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newsletter #02 Jan/Feb 2014 www.expert-log.com

An amazing and happy 2014!

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By keeping values and celebrating achievements. So we’re starting another year, and another edition of our Newsletter: filled with hope, motivation and energy to conquer the world in this New Year to come. Does it sound unobtainable? Definitely not! After having lots of fun at our end of the year celebrations, continued inspiration and willingness is what our co-workers are ready to offer you this New Year. As every company dreams and expects, ExpertLog finished 2013 celebrating the achievements of our goals, and now we are ready to work harder and smarter, developing innovations for the market among several improvement projects. Every year we meet our goals we also grow from learning day-to-day to predict any obstacles and inconveniences and strive to meet our client’s needs and surpass their expectations. Our new projects are focused to further develop our IT department to better assist and facilitate our operations and, therefore, yours. Our owner inspired Foundation was formed in accord with our tireless efforts to assist those less privileged and in need of developing the skills for a decent life. We believe that when

you work hard, your possibilities in life widen, this is why thru our foundation we are offering those in need not only the instruments for sustenance such as food and clothing but also the instrument of knowledge and the idea that they can with hard work achieve anything they aspire to be. In this spirit, we are preparing ourselves to ensure and prove that Expert-Log offers one of the best and most welcoming work environments for our clients as well as our employees: by taking care of our home; you will feel at home. By translating into words Expert-Log is proud to announce that you will receive a monthly institutional e-flyer that will be in line with all our ideals and goals and experiences as well as the latest information in regards to cargo.Faith is our inspiration for January: trust, unrestricted delivery and, regardless of religion, believing with conviction in a promising future for all. In 2014, we wish to reaffirm this commitment with our customers and partners and prepare to begin another year of promising opportunities.

P OP IN

In Brazil: Party, BBQ and Football! | more

M AN AG EM EN T

Is the next financial crisis on the way? | more

P OP o ut

National Express Brazil ready to bite its market share and the launch of Expert-Log’ mobile tracking | more

on site

Welcome to our new Branch Office in São Paulo | more

Claudia Colombo - Corporate Public Relations & Marketing The Expert-Log’ newsletter is sent by e-mail only to subscribers and customers, periodically. We do not sell records.

If you would like to contact us directly, please send us an e-mail to atendimento@expert-Log.com.

Expert-Log HEADQUARTERS | Curitiba Av. Cândido de Abreu, 776 | Sala 1301 | Centro Cívico | Curitiba-PR 80530-000 Brasil | Tel. +55 (41) 3252-7411 / 3022-5353 Expert-Log | Buenos Aires Maipú 1210 Piso 8 # 861 | American ExpressBuilding (C1006ACT) Buenos Aires - Argentina Tel. +54 (11) 4872-8242 Expert-Log LLC | Miami

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10540 NW 29 Terrace | Doral - Florida | 33172 USA Ph. +1 (305) 599-8300 # 301 | Fax +1 (305) 599-8302

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Expert-Log | newsletter #02

POP IN

In Brazil: Party, BBQ and Football! Joy and a casual atmosphere were abundant in the x-mas party for Expert-Log’ Family in Curitiba. A sense of team spirit as well as a family friendly environment is our goal for in our office and while having fun with our co-workers. As they say a picture is worth a thousand words!!!

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Expert-Log | newsletter #02

In Miami: Dress up for x-mas dinner! An intimate and warm dinner ended the year in Miami, this team is compiled of passionate and competent professionals whom maintain a vision for success. Together with the purpose of overcoming obstacles and obtaining achievements, our employees in Miami are a top notch team who have won the admiration of our customers.

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Expert trading | newsletter #02

CUSTOMS

TRADING COMPANIES exported

9.8% OF ALL SALES OUTSIDE THE COUNTRY Trading Companies are classified as indirect exports and are treated as direct exports in a fiscal aspect. They have advantages, mainly for the domestic small and medium producers who do not have a structure dedicated to foreign trade operations. Your participation in Brazilian exports increased in 2013, being responsible for 9.8 % of total sales of the country abroad (U.S. $ 242.179 billion) industry, surpassing the 2012 percentage of 9.3 %. The value of these transactions increased 4.9 %, from U.S. $ 22.563 billion in 2012 to $ 23.658 billion in 2013. For imports for the corporate segment, there was a decrease of 11 % in comparison. Purchases last year were $ 4.417 billion, while in 2012, had been $ 4.961 billion. The share of total national procurement (U.S. $ 239.621 billion) was reduced to 1.8 %, as in 2012, was 2.2%. The trade sector totalled U.S. $ 28.075 billion, an increase Source: MDIC

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of 2% of the value measured in 2012 (U.S. $ 27.524 billion). The surplus of enterprises trading companies also expanded, by 9.3 %, from U.S. $ 17.602 billion to $ 19.241 billion. The main destination market for Brazilian exports in the segment in 2013 was China, with sales of $ 9.864 billion, representing 41.7 % of total exports. Following appeared: Japan (U.S. $ 2.179 million, share 9.2%), Netherlands (U.S. $ 1.331 billion, 5.6%), South Korea (U.S. $ 1.269 billion, 5.4%) and Germany (U.S. $ 983.9 million, 4.2%). China was also the main supplier market enterprises Brazilian Trading Companies in the year, with transactions of $ 955.1 million, equivalent to 21.6% of total purchase amount. In second place is Argentina (U.S. $ 791.6 million, a 17.9 % share), followed by United States (U.S. $ 548.7 million, 12.4%), Mexico (U.S. $ 376.6 million, 8 5%) and the United Kingdom (U.S. $ 326.4 million).

Commodity exports accounted for 89 % of export value by Tradings, especially: iron ore, soybeans, grain corn, soybean meal and poultry meat. In all industrialized (11 %), the products are sold, in 2013, were frozen orange juice, raw sugar, instant coffee, orange juice, not frozen and refined sugar.

In the import basket of trading companies, industrial goods represented 97.1 % and 2.9 % corresponded commodities: passenger cars (U.S. $ 1.593 billion, a 36.1 % share of total imported), transmitters and cell phones, airplanes, pneumatic and automatic data processing machines receptors.


Expert-Log | newsletter #02

ON SITE

Expanding our Business: Expert-Log launches the new São Paulo Branch Office. Considered the “economic engine” of Brazil, the state of São Paulo accounts for over 30 % of the GDP; It is the 3rd most populated administrative unit in South America and has the largest population of the Federative Republic of Brazil (over 40 million people, 645 cities). São Paulo is among the States with high Human Development Index (surpassed by

Santa Catarina and the Federal District), providing the best infrastructure and skilled labor to manufacture products for high-tech exports. The State of São Paulo has the largest industrial park and the largest Brazilian economic output. The São Paulo industry relies strongly on a technological basis for generating export products with high added value. It includes: Information Technology (IT), Computers, Aerospace and Automotive. The agricultural sector of São Paulo is energetic and exhibits high productivity.

35 % 44%

São Paulo Office Avenida Paulista, 1636 - Cj. 103 / 105 São Paulo, SP | 01310-200 Brasil

of São Paulo exports are mainly generated by these products: sugar, automotive vehicles, airplanes, cell phones, meat and orange juice.

of Brazil’s imports of manufactured goods are held by the State of São Paulo. The example of moving through the Port of Santos | SSZ - the largest in Latin America - are more than 20,000 /TEUS imported weekly. It is important to mention the wide operation at both airports of the State: Viracopos | VCP, in Campinas; and the Governor André Franco Montoro Airport/Guarulhos International Airport | GRU.

With the aim of offering our knowledge and participate more actively in this great slice of the market, Expert-Log launches this January its newest office in São Paulo. This comes to prove our philosophy that, relying on our own offices and people, without going through third party agents, we can guarantee high level on service’ delivery, far beyond the competition. This fact can reduce our client’s operating costs, minimizing delays in procedures and several risks. Our specific goals: Are to finish 2014 between the 100 largest freight forwarders in São Paulo. For 2015, our plans are even more enthusiastic: closing the year between the 50 major freight forwarders.

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Expert-Log | newsletter #02

POP OUT

Discover our department focused on domestic transport: Expert-Log National Express Brazil. National Express was developed two years ago in order to focus its activities mainly on the domestic airfreight service. Following the success in international freight forwarding for air cargo, this project came to participate in the strong and visible demand in the market, which is based in the vast growth of air transport in the country. This modal is still developing its infrastructure, despite its great potential for strengthening, expansion and, consequently, an increase in the companies’ earnings and employment generation. Some factors have been encouraging its

consolidation, such as the poor condition of national highways and almost negligible use of waterways and Brazilian railroads. Another important factor is the evolution of the e-commerce in Brazil, in which the growth of its demand requires structuring of the internal transport to ensure the delivery of the goods traded via digital commerce within the extensive national borders. By noticing the opportunity to develop and grow in this business’ sector, Expert-Log provides comprehensive service in the whole country, with personalized and dedicated service “door to door”, relying on its own staff at offices in Curitiba and Manaus.

National Express Brazil – Fast Action for your Urgent Needs. We offer customized treatment according to the need of your logistics throughout Brazil / Modal Freight in Air and Road / Collection service, tracking, delivery and insurance all the way. Express Services Your cargo delivered in the shortest possible time / Exclusive from delivery to collection / Total priority on load regardless of time. Regular Services Collections and deliveries within the business hours. Service Schedules: South & Southeast Regions: 24hr to 48hr North & Northeast Regions: 48hr to 72hr Special Services: Hot Line Ideal for small loads that must ship with extreme urgency, ships with Expert-Log agents via domestic flights and guarantees release of cargo at destination upon arrival. Charter We have partners in aviation which offer freights dedicated to Helicopter rent and Air Taxi / Ideal for those who cannot waste time!

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Expert-Log | newsletter #02

Expert-Log launches its own MOBILE TRACKING “On-the-Go”

MOBILE TRACKING “on-the-go” Follow your load anywhere at anytime with the exclusive Expert-Log App you will be able to:

4 Search by number of house bill of lading (HBL and HAWB); 4 Receive History and status of shipment; 4 Flag shipments for faster searching.

Donwload Expert-Log’s App for Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.snowmanlabs.app.expertlog&hl=pt_BR

MARIA ELIZABET SOUZA FOUDATION

The Maria Elizabet Souza Foundation, expresses its public intent, reaffirms collective values and places its horizon aimed at providing the opportunity for people to be involved in the transformation of our society. Established and managed by Expert-Log Global Solutions, we enable those in need to obtain education, confirming their practices and updating their values to direct new standards in the relationships of coexistence and collective work. Sustainable Development, Corporate Social

Responsibility and Rights of the Child and Adolescents are the main principles that guide the initiatives of the Foundation, social inclusion projects and the development and training of our youth to become leaders who will inspire others to obtain the tools they need to excel in their lives and to deliver results that surpass expectations. Our goal is to reduce the vulnerable situation of our children and adolescents and increase opportunities to those who constitute the future of Brazil.

If you do wish to receive more information, you can contact us at Curitiba Headquarters.

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Expert-Log | newsletter #02

MANAGEMENT

WE ARE OPTIMISTIC BUT A NEW GLOBAL CRISIS IS EXPECTED IN 2014

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The global economy is fragile. Macroeconomic, social and political risks are interrelated and depending on the magnitude become systemic, with significant impacts on international trade and capital flows between countries. In 2014, to manage global risks effectively and increase resilience to impacts, greater efforts by governments to understand, measure and predict the evolution of the interdependencies between risks designed for uncertain environments are needed. At the World Economic Forum 2014 in Davos, 31 global economic risks according to the level of concern, probability, impact and interconnections among them were mapped. Here below, in my view, the 9 key risks of the biggest concerns for the global macro economy in 2014 and that can generate systemic crises and widely amplified for the rest of the world: (a) the continuity of the fiscal problems in developed economies as the key United States and Europe in

the Eurozone; (b) the continuation of high unemployment in the United States and the PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain); (c) underemployment in many countries with very low labor productivity; (d) severe income inequality between rich and poor countries with decline in global consumption growth of households and enterprises high indebtedness on income and/or profits post-financial crisis of 2008; (e) severe political instability and social economies of Europe (Italy, Spain, France, Ukraine and Greece), South America (Brazil and Argentina), Middle East (Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Syria and Turkey) with lowering of credit notes by the rating agencies and flow of risk capital or repatriation of currency; (f) failure of financial mechanisms in debt securities of cities and Chinese banks through derivatives products in the financial market; (g) fall in the price of metal commodities due to the slowdown of the Chinese economy; (h) greater incidence of extreme weather events in


Expert-Log | newsletter #02

important economic regions; (i) the monetary economic policy failures do not globally coordinated, with the withdrawal of monetary stimulus in the U.S. and increases in interest rates in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) creating imbalances in financial flows between developed and developing countries, generating a balance of payments crisis in the trading account, the financial account and depreciation of currencies of emerging countries relative to the U.S. dollar; (j) problems credit and real estate bubbles in BRICS. The year 2014 may be the beginning of the era of the perfect storm. My predictions for the next 4 years (2014-2017), is that there will be a global economic collapse worse than in 2008, which may occur at any time during this period: new collapses of public, political and social debt in the euro zone, U.S. debt crisis, fall of stronger Chinese growth than in previous periods, slower growth in emerging markets and problems of financial credit notes and wars in the Middle East. During this period, economic policy makers will be unable to prevent the loss of strength of the global economy. But why the prophecies are worse than the collapse of 2008? Because as in 2008, between 2014-2017, we will have a very serious financial and economic crisis, and although very different from 2008, central governments have greater difficulties in fiscal and monetary instruments to mitigate it. In 2008, the governments of developed countries have been able to cut interest rates, fiscal stimulus could use up to 10 percent of GDP, were able to rescue the banks and many companies that collapsed. Today, five years later, the EQs (quantitative easing, printing money by the U.S. Treasury and European and Japanese monetary stimulus programs) become less effective because the problem is the new debt solvency and not liquidity, given that fiscal deficits

are astronomical. And yet, all countries need to reduce deficits because, if they grow, increases the risk of a Ponzi structure of non-payment of debts in bulk. Today, with the high indebtedness of the major governments of the world, there’s more to rescue banks because there is opposition to that of taxpayers and governments are almost insolvent. This means that as governments cannot save, what to say if they want to save the banks? In short, a possible new melting of global financial markets happening between sometime between 2014-2017 will no longer have the safety net to absorb shocks, because governments overspent in the last four years after the crisis of 2008. The end of this will be the real side of the economy with higher poverty, higher overall unemployment, lower trade flow between countries and political and social unprecedented exhibitions worldwide. The growth models of economies should be reviewed.

Source: Luciano D’Agostini: Economist and PhD in Economic Development by UFPR.

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News Expert-Log | JAN/FEV 2014  
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