun dan besar kemungkinan masih berlanjut lagi hari ini.

PT BALI SECURITIES

PermataBank Tower I 3rd Floor, Jl.Jend Sudirman Kav 27, Tel.5237815, 5237607 Fax. 2500638 Research Ketut Tri Bayuna 021-5237815 ext 0243

Equity Sales Suryati Budiawan 021-5237297/98

Fixed Income Sales Agus Gunawan 021-5237296

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Technical Analysis Data and Today Recommendation (cont'd) No Stock Beta 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

0.79 0.66 1.28 1.03 0.96 0.43 0.43 0.60 1.48 1.08 0.95 1.04 0.51 1.55 1.18 0.14 1.04 1.88 1.43 0.85 1.16 1.03 1.88 1.08 0.91 0.86 0.62 0.62 1.84 0.50 1.66 1.43 1.16 1.12 0.48 0.81 1.63 1.85 1.38 1.25 1.38 0.59 1.64 1.55 0.22 0.96 0.85

Close 2,450 1,820 10,600 5,450 24,250 880 285 1,870 133 1,330 670 7,650 820 164 2,900 190 460 86 280 1,030 3,650 860 145 14,100 2,075 125 1,330 6,300 580 1,180 220 540 350 2,150 1,810 8,650 255 128 210 255 124 680 870 15,600 10,700 350 550

Support Resistant Momentum 2,375 1,740 9,850 5,300 23,500 810 280 1,770 125 1,160 660 7,250 810 160 2,800 187 455 74 270 940 3,525 810 127 13,250 1,950 117 1,300 6,050 540 1,070 215 510 335 2,025 1,780 8,300 245 108 198 245 115 630 840 13,850 10,300 345 540

2,575 1,820 11,550 5,650 25,300 900 295 1,920 141 1,330 730 7,650 850 171 3,100 196 480 97 300 1,130 3,825 880 155 15,100 2,100 129 1,380 6,600 660 1,220 240 640 355 2,200 1,860 8,800 265 142 240 265 133 680 910 15,700 10,950 360 580

-Overbought ----Oversold --Overbought Oversold -----Oversold ------------Overbought ----------------Oversold

1-Oct-09

Last Buy Last Sell Forecast Forecast (days ago) (days ago) %Up %Down

10 9 12 20 0 3 11 11 10 3 13 0 11 0 6 4 12 11 12 21 12 0 14 11 6 0 11 14 15 18 10 6 0 0 5 4 4 1 11 0 0 6 11 0 0 11 15

0 20 16 2 3 8 6 17 17 29 3 8 0 2 2 2 4 17 4 2 2 1 16 1 8 3 13 1 4 26 8 1 4 3 7 8 2 2 20 19 7 17 3 1 2 2 6

1.0 1.1 2.2 1.5 1.1 2.2 1.3 1.0 1.5 2.2 1.7 1.3 0.9 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.9 3.3 1.3 2.3 1.3 1.3 1.8 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.4 2.9 2.0 1.9 3.1 1.5 1.4 0.5 1.0 2.0 4.5 4.0 2.2 2.6 1.5 1.5 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.5

1.2 0.9 1.8 1.2 0.9 1.8 1.0 0.9 1.8 1.8 2.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 2.7 1.6 2.8 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.7 3.6 1.6 2.3 3.8 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 3.7 4.9 1.8 2.1 1.2 1.9 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.6

Candlestick Last Trade

Volume

Today Rekomedation

Doji -Doji -------Doji --Doji --Doji -Doji -Doji ---------Doji --Doji Doji ----Doji --Doji --Doji Doji

---Reaction with Volume -Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume -------------Reaction with Volume ---Rally with Volume ---Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume -Rally with Volume Rally with Volume ---Reaction with Volume Rally with Volume Rally with Volume ---

Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Sell Buy Bearish Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Bearish Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Hold(bullish) Bearish Bearish Buy Buy Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Bearish Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Hold(bullish) Buy Hold(bullish) Bearish Buy Buy Bearish Bearish

Trend Reverse buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at buy at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at buy at buy at sell at buy at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at sell at sell at sell at buy at sell at sell at buy at buy at

2,500 1,735 10,025 5,438 23,988 803 281 1,820 133 1,085 720 7,163 835 160 2,913 197 474 87 285 1,053 3,675 833 143 14,325 1,958 123 1,313 6,563 613 1,153 223 583 339 2,125 1,798 8,325 249 98 204 248 116 620 885 13,375 10,738 351 558

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Technical Analysis Data (Moving Average) and Stock Performance (Price Rate of Change)

No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

Stock Close AALI 21,050 20,915 ADHI 460 457 ADMG 128 125 ADRO 1,430 1,397 AISA 410 417 AKRA 1,050 1,005 ANTM 2,450 2,463 APOL 245 244 ASGR 295 294 ASII 33,350 31,752 ASRI 114 113 BBCA 4,625 4,525 BBKP 420 413 BBNI 2,125 2,043 BBRI 7,500 7,525 BDMN 4,950 4,796 BHIT 255 257 BISI 2,075 2,053 BKDP 123 122 BKSL 122 125 BLTA 790 764 BMRI 4,700 4,501 BMTR 310 313 BNBR 131 132 BNGA 700 696 BNII 395 395 BRPT 1,530 1,516 BTEL 141 142 BUDI 245 241 BUMI 3,225 3,206 BYAN 5,750 5,697 CPIN 1,370 1,362 CSAP 118 114 CTRA 740 740 CTRP 350 352 CTRS 540 537 DEWA 210 207 DGIK 97 99 ELSA 355 351 ELTY 370 368 ENRG 385 383 FPNI 200 199 FREN 59 60 GGRM 14,900 14,574 GJTL 420 411 GZCO 215 208 HEXA 2,950 2,862 IHSG 2,468 2,430 INCO 4,150 4,199 INDF 3,025 2,853

0.64 0.69 2.34 2.34 -1.74 4.46 -0.54 0.60 0.40 5.03 0.92 2.21 1.73 4.01 -0.33 3.22 -0.81 1.05 0.90 -2.20 3.47 4.43 -0.89 -0.55 0.54 -0.08 0.90 -0.53 1.71 0.61 0.93 0.57 3.58 -0.03 -0.55 0.60 1.54 -2.04 1.01 0.46 0.63 0.42 -2.47 2.24 2.19 3.37 3.08 1.55 -1.18 6.03

20,920 455 123 1,383 420 969 2,445 239 291 31,160 113 4,445 408 2,008 7,468 4,735 257 2,051 122 129 760 4,381 317 131 695 397 1,521 142 238 3,122 5,673 1,342 109 748 356 539 208 100 351 365 384 198 62 14,486 393 206 2,830 2,403 4,270 2,751

0.62 0.48 -0.71 1.01 0.00 2.22 3.92 3.23 -0.78 3.37 2.88 4.38 -2.42 -4.65 -3.53 8.37 1.94 7.14 0.22 -4.85 0.00 2.30 2.08 6.52 1.36 -3.28 1.72 7.03 3.57 6.89 0.96 2.70 1.79 4.06 0.00 2.78 2.93 1.20 1.20 5.84 3.66 3.66 0.43 -2.60 -1.32 4.55 4.21 4.76 -0.68 0.00 -1.92 1.17 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.82 0.82 -5.45 -1.61 -6.15 3.88 5.33 3.95 7.27 -0.53 3.87 -2.28 1.64 -1.59 0.00 -2.24 -1.50 0.76 1.45 0.00 -0.39 0.00 -2.47 0.62 0.00 -3.16 -0.73 -2.76 1.44 3.12 0.00 8.89 3.28 -3.73 6.61 1.36 2.68 -0.86 2.06 0.00 0.00 8.52 18.00 22.92 -1.02 -1.33 -2.63 -1.76 -1.41 -2.78 0.21 -1.82 1.89 0.96 2.44 0.00 -3.34 -3.00 -3.00 1.06 1.43 1.43 1.26 -1.33 -2.63 0.36 1.32 0.00 0.92 1.52 0.00 -4.30 -3.28 -4.84 2.86 1.36 4.56 6.91 2.44 -1.18 4.12 4.88 2.38 4.22 1.72 3.51 2.69 0.43 2.31 -2.81 -2.35 -1.78 9.97 7.08 12.04

-3.88 -6.12 18.52 1.42 -2.38 20.69 -5.77 8.89 3.51 7.75 0.00 6.94 1.20 12.43 3.45 5.32 -3.77 0.00 -2.38 -24.22 -4.82 22.88 -16.22 0.00 0.00 -3.66 10.87 -4.73 11.36 10.26 9.52 22.32 10.28 -2.63 -7.89 -5.26 -6.67 -12.61 -2.74 5.71 -6.10 4.17 -18.06 2.05 33.33 9.69 2.61 5.12 -13.09 22.22

23.10 8.24 26.73 17.21 -1.20 26.51 19.51 4.26 9.26 38.96 2.70 31.21 33.33 23.55 13.64 4.21 4.08 11.56 33.70 -22.78 -7.06 45.74 5.08 39.36 12.90 3.95 23.39 7.63 31.02 70.63 9.52 107.58 -3.28 1.37 -7.89 10.20 2.44 -11.01 5.97 23.33 4.05 10.50 18.00 19.68 44.83 16.85 24.21 21.33 0.61 60.05

186.39 189.31 106.45 186.00 2.50 105.88 147.47 28.95 50.51 245.60 128.00 71.30 121.05 304.76 125.56 90.38 41.67 95.75 146.00 29.79 75.56 219.73 72.22 101.54 68.67 -12.22 260.00 176.47 88.46 250.54 576.47 234.15 -15.11 306.59 150.00 246.15 311.76 94.00 208.70 428.57 142.14 166.67 18.00 244.51 134.64 155.95 340.30

No. 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

Stock INDY INKP INTP ISAT ITMG JPFA JPRS JSMR KIJA KLBF LPKR LSIP LTLS MDLN MEDC META MIRA MLPL MNCN MPPA PGAS PNBN PNLF PTBA SGRO SIIP SMCB SMGR SMRA SOBI SPMA SULI TBLA TINS TKIM TLKM TMAS TMPI TOTL TRAM TRIL TSPC UNSP UNTR UNVR WIKA YPAS

Close 2,450 1,820 10,600 5,450 24,250 880 285 1,870 133 1,330 670 7,650 820 164 2,900 190 460 86 280 1,030 3,650 860 145 14,100 2,075 125 1,330 6,300 580 1,180 220 540 350 2,150 1,810 8,650 255 128 210 255 124 680 870 15,600 10,700 350 550

30-Sep-09 MA ROC ROC ROC ROC ROC % MA MA % MA 10 5Day 10Day 30Day 60Day 200D 10 Day 20 Day 20 Day Day (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

2,459 1,786 10,320 5,428 24,071 849 284 1,846 132 1,237 687 7,497 826 163 2,903 193 466 84 281 1,023 3,627 837 140 13,969 2,033 125 1,320 6,319 586 1,163 222 552 346 2,136 1,806 8,534 254 117 208 255 122 656 876 14,647 10,683 350 553

-0.37 1.92 2.71 0.40 0.75 3.60 0.48 1.28 0.45 7.55 -2.47 2.04 -0.76 0.71 -0.10 -1.56 -1.31 2.33 -0.25 0.72 0.63 2.76 3.22 0.94 2.06 0.27 0.74 -0.30 -0.99 1.44 -0.69 -2.26 1.24 0.64 0.22 1.36 0.57 9.25 0.79 0.16 1.75 3.58 -0.66 6.51 0.16 -0.02 -0.46

2,450 1,779 10,059 5,401 24,040 843 285 1,821 131 1,232 690 7,506 827 164 2,925 193 474 79 280 985 3,571 809 133 13,724 2,022 126 1,313 6,206 572 1,144 221 549 346 2,129 1,808 8,508 259 117 206 259 125 655 876 14,219 10,654 351 553

0.00 -3.92 1.03 -2.97 3.16 126.85 2.29 2.25 4.60 -1.62 5.20 124.69 5.38 2.42 7.07 23.98 35.90 202.86 0.91 -0.91 0.93 0.93 9.00 28.24 0.87 -1.42 2.11 -1.42 20.05 185.29 4.43 6.02 3.53 4.76 37.50 134.67 -0.06 0.00 -3.39 -3.39 -9.52 83.87 2.70 1.63 4.47 5.65 19.87 130.86 1.54 -4.32 3.91 -2.21 25.47 166.00 7.94 11.76 9.92 -0.75 30.39 236.71 -2.93 -5.63 -6.94 -6.94 -1.47 -24.72 1.91 4.79 0.66 2.68 27.50 200.00 -0.80 -1.20 -1.20 -4.65 9.33 54.72 -0.11 1.23 0.61 -10.38 7.19 221.57 -0.84 -2.52 -0.85 -6.45 -4.13 66.67 -1.37 -3.06 -1.55 3.26 72.73 167.61 -2.89 -3.16 -4.17 -14.81 -20.69 -24.59 9.48 -8.51 17.81 38.71 50.88 72.00 0.00 -1.75 -3.45 -3.45 1.82 131.41 4.55 -5.50 -1.90 19.77 45.07 56.06 2.20 -2.01 -0.68 7.35 14.06 101.66 6.32 -1.15 4.88 17.81 28.36 62.26 8.91 0.00 14.17 29.46 30.63 83.54 2.74 -1.40 6.42 8.46 21.03 127.42 2.65 2.47 3.75 -2.35 25.76 103.43 -0.82 -1.57 -2.34 -6.72 -12.59 -43.18 1.27 0.76 2.31 2.31 22.02 209.30 1.52 -1.56 4.13 9.57 22.33 93.85 1.38 -4.92 -9.38 18.37 52.63 192.93 3.18 1.72 6.31 6.31 13.46 66.20 -0.45 0.00 -4.35 7.32 4.76 131.58 -1.67 -8.47 3.85 -1.82 -10.00 404.67 1.21 1.45 1.45 -5.41 14.75 93.37 0.99 0.00 -1.15 -3.37 -1.15 108.74 0.11 0.56 0.00 -2.16 5.85 151.39 1.67 2.98 2.37 1.17 16.89 51.75 -1.45 0.00 -1.92 -12.07 -12.07 4.08 9.56 12.28 14.29 5.79 -14.67 100.00 1.80 2.44 2.44 -2.33 5.00 133.33 -1.72 2.00 -1.92 6.25 8.51 196.51 -0.57 5.08 -6.77 -13.29 -18.95 -77.45 3.77 3.03 6.25 1.49 6.25 88.89 -0.74 -3.33 -3.33 -2.25 24.29 278.26 9.72 6.48 6.48 20.93 54.46 358.82 0.43 -0.47 3.38 -1.83 18.89 43.62 -0.20 -1.41 -1.41 -1.41 1.45 103.49 -0.47 0.00 -1.79 0.00 25.00 168.29

105.28

118.42 225.27

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Daily Investment Guide 1 Oktober 2009