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Crea%ng Sustainable  Ci%es  II     Future  of  Energy  across  the   UK’s  Urban  Landscape  


Short Term  Challenges • Depriva%on  –  21.7%  (7,200)  children   living  in  poverty   • Obesity  –  66.8%  adults  clasiifed  as   overweight  or  obese   • Social  isola%on  –  3,000  more  65+  living   alone   • Life  expectancy  gap  -­‐11.1  years  lower   for    men  and  10.0  years  lower  for   women  in  the  most                  deprived/ least  deprived.  

• Skills levels  1-­‐4    at  a  lower  %  than           the  UK  and  East  of  England   • 13%  of  local  businesses  have   recruitment  problems  

• Housing –  7,000  more  affordable  homes   needed  by  2030   • Climate  change  –  increased  overhea%ng,   drought  and  threat  of  flooding   •     Energy  –  poor  grid  infrastructure  and                   n            increased  likelihood  of  blackouts  

Wellbeing

Infrastructure and  housing  

Skills and   employment  

Demographics •                         Growth  in  total  popula%on  –  14,500             m          more  people  by  2025   •           Growth  in  ageing  popula%on  –  7,000   more  65+  

Climate Change  will  exacerbate  every  one  of  these  challenges  


SOUTHEND WEATHER   •  Ho;er  summers     •  Up  to  8°C  warmer  on  average     •  Typically  30°C.  Ho^est  day  around  35°C   •  Drier  summers     •  50%  less  rain   •  Heat  waves  more  common  and  up  to  10  days  longer   •  Warmer  Winters     •  Temperatures  up  to  4°C  warmer  on  average   •  Typically  6°C.    Reduced  likelihood  of  frost,  snow  &  ice   •  We;er  winters     •  50%  more  rain     •  Sea  levels  higher  by  up  to  90cm     •  More  storms  and  extreme  weather  events  

•  Typically, ho^er  drier  summers,   warmer  we^er  winters  


Our Own  Perfect  Storm Increased demand 50% by 2030 (IEA)

Increased Numbers 100% by 2050

Energy

Population

Climate Change

Climate Change

Food

Water

Increased demand 50% by 2030

Increased demand 30% by 2030

(FAO)

(IFPRI)

Resources Increased demand ??% by 2050

Water Increased demand 150% by 2050??


6 FOCUS  AREAS:   Carbon  Reduc%on  

Sustainable Communi%es  

Policy

Sustainable Travel  

Low Carbon  Economy  

Climate Change   Adapta%on  &  Biodiversity  


Current Projects  -­‐  £19m  projects •  Approach  

•  Treat as  100%  funded  from  borrowing   •  Annual  returns  1-­‐3%  of  capital  invested  net  of  funding  cost   • Schools   • Solar  PV   • Pier  LiR  Tower   • Energy  Efficiency   • LED  StreetlighJng  

• Improved educaJonal   environments   • Reduced  polluJon   • Reduced  light  overspill   • Be;er  lighJng  standards   • Be;er  draughtproofing  

£700k annual   savings   net  of   cost  

£9.2m Avoided   Future   Capital   Costs  

Other Benefits  

3,500t CO2   saved   annually  

• Double Glazed  Windows   • LiRs  replaced   • Boilers  replaced   • LED  lights   • LighJng  columns  

•         0.44%  of  total  CO2   emissions   • AddiJonal  1200  t  CO2   saved  via  Southend   Energy  


Next Projects  –  Address  the  Storm Green  Infrastructure  -­‐  Water   Reduce  Waste  

Flooding

Capture for  Reuse  

Grey Water  

Local GeneraJon  Matched  to  Local  Demand   Absorb  demand   increases  

Reduce Grid  losses  

Time ShiRing  

DSR/FFR

Green Infrastructure  -­‐  Cooling   Avoid  Urban  Heat  Island  

Improve GeneraJon  Performance  

Understand What’s  Going  On  –  Use  the  Data   Drains  

Air Quality  

Car Use/Parking  


What I  missed  out

CO2 Savings  69%/0,7%  

69%/ 0.7%???

2 Degrees???     Is  this   achievable  

Energy transiJon  

Risks Consumer   confidence  

NAP Equipment   prices  

Southend

Supply/ demand  

Gas Grid?? ??????  

Savings

Energy price   makeup  

CCRA


Gas Grid  –  What  will  happen? Factors   Safety  

Cost

Climate Change  

PracJcality

OpJons Replace  

Hydrogen

Mix

Closure

Short Term   How  long  will  government   take?  

IncenJves for  renewables/   electrificaJon  

DisincenJves for  gas  

Long Term   Expensive  transiJon  

Falling user  base  for  gas  

Gas more  expensive  


Tianjin –  chemical  explosion  

Energy TransiPon


Supply Demand  Balance


Consumers –  Confidence?

July 2017,  Essex  

Groningen 500MW  


Energy Price  Make  Up?


What is  happening  to  demand?


Why will  demand  rise? ElectrificaJon  of   Heat  

Increased aircon   and  mechanical   venJlaJon  

Building Regs  

ElectrificaJon of   Transport  

Climate Change  


Risks -­‐  Southend  2222 •  •  •  • 

2 Roads   2  Railway  lines   2  Electricity  cables   PopulaJon  doubling  by  2050  


Add it  all  together? Rising  cost  of   supply   Increasing   complexity  

Consumer confusion  

Consumer Mistrust  

Rising Demand  

Subsidy free  solar   and  ba;eries  

Restricted Grid   Energy  TransiJon   failure  


What do  we  do? Keep  on  with  reducJon  projects   Complete  own  reducJons  

Encourage others  

Halving public  sector  emissions   sJll  a  good  thing  to  do  

Local Resilience   Solar  starJng  to  be   economic  again  

Ba;eries falling  in   price  

Time ShiRing  

DSR/FFR

Use trusted  brand  status  to  explain  this  to  consumers   Higher  prices  

Revenue opportuniJes  

Consumer Advice/ ProtecJon  

A;ack road  use  and  transport  emissions   EVs  

EV Chargepoints  

Alt route  planning  


Energy OpportuniPes Solar/Ba;ery   Approach   Freely   Available  to   other  LAs  

Joint MarkeJng   Southend   Energy  and   Suppliers  

MulJple Finance   Offers  

Standards Energy   Efficiency   Measures  

Matched Maintenance   and  Finance  

Clear Plain   Language   MarkeJng  

•  80% grid  independence   •  Savings  approx  20%  net  of   costs  plus  grid  rebalancing   •  Savings  increase  over  Jme   •  Available  to  all   householders   •  Social  tenants   •  Private  tenants   •  Home  owners  

•  Expected launch  May  18  


Happy to help and to work with you

Profile for Ibex Earth

Southend Borough Council  

Jeremy Martin is the Energy & Sustainability Manager at Southend on Sea Borough Council. Find out more about the £20 million of sustainable...

Southend Borough Council  

Jeremy Martin is the Energy & Sustainability Manager at Southend on Sea Borough Council. Find out more about the £20 million of sustainable...

Profile for ibexearth
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