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ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE EU 27 ENERGY OUTLOOK

map 8.1: oilreferencescenarioandtheenergy[r]evolutionscenario WORLDWIDE SCENARIO

33.9 36.9 125

NON RENEWABLE RESOURCE 83.8

OIL

22.8

63.5

28.9

109.3 United States

86.0

8 energyresources&securityofsupply |

ARCTIC OCEAN

Canada

36.8 Greenland

24.1

Mongolia

Russia Iceland

Sweden

China

Finland

OECD NORTH AMERICA

Norway Estonia

United Kingdom

Latvia

Denmark

OIL

Ireland

Kyrgyzstan

Lithuania

Neth.

Belarus

Germany

Poland

Czech Rep.

Uzbekistan

Ukraine

Slovakia

Switz. France POSSIBLE OIL &Slovenia GAS EXPLORATION FIELDS Romania

Azores Islands

Serbia & Mont. Bulgaria

Spain

Afghanistan

Azerbaijan

Pakistan

200 SEA MILEItaly NATIONAL BOUNDARY Albania

Mac.

Turkey

Greece

Tunisia

Iraq Kuwait

Israel

REF

%

TMB

%

74.3

5.5%

74.3

5.5%

MB

PJ

MB

PJ

2010

E[R]

TMB

%

TMB

%

239.4

17.8%

239.4

17.8%

MB

PJ

MB

PJ

2009 India

6,687H 40,923H 6,687H 40,923H

2009

1,569

9,600

1,569

9,600

2050

6,059H 37,080

552

2050

2,433

14,890

194

1,186

L

L

Iran Syria

Cyprus Lebanon

Morocco

nary Islands

Georgia

Croatia Bosnia & Herz.

Portugal

Nepal 2010

E[R]

TMB

Turkmenistan

Mold.

Austria Hungary

Myanmar REF

Tajikistan

LEGEND - ARCTIC REGION Bel.

LATIN AMERICA

Kazakhstan

Jordan

3,193

L

L

2009

2,436H

2,436H

2009

555

555

2050

1,668H

144

2050

612

49

Qatar

Sri Lanka

U. A. E. Oman

Saudi Arabia

Egypt

Libya

Mauritania

50-60

Mali

au

10-20

Chad

0-5 Ghana

Ethiopia

Benin % RESOURCES

SOURCES REF: INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY/E[R]: DEVELOPMENTS APPLIED IN THE GES-PROJECT

100

Nigeria

90 Central African Republic

POSSIBLE Equatorial Guinea Sao Tome & Principe

Uganda

80

Kenya

MAIN DEEP SEA OIL EXPLORATION FIELDS Gabon

Congo

Dem. Rep.

Rwanda

TRADE FLOWS (MILLION TONNES) Of Congo

Burundi

70 Madagascar

Tanzania

Angola

Zambia

20

Botswana

10

CONSUMPTION PER PERSON LITERS [L] South Africa

0

0 H HIGHEST | M MIDDLE | L LOWEST

40 30

Zimbabwe CONSUMPTION PER REGION MILLION BARRELS [MB] | PETA JOULE [PJ] Namibia

60 50

Mozambique

RESERVES TOTAL THOUSAND MILLION BARRELS [TMB] | SHARE IN % OF GLOBAL TOTAL [END OF 2011]

86

110

GLOBALLY

Cameroon

OCEAN

120

1000 KM

YEARS 1988 - 2010 PAST

2050

5-10 Cote D'Ivoire

Somalia

Sudan SCENARIO E[R] ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION

Burkina Faso

REF

2040

Liberia

20-30

Niger

2030

erra Leone

30-40

130

Eritrea

2020

Guinea

Yemen

REF REFERENCE SCENARIO

40-50

E[R]

2015

>60

COST crude oil prices 1988 2010 and future predictions comparing the REF and E[R] scenario 1 barrel = 159 litres

140

2010

Senegal

160

I N 150 DIAN OCEAN

1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

a

Algeria

LEGEND - WORLD MAP

$ PER BARREL

rn Sahara

YEARS 2010 - 2050 FUTURE

Energy [R]evolution EU  

A Sustainable EU 27 Energy Outlook

Energy [R]evolution EU  

A Sustainable EU 27 Energy Outlook