Prevention and Risk Analysis Transparency International GGGS-Workshop Cyprus December 1, 2012 www.transparency.org
What is a Risk? What is Prevention? What is Risk Analysis? What negative consequences a risk can have?
What is a Risk? Incident/development that may have a negative impact (opposite: Chance) To assess a risk you have to take into account – Probability of incident really going to happen – Range and severity of consequences
Example: Accident in – Minigolf – Cycling – Formel 1
What is Prevention? Prevention is two-fold – To prevent the incident that may have a negative impact – To prevent/mitigate the negative impact Far-sighted avoidance of problems
Example: Cycling – Only well informed athletes on public road; follow the rules; drive carefully – Wear a helmet; have an insurance – Make sure athletes follow instructions
What is Prevention? Prevention means to Avoid Deter (in case of perpetrators) Mitigate – Protect – Help – Heal
What is Prevention?
Acting Person Opportunity
What is Risk Analysis? To prevent problems in advance you have to know – Your potential risks‘ probability – Range and severity of consequences
To know your risks a list of possible risks is helpful To analyze your risks you to have to assess in detail – Probability – Consequences
Negative Consequences Death Injuries/health problems Psychological/Social problems Financial damage (direct) Instability Reputation – Lost trust/credibility Possible indirect financial damage
Resources needed for dealing with the problem
Any Questions? Thank You!