Climate change info for adaptation

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REGION: SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN and MANITOBA OBSERVED TRENDS TEMPERATURE

See Note 1

Temperature oC (1950-2007) Max. oC Min. oC Annual 1 to 2 0.5 to 2 Winter 1.5 to 3 1 to 3 Spring 0.5 to 3 1 to 2.5 Summer -0.5 to 2.5 -0.5 to 1.5 Autumn -0.5 -0.5 to 1 Temperature Extremes (1950-2007) Frost Free Days Growing Days >5 oC

10 to 30 days -10 to 20

PRECIPITATION Precipitation (1950-2007) % Annual -10 to 20 Winter -10 to 15 Spring -10 to 15 See Note 1 Summer -10 to 10 Autumn 5 to 20 Ratio of Snow to Total Precipitation (1950-2003) % Annual -5 to 0 Winter 0 Spring -10 to 5 Autumn -5 to 10

WIND See Note 2

Intense Precipitation (1958-2007) Days with amounts in events >99% 15% (adjacent USA) Days with heavy rain >99% frequency 13% (adjacent USA) P20 25 to 50mm (Average 1981-2000) Intense Winter Storms <970hpa central pressure Northern Hemisphere (1950-2000) 8%

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PAGE 1

BY 2050 (from 2010) o

C 2 to 4 3 to 4 3 to 4 2 to 4 1 to 2 Tmax20: 2 to 4 oC Tmax20→ Tmax10-15 25 days 20 days % -5 to 10 0 to 15 5 to 15 -10 to 10 -10 to 10 % -10 -10 -15 -5

P20: 5 to 10% P20→ P10-P15

8 to 15%


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