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INSIGHTS Beliefs, issues, and trends impacting our world

Estimated share of global

Global church heads South Christian population living

T

wo-thirds of the world’s Christians will live in sub-Saharan Africa (42 percent) or Latin America (22 percent) by 2060, according to data from Pew Research. That’s up from 51 percent in 2015. Europe is expected to see the biggest decline. In 2015, about a quarter (24 percent) of the world’s Christians lived in Europe. That could drop to 14 percent by 2060. Pew based its projections on demographic data as well as population trends. “This shift in the regional concentration of the global Christian population is being driven by a combination of demographic factors, including fertility, age and migration, as well as religious switching into and out of Christianity,” according to Pew Research.

Estimated share of global Christian in each region overpopulation time living in each region over time Middle East-North Africa Europe

2020

Asia-Pacific

North America

Latin America-Caribbean

2030

2040

Sub-Saharan Africa

2050

2060 42%

38% 34% 31% 27% 25%

24%

22%

24%

23%

22%

20% 17%

13%

13% 12%

16%

13% 11%

14% 13%

13% 10%

10%

9%

Source: PewResearch.org 1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Members sit on pews in a church near the Rift Valley Province in Kenya. IMB PHOTO 8 • Facts & Trends

SPRING 2018

Facts & Trends -Spring 2018 - SOAR  

Facts & Trends is designed to help pastors and other Christian leaders navigate the issues and trends impacting the church by providing info...

Facts & Trends -Spring 2018 - SOAR  

Facts & Trends is designed to help pastors and other Christian leaders navigate the issues and trends impacting the church by providing info...