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The Arab World Upended

THE ARAB WORLD UPENDED

Revolution and Its Aftermath in Tunisia and Egypt

David B. Ottaway

Published in the United States of America in 2017 by Lynne Rienner Publishers, Inc

1800 30th Street, Boulder, Colorado 80301 www rienner com and in the United Kingdom by Lynne Rienner Publishers, Inc.

3 Henrietta Street, Covent Garden, London WC2E 8LU

© 2017 by Lynne Rienner Publishers, Inc All rights reserved

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

A Cataloging-in-Publication record for this book is available from the Library of Congress

ISBN 978-1-62637-620-5 (hardcover : alk paper)

British Cataloguing in Publication Data

A Cataloguing in Publication record for this book is available from the British Library

Printed and bound in the United States of America

The paper used in this publication meets the requirements of the American National Standard for Permanence of Paper for Printed Library Materials Z39 48-1992

5 4 3 2 1

Contents

A c k n o w l e d g m e n t s v i i

I n t r o d u c t i o n 1

P a r t 1 T h e C o n t e x t o f t h e A r a b S p r i n g

1 We s t e r n a n d A r a b T h e o r i e s o f R e v o l u t i o n 7

2 A r a b R e v o l u t i o n s a n d C o u n t e r r e v o l u t i o n s 2 1

3 P o l i t i c a l C a u s e s o f t h e 2 0 11 U p r i s i n g s 3 1

4 E c o n o m i c a n d S o c i a l C a u s e s o f t h e 2 0 11 U p r i s i n g s 4 7

P a r t 2 S t a g e s o f t h e Tu n i s i a n R e v o l u t i o n

5 F a l l o f t h e A n c i e n R e g i m e 6 7

6 F r o m D u a l S o v e r e i g n t y t o R e s t o r a t i o n 9 3

P a r t 3 S t a g e s o f t h e E g y p t i a n R e v o l u t i o n

7 F a l l o f t h e P h a r a o h 11 9

8 T h e T h e r m i d o r i a n R e a c t i o n 1 4 1

9 D u a l S o v e r e i g n t y 1 6 3

1 0 T h e R e s t o r a t i o n 1 8 5

P a r t 4 P a r a d o x e s a n d C h a l l e n g e s

1 1 C o u n t e r r e v o l u t i o n f r o m A b r o a d 2 0 9

1 2 P o s t r e v o l u t i o n P r o s p e c t s 2 2 3

P a r t 5 C o n c l u s i o n

1 3 R e v o l u t i o n s C o m p a r e d 2 4 3

B i b l i o g r a p h y 2 5 3

I n d e x 2 5 9

A b o u t t h e B o o k 2 6 9 v