Research Erhverv Poul Erik Bech
Market UPDATE f a l l
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Contact us: Robert Neble Larsen CEO Tel: +45 33 30 10 54 Mail: rnl@edc.dk Copenhagen: Investment Department: Jørgen Jørgensen Senior Director, HD, MRICS Tel: +45 33 30 10 25 Mail: jjo@edc.dk Leasing Department: Bjarne Bering Regional Director, Chartered Surveyor, MDE, MRICS Tel: +45 33 30 10 20 Mail: bba@edc.dk
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Remarks for our estimates: The valuation of a property depends on various property specific attributes, including, but not limited to, the lease conditions, the tenant’s credit rating and the property’s condition. When valuing a property, the estimates should not be relied upon without seeking qualified, professional advice. However, the estimates can serve as useful input in the valuation process. Any reproduction of data in this report should be credited to EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech. Whilst data and estimates have been rigorously checked, EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech can take no responsibility for any inaccuracy within this report. Estimates and forecasts of rents and yields are as of 1 October 2013. Estimates are subject to change.
YIELDS, MARKET RENTS AND FORECASTS: Location: Yield and market rent estimates covers properties with prime, secondary and tertiary location.
Aarhus:
Facility Class: Location aside, our estimates are based upon a segmentation of property facility classes; facility class A, B and C, where class A is the best facility class. Various variables for each property type have been taken into consideration with regards to determine the facility classes, such as: size, floor plan structure, year of construction, lifts, climate control, cabling infrastructure, staff facilities, customer facilities, parking facilities, building energy rating, ceiling height, general accessibility, general condition of the property, etc. A property with prime location and class A facilities has the best possible location in an area, the highest standard when it comes to facilities, is modern and ready to move into. This type of property will typically be traded at the lowest yield for the area, have the highest market rent and have a short reletting process. Naturally, yield and market rent estimates are subject to certain deviations depending on the exact location and property specific facilities.
Søren Leth Pedersen Regional Director, Partner, MSc. (f), Chartered Surveyor, MDE Tel: +45 58 58 78 76 Mail: slp@edc.dk
Yield definition: All yields are net initial yields and is defined as the annualised rent generated by the property, after the deduction of estimated annual irrecoverable property outgoings, expressed as a percentage of the property valuation (property valuation is adjusted for the value of rental deposits and prepaid rent). For comparison purposes it is assumed that all properties are fully let at market-conform conditions.
International relations: Helle Nielsen Ziersen Partner, KAM, Chartered Surveyor, MDE, MRICS Tel: +45 33 30 10 17 Mail: hni@edc.dk
Aalborg: Frank Jensen Regional Director, Partner, CBA Tel: +45 58 58 75 72 Mail: frje@edc.dk Kolding: Børge S Mensel Director, Chartered Surveyor, MDE Tel: +45 76 33 80 17 Mail: bsm@edc.dk poulerikbech.dk/research
Forecasts Increasing Stable
Market rent estimates: All rents are headline rents, in other words the contracted gross rent receivable which becomes payable after any tenant incentives have expired. Market rent estimates are expressed in € / sq m / year. Figures have been rounded when converting from DKK (Danish Kroner) to €. It is assumed that all properties are let at market-conform conditions. Forecasts: All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months. Residential rental properties: In this report estimates are included for “Newer residential rental properties” and “Older residential rental properties”. In Denmark residential rental levels cannot be determined freely and is subject to far reaching rent control. The major difference between the before mentioned types of residential rental property is that “Older residential rental properties” are regulated by the provisions in the Danish Rent Act (Lejeloven) and the Housing Regulation Act (Boligreguleringsloven) concerning cost driven rental levels. “Newer residential rental properties” taken in to use no earlier than 1 January 1992 are subject to the rules concerning free market rent, pursuant to the Housing Regulation Act § 15 A and others.
DATA FOR VACANT COMMERCIAL SPACE ( VACANCY RATE) Source: Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline-ED Statistics) as of 1 October 2013. For more info we refer to www.oline.dk/info/statistik. The forecasts of the vacancy rates have been made by EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech and reflect our expectations for the development the next 3 to 6 months.
Decreasing
EDC Research - Fall 2013 - page 2
edc Market update
Regions of Denmark and selected market areas
Capital Region of Denmark Region Zealand Aalborg
Southern Denmark Region Central Jutland Region Region North Jutland
Aarhus
Vejle
Kolding
Triangle Area
Fredericia
Copenhagen
EDC Research - Fall 2013 - page 3
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Office Yield in %, yearly market rent in ₏ / sq m and forecast for the next 3-6 months Facility class A Copenhagen
Facility class B
Facility class C
Facility class A
Facility class B
Facility class C
Yearly market rent in ₏ / sq m
Yield in %
Prime
5.00
5.50
6.00
230
175
150
Secondary
5.25
5.75
6.25
175
135
115
Tertiary
6.25
6.75
7.25
145
115
95
Aarhus Prime
5.50
5.75
6.25
185
145
120
Secondary
6.00
6.50
7.25
150
115
95
Tertiary
6.50
7.00
8.00
115
85
75
Aalborg Prime
6.50
7.00
7.50
135
125
105
Secondary
6.75
7.25
7.75
125
110
95
Tertiary
7.25
7.75
8.25
110
95
85
Triangle area Prime
6.50
6.75
7.00
150
105
85
Secondary
6.75
7.25
7.50
125
85
70
Tertiary
8.00
9.00
10.00
60
55
50
Source: EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech. Data as of 1 October 2013. Forecasts: All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months.
Vacant office space in sq m, in % of building stock and forecast for the next 3-6 months Vacancy sq m Central Copenhagen
As % of building stock
Change % QoQ
Change % YoY
538,900
9.3%
0.1%
0.2%
East Jutland (including Aarhus)
414,700
13.8%
0.6%
0.6%
North Jutland Region (Including Aalborg)
129,000
6.7%
0.8%
0.4%
South Jutland (including the Triangle Area)
218,900
9.5%
0.5%
0.2%
Forecast
Source: Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics), data as of 1 October 2013. Changes quarter on quarter and year on year. Forecasts: All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months.
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Vacant office space in sq m, in % of building stock and forecast for the next 3-6 months 16% 414,700 sq m
14% 12% 10%
218,900 sq m
538,900 sq m
8% 129,000 sq m 6% 4% 2% 0% Central Copenhagen
Central Copenhagen
East Jutland East Jutland (including Aarhus)
North Jutland Region
(including Aarhus)
South Jutland
North Jutland Region (including South (Including Aalborg) theJutland Triangle Area) (Including Aalborg) (including the Triangle Area)
Source: Vacancy data from Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics). Data as of 1 October 2013 . Forecasts: EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech. All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months.
Key vacancy figures from Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics) Office
Building stock
Vacancy sq m
As % of building stock
Change in % QoQ
300
9.3%
0.1%
401,400
-7,200
11.0%
-0.2%
167,100
-15,300
10.6%
-1.0%
Central Copenhagen
5,824,100
538,900
Copenhagen area
3,652,400
North Zealand
1,570,500
Bornholm Capital Region of Denmark East Zealand
Change sq m QoQ
114,200
3,700
300
2.8%
0.2%
11,161,100
1,111,000
-22,100
10.0%
-0.2%
672,900
51,300
2,500
7.2%
0.4%
West- and South Zealand
1,549,200
86,600
4,300
5.6%
0.3%
Region Zealand
2,222,000
137,900
6,800
6.2%
0.3%
Funen
1,477,800
154,800
-3,500
10.5%
-0.2%
South Jutland
2,304,300
218,900
10,600
9.5%
0.5%
Southern Denmark Region
3,782,100
373,800
7,100
9.9%
0.2%
East Jutland
3,008,600
414,700
17,900
13.8%
0.6%
West Jutland
1,367,800
80,800
-2,700
5.9%
-0.2%
Central Jutland Region
4,376,400
495,500
15,200
11.3%
0.3%
North Jutland
1,918,000
129,000
15,100
6.7%
0.8%
Region North Jutland
1,918,000
129,000
15,100
6.7%
0.8%
23,459,700
2,247,100
21,900
9.6%
0.1%
Denmark, total
Source: Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics), data as of 1 October 2013. "% of building stock" is the proportion of empty space in sq m relative to the total building stock.
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201
Copenhagen, location segmentation for offices 18
E47
O3
4
3 20
Hellerup Gentofte
Gladsaxe
Tuborg Harbour Soborg
Morkhoj
19
16 O4
Bispebjerg Nordhavn
Husum Utterslev
Outer Osterbro O2
17
Norrebro
23
Amerika Square
Central Osterbro
Vanlose
Rodovre
CPH City
O3
Frederiksberg 156 O2
Valby
Vesterbro
Kalvebod Brygge
Brondbyoster E47
21
Havnefront South
1
Sundbyvester
151 Hvidovre
2
21
Orestad North
Vigerslev
Sydhavn
Kastrup
Avedore
Orestad City
E20
19
22
0
Orestad South
21
E20
17
Taarnby
CPH airport
1 km
Prime locations
Secondary locations
Tertiary locations
1
Yield in % and forecast for the next 3-6 months Location
Facility class A
Facility class B
Facility class C
Prime
5.00
5.50
6.00
Secondary
5.25
5.75
6.25
Tertiary
6.25
6.75
7.25
Yearly market rent in € / sq m and forecast for the next 3-6 months Location Prime
Facility class A 230
Facility class B
Facility class C
175
150
Secondary
175
135
115
Tertiary
145
115
95
•
Trains
•
Metro
The map for office properties in Copenhagen illustrates a location segmentation in prime, secondary and tertiary locations, where the prime area typically has the best locations for office property in Copenhagen. The location segmentation has been made by EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech. The location segmentation can change over time. The segmentation is our perception of general location segmentation and should not be perceived as a definitive segmentation of the best, good and below average locations.
EDC Research - Fall 2013 - page 6
Lisbjerg 15
Kvottrup
Sabro
edc Market update
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Faarup E45
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Geding
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Vejby
Skejby
Aarhus, location segmentation for offices 47 Brendstrup
Risskov
180
Yderup
Tilst
26
True
Lyngby Gellerup
Hasle
O1 Brabrand
195
Aabyhoj
Aarslev Aaby
Aarhus
Aarslev Mark
5
Marselisborg
501
Stavtrup
Ormslev Stationsby Ormslev
abo
170 2
Lemming Viby
1 km
Holme Prime locations
Secondary locations
Tertiary locations
O2
Hasselager
Kolt Bering
Bjostrup
451
•
Trains
•
Metro
Slet
Kattrup
Yield in % and forecast for the next 3-6 months Location
Horning
Jegstrup
Facility class A
Facility class B
Prime
5.50
5.75
Secondary
6.00
6.50
Tertiary
6.50 Overballe
7.00
Facility class C 6.25 Tranbjerg 7.25
8.00
Osterby
Yearly market rent in € / sq m and forecast for the next 3-6 months Location
Facility class A
Facility class B
Facility class C
Prime
185
145
120
Secondary
150
115
95
Tertiary
115
85
75
The map for office properties in Aarhus Skaade illustrates a location segmentation in prime, secondary and tertiary locations, where the prime area typically hasStorhoj the best locations for office property in Aarhus. The location segmentation has been made by EDC Erhverv HorretPoul Erik Bech. The location segmentation can change over time. The segmentation is our perception of a general location segmentation and should not be perceived as a definitive segmentation of the best, good and below average locations.
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Retail Yield in %, yearly market rent in ₏ / sq m and forecast for the next 3-6 months Facility class A Copenhagen
Facility class B
Facility class C
Facility class A
Facility class B
Facility class C
Yearly market rent in ₏ / sq m
Yield in %
Prime
5.00
5.25
5.50
2,280
1,880
1,610
Secondary
5.50
5.75
6.25
470
340
270
Tertiary
6.00
6.50
7.00
150
125
105
Aarhus Prime
5.00
5.25
5.50
740
605
470
Secondary
5.25
5.50
6.00
540
470
340
Tertiary
6.00
6.50
7.00
270
215
165
Aalborg Prime
5.25
5.75
6.25
570
470
340
Secondary
6.25
6.50
7.00
190
155
125
Tertiary
7.00
7.25
7.75
110
95
85
Triangle area Prime
5.75
6.00
6.25
420
325
190
Secondary
6.50
6.75
7.00
230
150
125
Tertiary
7.25
7.75
8.25
110
85
70
Source: EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech. Data as of 1 October 2013. Forecasts: All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months.
Vacant retail space in sq m, in % of building stock and forecast for the next 3-6 months Vacancy sq m Central Copenhagen
As % of building stock
Change % QoQ
Change % YoY
40,100
3.1%
0.0%
-0.2%
East Jutland (including Aarhus)
113,600
5.7%
-0.1%
-1.4%
North Jutland Region (Including Aalborg)
119,400
8.9%
0.2%
1.0%
South Jutland (including the Triangle Area)
149,400
8.9%
0.2%
-1.2%
Forecast
Source: Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics), data as of 1 October 2013. Changes quarter on quarter and year on year. Forecasts: All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months.
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Vacant retail space in sq m, in % of building stock and forecast for the next 3-6 months 10% 119,400 sq m
149,400 sq m
North Jutland Region
South Jutland
9% 8% 7% 113,600 sq m
6% 5% 4% 40,100 sq m 3% 2% 1% 0% Central Copenhagen
Central Copenhagen
East Jutland East Jutland (including Aarhus)
(including Aarhus)
North Jutland Region South Jutland (Including Aalborg) (including the Triangle Area) (Including Aalborg) (including the Triangle Area)
Source: Vacancy data from Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics). Data as of 1 October 2013. Forecasts: EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech. All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months.
Key vacancy figures from Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics) Retail Central Copenhagen Copenhagen area North Zealand Bornholm Capital Region of Denmark East Zealand
Building stock
As % of building stock
Change in % QoQ
1,289,000
Vacancy sq m 40,100
Change sq m QoQ -200
3.1%
0.0%
871,000
40,500
-2,000
4.6%
-0.3%
1,071,600
60,800
7,800
5.7%
0.8%
92,300
2,400
-300
2.6%
-0.3%
3,323,900
143,700
5,300
4.3%
0.1%
424,400
29,400
300
6.9%
0.0%
West- and South Zealand
1,298,300
82,600
-12,100
6.4%
-0.9%
Region Zealand
1,722,700
112,000
-11,800
6.5%
-0.7%
Funen
1,263,800
73,500
1,700
5.8%
0.1%
South Jutland
1,673,800
149,400
4,300
8.9%
0.2%
Southern Denmark Region
2,937,600
223,000
6,100
7.6%
0.2%
East Jutland
1,979,600
113,600
-1,100
5.7%
-0.1%
West Jutland
1,008,200
62,300
-2,000
6.2%
-0.2%
Central Jutland Region
2,987,800
175,900
-3,100
5.9%
-0.1%
North Jutland
1,341,400
119,400
2,700
8.9%
0.2%
Region North Jutland
1,341,400
119,400
2,700
8.9%
0.2%
12,313,300
774,000
-900
6.3%
0.0%
Denmark, total
Source: Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics), data as of 1 October 2013. "% of building stock" is the proportion of empty space in sq m relative to the total building stock.
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Industrial & Logistics Yield in %, yearly market rent in ₏ / sq m and forecast for the next 3-6 months Facility class A Copenhagen
Facility class B
Facility class C
Facility class A
Facility class B
Facility class C
Yearly market rent in ₏ / sq m
Yield in %
Prime
7.00
7.50
7.75
70
60
50
Secondary
7.50
8.00
8.25
60
55
45
Tertiary
7.75
8.50
9.00
50
45
35
Prime
7.50
8.25
9.00
55
45
35
Secondary
8.00
8.50
9.50
45
40
35
Aarhus
Aalborg Prime
7.75
8.00
9.00
45
45
40
Secondary
8.75
9.25
10.25
35
35
30
Prime
7.00
7.50
7.75
50
45
35
Secondary
7.25
7.75
8.25
45
35
35
Triangle area
Source: EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech. Data as of 1 October 2013. Forecasts: All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months.
Vacant industrial & logistics space in sq m, in % of building stock and forecast for the next 3-6 months Vacancy sq m Capital Region of Denmark
As % of building stock
Change % QoQ
Change % YoY
709,400
4.0%
0.0%
-0.3%
East Jutland (including Aarhus)
829,500
5.2%
-0.1%
0.0%
North Jutland Region (Including Aalborg)
299,100
2.2%
0.0%
-0.4%
South Jutland (including the Triangle Area)
829,800
4.3%
-0.1%
0.4%
Forecast
Source: Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics), data as of 1 October 2013. Changes quarter on quarter and year on year. Forecasts: All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months.
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Vacant industrial & logistics space in sq m, in % of building stock and forecast for the next 3-6 months 6% 829,500 sq m 5% 829,800 sq m 709,400 sq m
4%
3% 299,100 sq m 2%
1%
0%
Capital Region of Denmark Capital Region of Denmark
EastJutland Jutland East (includingAarhus) Aarhus) (including
NorthJutland JutlandRegion Region South Jutland Jutland North South (Including Aalborg) Aalborg) (including Triangle (Including (including thethe Triangle Area) Area)
Source: Vacancy data from Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics). Data as of 1 October 2013. Forecasts: EDC Erhverv Poul Erik Bech. All forecasts reflect our expectations for the development over the next 3 to 6 months.
Key vacancy figures from Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics) Industrial & logistics
Building stock
Vacancy sq m
As % of building stock
Change in % QoQ
-13,300
0.5%
-0.2%
476,300
-8,400
6.2%
-0.2%
207,900
15,200
5.0%
0.3%
Central Copenhagen
5,364,000
24,200
Copenhagen area
7,626,700
North Zealand
4,124,900
Bornholm Capital Region of Denmark East Zealand West- and South Zealand Region Zealand Funen
Change sq m QoQ
828,400
1,000
0
0.1%
0.0%
17,944,000
709,400
-6,500
4.0%
0.0%
3,315,700
160,300
12,700
4.8%
0.3%
9,812,600
342,700
22,900
3.5%
0.2%
13,128,300
502,900
35,500
3.8%
0.2%
9,141,400
446,700
2,600
4.9%
0.0%
South Jutland
19,082,900
829,800
-15,200
4.3%
-0.1%
Southern Denmark Region
28,224,300
1,276,500
-12,600
4.5%
-0.1%
East Jutland
15,881,800
829,500
-9,400
5.2%
-0.1%
West Jutland
12,623,000
514,800
-67,000
4.1%
-0.5%
Central Jutland Region
28,504,800
1,344,400
-76,300
4.7%
-0.3%
North Jutland
13,448,600
299,100
-200
2.2%
0.0%
Region North Jutland
13,448,600
299,100
-200
2.2%
0.0%
101,250,000
4,132,200
-60,200
4.1%
0.0%
Denmark, total
Source: Oline ED-Statistikken (Oline ED-statistics), data as of 1 October 2013. "% of building stock" is the proportion of empty space in sq m relative to the total building stock.
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Older residential rental properties
Newer residential rental properties
Yield in %, yearly market rent in € / sq m and forecast for the next 3-6 months Older residential rental properties Facility class A Copenhagen
Facility class B
Facility class C
Newer residential rental properties Facility class A
Yield in %
Facility class B
Yield in %
Facility class A
Facility class B
Yearly market rent in € / sq m
Prime
3.25
3.50
4.25
4.75
5.00
245
205
Secondary
3.75
4.25
5.00
5.00
5.25
215
175
Tertiary
4.50
5.00
6.00
5.25
5.50
190
150
Prime
3.00
3.00
3.00
4.75
4.75
190
165
Secondary
3.50
3.50
3.50
5.00
5.00
165
135
Tertiary
4.50
4.50
4.50
5.25
5.25
150
125
Prime
4.25
5.00
5.50
5.00
5.25
150
130
Secondary
5.00
5.50
5.75
5.50
5.75
130
115
Tertiary
6.50
6.75
7.25
5.75
6.25
115
110
Prime
6.25
6.50
7.25
6.00
6.75
135
125
Secondary
7.00
7.25
8.00
6.75
7.00
110
95
Tertiary
7.50
7.75
8.25
Aarhus
Aalborg
Triangle area
Note: The major difference between the two types of residential property above is that ”Older residential rental properties” are regulated by the provisions in the Danish Rent Act (Lejeloven) and the Housing Regulation Act (Boligreguleringsloven) concerning cost driven rental levels. “Newer residential rental properties” taken in to use no earlier than 1 January 1992 are subject to the rules concerning free market rent, pursuant to the Housing Regulation Act § 15 A and others.
EDC Research - Fall 2013 - page 12
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Hard work, ethics and a solid business sense – were the three pillars on which I founded my company in 1978. These core values are still the same and their legitimacy has been confirmed by good results, solid growth and satisfied clients. Hard work is part of our culture which is deeply rooted throughout the company. Every day our employees do their upmost to provide our clients with knowledge-based advice and first-class service and our phones are open from 7 a.m. to 9. p.m. - 365 days a year. Our ethics mean you can have confidence in us; in our dedication and our business ethics, in our way of working together, and in our transparent processes that provide our clients with security and overview. A solid business sense is your guarantee for a satisfactory and profitable business outcome. Our focus is representing our clients and their interests in the most optimal way possible. The performance of our experienced specialists is continuously assessed with regards to competence, performance and negotiating skills to ensure our clients always have confidence in the quality of our services. Nationwide commercial real estate company – with local knowledge Our commitment to our core values has turned EDC Poul Erik Bech in to a nationwide company with a strong presence in Denmark. Our 14 commercial offices ensure that we have in depth knowledge of the local area and the market as a whole. We continuously work actively and highly focused to have the industry’s most powerful network in order to be up to date with the changing market and our clients’ needs. We look forward to working with you.
Purchases International division
Poul Erik Bech Chairman
Selling of development projects
Developer advisory
Selling
Valuations (RICS)
EDC Property Invest – a complete solution for commercial property
Property & facilities management
Letting services
Sale & Lease Back Advisory
EDC Research - Fall 2013 - page 13
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Why invest in Denmark
Why invest in Danish real estate? • Low transaction costs • High degree of market transparency and stability
The Danish mortgage system
• Low financing rates through Danish mortgage credit
institutions • Solid key economic indicators • AAA credit rating and stable outlook* * S&P as of 1 July, 2013.
Low financing rates • Low origination costs • Low APR compared to the majority of European markets • Highly transparent, stable and liquid mortgage bond
market
Loan
Investment
Repayment. interest and margin
Bonds Repayment and interest
• Flexible loans on conditions close to funding
conditions of capital market players
Borrower
Mortgage institution
Investor
EDC Research - Fall 2013 - page 14
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• Low financing rate: Bond yield plus a small markup
(margin) for the mortgage bank • Debt/value ratio: Financing through the mortgage
Low transaction costs
institutions, normally up to 60% of valuation
As buyer:
• Loan maturity: Min. 1 year (yearly refinancing), max. 20 years
Deed registration: 0.6% of purchase price + € 190
• Payment structure: Floating or fixed rates, with or
without quarterly principal repayments
Mortgage: 1.5% of the mortgage’s principal +€ 190
• Each new loan is in principle funded by the issuance of
new mortgage bonds of equal size and identical cash flow and maturity characteristics, called the Balance Principle. Proceeds from the sale of the bonds are passed on to the borrower and similarly, interest and principal payments are passed directly to investors holding mortgage bonds
Costs for own advisor, lawyer, agent etc. are typically very low As seller: Agent, lawyer etc. varies, but typically between 1 - 4% of purchase price depending on deal size
• The Danish mortgage institutions have existed since
1850 and are considered very strong and very low risk financial instruments
Denmark is known to have some of the lowest roundtrip property transactions costs
• In terms of volume outstanding, Denmark has the
second largest share of the mortgage bond market in Europe • There has never been an incidence of default on a
Danish mortgage bond
High degree of transparency Denmark is among the most transparent markets in Europe and worldwide*. The transparent Danish market provides the investor with a secure and low risk environment for foreign direct investment. Investments in Denmark are conducted in a market which benefits from a highly transparent and stable legal and regulatory framework coupled with a simple transaction process. *In the recent 2012 version of the Jones Lang LaSalle Global Real Estate Transparency Index ®, Denmark was rated a transparent market and is among the top 15 markets worldwide, when it comes to market transparency.
Lease structure • Rent adjustment, normally adjusted yearly with the
rate of inflation or a fixed minimum rate • Rent review every fourth year. Terms are flexible • It is possible to agree on a threshold for the rent. Eg.
Solid key economic indicators 2012
2013
2014
GDP growth (%), YOY Denmark
-0.5
0.7
1.7
EU
-0.3
-0.1
1.4
Unemployment rate (%) Denmark EU
7.5
7.7
7.6
10.5
11.1
11.1
Current account balance (% of GDP) Denmark
5.2
4.5
5.0
EU
0.9
1.6
1.9
Denmark
2.4
1.1
1.6
EU
2.6
1.8
1.7
Inflation (%)
Source: The Economic forecast (Spring 2013) from the European Commission.
the rent cannot drop further than the rent in force at the start of the tenancy • The landlord and the tenant can freely agree on the rent
amount as long as the rent is not unreasonable or contrary to sound business practices • Lease length: There are no statutory restrictions on the
duration of a commercial lease agreement. It is normal to have interminable leases in place
EDC Research - Fall 2013 - page 15
• The leading real estate agency in Denmark in the areas of selling, leasing, valuation and advisory • Founded in 1978, operating nationwide across 14 commercial real estate branches, more than 40 residential real estate branches, and finally 6 residential real estate branches in France and Sweden. • Owner of the property management company LEA Ejendomspartner (LEA Property Partner) • More than 350 employees Our greatest strength is our nationwide presence and local knowledge with more than 65 commercial real estate specialists servicing our clients. We are chartered surveyors, valuers and certified member of RICS. We especially deal with the following types of property: • Investment properties, properties for rent and owner-user properties • Offices, high street retail, industrial & logistics and mixed-use properties • Residential rental properties • Land and development projects • Hotels, restaurants and leisure sector We offer our clients a wide range of services: • Execution of investment transactions of single assets. portfolios and on a company level
• Due diligence
• Letting services
• Property and facilities management
• Valuations (RICS)
• Project development consultancy
• Capital structure advisory
• Sale and Lease Back
• Tenant and landlord representation • EDC Location Search • EDC PropertySWAP® • Research services • Bespoke consultancy and market study services
Office locations: Copenhagen +45 33 30 10 00 • 114@edc.dk
Herlev +45 44 57 03 37 • 278@edc.dk
Naestved Odense Kolding +45 55 78 66 03 • 473@edc.dk +45 66 12 61 27 • 512@edc.dk +45 76 33 80 10 • 603@edc.dk
Koge +45 55 35 55 53 • 469@edc.dk
Hillerod Roskilde +45 48 26 99 10 • 342@edc.dk +45 46 33 33 33 • 403@edc.dk
Aabenraa Sonderborg Esbjerg +45 73 33 13 00 • 620@edc.dk +45 58 58 80 20 • 641@edc.dk +45 76 10 48 00 • 670@edc.dk Aarhus Aalborg +45 87 30 99 30 • 802@edc.dk +45 96 31 49 00 • 912@edc.dk
Chartered surveyors & international property consultants
Read more: poulerikbech.dk/research/english
Vejle +45 75 83 13 11 • 710@edc.dk