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Special Report 14-Sep-2018

Global markets at a glance Apple led a rebound in technology shares and boosted all three major US stock indexes on Thursday, while trade worries eased after China welcomed new talks with the United States. The Dow inched closer to its all-time high hit on January 26, closing at its highest since February 1 and just 1.8 percent below the January 26 close. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq had already moved past their January peaks to record highs in prior weeks. The S&P technology index climbed 1.2 percent on the day, its biggest percentage gain since Aug. 2, boosted by Apple's 2.4 percent gain. The timing of a new round of trade talks remains unclear and President Donald Trump said the United States was under no pressure to make a deal with China. Asian shares nudged higher on Friday as moves by the United States and China to resolve a bitter trade dispute and a sharp interest rate hike in crisis-hit Turkey supported global risk appetite. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.4 percent in early trade, following gains on Wall Street overnight.Shares around the world have been buoyed by news of a possible new round of talks between Washington and Beijing, even as the trade war between the world's two largest economies looks set to escalate. Chinese officials welcomed an invitation from Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin for new talks. But US President Donald Trump tempered market expectations, tweeting on Thursday that the US is "under no pressure to make a deal with China." Previous day Roundup The Nifty50 after gap up opening started correction in late morning deals, but managed to claw back in last couple of hours of trade on short covering on Wednesday after big fall in previous two consecutive sessions. The index closed sharply higher on reports of Prime Minister may be held economic review meeting to consider fiscal or monetary measures on Saturday, and ahead of industrial output and CPI inflation data due later in the day.The Nifty hold on to its crucial support placed at 11,300 levels and made a small bullish candle, which looked like a 'Hammer' kind of formation on daily charts, after two big bearish candles in previous two trading sessions. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[25.50], Consumption[44.30pts],Bank[11.70pts],Auto [11.35pts],FinService[22.15pts],Fmcg[760.65pts],Media[0.20pts],Pharma[112.55pts],IT[66.90pts],Metal [53.10pts],Realty[-1.60 pts], Pvt Bank[-15.05pts].

World Indices Index

Value

% Change

26,145.99

0.57

S&P500

2,905.50

0.01

NASDAQ

8,013.71

0.75

FTSE100

7,281.57

-0.44

23,041.85 27,243.16

0.96 0.84

DJI

NIKKEI HANG SENG

Top Gainers Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

Power Grid Corp

193.80

6.90

3.69

ITC

306.80

9.60

3.23

Adani Ports

376.05

11.40

3.13

Sun Pharma

649.90

19.50

3.09

Hindalco

237.90

6.30

2.72

CMP

Change

% Chg

635.45 262.40 240.40 334.15 322.90

-14.70 -4.90 -3.30 -3.90 -3.65

-2.26 -1.83 -1.35 -1.15 -1.12

Top Losers Company

Axis Bank Tata Motors HPCL BPCL ICICI Bank

Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH ALBERTDAVD APLLTD

816.45 610.3

-22.35 29.7

-2.74 4.87

ELECTROSL

15.3

0.75

4.9

EQ30

285

-8.8

-3.09

GANGOTRI

3.45

0.15

4.35

129.2

6.45

4.99

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

31.2 3.4 18.95 28.05 4.6

0.6 0 0.8 0.6 0

1.92 0 4.22 2.14 0

IOLCP

Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol

21STCENMGM 3IINFOTECH A2ZINFRA AARVEEDEN ABGSHIP

Indian Indices Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

NIFTY

11369.90

82.40

0.73

SENSEX

37717.96

304.83

0.81

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Special Report 14-Sep-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. ITC [FUTURE ] From the daily chart it is clear that the particular script has shown a clear bounceback from the support level around 297 and now closed below its resistance level of 309 which clearly confirms its downtrend has come to an end it can correct upto the levels of 302 but it would again start its uptrend so we suggest to make a long position around the levels of 302-303 for the targets of 307-311 with stoploss above 300.

2. JUSTDIAL [FUTURE] The particular counter has made a bullish doji candle just above its 200SMA which is a clear sign of reversal. Yesterdsay it had bounded from its support level of 513 and shown a movement of upward by 2 percent from the respective level. Most importantly it has closed with a confirmation bull candle after a goji candle. A long position should be made around 523-525 for the target 535-555 with stoploss below 518.

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] WELCORP [CASH] Respecting the support level of 167.50 the particular counter bounce backed and surged above 3%. In the intraday 170-71 are the levels up to which the prices can come and retest its intraday support so we advice to follow buy dip strategy around the levels of 170-171 for the targets of 175-180 with stoploss below 167.

MACRO NEWS  Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a positive opening for the broader index in India, a gain of 37 points or 0.33 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 11,482level on the Singaporean Exchange.  India’s industrial production growth fell to 6.6 percent in July as compared to a revised 6.9 percent in June, data released by statistics office showed. It had expanded 1 percent in July last year. The June IIP figure has been revised from 7 percent earlier.Industrial production grew on the back of good performance by the manufacturing sector and higher offtake of capital goods and consumer durables. IIP growth for the April-July period was 5.4 percent compared to 1.7 percent in the year ago period.  India’s retail inflation fell to 3.69 percent in August, lowest in ten months, driven by cheaper food items, according to data released by statistics ministry on Wednesday. Retail inflation, measured by Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) had hit a nine month low at 4.17 percent in July and came in at 3.28 percent in August last year.  The Indian rupee, on Wednesday, ended the session at 72.19 per US dollar, much higher than the record low of 72.91 it touched during the day’s trade. The Indian currency had ended at 72.69 on Tuesday. With this, it has posted its biggest single-session rise against the dollar since May 25, according to a CNBC-TV18 report.

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Special Report 14-Sep-2018

STOCKS IN NEWS

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

Optio Strike n Price Type

BANKNIFTY

CE

26,600

NIFTY

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

205

2,88,197

CE

11,400 121.5

2,07,784

NIFTY

CE

11,500

74

1,94,222

RELIANCE

CE

1,300

13.1

8,562

39,97,000

RELIANCE

CE

1,260

27

6,655

18,83,000

RELIANCE

CE

1,280

18.9

6,526

23,76,000

TATAMOTORS CE

280

2.75

6,108

77,28,000

TATAMOTORS CE

270

5.1

6,055

40,14,000

MARUTIACTIVE PUT CE OPTION 9,000 111.5 5,823 MOST

Open Interest

Redington India: Subsidiary ProConnect Supply Chain Solutions increased its shareholding in Rajprotim Supply Chain Solutions from 76 percent to 88 percent.

12,720  Fortis - Shivinder Mohan Singh withdraws NCLT petition against elder brother Malvinder Singh 25,77,900 34,81,500 NIFTY FUTURE

2,83,500

Symbol

Optio Strike n Price Type

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

BANKNIFTY

PE

26,300

0.05

4,36,285

5,77,560

BANKNIFTY

PE

26,900

44

3,11,939

58,880

NIFTY

PE

11,300

76

1,92,097

RELIANCE

PE

1,200

8.6

5,624

RELIANCE

PE

1,220

13.2

4,426

TATASTEEL

PE

580

5.95

4,078

SBIN

PE

280

4.15

3,790

Yesterday trading session the nifty future showed some 29,13,900 downtrend but after 12:30 pm it showed strength and 15,54,000 rebounded from its support level of 11300. Today also we expect that market may move in a side ways trend 12,04,000 and can consolidate around the levels of 11330-350 so 10,09,011 we advice to buy nifty future around 11330-350 for the 31,44,000 targets of 11400-450 with stoploss below 11290.

TATAMOTORS PE

260

6.25

3,445

17,28,000

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY

SELL

No. of Contracts

Amount in Crores

INDEX FUTURES

31449

2943.47

50634

4619.57

INDEX OPTIONS

1486315

152196.32

1478804

STOCK FUTURES

184551

12829.09

STOCK OPTIONS

123835

9274.14

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

303939

25947.97

-1676.0978

151416.41

976293

85596.93

779.9093

189726

13189.59

1183785

87308.46

-360.5019

123970

9262.39

119439

8789.10

11.7509 -1244.9395

INDICES

R2

R1

PIVOT

S1

S2

NIFTY

11463.00

11416.00

11333.00

11286.00

11203.00

BANKNIFTY

27511.00

27159.00

26965.00

26613.00

26419.00

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Special Report 14-Sep-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD OCT FUT ABOVE 30600 TGT 30700 30900 SL BELOW 30500 SELL GOLD OCT FUT BELOW 30350 TGT 30250 30050 SL ABOVE 30450

SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER SEP FUT ABOVE 37300 TGT 37500 37800 SL BELOW 37100 SELL SILVER SEP FUT 36900 TGT 36700 36400 SL ABOVE 37100

COMMODITY ROUNDUP Weak fund buying remained a key factor for Gold. The yellow metal is lingering around $1200 per ounce as persistent trade worries globally are keeping equities under check. However, large scale gains are eluding Gold and the COMEX futures are quoting at $1199 per ounce, up marginally on the day. MCX Gold futures are currently trading at Rs 30631 per 10 grams, down 0.29% on the day. MCX Gold was choppy as the Indian rupee rebounded against the dollar after its recent debacle to all time lows. The domestic currency rose to an intra-day high around 72.20 per dollar. MCX Gold ended flat around Rs 30715 per 10 grams. Meanwhile, large precious metals speculators continued to raise their bearish net positions in the Gold futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. The non-commercial futures contracts of Gold futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -13,497 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday September 4th. This was a weekly fall of -10,434 contracts. The speculative gold position fell for the third time out of the past four weeks. The current position is now at the most bearish level since December 2001. The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -585,826 contracts on the week. This was a weekly fall of -6,982 contracts. Global Crude Oil futures remained well supported despite continued worries over US-China trade escalations weighed on the sentiments. China is reportedly seeking permission from the World Trade Organization (WTO) to impose trade sanctions on the US. The WTI Crude oil futures soared near two month high at the start of the month before easing though good buying has emerged in the counter of late. The commodity is currently trading at $69.84 per barrel, up 1% on the day. MCX Crude oil futures closed at Rs 5042 per barrel, up 2.50% on the day. US economic data remains sound. IHS Markit US Sector PMI data revealed yesterday that the August survey data signalled a pick-up in Industrials output growth, according to the latest US Sector PMI from IHS Markit.Activity increased at a sharp rate that was one of the fastest over the last three- and-a-half years. Industrials also indicated the quickest expansion of the monitored sectors. Oil market is also being supported on US sanctions on Iranian crude exports.

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Special Report 14-Sep-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM OCT FUT ABOVE 9470 TGT 9520 9570 SL BELOW 9420 SELL GUARGUM OCT FUT BELOW 9330 TARGET 9380-9340 SL 9470.

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

Barley Castor Seed Chana Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Guar Seed 10 MT

1691.5 4633 3942 4830 1670 4311

-0.03 0.65 1.78 2.37 -0.42 0.75

Jeera

19605

1.98

4175 3260 6400

0.99 -0.06 0.06

Mustardseed Soy Bean Turmeric

Agricultural statistics agency Conab raised by 300,000 tonnes its projection for the Brazil's 2017/18 soybean crop from August to 119.3 million tonnes, the second-highest output ever, but even with that increase soy end-stocks fell to 434,000 tonnes from 638,000 tonnes last month.

DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA SEP FUT ABOVE 5300 TGT 5350 5400 SL BELOW 5250 SELL DHANIYA SEP FUT BELOW 5220 TARGET 5170-5120 SL 5270

The report was another indication that Brazil would likely run out of soybeans before the new crop starts to reach warehouses around January, which could force Chinese soy processors to buy from the United States despite the 25 percent additional import tariff imposed by China in its trade spat with the Trump administration. As per latest update from United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), China's MY18/19 rapeseed production is forecast at 13.95 MMT, down from the estimated 14.3 MMT in MY17/18. Farmers' low profits and increased labor costs in the rapeseed-producing provinces of the Yangtze River region, including Jiangsu, Anhui, Hunan, and Hubei, contributed to the continued abandonment of rapeseed area. The lower MY18/19 production forecast is based on a planted area of 7 MHa, down from the 7.18 MHa in the previous year. Rapeseed production is generally stable in the southwest provinces, including Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, and Chongqing, where the local consumer preference for non-refined rapeseed oil continues. In most cases, the rapeseed that is produced is for home and neighborhood oil use. Malaysian palm oil saw an increase in stocks and output in August 2018 but registered a drop in exports, according to the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB). Total palm oil stocks rose 12.37 per cent to 2.488 million tonnes from 2.214 million tonnes in July where processed palm oil accounted for 1.223 million tonnes and crude palm oil stocks stood at 1.265 million tonnes. During the month, exports of palm oil fell 8.11 per cent to 1.099 million tonnes while oleochemicals declined 6.98 per cent to 246,588 tonnes.

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Special Report 14-Sep-2018

RBI Reference Rate Currency

Rate Currency

Rate

Rupee- $

72.7549 Yen

64.9800

Euro

84.3244 GBP

94.6211

USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY USDINR ABOVE 73.00 TGT 73.50 74.00 SL BELOW 72.50 SELL USDINR BELOW 72.40 TGT 72.00 71.50 SL ABOVE 72.80

GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR ABOVE 95.00 TGT 95.50 96.00 SL BELOW 94.50 SELL GBPINR BELOW 93.00 TGT 92.50 92.00 SL ABOVE 93.60

The weakness in the rupee persisted on Monday, as the domestic currency fell further to settle at a record low of 72.45 against the US dollar. The Indian unit plunged 71 paise or 0.98 per cent on rising crude prices, strengthening dollar and a widening current account deficit. The rupee hit an intraday low 72.67 on Monday, after it breached below the 72.50 mark for the first time against the US dollar earlier in the day. On Friday, the domestic currency had vaulted by 23 paise on heavy Reserve Bank of India intervention. fter imposing an import tariff on Chinese goods, US president now has an eye on Japan with whom he looks to take trade issues. Asian, as well as the emerging currencies, continued to remain under pressure and rupee is feeling the contagion effect of the same. The rupee took a further hit as a government data showed that India’s CAD widened to $15.8 billion in April-June this year as against $15 billion in the same quarter of 2017-18. The FPIs outflows have also hit the rupee hard. Snapping a two-day winning streak, the BSE benchmark Sensex on Monday clocked its biggest point-wise drop since March 16 on foreign fund outflows, which hit Rs 5,600 crore in the last five sessions. The persistent weakness in the rupee is now starting to show its impact on all asset classes including the equities. The sentiment risk is now the major challenge for stock markets. At this time, investors need to be careful and try to get into export-oriented sectors and zero-debt companies as even Indian bond yields have sharply risen to 4-year highs. The rupee shows no signs of clambering out of the depths, with the unit falling beyond 70 to a dollar for two consecutive days after the Turkish lira late last week signaled pain for the broader Emerging Markets in a precipitous decline symptomatic of its deeper – but likely localized - economic malaise. The rupee touched a new low at 70.40 to a dollar Thursday as traders continued to short-sell the currency over concerns about India’s worsening trade data. The rupee touched a new low at 70.40 to a dollar Thursday as traders continued to short-sell the currency over concerns about India’s worsening trade data. The lira’s temporary revival also failed to buttress the rupee, although its decline favours exporters.

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Special Report 14-Sep-2018

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

12/09/18

NCDEX DHANIYA

SEP

BUY

12/09/18

NCDEX DHANIYA

SEP

12/09/18

NCDEX GUARGUM5

12/09/18

Contract Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

4800

4850 4900

4760

NOT EXECUTED

SELL

4640

4600-4570

4670

NOT EXECUTED

OCT

BUY

9400

9450 9500

9360

TARGET HIT

NCDEX GUARGUM5

OCT

SELL

9330

9380-9340

9470

NOT EXECUTED

12/09/18

MCX GOLD

OCT

BUY

30750

30850 31000

30650

NOT EXECUTED

12/09/18

MCX GOLD

OCT

SELL

30550

30450 30250

30650

SL TRIGGERED

12/09/18

MCX SILVER

SEP

BUY

37700

37900 38100

37500

NOT EXECUTED

12/09/18

MCX SILVER

SEP

SELL

37300

37100 36800

37500

TARGET HIT

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION

Strategy

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

12/09/18

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

11300-290

11220-11120

11360

NOT EXECUTED

12/09/18

TATAGLOBAL

FUTURE

SELL

218-216

210-205

222

NOT EXECUTED

12/09/18

JUSTDIAL

FUTURE

BUY

523

540-560

515

SL TRIGGERED

12/09/18

WELCORP

CASH

SELL

140-139

137-133

143

TARGET HIT

Entry Level

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Special Report 14-Sep-2018

NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET)

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

FORECAST

PREVIOUS

MONDAY, SEPT. 10 12:01 am

Eric Rosengren interview with MarketWatch 11 am

12 pm

Raphael Bostic speaks

3 pm

Consumer credit

July

TUESDAY, SEPT. 11

TUESDAY, SEPT. 11

TUESDAY, SEPT. 11

$10bln TUESDAY, SEPT. 11

TUESDAY, SEPT. 11

TUESDAY, SEPT. 11

6 am 10 am

Job openings

July

6.7 mln

10 am

Wholesale inventories

July

0.1%

2:20 pm WEDNESDAY , SEPT. 12

WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 12

8:30 am

Producer price index

9:40 am

James Bullard speaks

2 pm

Beige book

WEDNESD WEDNESDAY, SEPT. AY, SEPT. 12 12 Aug.

WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 12

WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 12 0.0%

THURSDAY, SEPT. 13 8:30 am

Weekly jobless claims

8:30 am

Consumer price index

9/8 Aug. Disclaimer

-0.2%

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