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2016

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Moose Jaw, Community SNAPSHOT ALASKA (USA) Yukon

Nunavut

Northwest Territories

Labrador

British Columbia

Alberta

Manitoba

Ontario

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Newfoundland

Prince Edward Island New Nova Scotia Brunswick

Moose Jaw

Moose Jaw, truly a city as unique as its name, is located in the heartland of the prairies, nestled in the picturesque valley carved out by Moose Jaw River and Thunder Creek. Halfway between Calgary and Winnipeg on the Trans-Canada Highway and less than an hour from Regina, Moose Jaw is at the agricultural heartland of Saskatchewan. Highways and rail connect Moose Jaw to major North American markets with the city acting as the western anchor to the Moose Jaw-Regina Industrial Corridor.

Quick FACTS

ABOUT

UNITED STATES

Our City

MOOSE JAW POPULATION 36,804 TRADING AREA 60,000 SASKATCHEWAN POPULATION 1,338,879 INDUSTRIAL CORRIDOR Moose Jaw is the western anchor to the Moose JawRegina Industrial Corridor KEY ECONOMIC SECTORS Potash Mining, Agriculture, Ag Value-added Processing, Transportation (Trucking and Rail), Oil and Gas Refinery, Tourism, and Healthcare POTASH RESOURCE Vast reserves of high quality potash - two solution mines are located near Moose Jaw AGRICULTURE SERVICE CENTRE Fertile grain growing area – processing, distribution and service centre 2 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

TRANSPORTATION AND UTILITY HUB Two national railways; CP’s Soo rail line to Chicago; Trans-Canada Highway; major power transmission lines, natural gas and water pipelines LIVESTOCK Largest distribution centre for livestock in Saskatchewan 15 WING CFB CAE’s operates the NATO Flying Training Program in Canada 2015 BUILDING PERMITS $53,255,742 (290 permits) 2015 SINGLE FAMILY HOUSE STARTS 53 (average $316/dwelling excludes land) 2014 81 ($286,000) RETAIL SALES $753 million 35% above the Canadian average (2014)

MUNICIPAL COMMERCIAL LAND FOR SALE Grayson Business Park $120,000 $230,000 per acre MUNICIPAL INDUSTRIAL LAND FOR SALE Moose Jaw Industrial Park large serviced parcels for sale with potential for rail spur services INVESTMENT INCENTIVES Five-Year Property Tax Phase-In: Commercial/ Industrial investment DEVELOPMENT FEE COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIAL $50 fee plus 0.40 per $1,000; Building Permit Fee $5.00 per $1,000 COMMERCIAL RETAIL LEASE RATES Downtown Retail $12-$18/PSF; New/ prime Office/Retail $20-$23/ PSF INDUSTRIAL LEASE RATES $5.75 (older) - $12/PSF (newer)

2015 LABOUR FORCE 20,787 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Moose Jaw/Swift Current 1.3% 2015 MINIMUM WAGE $10.50/hour MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME $58,111 2015 MLS HOME PRICE INDEX $225,300 2015 RENTAL VACANCY RATE (FALL) 3.4% Average Rent (2Bdrm) $806/month ACREAGE OF CITY 24,176 acres: Zoned Commercial 1,726 acres; zoned Industrial 3,598 acres MUNICIPAL AIRPORT: Runway length 2,952 feet AVERAGE DAILY TEMPERATURE (July) +19.4°C; (January): -13.7°C ANNUAL SUNSHINE HOURS 2,338 TIME ZONE Central Standard (CST) year round


What's Inside Moose Jaw, Community Snapshot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 2016 Provincial Economic Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 2016 Moose Jaw Economic Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Moose Jaw’s Competitive Advantage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Sector Overview: Mining and Heavy Industrial . . . . . . . . . . .9 Agriculture in the Heartland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 AG-Value Added . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Manufacturing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Transportation & Warehousing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Wholesale & Retail Trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Commercial Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Industrial Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Health Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Education Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Tourism & Hospitality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Construction Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Housing Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Socio-Demographic Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Local Workforce Attraction & Retention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 3


2016 Provincial Economic Outlook CANADA When the world’s largest economies start to falter, the rest of the world feels the impact. China is experiencing an economic slowdown, weak currency and stock markets are down 20 per cent from their 2014 highs. U.S. economic growth in 2015 was downgraded to 2.1 per cent with a similar outlook in the coming year. Canada’s economy grew 1.2 per cent in 2015, and the Conference Board of Canada recently downgraded its growth forecast to 1.7 per cent for 2016. The nation will continue to struggle into 2016 with low-to-no growth. Increasing global production and expanding inventories are expected to keep oil prices below $50 per barrel until at least the end of 2017. Oil is setting 11-year lows at US$33 per barrel WTI. 2018 is the next year prices are forecast to recover enough to allow oil and gas companies to once again make a profit. The prolonged downturn is expected to seep into other sectors, such as retail and real estate. “The consumer is still one of the major parts of the economy,” says the Conference Board of Canada. As layoffs have progressed, the down turn is now spreading to other parts of the economy which is affecting consumer confidence. And with confidence hit, this is having a larger impact on the economy in 2016. Canadian companies participating in a Bank of Canada outlook survey reported that they are anticipating “significant challenges” in 2016 tied to commodity and energy-price plunges. Companies predicted the weaker 2016 outlook to affect their investment in equipment and machinery with many planning to curb spending. Meanwhile Canada’s loonie has sunk to lows just above 70 cents, a level not seen since 2002. The business survey, however, said exporters remained optimistic their sales will benefit from strengthening foreign demand in 2016, amid widespread expectations of growth in the U.S. economy. Some firms believe the lower dollar will boost foreign sales and tourism-related business. At the same time, the cheaper loonie hikes up the costs of products and service that companies import from outside Canada. Despite this, Canada’s manufacturing sector has failed to pick up the slack in the economy left by the slumping resource sector. 4 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

SASKATCHEWAN Between 2010 and 2013, the province had averaged 4.4 per cent real GDP growth (a 5.8 per cent gain in 2013), setting records in population growth, jobs created, manufacturing sales and wholesale trade. Battered by low oil prices the provincial economy shrunk by 1.1 per cent in 2015, the first year of negative growth in the province since 2009. The province faces significant headwinds due to weak oil prices. The oil and gas sector accounts for roughly 15-20 per cent of the province’s real GDP with direct royalties accounting for 13 per cent of government revenues. The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting oil prices will recover to US$55 in 2016 and $65 in 2017. According to the Conference Board of Canada, Saskatchewan is not looking forward to a great year. Although the province has led the nation in economic growth per capita since 2004, it is a very different world for the next few years compared to the last decade. According to the University of Saskatchewan School of Public Policy, job and revenue losses in the resource sector have already begun affecting people in unrelated fields and are expected to accelerate, leading to greater declines in housing and retail. Commodity prices, like potash, remain stubbornly low, while economic indicators , like housing starts, home sales, manufacturing shipments, retail sales, job growth, remain flat or in negative territory. After experiencing a tough last year, Conference Board of Canada says Saskatchewan’s economy will experience a small recovery in 2016. Saskatchewan performed on a platform with $20 billion of capital investment annually which took a major nosedive in 2015 due to slumping oil patch. Several major potash projects plus $6 billion in public infrastructure are expected to help the economy grow by 2 per cent in 2016, and 2.2 per cent in 2017, largely on the strength of the public- sector infrastructure spending. Projects under construction include the $1.88 billion Regina by-pass, a 188 bed hospital in North Battleford and 18 new schools. A surplus of labour and expertise and lower costs mean infrastructure investment is a viable way to boost the provinces GDP. Also, the Central Bank intends to keep the key lending rate at 0.5 per cent for some time.


Major public and private infrastructure investment will help Saskatchewan claw its way out of a recession. The federal government announced it will fast-track $300 million in spending for infrastructure in Saskatchewan through the New Building Canada Plan with another $700 million going to Alberta. The Canadian Federation of Independent Business says levels of small business optimism hit a six year low in 2015, falling to 52.7 in November and down from 58.3 in October and well below the national average index of 58.7. Alberta’s index is the lowest in the country at 37.4. (Index levels normally range between 65-70 when the economy is growing at its potential and owners expect their businesses to be stronger in the next year.) Nationally, the index dropped to its lowest level since the recession of 2009 due to weak energy prices, cracks in the real estate market and a low Canadian dollar.

2016 Moose Jaw Economic Outlook Saskatchewan and Moose Jaw have experienced sustained growth in virtually every category: GDP, population, building permits, housing starts, investment and job formation. If all of these fundamentals for growth continue to exist then the local economy should continue to grow, just maybe not at the same pace as a few years ago. In the past several years Moose Jaw has been part of the economic win-fall that has changed the face of Saskatchewan. The local economy is inextricably linked to Saskatchewan’s resource economy and depends on the health of the mining and agricultural sectors. Fortunately Moose Jaw’s economy does not rely on the oil and gas sector and is lucky to have avoided the kinds of cutbacks being experienced everywhere else in the province. Moose Jaw’s economy continues to perform fairly well because it is located near vast reserves of high quality potash and the city is located in the heart of some of the most fertile agricultural lands on the planet.

Future growth is tied to attracting more ag-value added processing for export globally. These are the types of processing plants that will help diversify the local economy and create hundreds of jobs providing economic spin-off to the entire community. The City’s new industrial park will be fully serviced and provide rail access to the CP mainline. Rail access is attractive to ag-exporters and makes Moose Jaw’s industrial park one of the more unique available in Western Canada. The local economy is expected to be stable in 2016 thanks to many of its world class companies operating in the Moose Jaw Regina Industrial Corridor, such as Mosaic Potash, Yara, Terra Grains and K+S Potash – providing the foundation for continued investment. MOOSE JAW CHAMBER OF COMMERCE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK SURVEY None of the local businesses surveyed in mid-2015 expects a decrease in revenue, job losses, or wage reductions, demonstrating that most local businesses remain fairly optimistic despite apprehension over the sharp drop in the price of oil.

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 5


Dr. F. H. Wigmore Regional Hospital, Moose Jaw.

Moose Jaw's Competitive Advantage MOOSE JAW BEST PLACE TO DO BUSINESS Moose Jaw serves as the western anchor to the Moose Jaw-Regina Industrial Corridor, one of the largest economic regions in the province. The Corridor accounts for 20 per cent of Saskatchewan’s GDP and 24 per cent of its population. Intensified cropping and livestock production in the area are attracting ag-processing related development. Seed processing plants have recently opened and are taking advantage of pulse crops grown in the area. Moose Jaw is a major agricultural equipment supplier and service centre supporting a strong and growing agricultural sector. Findlater

Silton 354

641

20

Buena Vista

99 54

354

322

Craven

South Lake

642

11

Sun Valley

322

Disley

42

MOOSE JAW INVESTMENT TAX INCENTIVES • COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL TAX PHASE-IN The City of Moose Jaw provides a five year property tax phase-in to new builds or expansions. The exemption is applied to the increased assessed value resulting from construction, as follows: 100% Year 1; 80 % Year 2; 60% Year 3; 40% Year 2; and 20% Year 5. • JOB CREATION Incentive in eligible sectors can receive a five-year property tax phase-in (sliding scale based on the number of jobs created). For example, a company creating more than 60 new jobs in manufacturing or processing, transportation/ warehousing distribution or communications and research sectors can receive a five-year 100% property tax exemption(excluding land).

642

Tuxford

734

202

641 301

730

1 735

Moose Jaw is growth-focused with aggressive tax policies to attract investment capital:

Regina

Grand Coulee

Belle Plaine Pense Moose Jaw

1

301

VAST RESERVES OF POTASH The world wants more potash and the Moose Jaw area large reserves of high quality potash. Potash projects need a proven deposit, political stability in the area and solid infrastructure.

363 339

Drinkwater

39

Rouleau 2

AGRICULTURE The area showcases some of most productive lands on the planet, helping drive the local economy.

714

Briercrest

718

339

Wilcox

36 715

715

6 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

334

• Other property tax incentives are available for Heritage, Re-Use of an Existing Building; Living over Shops (downtown only); Replacement Housing/ Vacant Lot In-fill Incentive; and the Grayson Business Park Environmental Phase I.

334

334

334

Milestone


TRUCKING DISTRIBUTION CENTRE Major all weather highways provide a fast and safe way of transporting freight with three-day trucking service to Montreal, Toronto, and the eastern seaboard, and two-day service to Vancouver and Chicago, with overnight service to Edmonton, Winnipeg, Calgary, and Minneapolis. Saskatchewan follows the central time zone year round.

MUNICIPAL LAND FOR SALE • New MOOSE JAW INDUSTRIAL PARK Large parcels (30 acres up to 100 acres) of city-owned land are “for sale”. The industrial park is located on the southeast outskirts of the city, near the lagoons. The Greenfield Industrial Park will be serviced with sewer, water, and provide future rail access to the CP mainline. The new park has access to power and natural gas, and the City can customize services to manage waste water treatment. • GRAYSON BUSINESS PARK Serviced, commerciallyzoned lots are pre-priced ready for sale. Lots range in size from 0.5 acre to 1.6 acres, complete with sewer and water, storm sewer, fire hydrants, natural gas, power, and curbs with heavy haul asphalt streets. The price of lots ranges from $120,000 to $230,000 per acre plus development levies.

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10

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#18

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#6

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12

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CHESTER ROAD

6 3

18

RIDDELL LANE 8

1

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13

#3 1

MCKENZIE LANE

18

SKILLED AND EDUCATED WORKFORCE Moose Jaw has a higher percentage of people (47.8%) who have post secondary certificates, diplomas or degrees compared to the province (46.5%). The city has more people with apprenticeship or trades certificates and college certificates than the province but a lower percentage (10.25%) with bachelor degrees and above bachelor degrees compared to the province (15.17%).

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RAIL TERMINAL OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE Moose Jaw has two national railways. Proximity to the United States makes the Moose Jaw vital to both the Canadian Pacific Rail (CPR) and Canadian National (CN): Moose Jaw is Saskatchewan headquarters for the CPR and its railway terminus of the Soo Line, a direct link to Minneapolis and Chicago. CPR has its largest mainline refueling facility in Moose Jaw and trains run 24/7 (between 30 and 38 trains each day).

Saskatchewan Polytechnic Moose Jaw Campus is a technical and trade college training skilled workers for the local and provincial labour markets. Moose Jaw Palliser Campus graduates are highly trained in the areas of Engineering Technologies, Building Trades, and Business Administration. Other programs such as Food Services, Adult Basic Education and English as a Second Language are also offered. NATO FLYING TRAINING (NFTC) Canadian Forces Base 15 Wing Moose Jaw is home to the NATO Flying Training in Canada (NFTC). CAE, a simulation-training-system company, provides flight simulation training and the Air Force trains high-quality pilots on behalf of the NATO Alliance representing dozens of countries from around the world. CAE took over Bombardier’s 20 year contract (worth $2.85 billion) and is now the prime contractor responsible for the NFTC program which involves base facilities, delivering ground-school classroom and simulator training, and support of live flying training. THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 7


ortlach

Mossbank

Marquis Tuxford

Buffalo Pound Provincial Park

Rural Municipality of Moose Jaw

Caronport

1

Rural Municipality of Pense

Belle Plaine

Pense

Moose Jaw

1

MOOS

-R E JAW

Regina

Grand Coulee

EGINA

CORRI

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Rural Municipality of Sherwood

Drinkwater

Rouleau Briercrest

Avonlea

Industrial Corridor (K+S Potash Mine is located north of Buffalo Pound Provincial Park).

MOOSE JAW REGINA INDUSTRIAL CORRIDOR Most industrial investment has taken place in the Corridor within the rural municipalities nearest the villages of Belle Plaine and Bethune. International heavy industrial giants have the capacity to locate anywhere in the world but are attracted to the Corridor by its many assets, including rail and highway infrastructure, major pipelines delivering natural gas and oil, wide open spaces distanced from urban population, a sustainable supply of water, and proximity to a large workforce. Plentiful reserves of high quality potash, low cost natural gas and grain crops (for ethanol production) are reasons these companies exist here. POWER, NATURAL GAS and inFINET SERVICES The Crown Investment Corporation (CIC) oversees key utilities, including SaskPower, SaskTel, SaskEnergy and SaskWater. Moose Jaw is Saskatchewan’s first city with fibre optics with all homes hooked up to infiNet network and business-grade infiNet services – Static IP and Business Connect – to business customers in Moose Jaw’s downtown core offering speeds up to 260 Mbps.

ENTREPRENEURIAL COMMUNITY IN SASKATCHEWAN According to the Federation of Independent Business in 2015 Moose Jaw dropped from Top 10 to a ranking of 89th out of 121 Canadian cities rates in their annual report. Prince Albert was the only city in Saskatchewan to rank lower than Moose Jaw. CFIB uses 14 indicators in presence, perspective and policy for a score out of 100 and Moose Jaw received a score of only 52.7, compared to a high of 62.1 in 2009. Swift Current and Lloydminster received the highest scores within the province, ranked in the Top 10 after receiving scores of 69.4 out of a possible 100. One factor affecting the City’s score is the fact that there were only 174 new business starts in 2015, compared to 216 and 276, respectively in 2014 and 2013. 2015’s average 14.5 business starts per month is the slowest pace in 7 years and well behind record-breaking pace set in 2013 averaging 23 per month. The disappointing change in pace reflects business having less confidence in the local economy. Much of the volatility reflected in businesses closing is predominantly in the home and transient business category.

YEAR

NUMBER ISSUED

AVERAGE NEW BUSINESSES PER MONTH

2008

172

14.3

2009

200

16.7

2010

181

15.1

2011

214 (159 closed)

17.8

2012

185 (53 closed)

16.8

2013

276 (69 closed)

23

2014

216 (189 closed)

18.0

2015

174 (205 closed)

14.5

City of Moose Jaw – Business Licences

MOOSE JAW AREA HEAVY INDUSTRIAL PLANTS – WORKFORCE EMPLOYEES(F/T Permanent) + Contract Workers

FORECAST (2017-2020)

2013

2005

260 + 400 contractors = 660

260 + Est. 400 contractors = 660

346

Yara Belle Plaine Inc.

152*

152

140

Terra Grains

52

52

-

Alpine Plant Foods

10

10

-

Canadian Salt

45

45

45

325 + 300 contractors = 625

67 +400 contractors = 467

-

Mosaic Potash

K+S Potash Canada FNA’s Proposed $1.7B new nitrogen fertilizer plant

170

-

-

Total

1,714

1386 (919 at Belle Plaine )

539

8 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE


Sector Overview MINING AND HEAVY INDUSTRIAL POTASH Saskatchewan has the largest high-grade reserves of potash in the world. Potash was Canada’s leading mineral by value of mineral production and Saskatchewan accounts for more than 90 per cent of Canadian potash production from eight conventional and two solution mines.

K+S will bypass Canpotex, the export company owned by Potash Corp., Agrium and Mosaic Company, and instead ship Legacy Project potash through a Port Moody, BC terminal the company is building in conjunction with Pacific Coast Terminals Co. Ltd.

Although the outlook for potash production is expected to rise, the industry is still struggling with weak prices. The entire industry is dealing with soft potash prices due to weak demand from China and India. Potash prices, which peaked at more than $900 per tonnes in 2008, are around $300 per tonne as producers grapple with increased capacity and floundering commodity prices. Forecasters predict that lower prices will have a lingering effect. Although there have been short-term challenges, global population growth means the demand for food will rise in the long term. Longer term potash production is expected to rebound as the industry continues to expand capacity to meet farmer demand as lower priced potash becomes more robust. Demand for agricultural commodities will only increase because millions of people around the globe will keep on eating. The prospect of changes to Saskatchewan potash tax and royalty structure create concern for the potash industry, as Saskatchewan has the highest royalty regime anywhere by comparison. Concerns are especially acute given the dip in global demand for potash. K+S POTASH CANADA LEGACY MINE Construction of Saskatchewan’s first greenfield potash mine in four decades is cause for celebration. Building of the $4.25 billion solution potash mine site is expected to be operational by fall of 2016. Annual production is expected to be 2 million tonnes by 2017, ramping up to 2.86 million tonnes by 2023 and four million tonnes by 2034. The mine is located 58 kilometers north of Moose Jaw, near the village of Bethune. K+S Potash Canada Legacy Mine’s parent company is K+S Group of Kassel, Germany, Europe’s leading potash company and the fifth largest potash producer in the world. The company says it is committed to the Canadian Legacy Project as an important corporate strategy for global competitiveness. General contractor AMEC is building the mine and at times has as many as 2,000 workers on site. The mine’s work camp is located near the mine and houses the majority of workers. Once the mine becomes operational there will be supply chain opportunities for local companies, and local housing demand is expected to increase.

K+S Potash Canada – Legacy Mine Breaking Ground Ceremony, June 19th, 2012.

K+S is one of Saskatchewan’s top employers. The company has started to fill operational jobs in the areas of trades and technologies, administration, management, and general labourers. Trade opportunities include industrial mechanics, instrumentation mechanics, electricians, pipefitters, welders, and power engineers. Production positions will be of interest to those with Grade 12 education and previous industrial experience. K+S will eventually employ approximately 325 operational workers on site. Since Moose Jaw is the closest urban centre to the mine, it is hoped that more than half of the mine’s permanent employees will choose to live in Moose Jaw. MOSAIC BELLE PLAINE The company’s Belle Plaine solution mine east of Moose Jaw has approximately 300 employees; roughly 60 per cent live in Moose Jaw. Mosaic’s operational capacity has increased from 9.3 to 10.7 million tonnes per year in the year-over-year comparison, although Mosaic President and CEO Jim Prokopanko said “these strong potash sales volumes were more than offset by lower realized prices”.

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 9


CANADIAN SALT COMPANY LTD. The parent company is K+S operating the Belle Plaine plant, one of the largest producers of commercial and industrial salt in the North America. The company is primarily focused on the production of agriculture salt in the form of salt blocks for livestock, food grade salt, industrial salt for de-icing roads, and salt for water softeners. The Windsor Salt name is the company brand name for salt product sold in Canada.

TERRA GRAIN FUELS The ethanol plant opened in 2008 at a cost of $150M and operates 24 hours a day, seven days a week. The ethanol plant was recently purchased by Conexus (Credit Union), Concentra Financial and Farm Credit Canada from Just Energy. It uses leading edge technologies, including world-class quality control on all of the bio-fuel products produced. The plant has been working at “over 100 per cent capacity” employing 45 workers. Terra Grain Fuels purchases approximately 15 million bushels of wheat from farmers within a radius of 160 kilometers of the plant every year. The plant produces 150 million litres of ethanol and 160,000 tonnes of dried distiller’s grain annually. In the past the plant has been challenged by high feedstock costs and lower ethanol prices.

Yara Belle Plaine Inc.

YARA INTERNATIONAL The largest producer of granular urea in North America, this Norwegian-based company owns and operates a world-scale nitrogen production facility supporting the world’s ever-rising demand for food. The Belle Plaine plant has two main operating units, the urea plant and the ammonia plant producing 700 tonnes of UAN a day (nitric acid is a key component of this liquid fertilizer). Yara also produces roughly 1.1 million tonnes of urea per annum. On Hold The Company’s 2012 plans for a $2 billion expansion were postponed due to the high cost of construction. Should that project proceed it would add approximately 100 new high quality permanent jobs to its current 130-person workforce. ALPINE PLANT FOODS Alpine Plant Foods is the Canadian leader in seed placed liquid fertilizer with manufacturing facilities located near Belle Plaine. Alpine has established itself as the leader in the liquid fertilizer business in Canada. The company has significant investment in research and development, new technology and uses a leading manufacturing process.

MOOSE JAW REFINERY Gibson Energy operates its local plant and markets a variety of petroleum derived products including several grades of road asphalt and is currently a leading supplier of roofing flux. Gibson Energy purchased the plant in 2002, and at that time it produced between 8,000-9,000 barrels per day and was operational for only five months. Today it operates year-round producing 18,500 barrels a day over 340 days. PROPOSED: TRANSCANADA ENERGY EAST PIPELINE Discussions continue on a $12B project called Energy East Pipeline Project to carry 1.1 million barrels per day of western crude from Alberta and Saskatchewan to refineries in Eastern Canada. The project is expected to go before the National Energy Board in early 2016 for approval and construction expected to start in 2017. A $600 million upland pipeline would link North Dakota to the Energy East pipeline. The company is still working through a multi-regulatory process seeking approval to convert existing natural gas pipeline to crude oil service and to construct new facilities. The project will create 14,000 direct and indirect full time jobs across Canada during development and construction. The pipeline is planned to be operational by 2020. TransCanada is one of the continent’s largest providers of gas storage and is developing one of North America’s largest liquid delivery systems.

Alpine Plant Foods.

10 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

PROPOSED: ENBRIDGE LINE 3 REPLACEMENT PIPELINE Public hearings are underway to build a 1,073 kilometers of new pipeline to replace the majority of Line 3 crude oil pipeline, and to decommission the majority of the existing Line 3 from Hardisty, Alberta to Gretna, Manitoba. The project will run northwest through Regina with potential for some spin-offs to the Moose Jaw area during construction.


Agriculture in the Heartland 2016 AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK Conference Board of Canada says agricultural production is forecast to recover well above $3.5 billion in 2016 and 2017. According to Farm Credit Corporation forecasts that the low interest rates and the weak dollar will continue to contribute to favourable economic conditions for farming operations, agri-businesses and food processors in 2016. The price of commodities grown in Canada relies on what happens in other parts of the world, such as weather systems that disrupt or increase supplies of agricultural commodities. Demand is putting greater focus on Canada as a major supplier. Over 60 million acres of farmland in Saskatchewan represent 40 per cent of total farmlands in Canada. Agriculture is big business in Saskatchewan and accounts for over 1/3 of Saskatchewan’s total exports.

SASKATCHEWAN GROWS (APPROXIMATELY): Saskatchewan grows •

99% of Canada’s chickpeas

95% of Canada’s lentils (61% of the world supply)

86% of Canada’s durum (34% of the world supply)

74% of Canada’s flax seed (55% of the world supply)

72% of Canada’s mustard seed (41% of the world supply)

65% of Canada’s dry peas (57% of the world supply)

53% of Canada’s canola (2015) (34% of the world supply)

Pea field

Canola

Chickpeas

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 11


Saskatchewan’s 2015 total crop production will be close to average, at around 29 million tones. This compares to 30 million tonnes in 2014 and the record breaking 38.4 million tonnes recorded in 2013. In 2015 Saskatchewan farmers reported wheat seeding of 13 million acres making up 53.9% of the 24 million acres of wheat grown in all of Canada. In 2015, wheat production, including durum, declined by 7.9 per cent (to 13 million tonnes). Likewise 10.5 million acres of canola was sewn representing 53% of the 19.8 million acres grown nationally. In 2015, canola production increased by 10.4 per cent (to 8.8 million tonnes); Manitoba grew 2.9 million tonnes of canola in 2015, while Alberta grew 5.5 million tonnes). Moose Jaw’s agricultural base is an engine of growth and sustained economic activity. Local growers are producing both good quality and quantity crops given the 110 frostfree growing days and annual rainfall of 12 inches per year. This area is known for its high quality milling wheat, durum, canola and pulse crops. Moose Jaw region produces approximately 1.76 million tonnes of durum (39.9% of provincial production); 536,000 tonnes of lentils (36.2% of provincial production); 230,000 tonnes of flaxseed (32.5% of provincial production); and 45,000 tonnes of chickpeas (79.2% of the provincial production). The Moose Jaw area is a dominant player in the world trade of pulse crops, such as peas, lentils and beans. Countries like India consume about 18 million metric tonnes per year of pulses yet produce only about 14 million tonnes. Canada is the world’s top canola producer, one of the world’s biggest wheat growers and the world’s biggest exporter of lentils to India (where vegetarians eat legumes at almost every meal). Production of canola skyrocketed over the past 50 years, and at one point its value eclipsed that of grain grown in the province. Oilseedbased products include food products like margarine, shortenings, cooking oil, salad dressing, mayonnaise and dessert toppings. Nationally oat production increased 15.1 per cent in 2015 to 3.4 million tonnes averaging 85.3 bushels per acre. Canada is the largest exporter of oats with 90 per cent of oats going to the U.S. The Prairie Oat Growers Association says the future of oats is bright and will provide new opportunities. Saskatchewan is the world’s largest exporter of canary seed with about 300,000 acres seeded in 2015. According to Statistics Canada, Saskatchewan farmers grew almost the country’s entire canary seed crop, producing 148,600 tonnes, up from 124,900 tonnes a year earlier. The seed’s price is about 25 cents a pound, lower than returns for other crops such as lentils and mustard. Health Canada and U.S. Food and Drug Administration have approved canary seed for use in human food as a nutritious, highprotein, gluten-free grain. But it will take a while for food manufacturers to develop their ingredients lists and figure 12 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

out uses but in time a significant amount will go into the food industry. FARMLAND CREATING WEALTH Farmers are well positioned after several years of near record incomes. Strong farm receipts over the past five years have lead to increased investment in Canadian Agriculture and higher farmland values. The good news is Canada’s net farm income has kept paced with farm debt and reflects a strong and vibrant agricultural industry. Demand continued to be strong in areas where large producers were looking to expand as the number of younger farmers continued to grow. FCC’s report shows that farmland values have been rising in the province since 2002. According to Statistics Canada the average wealth of a farmer in Saskatchewan is $1.737 million. Farm wealth jumped by 57 per cent in five years ending 2013 reflecting higher land prices.

AG-VALUE ADDED WORLD TRADE AGREEMENTS - AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS Canada has signed on to the ambitious Trans-Pacific Partnership, a massive 12 country trade deal that will open new markets. The agreement will increase Canadian exports in a wide variety of products and services, including beef, pork, canola, wines, spirits and seafood. The deal will substantially lower or eliminate tariffs on Canadian beef, pork and other agricultural products going to the lucrative Japanese market. As well the anticipated Canada-Europe Comprehensive Economic Trade Agreement calls for duty-free access to the European Union for 50,000 tonnes of beef products and 81,000 tonnes of pork. In March 2014 the federal government announced a free-trade deal between Canada and South Korea, which is good for Saskatchewan thanks to the elimination of heavy duties against agricultural products. Duties on all crops will be lifted over the next five years, while the duties on beef and pork will take 12 to 15 years to be completely eliminated. Premier Brad Wall expects exports to South Korea to increase from its current level of $50 million, to $225 million.

AgroCorp International


CANADIAN MANUFACTURING 10 YEAR INCENTIVE – provides manufacturers with a ten-year tax incentive to boost productivityenhancing investment by providing an accelerated capital cost allowance (CCA) at a rate of 50 per cent on a declining-balance basis for machinery and equipment used in manufacturing and processing. This is a substantially faster write-off than the standard 30 per cent rate, allowing businesses to defer taxes and recover the cost of their capital investments more rapidly. The measure will apply to capital assets acquired after 2015 and before 2026. New investments will help position them to meet both present and future economic challenges, while creating jobs and growth. The ten-year term will provide businesses with more planning certainty for larger, long-term projects. SASK MANUFACTURING AND PROCESSING TAX INCENTIVE The Province has introduced two new non-refundable tax credits to eligible manufacturing and processing corporations. To be eligible the company must: i. Expand the number of M&P full-time employees above the number employed in 2014. The incentive offers tax credits of $3,000 in respect to each incremental full-time employee for each of the 2015 through 2019 taxation years, and/or ii. Expand the number of full-time employees who primarily conduct activities typically considered “head office” functions, such as strategic planning, marketing, legal, finance, IT, HR, procurement, and communications. This portion of the incentive offers $10,000 in respect to each incremental full-time “head office” employee for each of the 2015 through 2019 taxation years. To qualify the company must have a minimum of 10 employees with a payroll over $1 million and demonstrate a 20 per cent increase over the 2014 base level of employment. PULSES Plant Protein Demand is growing for the high-protein legumes known as pulses for which Moose Jaw has become known. Plant protein is now added to breakfast cereals and other snacks as health conscious consumers seek products with no gluten or genetically modified ingredients. Pulses can be processed into fibre, flour starch and protein concentrates. Many of the major food companies, such as General Mills Inc., Frito-Lay Inc., Kraft Foods Group Inc., and Unilever Plc., have launched new products that contain pulses. The demand for protein-packed products using pulses is being added to everything from Triscuits to Cheerios. This trend will continue to increase processing and export of locally grown dried peas, lentils and beans.

Thirty-five years ago Saskatchewan farmers knew little about pulses let alone how to grow them. But the advantages of growing lentils were hard to ignore and this new thinking started an agricultural revolution in Saskatchewan. In 1981, Saskatchewan farmers grew about 85,000 acres of lentils. Within a decade this number has grown to 450,000 acres and today it is 3.8 million acres in pulses. Pulses’ unique properties make them a valuable replacement for summer fallow, traditionally a vital part of prairie crop rotation. By seeding lentils into wheat stubble, producers replenish diminished nutrients fixing nitrogen back into the soil. As well the different class of crop helps break disease cycles. In the future we can expect to hear a lot more about peas, chickpeas and fava beans. Consumers seek products with no gluten or genetically modified ingredients. Stockpiles in Canada, the world’s largest exporter of legumes, are down by half from a year earlier. At the same time shipments to India, our top buyer, are at an all time high after a drought reduced their domestic output. Vegetarians across India are getting sticker shock for legumes that they eat at almost every meal. Countries like India consume about 18 million metric tonnes of pulses per year yet only produce only about 14 million tonnes annually. Saskatchewan is a major exporter to India. El Niño is expected to reduce chickpea production which is expected to create a strong demand for Canadian pulse crops in 2016. SEED PROCESSING PLANTS New and expanding ag-value added seed processing plants are helping prime the local economy. Greg Simpson, President and CEO of Simpson Seeds Inc. said, “The future is bright for agriculture. The world population has exploded to over 7,064,504,958 and all of these people need food.”

Plant-based proteins are more than just a fringe trend, says one Vancouver based analyst with demand being driven by millennials (people born between 1980 and 2000) as 50 per cent spend more for products that are GMO-free, says Bloomberg Intelligence. General Mills • Simpson Seeds is a major pulse rebranding of Cheerios as non-genetically modified sent a message processing plant in Moose Jaw exporting that this was a ‘more natural and healthy product’. globally and is one of Canada’s Best Managed Companies. The company 2016 International Year of the Pulses (as proclaimed by United processes and exports specialty crops Nations) Demand is growing for high-protein pulses, a major type of and selected seeds buying from farmers crop grown around the world, including lentils, peas, chickpeas, and throughout Saskatchewan. some types of beans. These are protein-rich crops that are especially popular in India and the Middle East, where eating meat is either unaffordable or religiously forbidden where lentils are the protein of choice.

Viterra Grain Terminal, formerly the Canadian government grain elevator, is one of Viterra’s largest facilities with

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 13


Simpson Seeds Inc.

licensed storage capacity of 157,000 metric tonnes and service capacity of 112 rail cars. This facility is ranked as one of the top four in Western Canada thanks to expansion and upgrades to help meet customer needs. • AgroCorp International AgroCorp International is a trading powerhouse in the Asia-Pacific region handling 1.5 million tonnes of grains shipped to India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri-Lanka, Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, China and the Middle East. The company does about $250 million of its $2 billion trade in Canada. Agrocorp is a commodity trading company with a footprint across the globe and head office in Singapore. The company has expanded its $10M processing plant in Moose Jaw by 150% since opening in 2013. The plant processes pulse crops for export. •

CWB State of the Art High Through Put Grain Elevator PASQUA (located 10 kilometers east of Moose Jaw).This is a 42,000 metric tonnes of storage facility with 134 car loop track and cleaning facilities scheduled to open in 2016 creating approximately 30 jobs. The new facility is in a prime location in the middle of a high production land. The company has the ability to ship grain east, west and south and is expected to intensify grain handling competition in the market.

Proposed: Farmers of North America’s Genesis Fertilizer Distribution Super Centre BELLE PLAINE $22M NFA hopes to start construction summer 2016. The company met its first major milestone raising $15.3M from farmer investors. If successful they plan to open spring 2017; they expect to generate $18.3 million in net earnings by year 5 based on margins of $50 per tonne. This is a 50,000 tonne facility to provide area farmers with nitrogen, phosphorus, sulphur, potash micronutrients and various liquid blends. The facility will be able to load eight Super-B trucks per hour. “The urea bin alone is 20,000 tonnes”, says Terry Drabiuk, VP of Business Development with AgraCity Crop & Nutrition, the commercial arm of FNA, “and service a 300 kilometers radius (LP Jan 2016). 14 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

The company’s long term goal is to build a nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing facility ($2.2 B) on the same Belle Plaine site. This project would create 1900 construction jobs and 170 positions to operate the plant. This location has access to natural gas, power supply, water supply and infrastructure – roads and rail.

ILTA’s Processing-Plant for Specialty Crops (est. $20M) The company is building a new processing plant located at Belle Plaine site with plans to open in 2016. The project includes a $5M rail spur.

City of Moose Jaw’s Greenfield Industrial (Rail) Park The City of Moose Jaw is attracting the attention of global companies interested in building ag and other types of processing and distribution facilities within its new industrial park located in the southeast quadrant of the city. The City is looking for buyers who want serviced, heavy industrial park land needing access to water, sewer, waste water treatment, power, gas, road and rail infrastructure. The City has over 300 acres for sale with the possibility of a future rail spur providing access to CP’s mainline.

Viterra

LIVESTOCK PROCESSING Saskatchewan accommodates 6 million hectares of pasture land, home to 30% of the cowherd in Canada. Saskatchewan’s cattle herd is the second largest in the country at 2.715 million head (July 2015). Farm Credit Corporation predicts the livestock industry will see mixed results in 2016. Moose Jaw remains an important beef production area in the province, having weathered some difficult years. Cattle prices are expected to retreat, resulting in tighter profit margins for feed-lots. Cow-calf operations are


expected to remain profitable with producers facing tighter margins than previous years. Heartland Livestock and JGL Livestock are examples of two companies who have put Moose Jaw on the map, buying, selling and finishing cattle. Existing beef feedlots and finishing facilities provide economic spin-offs to the region. Unfortunately, a United States policy has cut into Canadian beef producer’s bottom lines COOL (Country of Origin Labeling) laws requires that all packaged meat identify where the animal was born, raised and slaughtered. The World Trade Organization ruled against the US saying that COOL’s segregating and tracking requirements is costing the industry over a billion dollars a year, and violates free-trade agreements. The federal government has threatened to implement retaliatory tariffs if the US does not comply. The U.S. Senate is now under pressure to comply thanks to support from over 250 U.S. companies who are expressing their concern over the possible $1 billion in tariffs on a wide range of products if this requirement for labeling by country of origin is not eliminated. The province’s hog industry is thriving with over $228 million annually in revenues. Hog operation profits are projected to stay in line with the five-year average, benefiting from a strong pork demand from China. Saskatchewan markets 8 per cent of all hogs in Canada, around 2.1 million hogs every year, but still has one of the lowest concentrations of pigs per square mile of arable farmland in the world at 16.6. This compares to Alberta at 41.3 hogs per square mile, Manitoba at 142.7 while Iowa records 457.3 hogs per square mile. Moose Jaw’s Thunder Creek Pork Plant, owned by Donald’s Fine Foods, opened in 2011 and is processing provincial hogs for export. It is the only hog packing plant in the province, processing up to 6,000 hogs a week. The company is a major employer with approximately 200 workers creating significant economic spin-off to the city and province. Although the XL Beef processing plant has remained closed for several years, local stakeholders hope to see it re-open one day.

Labour shortages in the slaughtering and processing sector are especially hard hit by the changes, have been exacerbated following the federal government 2015 cap on the number of new foreign workers that companies can hire at 10 per cent in 2016. The industry says that it wants to hire Canadians to fill jobs but unfortunately according to the Canadian Meat Councils, “if the there aren’t Canadians wanting to do the job, then we wish to bring in people who want to immigrate to Canada and be Canadian citizens”. The industry says “we don’t want temporary foreign workers, we want permanent workers.” LOCAL FARMERS MARKETS Farmer’s Markets across Canada are seeing significant increases in sales, and the future looks bright as their economic impact exceeds $5 billion nationally. Even with higher price points, the farmers’ market movement is making inroads. Farmers markets are generating economic growth for local economies and giving consumers localization of foods, organic foods and that agrarian connection that they desire. And consumers are willing to pay more. During the summer, the Moose Jaw Farmers’ Markets attracts a steady stream of visitors to its downtown.

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 15


Manufacturing – a broad -based decline. As well 2015 manufacturing According to one Ottawa-based economic forecaster, employment is down 11 per cent during the first eight manufacturing will show steady growth in 2015-16. The months compared to the same period in 2014. Even the Conference Board of Canada is forecasting moderate low Canadian dollar hasn’t helped manufacturers much. growth over the next two years. 2014 was a record year for manufacturers recording sales of $16.5 billion. Locally, this sector includes a diverse production of Saskatchewan’s manufacturing sector is dominated by goods, such as: farm equipment, transportation equipment, businesses working in the natural resources sector and petroleum products, glass beads for industrial use, agricultural industries. Unfortunately this sector hasn’t asphalt and concrete batch plants, gravel pits, clothing, picked up the slack left by plunging oil prices because jewelry, etc. this inextricably link to the resource sector. According OIL REFINERY Moose Jaw Refinery is a petroleum to Statistics Canada, Saskatchewan’s manufacturing processing plant that produces products for asphalt road sales fell $20 million to $1.16 billion in September 2015. Despite significant movement to diversify, Saskatchewan’s construction and roofing flux for asphalt shingle industry, along with other products used in the oil and gas sector. manufacturing base remains heavily tied to three external factors: price of oil, the price of potash and the strength of EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING The equipment the agricultural markets. manufacturing sector, including agricultural equipment, is growing rapidly thanks to the quality of Canadian Sask Trends Monitor says manufacturing sales, both products. Moose Jaw is proud of local companies such durable and non durable, have been slipping for most of as Doepker Industries (industrial trailers) and Haukaas 2015, with year-to-date sales down 10.2 per cent in the Manufacturing (agricultural equipment). first seven months. Fabricated metal products are down 26 per cent, machinery manufacturing sales are down 27 per cent and other durable goods are down 15 per cent

Transportation & Warehousing RAIL Moose Jaw is the hub of two national railways: Canadian Pacific Railway and the Canadian National Railway and terminus of Soo-Line, a direct link to Minneapolis and Chicago. Moose Jaw is the largest main-line refueling facility on CPR’s North American Network. Moose Jaw serves on the north-south traffic route for Corridor’s giant Global Transportation Hub which feeds materials east and west, and to and from the United States. TRUCKING Moose Jaw has experienced significant growth in its trucking sector as a prime distribution hub. Moose Jaw is located halfway between Calgary and Winnipeg on the Trans-Canada Highway. Highway #39 connects Moose Jaw to major U.S. markets. The city is home to several large trucking firms shipping products across North America. Some local carrier companies include: Roberge Transport Inc., Favel Transportation Inc., Rockport Carrier Co. Ltd, Norcan Industries Ltd., and Gibson International Carriers. Companies like DD Truck & Trailer Repair, Golden West Trailers & Equipment, Southern Semi-Services, 18 Wheel Car Wash, Roberge Truck Wash, Super ‘B’ Truck and RV Wash Ltd service the local trucking industry. Recent regulatory changes in Saskatchewan bring the province in line with other provinces allowing longer

16 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

trucks. These changes were brought about by the New West Partnership agreement. Longer double truck trailers are allowed on Saskatchewan highways, and this change also reduces the red tape for carriers. Changes to the vehicle weights and dimensions regulations include increasing the length of the B-train double trailer truck combinations from 26 to 27.5 meters. As maximum truck weight will increase to 63,500 kg up from 62,500 kg. Other changes include increasing the length of aerodynamic devices attached to trucks to improve fuel efficiency. These changes will lower costs and allow for more efficient movement of products across provincial border making Saskatchewan exporter more competitive.


Wholesale and Retail Trade WHOLESALE TRADE Given the current economic uncertainties around resources, it is encouraging that wholesale trade is hitting record levels in the province. During the first 10 months of 2015, Saskatchewan recorded a 1.9 per cent year over year increase to $2.35 billion. Agricultural supplies were up 16.4 per cent year over year, while machinery and equipment was down eight per cent and building material were down 14 per cent. Nationally wholesale trade fell 0.6 per cent to $54.7 billion. RETAIL TRADE Household disposable income, consumer spending and retail sales are expected to bounce back from negative or no-growth in 2015, to positive growth in 2016 and 2017, according to the Conference Board of Canada. The Retail Council of Canada forecasts “impossible cost pressures” as a result of a weak loonie that could squeeze profit margins. A declining Canadian dollar is making imported goods more expensive. Retailers buy much of their inventory overseas or south of the border in US currency. Income gains, soft inflation, and low interest rates will sustain household consumption. In 2015 Saskatchewan was a laggard on the consumer spending front. According to Statistics Canada, retail sales grew in every province except Saskatchewan and Alberta between November 2014 and November 2015. Retail sales in Saskatchewan in November 2015 were 1.0 per cent lower than in the same month in 2014, the only province other than Alberta to experience a year over year drop. This compares to 3.2 per cent increase nationally for the same period. Sales at Saskatchewan’s clothing stores fell by 2 per cent; grocery stores fell by 5.6 per cent; service stations fell by 20 per cent (reflecting lower prices at the pumps) while furniture and home furnishings was up by 5.7 per cent,

and home building centre/garden supplies were up by 13.8 per cent reflecting a mild winter making it easier to work outside. Liquor stores sales were also up by 4.3 per cent. The number of vehicle sales is a good economic indicator: Slower sales in 2015 are part of a trend towards lower consumer spending. New motor vehicle sales in the first ten months of 2015 total 47,304 down 4.9 per cent from the same period in 2014 (LP December 2015). Sask Trends Monitor predicts new vehicle sales will be around 56,000 units in 2015. In Saskatchewan vehicle sales were close to 58,000 in 2014 down slightly from the record of 59,137 new vehicles sold in 2013. This compares to 56,517 sold in 2012 and 51,078 in 2011. Five years ago, only 45,000 vehicles were sold and in 1994 only 36,000 vehicles were sold. Even though Saskatchewan’s vehicle sales are down in 2015, it follows a multiple years of strong increases. Moose Jaw’s retail sales have continued to trend upward albeit at a slightly slower pace in recent years. A recent report by Manifold Data Mining estimates the 2014 Retail Sales for Moose Jaw were higher than the national average, and positive compared to the province. Moose Jaw is 35.11 percent above the Canadian average while Saskatchewan is forecast to be 6.44 per cent below. Moose Jaw’s retail sales per capita are $47,926 compared to Saskatchewan at $37,138. Revitalization of the Downtown during the 1990’s as a popular and well-known tourist destination has helped increase local retail trade. Moose Jaw is a major rural service centre serving a trading area of approximately 60,000 people - a growing trade area population that is becoming less and less rural.

Historic Downtown Moose Jaw. THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 17


RETAIL SALES 2014

Saskatchewan

Moose Jaw (CY)

Swift Current (CY)

Percent Above/Below Canadian Average

-6.44

35.11

57.33

Retail Sales Estimate ($B)

$ 16

$ 1

$ 0

Percentage of Canadian Total

2.90

0.14

0.07

Retail Sales per Household

$ 37,138

$ 47,926

$ 56,877

Retail Sales per Capita

$ 14,713

$ 21,246

$ 24,741

Number of Establishments

7,646

271

138

2 Year Retail Sales Projection ($B)

$ 17

$ 1

$ 0

5 Year Retail Sales Projection ($B)

$ 20

$ 1

$ 0

2 Year per Capita Retail Sales Projection

$ 15,160

$ 21,746

$ 26,165

5 Year per Capita Retail Sales Projection

$ 16,667

$ 23,020

$ 29,140

Market Rating Index

94

135

157

Total Sales($M)

$ 16,166

$ 753

$ 409

Percent of National Sales

3

0

$ 0

01. Supermarket and Groceries ($M)

$ 2,180

$ 64

$ 16

02. All other Food ($M)

$ 177

$ 9

$ 0

03. Women’s Clothing ($M)

$ 323

$ 10

$ 0

04. Men’s Clothing ($M)

$ 184

$ 8

$ 10

05. Other Clothing ($M)

$ 87

$ 4

$ 1

06. Shoes ($M)

$ 62

$ 4

$ 0

07. Motor Vehicles and Recreational Vehicles ($M)

$ 3,739

$ 177

$ 80

08. Gas Service Stations ($M)

$ 2,295

$ 90

$ 116

09. Auto Parts Accessories and Service ($M)

$ 888

$ 49

$ 34

10. Household Furniture and Appliances ($M)

$ 244

$ 7

$ 4

11. Household Furnishings ($M)

$ 203

$ 6

$ 6

12. Other Durable Goods ($M)

$ 1,444

$ 32

$ 18

13. Other Semi-Durable Goods ($M)

$ 339

$ 12

$ 7

14. General Merchandise ($M)

$ 2,370

$ 219

$ 72

15. Drugs and Patent Medicine ($M)

$ 893

$ 32

$ 23

16. All other Retail ($M)

$ 738

$ 31

$ 20

•Source Manifold Data Mining Inc. 18 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE


Commercial Development SASKATCHEWAN COMMERCIAL MARKET OUTLOOK According to Colliers International’s 2015 second quarter report on Saskatchewan, office space will remain a challenge throughout the coming year. In Regina completion of Harvard Developments’ $60M Agriculture Place will shift existing Class B+ tenants into Class A office space. Class A quality office space is at a premium with less than 5 percent vacancy rate and commanding $30-$40 per square foot, while Class B+ and B have vacancy rates ranging from 12.6 to 15.6 per cent. Class B space lease rates range from $22-$25, but it is now a tenant’s market so expect both price reductions and incentives to attract tenants.

Concept only and is subject to change.

AVAILABLE OFFICE AND/OR RETAIL COMMERCIAL SPACE Thatcher Drive is a major traffic thoroughfare serving a growing commercial district… and home to several large multinationals and box stores, such as Walmart, Superstore, Staples, Peavey Mart, and Mark’s Work Warehouse. Commercial developments include Harvard Developments’ “Thatcher Crossing” and Century West’s strip mall. The former Sobey’s grocery store (6,000 square feet) will reopen as a Rona Store. Main Street Construction of the $27 million Civic Centre Plaza on Main Street in 2016 will add 70,000 square feet of leased retail and commercial space to the city’s inventory. The former Zeller’s store (estimated 15,000 square feet) in the Town N’ Country Mall is currently vacant with plans to reopen as Save-on-Foods Store in 2017. The restoration of historic Ross School located east of the Town N’ Country Mall offers 34,416 square feet of prime office space and is available for lease. A new bulk refueling station will be Prince Albert

Swift Current

built on the site of the former Liquidation World in 2015. Moose Jaw is on the list of smaller communities slated to receive private liquor stores, with plans not expected to proceed until after the 2016 election, if at all. According to ICR’s 2015 Small Market Report, economic forecasts for the province are based on normal weather conditions and typical agricultural production. The rebound will be tempered by continued declines in the energy sector. Moose Jaw’s commercial vacancy rate is no longer the highest in the province, dropping to 5.1 per cent from 6.94 per cent recorded in 2014, and 6.73% in 2013. This reflects the uptake of existing vacant properties by new commercial enterprises a positive trend that will continue to improve. Moose Jaw currently has a significant inventory of premium office space available thanks to the stunning

2015 ICR Secondary Market Report

Moose Jaw

2015F Population

36,409 44,988 17,990 31,377 13,513 11,916 19,194 16,747

Annual Projected Growth (20142024)

0.48% 0.85% 1.19% 2.66% 1.61% 1.19% 0.75% 1.07%

Average Household Income

$

Estimated Retail Inventory SF

1,000,000 1,200,000 500,000 2,000,000 340,000 285,000 690,000 575,000

Lloydminster

93,497 $ 95,476 $ 102,738 $

Estevan

Weyburn

Yorkton

142,185 $ 139,795 $ 102,738 $

North Battleford

97,164 $

91,791

2015 Vacancy Rate 5.10% 5.38% 4.46% 3.51% 5.56% 5.55% 6.82% 5.38% Trading Area Population

60,000 150,000 55,000 160,000 50,000 30,000 150,000 62,000

2014 Retail Trade Sales (last available data)

$

2014 Retail Trade per Capita

$ 23,028 $ 19,308 $ 22,962 $

753M $

858M $

406M $

1,058M $

366M N/A $

59,984 $ 27,907 - $

595M $

538M

31,253 $ 32,369

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 19


restoration of historic Ross School with 34,416 square feet for lease. Like Regina, Moose Jaw will feel upward influence on commercial vacancy rates as the provincial economy retracts. MOOSE JAW COMMERCIAL RETAIL LEASE RATES Commercial lease rates vary considerably based on the property’s location, age and size of the space. Lease rates for new properties located along the busier streets (i.e. Main Street, Thatcher Drive) are in the $20-25 per square foot range.

MOOSE JAW’S MAJOR COMMERCIAL ZONES

Stock photo provided by Pond5

MAIN STREET NORTH The Town N’ Country Shopping Mall has a variety of chains and small merchants under one roof, with Sears its anchor store. The Town N’ Country Mall hopes to add another anchor tenant coming to replace the vacant Zeller’s space. Canada Tire and the new $27 million Civic Centre Plaza are the other two anchors. DOWNTOWN Thanks to its historical buildings and the multiplex Moose Jaw’s downtown has attracted a strong tourist trade as the perfect setting for unique boutiques, coffee cafes and restaurants. The downtown area has enjoyed more than a decade of low vacancy rates especially along Main Street. Storefront retail lease rates ranging from $12 to $18 per square foot triple net. THATCHER DRIVE This major traffic thoroughfare serves a growing commercial district… and is home to several large multi-nationals and box stores, including Walmart, Superstore, Staples, Mark’s Work Warehouse, and many others housed in various commercial developments, including Harvard Developments “Thatcher Crossing”, Century West’s strip mall, Rona and Village Ford Lincoln. GRAYSON BUSINESS PARK Grayson Business Park has the largest inventory of serviced commercially-zoned properties (C-3) for sale. The City of Moose Jaw has several of 0.5 to 1.6 acre parcels for sale, ranging in price from $120,000 to $160,000. These lots are build-ready with sewer, water, storm sewer, fire hydrants, natural gas, power, and curbs with heavy haul asphalt streets. As an incentive, the City provides the purchaser with an Environmental Phase 1 and Commercial 5-year Property Tax Phase In (excludes land). Note: Land in the Global

20 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

Transportation Hub (GTH) sells for about $196,000/acre and Regina’s Carson Business Park sells for $295,000 to $395,000 per acre. The cities of Swift Current (Munro Industrial Park), Yorkton and Weyburn are selling fully serviced land for $100,000, $125,000 and $114,000 per acre, respectively. NORTH SERVICE ROAD Moose Jaw Ford is the newest anchor to this highway commercial area; this areas showcases a number of full service gas stations, truck stops, refueling stations, hotels and warehousing. 9TH AVENUE This is a major traffic route connecting the north end of the city to the south with the 9th Avenue Bridge to DND 15 Wing. A wide range of small commercial businesses dots the entire length of 9th Avenue including: Mac’s, 7-11, gas stations, hairdressers, doctors’ office, restaurants, repair shop, etc. In 2016 the City’s third Tim Horton’s will open at south of the 9th Avenue Bridge.


Industrial Development INDUSTRIAL MARKET OUTLOOK According to Colliers International’s third quarter industrial report, vacancy rates are on the rise for 2016. As the downturn in the oil and gas and potash markets takes effect, Colliers expects the industrial market to continue to soften. In Regina area, the Global Transportation Hub is experiencing substantial vacancies with an estimated 550,000 square feet of vacant space. Landlords of older properties and new properties without outside storage space are at a significant disadvantage. Median leasing rates in Regina remain at $12 per square foot, the same as six months ago, but there may be reductions in 2016, as landlords become more competitive to attract tenants. Even so, Colliers says the Regina market fundamentals are still very strong and its vacancy rate is still low relative to the rest of the country.

New MOOSE JAW INDUSTRIAL PARK This industrial park is situated next to a national railway and the TransCanada Highway ideal for export east, west and south. The City of Moose Jaw is looking to attract a cluster of industrial processing plants willing to cost share infrastructure, including: sewer and water, roads, rail, gas and power utilities. The new industrial park will serve as a major processing and distribution hub using both rail and truck transportation. The industrial park is located in the southeast quadrant of the city, near the waste water treatment plant, lagoons, and effluent irrigation. This is the type of infrastructure attractive to wet processing industrial plants. FOR SALE Moose Jaw’s Industrial Park is selling serviced industrial parcels ranging in size from 30 to 100+ acres. The rail spur with future access to the CP mainline makes Moose Jaw’s new industrial park one of the more unique ones in Western Canada.

Health Services Moose Jaw serves as a regional health care centre with a new hospital, rehabilitation centre and long term care facilities. Five outpatient clinics provide residents with easy access to over 40 physicians and surgeons. The new Crescent View Clinic takes pressure off the emergency room by treating minor health issues and is operated by nurse practitioners. F.H. WIGMORE REGIONAL HOSPITAL The new hospital is located adjacent the Trans-Canada Highway on Diefenbaker Drive. This is the first large hospital in Canada using lean design and the only one of its kind in Saskatchewan. Note: the old hospital will be torn down and the land will be sold off for development. The three-story, 72-bed facility features four operating rooms, two procedure rooms and a MRI. The $3.3M Philips Ingenia 1.5T MRI is one of seven in the province, and the first in the Five Hills Region. Surgery, day surgery, observation and the lab are located on the main floor. Mental health and addictions, ICU and medicine are found on the second floor. Women’s services and surgical beds are located on the third floor. Saskatchewan’s hyperbaric (decompression) chamber is also located in the new hospital. Separate public parking lots located close to the building allow those seeking outpatient services, such as dialysis, to park closer to where they need to go inside. A helicopter pad is close by to allow emergency air access. The new hospital utilizes the “lean” principle in its layout and design, wherein medical staff and services are pooled

around the patient to help eliminate waste in hospital processes. Complimentary services are located close to one another. A special corridor will be used for ‘staff only’ to better facilitate their movement from one area to the next. The public and patients are segregated to one area and staff and supplies are segregated to an area behind the scenes. The result is better and more efficient patient care. Moose Jaw is the newest provincial site for the University of Saskatchewan’s College of Medicine’s Residency Training Program. Currently there are 120 post-graduate doctoral positions in the province. CLOSURE OF VALLEY VIEW CENTRE Valley View Centre has been home to people with intellectual disabilities generating $1.8M in payroll every month. The Centre stopped admitting new residents in 2002 due to deteriorating conditions of the facility. The Province of Saskatchewan announced that it has opted to shut down the facility instead of spending $37M in upgrades to keep it open. The date of closing has been delayed from March 2016 to March 2018 to allow more time to transition care of its roughly 184 residents into the group home service delivery model. Several group homes have been constructed or renovated around the city. Transition of employees (estimated 200 full-time and 300 part-time) into other local jobs will be a priority. The closure will affect resident care workers, housekeeping and food service occupations.

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 21


Education Services ACCESS TO WORKFORCE TRAINING Moose Jaw’s Polytechnic Palliser Campus is a technical and trades college. Polytechnic schools are a step higher than technical institutes. This designation allows the school to expand its programming and has eased the process of transferring between polytechnic institutes. The four Polytechnic campuses in the province have an annual economic impact of approximately $393 million on the economy. Palliser Campus employs about 300 people. Saskatchewan Polytechnic aligns and adjusts programs to meet employers’ current and future needs. This is a winning strategy for employers and students alike. Saskatchewan Polytechnic has a student enrolment (full load equivalent) of 13,502 at its fours campuses, including Moose Jaw with 2,868 students with just under 900 graduates annually. Moose Jaw Palliser Campus graduates are highly trained in the areas of Engineering Technologies, Building Trades, and Business Administration. Other programs such as Food Services, Adult Basic Education and English as a Second Language are also offered. The school offers a bachelor’s program and students can transition into University of Regina degree programs from Palliser Campus, receiving full credit for courses taken. Palliser Campus has the advantage of being the only campus in the province to offer co-op education work experience programs. The Cooperative Education program, in which business and technology students gain on-the job training at area businesses and industries, is highly successful. In addition to its traditional education role and importance as a major institutional employer, Polytechnic serves the business community through special education and research initiatives.

15 Wing is home to the Snowbirds, an icon of national pride and the Canadian Forces demonstration team.

NATO FLYING TRAINING (NFTC) Canadian Forces Base 15 Wing Moose Jaw is home to the NATO Flying Training in Canada (NFTC). CAE has expanded its offering into support for live flying training of future military pilots. CAE, a simulation-training-system company, provides flight simulation training. CAE and the Air Force train high-quality pilots from dozens of countries from around the world. In late 2015, CAE finalized an agreement to acquire Bombardier’s Military Aviation Training division for around $19.8 million. CAE is now the prime contractor responsible for the NFTC program which involves base facilities, delivering groundschool classroom and simulator training, and support of live flying training. The NFTC program, which CAE operates in partnership with the Government of Canada, is run out of Moose Jaw and Cold Lake (Alberta) employing 190 and 26 staff respectively. 22 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE


Tourism and Hospitality

TOURISM Saskatchewan’s tourism industry generates over $2.12 billion annually in economic spin-off. The province records about 12.5 million visits per year; 80 per cent of tourism dollars come from Saskatchewan residents. Moose Jaw boasts one of the highest numbers of tourist attractions per capita in Canada. Tourism contributes over $90 million a year to the local economy, and according Census information Moose Jaw had more overnight, destination and longer stays from points of origin outside Saskatchewan than comparable size cities in the rest of the province. In June 2015, Tourism Moose Jaw’s Executive Director reported 4,043 tourists visited the Tourist Centre compared to only 2,800 in June 2014, noting an increase in the number of Americans. 28,000 visitors stopped at the Tourist Information Centre in 2013, representing an increase of 15% over numbers recorded in 2012. According to one estimate, in 2012 about 649,000 people visited Moose Jaw spending an estimated $88 million (the latest figures available). Several hotels have opened or expanded in the past few years increasing the supply of new hotel rooms substantially, increasing local hotel vacancy rates. With the downturn in the provincial economy local hotels may be further impacted as construction project are delayed or cancelled. Local downtown shops depend on a strong tourist trade, and not surprisingly are often the first to feel the downturn in the economy. On a positive note, Moose Jaw’s tourism sector is expected to increase this summer as the low value of the dollar helps attract more American tourists north. The city is already a well-known tourist destination, and tourists see Moose Jaw as a very safe and relaxing place to vacation.

HERITAGE TOURISM Moose Jaw certainly recognizes the value of maintaining and restoring historic buildings and creating unique experiences for tourists. In a bold act of imagination, the city rejuvenated its downtown economy by tapping into the value of heritage buildings and its rich history. Preservation of the city’s heritage and cultural assets provides a backdrop for many arts and culture attractions, including the Mae Wilson Performing Arts Theatre, Conexus Cultural Centre, Temple Gardens Mineral Spa, Casino Moose Jaw, the Tunnels of Moose Jaw, Yvette Moore Gallery, Moose Jaw Trolley Car Tours, Burrowing Owls, Sukanen Ship Pioneer Village & Museum, Library and Art Museum, and Western Development Museum, etc. MOSAIC® PLACE AND YARACENTRE the $61M downtown hockey, curling sports complex and field house has attracted major sporting events, festivals and conventions to the city. By the time Mosaic® Place turns five in August 2016, the facility will have hosted around 50 major concerts and ticketed events. Three more events are planned before spring 2016. The city hosted the Scotties Tournament of Hearts in 2015, after successfully hosting the Capital One Canada Cup of Curling, Telus Cup and Junos. Mosaic® Place has also attracted top performances from the likes of Carrie Underwood, John Fogerty, Alan Jackson, Brad Paisley, Great Big Sea, Imagination Movers, Juno Fest, Backstreet Boys, ZZ Top, Chicago, Avenged Sevenfold, Mötley Crüe, Marilyn Manson, Blue Rodeo, Doobie Brothers and Larry the Cable Guy. Events happen on top of regular programming such as Western Hockey League, curling and Lil’ Chicago Roller Derby. No wonder this facility records over 650,000 turns annually.

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 23


SPA CAPITAL OF SASKATCHEWAN Temple Gardens Mineral Spa is named one of the ‘Top 100 Spas in North America’ placing 45th and included in the ‘Top 10 Getaways in Canada’. Moose Jaw - the spa capital of Saskatchewan – has several other popular spas operating within the city. HOTELS Moose Jaw’s newest downtown tourist attraction - the historic Grant Hall Inn – has been transformed into a stunningly elegant boutique hotel with over 20 rooms, finedining restaurant, lounge, retail area and spa. The new Best Western Hotel, with 88 rooms including 36 kitchenette units, opened in December 2012 at 350 Diefenbaker Drive. The new Ramada Hotel at 379 Diefenbaker Drive opened in the fall of 2014. An extended stay hotel, now under construction, will open in 2016. The Comfort Inn Hotel also completed a major hotel expansion and Temple Gardens Mineral Spa (179 room downtown property) is undergoing major renovations.

Moose Jaw Cultural Centre & Mae Wilson Theatre.

DINING & SHOPPING The downtown area showcases plenty of one-of-a-kind shopping and dining experiences found throughout its many boutiques and cafés offering a personalized brand of customer service. Several newer restaurants are driving Moose Jaw’s dining scene, including Original Joe’s, Boston Pizza, Rock Creek, Browns Social House, the Grant Hall Inn Dining Room, and Harwood’s Dining Room at Temple Gardens Resort. Montana’s opened on Thatcher Drive in late 2015. ARTS & CULTURE FESTIVALS Moose Jaw prides itself in being a volunteer capital. Thanks to various non-profit organizations, the city’s residents and visitors enjoy a host of arts and cultural festivals, such as: the Festival of Words, Moose Jaw Band and Choral Festival, Music Festival, Motif, Moose Jaw Dance Festival, etc. RuBarb Productions Inc. is a local theatrical production company providing educational opportunities to young people and live theatre year-round at the Mae Wilson Theatre in the Moose Jaw Cultural Centre.

Wakamow Valley.

PARKS Wakamow Valley Authority provides several popular family-oriented parks along the Moose Jaw River and Thunder Creek that wind through the city. These parks have picnic shelters, playgrounds, walking and bicycle trails, and other facilities such as a RV camp-ground and out-door speedskating oval. The Trans-Canada Trail provides a network of rewarding hiking paths looping through the city. The historic Crescent Park is located in the heart of downtown and is a true hidden gem, with manicured lawns, spectacular flower gardens, water-park, playground, amphitheatre, and a creek making it a popular draw for families. RECREATION There are numerous indoor and outdoor recreational facilities, including: skating rinks, curling rink, and swimming pools. Buffalo Pound Lake has beaches, boating and ice fishing in the winter; RV camping is available at the Provincial Park conveniently located only a short 15 minute drive north of the city. The park has acclaimed mountain bike trails attracting sports enthusiasts. Moose Jaw Municipal Airport attracts skydivers from across North America to its school. 24 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

Photo by SriMesh, courtesy of Wikipedia

Buffalo Pound Lake & Provincial Park.


Construction Sector

In recent years, Saskatchewan’s economic growth Moose Jaw is focused on major infrastructure upgrades, was the fasted growing in almost 15 years with strong including cast iron water main replacement; bridges; fundamentals in the economy keeping it among the top transportation upgrades, such as signs, road widening performers in the country thanks to the robust growth in and new turn lanes; sidewalks; roadways and municipal construction. Despite tumbling residential permit values, airport enhancement. This will attract new workers and the overall picture is good news for the construction create economic spin-off to the local economy. sector. Sask Trends Monitor says, “The housing market PROJECTS DRIVING is soft but the institutional, commercial and industrial has picked up so there’s still lots of work to do.” The MOOSE JAW’S ECONOMY Saskatchewan Construction Association CEO Mark Cooper MULTI-MILLION DOLLAR PROJECTS Several multi-million attributes the decline in residential to “over building” in dollar projects in the area are helping drive the local previous years. He says non-residential permit values are economy: encouraging and there is enough work to keep companies • K+S POTASH CANADA LEGACY MINE The mine is growing and engaged – and that’s positive. It is unclear located only 58 kilometers north of the city near the if or when a similar correction as the residential sector village of Bethune. Building of this $4.25B solution will occur in the non-residential sector, but Cooper says potash mine is well underway and the company plans companies are cautiously optimistic. More recently, falling to be operational by fall 2016. K+S Potash Canada’s residential construction activity in the province, including head office is located in Saskatoon. Moose Jaw, has caused a decline in related construction jobs, a trend that is expected to continue into 2016. K+S, one of Saskatchewan’s Top Employers with hundreds of opportunities, including: industrial The Liberals have promised to increase infrastructure mechanics, instrumentation mechanics, electricians, funding by an average of $6 billion per year over the pipefitters, welders, and power engineers. Production next 10 years. The extra money is supposed to be spread positions will be of interest to those with skills training equally to public transit projects, green infrastructure, plus previous industrial experience. It is expected that such as waste water facilities and social infrastructure many of these new employees will live in Moose Jaw like affordable housing. In December 2015, Infrastructure giving them the opportunity to live close-to-home while and Communities Minister Amarjeet Sohi advised that working in the resource sector, a big plus for mine Canada’s new infrastructure funding will target shovelworkers who want to remain near family and friends. ready project that also meet national objectives: (i) grow the economy (ii) create jobs, and (iii) make the country • CP RAIL SPUR (TO K+S) CP is constructing a multimore sustainable. Sohi said the government wants to million dollar 30 kilometer rail spur from Belle Plaine to focus on more cross-country projects like highways, ports, the Legacy site. KPCL was awarded the major grading border crossings to help speed up the flow of goods and contract; this is one of the largest earth moving projects trade. It is not known if this will be a new program or a in Western Canada with completion expected by fall top up to existing programs. of 2016. The City of Moose Jaw’s Operating budget generates revenues of approximately $40 million with municipal taxation accounting for just over half. The City of THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 25


CITY OF MOOSE JAW $120M 20-YEAR CAST IRON AND INFRASTRUCTURE REPLACEMENT PROGRAM Streets, roads, bridges, sanitary sewer systems and replacement of the pipeline to Buffalo Pound Water Treatment Plant ($29.3M) are other infrastructure pieces in need of replacement.

• $27M CIVIC CENTRE PLAZA construction has started, adding 70,000 square feet of new commercial retail space to local inventory by 2016. • SAVE-ON-FOODS The Jim Pattison Group is opening four SaveOn-Foods stores in the Province – part of the Overwaitea Food Group from BC – and one of them will be in Moose Jaw in 2016/17. The new grocery store may be located in the former and now vacant Zellers Store (Town ‘N Country Mall). Jim Pattison has strong ties to Saskatchewan and he was married in Moose Jaw over six decades ago! •

RONA Rona will open its doors spring 2016 following major renovations to the former Sobey’s store creating up to 60 new jobs.

DEMOLITION OF THE UNION HOSPITAL will be completed in early 2016. The City of Moose Jaw will purchase the six acre parcel of land from the Province for $680,000 and make it available for development.

MULTI-MILLION DOLLAR AG VALUE-ADDED INVESTMENTS IN THE CORRIDOR CWB State of the Art High Through Put Grain Elevator PASQUA (10 kilometers east of Moose Jaw).This is a 42,000 metric tonnes of storage facility with 134 car loop track and cleaning facilities scheduled to open in early 2016 and will create approximately 30 jobs. ILTA’s Processing-Plant for Specialty Crops (est. $20M) The company is building a new processing plant located at Belle Plaine site within the Moose Jaw Regina Industrial Corridor. The project includes a $5M rail spur. City of Moose Jaw Industrial Rail Park The City of Moose Jaw is attracting the attention of global companies interested in building ag and other types of processing and distribution facilities within its new industrial park, located SE of the city. The city is looking for buyers wanting serviced, heavy industrial park land requiring access to water, sewer, waste water treatment, power, gas, road and rail infrastructure. The differentiator for the City’s industrial park is the availability of large parcels of land (over 300 acres) for sale with the potential of being serviced by a rail spur with access to CP’s mainline.

MOOSE JAW TAX INCENTIVES New COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY TAX PHASE-IN The City of Moose Jaw provides a five year property tax phase-in to new builds and expansions. The exemption is applied to the increased assessed value resulting from construction, as follows: 100% Year 1; 80 % Year 2; 60% Year 3; 40% Year 2; and 20% Year 5 (excludes land). JOB CREATION INCENTIVE is based on the number of jobs created: For example, a company creating more than 60 new jobs in manufacturing or processing, transportation/ warehousing distribution or communications and research sectors can receive a five-year 100% property tax exemption(excludes land). Other property tax incentives are available: HERITAGE, RE-USE OF AN EXISTING BUILDING; LIVING OVER SHOPS (downtown only); REPLACEMENT HOUSING/VACANT LOT IN-FILL INCENTIVE; and the GRAYSON BUSINESS PARK Environmental Phase I. To encourage landowners of vacant property to develop, the City passed a by-law increasing the mill rate of vacant commercial and industrial land 2.5 times that of developed land.

UPGRADES TO THE BUFFALO WATER PLANT The Cities of Moose Jaw and Regina announced plans to improve and expand the plant over the next ten years; cost of the upgrades is roughly $140 million. The City of Moose Jaw owns a 25% share in the facility while Regina holds 75%.

• SASKPOWER’S NEW DOUBLE-CIRCUIT 230-KILOVOLT TRANSMISSION LINE from Pasqua switching station just east of Moose Jaw to the Swift Current switching station. The power line will be approximately 223 kilometers long and is estimated to cost $73 - $83 million. Replacement of aging power lines and adding a second conductor will increase capacity. 26 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

“Restored” Ross School: Prime corporate office space.


2015 BUILDING PERMIT REPORT Capital investment is a key indicator of growth and building permits are a traditional indicator of a local investment and economic health. In 2015 the City of Moose Jaw issued 290 building permits valued at $53,255,742 down from 331 building permits issued in 2014 and valued at $131,510,249. (Note: the high value of permits in 2014 reflects the permit for the new regional hospital ($101M). In 2015, residential construction dropped with 28 fewer permits for new dwellings issued, with a value $6.39M lower than in 2014. From January 1st to December 31st 2015, the City issued only 53 permits for new dwellings valued at $16.8M compared to 81 issued in 2014 valued at $23.2M 2015 MAJOR LOCAL PROJECTS (list includes those valued over $200,000) January: None. February: Commercial Storage Building; Condo development (foundation only); new Civic Centre Mall; Coffee Shop (foundation only); renovation of a fitness centre; renovation of two homes into a group homes; interior completion of office space in a new commercial warehouse building. March: Commercial steel building; restaurant renovation; April: Chester Courts 24 condo development; Grayson Business Park – a professional office building; Snyder Road industrial park – a steel warehouse storage building; May: Restaurant (Thatcher Drive); Vehicle Storage Building (North Service Road); June: New Rock, Bradley Street SW, (four bungalow condos $642,000); Walmart, Thatcher Drive E, (renovations $2.5M); Civic Centre Plaza, 1251 Main

City of Moose Jaw Building Permit Report January February

Residential $

Commercial & Industrial $

Institutional $

268,303

146,000

0

Street North (strip mall $330,000); Gencore Properties, 945 Maplewood Dr. (24 unit rental apartment $1,954,685); New Rock Bradley Street SW (11 townhome condos $1,654,400); Five Hills Health Region, 55 Diefenbaker Drive (maintenance shop hospital $160,000) July: Moose Jaw Refinery 641 Manitoba St. E (scale house $251,130); High Street Properties, 105 High Street W (renovations 9 apartments $200,000); August: REMAI Ventures Inc. 103 Ominica St W. (commercial renovations $73,000); HWZ Developments Inc. Hodges Crescent (4 condo units $1.6M); 1350 Caribou St E (shop $750,000); 1430 Caribou E (mezzanine $175,000); RONA Inc. 769 Thatcher Crescent (Renovations $1M). September: Sask Housing, 180 Iroquois St and 275 River St E (two group homes $642,000 and $649,000); Moose Jaw Co-op Association 850 North Service Road (card lock service station $2.5M); New Rock Developments 959 Bradley St. SW $642,000 (25 condo units); Cypress Paving 923 High St West (truck wash $135,000); Saskatchewan Wildlife Federation, 9 Lancaster Road (new office $150,000); Ministry of Central Services 600 Saskatchewan Street W (washroom upgrades $217,914); Five Hills Health Region 55 Diefenbaker Dr (hyperbaric chamber for new hospital $690,000); October: Islamic Cultural Centre ($1.2M) Grayson Business Park; November: Restaurant renovation 1711 Main Street N ($950,000); Prairie Plains Agro ($1.4M); Warehouse, Grayson Business Park ($600,000); Henderson Office Renovation, Thatcher Drive ($600,000); December: Medical Office, Grayson Business Park ($1M).

2015 Value of Monthly Building Permits $ 414,303

2015 Rolling Monthly Average $ 414,303

2014 Rolling Monthly Average $

2013 Rolling Monthly Average $

2,932,300

2,126,660

1,173,520

1,995,000

0

3,168,520

1,791,422

3,310,575

1,550,410

March

1,899,425

2,075,000

0

3,974,425

3,116,230

5,562,501

2,402,447

April

5,261,100

1,315,000

70,000

6,646,100

3,550,837

17,035,476

3,726,871

May

2,149,550

1,905,800

15,000

4,070,350

3,636,739

14,904,480

4,186,404

June

5,051,695

2,982,100

160,000

8,193,795

4,396,249

14,741,418

5,247,496

July

2,312,935

304,130

0

2,617,065

4,142,079

13,627,415

7,940,859

2,415,135

2,038,000

12,000

4,465,135

4,182,461

12,896,570

7,962,860

September

5,355,275

2,869,000

907,914

9,132,189

4,732,431

11,755,545

9,165,422

October

2,243,555

1,1371,000

0

3,614,555

4,650,963

12,404,302

9,135,145

November

1,156,555

3,734,150

0

4,890,705

4,672,758

11,513,477

8,666,040

December

706,800

1,146,100

2,500

1,855,400

4,437,979

10,959,186

8,010,578

2015 Total

2014 Total

2013 Total

$53,255,742

$131,510,249

$96,126,945

August

2015

$29,993,848

$ 21,881,280

$1,167,414

Source: City of Moose Jaw Building Permit Reports

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 27


MOOSE JAW SETS BUILDING PERMIT RECORD IN 2014 In 2014, building permits valued at $131.5M surpassed the previous record set in 2013 ($96.1M), and included projects such as: $7M Brightwater Seniors complex, six new apartment buildings, and several group homes that were responsible for driving residential construction values totaling $48.1M. Ag value added expansions drove industrial activity, including expansions at AgroCorp and Viterra Grain Terminal. New industrial offices and multi-unit warehouses were constructed on the east side of the city and in Grayson Business Park. Developments within the commercial sector included the new Ramada hotel, two new local Ford dealerships and a $4M renovation to the court house. Building permits related to the new hospital helped lock in the 2014 record. The number of building permits issued in 2014 totaled 299, compared to 328 in 2013. HISTORICAL BUILDING PERMIT ACTIVITY (2001 – 2015) The value of 2015 building permits totaled $53.3M. The value of building permits in 2013 ($96.1M) and then again in 2014 ($131.5M) set records. The value of Moose Jaw building permits in 2014 were up over 600% compared to 2001 ($13.1M). In 2001, building permits totaled $13.5M. 2015 MOOSE JAW SINGLE DWELLING HOUSING STARTS In 2015, 53 building permits were issued for single family dwellings valued at $16,773, compared to 81 permits issued in 2014 and 77 in 2013. The record for single family dwellings starts was set during 2012 with 132 starts. Note: There were 91 and 71 starts respectively in 2011 and 2010.

In 2015 the average cost of a new single family home (excluding land) was $316,466 up from $285,956 in 2014 as a result of higher-end homes being built in the city. 2015 MULTI-FAMILY UNITS Building of condos is a trend in reaction to the need for more affordable housing. Locally there has been a dramatic increase in number of MLS sales of multi-family residential units. Construction of multi-family units is expected to slow in 2016. Rising inventory of condos built or under construction may motivate some builders to delay or moderate the pace of new projects. In 2015 the city had several new condo developments built: a 24 condo development project ($3.5M northeast), a 25-unit bungalow condo project

CITY OF MOOSE JAW PERMIT - YEAR OVER YEAR COMPARISON (2001 –2015) Year

Industrial & Commercial

Residential

Institutional

Total

Monthly Average

2001

$

3,928,508

$

5,100,093

$

4,514,682

$

13,543,283

$

1,128,607

2002

$

5,058,984

$

7,621,664

$

5,249,170

$

17,929,818

$

1,494,152

2003

$

9,971,524

$

12,331,300

$

582,974

$ 22,885,798

$

1,907,150

2004

$

14,716,050

$

13,224,100

$

2,893,025

$

30,833,175

$

2,569,431

2005

$

13,137,300

$

5,208,000

$

4,536,000

$

22,881,300

$

1,906,775

2006

$

17,841,700

$

14,757,000

$

3,396,000

$ 35,994,700

$

2,999,558

2007

$

24,738,700

$

3,725,500

$

12,395,000

$ 40,859,200

$

3,404,933

2008

$ 44,308,600

$

6,614,100

$

3,421,592

$ 54,344,292

$

4,528,691

2009

$ 27,265,560

$

59,101,263

$

4,723,485

$

91,090,308

$

7,590,859

2010

$

$

8,740,147

$

4,325,398

$

47,743,000

$

3,978,617

2011

$ 29,890,266

$ 20,435,598

$

3,594,261

$ 55,920,000

$

4,660,000

2012

$

47,193,776

$

17,445,800

$

781,770

$

68,108,346

$

5,675,725

2013

$

50,390,716

$

22,772,708

$ 23,163,521**

$

96,126,945

$

8,010,579

2014

$ 48,086,535

$

29,192,402

$

54,211,312**

$

131,510,249

$

10,592,186

2015

$ 29,993,848

$

21,881,280

$

1,167,414

$

53,255,742

$

4,437,979

34,677,854

Source: City of Moose Jaw - Building Permit Reports *Mosaic Place, ** Hospital 28 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE


(southwest), a 4 unit condo and 24-unit rental apartment (northwest).

Hodges Crescent; and 15 modular rental apartments on Avens Road and a proposed 16-unit apartment complex. The $7M Brightwater Seniors Living opens in 2016 in the West Park area a number of new group homes are built; Saskatchewan Housing Corporation (SHC) constructed 91 new social housing rental apartments, with 16 units at 55 River Park Drive; 36 modular units at 821 Chester Road and 39 units at 11 Avenue SW. SHC has sold off many of its 114 older single family homes with many existing tenants purchasing their homes.

Several multi-family residential projects have been built in recent years: Caleb’s $4M 94-unit seniors living complex; West Park Village; Renovated apartments –(40 units) Scott Block Main & High Street; 12-plex condo apartments on Home Street W; new apartments on Byrne Street; new six-plex on Caribou St W.; New Rock Developments Creekstone Villas (34 townhouse condos); New Rock Developments Creekstone Estates (24 bungalow condos); renovated rental apartments at 822 Main St. N; six modular units at 4th Ave SW; conversion of Grandview United Church SW into five suites; 3-unit townhouse

New residential construction continues in new neighbourhoods, such as Iron Bridge, West Park and New Rock subdivisions:

BUILDING PERMIT REPORT ON HOUSING STARTS (2012-15) MOOSE JAW HOUSING Starts – Single family Multi-Family Units ie. semi-detached/condo/ apartments (excludes Group Homes)

2015

2014

2013

2012

53

81

77

132

68 doors

108 doors

249 doors

52 doors

New Single Family (excludes land)

$

16,773

Average cost Single Detached (excl. land)

$

316,466

$ 23,162,465

$ 22,103,600

$ 37,433,431

$

$

$

285,956

287,059

283,586

Source: Moose Jaw Building Permits

NEW MOOSE JAW NEIGHBORHOOD DEVELOPMENTS

STATUS (as of January 2016)

DESCRIPTION OF DEVELOPMENT

West Park Development

Approximately 200 acres - when complete will create 440 single family and 275 condominium units; anticipating a population of 1880. Phase 1: Completed (85 single detached; 30 up-scale condos) Phase 2: complete 79 single detached; Phase 3 Brightwater Seniors project completed; Condo project and rental apartment nearing completion.

Phase 4 underway

Iron Bridge Estates

Private Development – Country Residential with well over half of the 91 lots sold. Dozens of new homes are under construction.

Well underway

Westheath Phases IV & V

City Development Phase 4 about 12 narrow lots and three R-2 lots available. Phase V will not proceeding subject to servicing of land in the future.

Phase 4 – well underway; Phase 5 on hold

New Rock Developments

Phase 1 Creekstone Villas Bradley Street SW - 34 townhouse nearing completion with most sold. Phase 2 Bungalow-condo project has started construction.

Well underway

Former Ross School Site

Private Development 20 single detached lots.

Homes under construction

Deveraux Developments

Phase 2 - 24 multi-family condos are under construction.

Phase 2 underway

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 29


Housing Outlook 2016 HOUSING OUTLOOK Nationally, home prices showed moderate to strong year-over year price increases in most markets, with the average price of a home in Canada $502,643 in the third quarter of 2015. The price of a two-storey was $615,304 and a condo $338,684. In Saskatchewan the average resale price was an estimated $296,400 in 2015 compared to $298,359 in 2014. In the past few years, Saskatchewan’s large influx of migrants has generated momentum in resale market. Relatively improving economic conditions in other provinces has moderated the inflows of migrants. According to Canadian Real Estate Association, Saskatchewan saw the decline in MLS resale market in 2015 thanks to a large supply of listings and slowing demand. In 2016 CMHC forecast that the average resale price in Saskatchewan will be $300,800; this compares to $273,600 for Manitoba and $389,600 for Alberta. For the housing market, the slowdown in population growth and employment comes at a time when a glut of supply is looking to be absorbed with a record number of completed but unoccupied units. Residential construction is expected to remain weak in 2016 and 2017, as household formation and population growth slowly absorbs the over-supply of housing units. Forecasters predict national builders will reduce housing starts in 2016 to adjust to the slowdown in demand from first-time buyers and better manage high inventory levels. Builders are striving to reduce inventory in the face of moderating economic fundamentals exacerbated by the downturn in oil and shrinking economy. There is even some speculation that the combination of inflated home prices and heavy debt loads has the nation set for a housing crash, what the central bank has called a key vulnerability in the economy. Saskatchewan rising supply and slower net migration has moderated the building of single detached homes. In 2015 the building of single-detached starts has moderated to an estimated 3,800 units down from 3,900 in 2014, and 4,184 starts recorded in 2013. Barring any significant drawdown of inventory, a similar level of starts is expected in 2016. The biggest drop in construction has been in multiple-unit apartments and condos. CMHC forecasts that the number of multi-family starts will drop to 3,800 starts in 2016. Although multi-family starts in the province have exploded over the past few years, they moderated to an estimated 3,700 in 2015, compared to 4,500 units in 2014 - the highest level of production on record - and 4,106 units in 2013. This compares to only 1,037 starts recorded in 2009.

30 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

Creekstone Developments.

A report by RBC Economics Research says mortgage rate cuts have improved affordability of homes in Saskatchewan and Alberta but in late December, lending rules for residential mortgages tightened. A minimum down payment of 10 per cent is required on those homes priced at over $500,000; these homes represent less than one per cent of the total market. In Saskatchewan, MLS sales declined to an estimated 12,500 in 2015 compared to 13,868 resale homes in 2014. This trend is expected to continue as the number of resale homes is forecast to drop to 12,700 in 2016. In the resale market, the number of homes for sale has risen to more than an eight months’ supply, near the highest level in at least a decade. Regina’s benchmark price is down six per cent since its late-2013 high.

MOOSE JAW HOUSING REPORT 2016 MOOSE JAW HOUSING OUTLOOK Increasing local employment growth and in-migration will be key to sustaining or growing the local housing market. Population growth is necessary to allow both singlefamily and multi-family units to be absorbed. “New home” inventory and increasing supply of resale homes will be a constraining factor to single-detached starts in 2016. With resale supply expected to remain high over the next several months combined with shrinking demand, the average MLS price is expected to increase only moderately or possibly decline. As the new K+S potash mine moves into its operational phase hiring permanent staff at the mine site will increase the demand for all types of housing in Moose Jaw. Of the anticipated 350-400 employees, the city hopes to attract over half to live in Moose Jaw. Unfortunately, lower levels


of economic growth in other sectors have had a tempering effect on demand for local housing. The continuation of low interest rates in 2016 will support home sales and is prompting first time home owners to look at used homes as more affordable than new. Rising rents and low mortgage rates may encourage more tenants to move into home ownership. 2015 MOOSE JAW MLS RESALE MARKET HOUSING Historically any downward trend on the average price of market housing was caused by a disproportional number of older, smaller and less expensive homes being sold. In 2015, the city recorded 498 sales compare to 504 in 2014, a marginal 1.2 per cent decrease. These homes are on the market an average of 69 days before they are sold. The city experienced a 5% rise in new listings in 2015, with 1,086 properties added on MLS compared to 1,031 in 2014. In 2015 Moose Jaw market experienced the poorest “solds to listings” performance in recent history, and was deemed a “buyer’s market”. The new matrix Home Price Index (HPI) is a better measure of price growth or retraction. In December, Moose Jaw’s MLS Home Price Index (HPI) reported a residential Benchmark price of $225,800. This points to stable pricing in the market despite fewer sales and increased listings. The MLS HPI also shows selling prices up 6.7 per cent over the past three year period and 30 per cent in the last five years. MOOSE JAW HOUSING PRICE COMPARISON 2015 FALL REPORT Moose Jaw remains a very affordable and attractive community in which to own a home. The Fall 2015 MLS HPI Benchmark Price for residential units within the city of Moose Jaw was $225,800, the second lowest compared to the six neighboring cities. Moose Jaw experienced positive price growth compared to other cities with the Benchmark Price up by 2.4% percent from the same month of last year, among two showing positive growth and healthier local economies.

Housing Price Comparison – 2015 Fall Report

MLS HPI Benchmark Price Fall 2015

YearOver-Year Growth

Regina

$

276,600

-4.09%

Estevan

$

279,100

-2.92%

Swift Current

$

252,500

3.93%

Weyburn

$

258,100

-2.83%

Moose Jaw

$

225,800

2.40%

Yorkton

$

227,700

-3.57%

Maplewood Drive.

MOOSE JAW RENTAL MARKET REPORT PROVINCIAL RENTAL MARKET HIGHLIGHTS Slower population growth due to fewer migrants has caused vacancy rates to increase. At midyear, net migration to the province fell sharply by 68 per cent to 1,673 migrants, compared to 5,292 for the same period in 2014. Net interprovincial migration reveals an outflow of 2,577 people moving to other provinces. More individuals are now finding themselves out of work reducing the demand for rental. With resale market conditions continuing to favour buyers, some rental market participants have opted towards home ownership. As a result of weaker migration to the province and recent additions to the rental stock, the provincial vacancy rate saw upward pressure in the October 2015 survey. CMHC surveyed 34,814 rental units across the province reporting vacancy rates have risen from 4.1 per cent to 6.8 per cent, ranging from a low in Moose Jaw of 3.4 per cent to 20.8 per cent in Estevan. The increased supply combined with the economic slowdown due to low oil prices is mainly responsible for the rising vacancy rate in the province. A total of 1,280 purpose-built rental apartments were completed in Saskatchewan between July 2014 and June 2015. This follows the completion of 1,368 rental apartments in 2014 and 908 in 2013. The trend of investor/condo ownership is growing, with 20 percent of condos as rental units. This is a growing secondary rental market competing with the primary market. Regina’s vacancy rate increased to 5.4 percent in October 2015, up from 3.0 per cent in October 2014; Saskatoon increased to 6.5 percent up from 3.4 per cent for the same period. (CMHC Rental Market Report- Fall 2015). The average monthly rent for a two bedroom apartment in Saskatchewan urban centres was $1056 in October 2015, THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 31


compared to $1,075 last spring. The rental rate for a two-bedroom unit in Regina was $1,097 in October 2015 and $1,087 In Saskatoon. Despite 20 per cent plus vacancy rates, Estevan recorded the highest average monthly rent in the province in October at $1,209, down from $1,302 recorded in the spring and expected to continue adjusting downward. 2015 MOOSE JAW RENTAL MARKET REPORT Increased Inventory lifts vacancy rate Supply and demand is considered in balance when vacancy rates are above three per cent and closer to five per cent. In the past, low vacancy rates (around 1%) were a barrier to attracting new workers. Over the past five years, builders have taken advantage of tax incentives to increase the local stock of purpose built rental units. Moose Jaw has approximately 1,178 rental units compared to 1,149 in April 2013. Three SHC (social housing) rental apartment projects opened in 2015 along with a 24 unit apartment in West Park. These projects will help to accommodate the demand for rental housing created by growth of the agricultural sector, the new K+S potash mine and hospital as well as 15 Wing’s military housing needs. Despite the increased rental supply, CMHC reported that Moose Jaw recorded the lowest vacancy among all other communities in the province at 3.4 per cent in October 2015. Moose Jaw’s Fall 2015 vacancy rate was 3.4%, down from 4.1% in October 2014. Increased supply has helped increase Moose Jaw’s vacancy rates over prior years at 2.7% in October 2013 and 1% in 2012. Apartment Rental 2015 Fall Report

2015 2015 2014 Fall 2014 Fall 2013 Fall Fall Rental Fall Rental Vacancy Vacancy Vacancy Rates Rates % % % 2-bdrm. $ 2-bdrm. $

2013 Fall Rental Rates $

Saskatchewan Urban Centres

6.8

4.1

3.0

975

964

920

Moose Jaw

3.4

3.3

2.7

806

795

752

Bachelor

3.7

4.1

4.0

566

576

531

1 Bedroom

3.9

3.0

2.9

714

709

677

2 Bedroom

3.1

3.6

2.3

894

873

836

Regina

5.4

3.0

1.8

1,007

988

938

Saskatoon

6.5

3.4

2.7

999

998

951

Swift Current

4.9

5.8

6.2

784

741

699

Estevan

20.8

12.5

1.8

1,036

1,158

1,106

Yorkton

8.2

5.4

4.5

844

807

776

Prince Albert

5.9

8.8

10.3

870

861

825

MOOSE JAW - RENTS ARE RISING According to CMHC’s 2015 Fall Rental Report, Moose Jaw’s average rent per month has increased to $806, up from $795 in October 2014 and $752 in October 2013. Moose Jaw’s average rent remains one of the lowest rents in the province, with only Swift Current ($784/month) and North Battleford ($779/month) experiencing lower rates. This compares to Regina at $1,007/month. Estevan’s average rent is the highest in the province at $1,036/month. Estevan’s 2015 vacancy rate rose to 20.8 per cent, up from 12.5 per cent in 2014 due to the sharp economic drop in the oil and gas sector. Moose Jaw’s Fall rental rates for a two bedroom apartment remain more attractive to people moving to Saskatchewan with an average rent of $894/month. This is significantly lower than Regina at $1097/month and Saskatoon at $1,087/month. SASKATCHEWAN RENTAL HOUSING SUPPLEMENT Available to low-to-moderate income families 32 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

SENIORS HOUSING OUTLOOK REPORT In just a few years, seniors will out-number children under five in North America. Senior’s housing is already big business. In the US there are close to three million units across various types of seniors’ residences according to Seniors Housing Care Industry, and institutional investors are positive about the short and medium term outlooks. Explosive growth is expected in the next decade, and investors are positioning themselves for the future. Today baby boomers are not using assisted-living facilities but they are referring their parents to them; in the future their children will do the same. Retired University of Toronto professor and demographic expert David Foot says real estate investors should keep in mind seniors’ housing needs will change as they age. People are living longer, so some seniors may move from big suburban homes into condos, followed by an assisted-living residence, followed by a nursing home. Saskatchewan Seniors’ Housing Report Demand for seniors housing in the province has been supported by growth in seniors’ population, with 78,600 aged 75 years or older in 2015. Despite this strong demand, the increase in supply has helped push vacancies rates higher. Senior residences are those units where the majority of residents are seniors who have access to additional


standard as well as memory-care facilities. Two other senior assisted living residences opened in recent years: the Grant Hall Retirement Living (downtown), Caleb (south west) with 94 units and Memories on Bringham Road (10 rooms). These new projects have added significantly to local inventory causing local vacancy rates to increase. By all indications they could climb higher yet in 2016. Other larger seniors’ residences in the city include: Mulberry; the Bentley; Chateau St Michaels; Crescent Park Villa; Pioneer Lodge; Providence Place; Extendicare and Chez Nous. services not offered in traditional rental structures, including on-site meal plan, housekeeping, laundry service, and 24-hour bell service. 24-hour bell service is provided in 84 per cent of seniors’ structures, with the second most common amenity on-site nursing services, available in nearly 38 per cent of seniors residences. There were 6,478 senior residences identified in the province in 2015, compared to 6,404 spaces in 2014 and 5,835 in 2013. According to Canada Mortgage and Housing (CMHC), the vacancy rate for seniors’ standard retirement home spaces in Saskatchewan rose slightly to 10.6 per cent compared to 9.9 per cent in 2014, and 8.8 per cent in 2013. Regina had a lower vacancy rate of 6.8 per cent in 2015, compared to 6.1% in 2014. Saskatoon’s vacancy rate was 9.6 per cent in 2015, compared to 8.6% a year earlier. The rest of Saskatchewan had a vacancy rate that increased to 14.1 per cent in 2015, compared to 13.7 per cent in 2014 and 11.8 percent in 2013. Outside Regina and Saskatoon semi-private and bachelor suites made up 79 per cent of standard spaces, while 18 per cent were one bedroom spaces. The lowest vacancies rates were reported in two-bedroom spaces at 4.7 per cent, while bachelor suites recorded the highest vacancy rate at 13.6 per cent.

Seniors Population in Moose Jaw Moose Jaw has a higher concentration (10.46%) of its population aged 75+ years compared to the province (7.71%); Moose Jaw has approximately 3,850 people aged 75 years (about 8,100 people are seniors over 60 years).

Saskatchewan (%)

Moose Jaw compared to Saskatchewan

According to the 2011 Census the Median age in Moose Jaw is 41.9 years up from 41.6 years in 2006; the national median age was 40.6 and provincial was 38.2. A 2015 Statistics Canada report says that Saskatoon has the youngest median age in the country at 34.5 years.

Moose Jaw (%)

The vacancy rate for heavy care spaces was 8.9 per cent compared to 6 per cent in 2014 and 4.9 per cent in 2013. Heavy care spaces are classified as spaces in seniors’ residences that provide 1.5 hours or more of healthcare per day to its residents with Alzheimer, dementia and mobility support residents. The average monthly rental rate for heavy care spaces was $4,194 in 2015, compared to $4,309 in 2014, and $3,597 in 2013; Regina was $4,273 compared to $3,827 in 2014 and $3,260 in 2013.

In 2015 smaller Saskatchewan cities/towns recorded an average rent of $2,447, compared to $2,357 in 2014 and $2,282 in 2013. Because of the new builds adding to local supply, the Moose Jaw seniors residential market remains very competitive. Consumers are very price savvy with some seniors are shifting from one facility to another. Price competitiveness will continue giving local seniors the advantage depending on the level of services they require. Local rates vary depending on the facility and the level of services provided with the most common amenities offered including 24 hour bell service, on-site meal plan, and a registered nurse on site. Other local services might include exercise facilities, internet, and transportation services.

Provincially, in 2015 the average monthly rent for a standard retirement spaces was $2,667, up from $2,713 in 2014 and $2,505 in 2013. In Regina the average rent was $3,223 in 2015, compared to $3,260 in 2014; Saskatoon was $2,544 per month, compared to $2,691 in 2014 and $2,340 in 2013.

Population

36,802

1,130,030

Age 60-64

6.35

6.01

Similar

Age 65-69

5.23

4.8

Similar

Age 70-74

3.83

3.51

Similar

Seniors’ Housing in Moose Jaw Increased vacancy rates are being reported for standard care facilities while the heavy-care options seem to be in higher demand. The $7M Brightwater Seniors facility opened in 2015 offering

Age 75-79

3.33

2.81

Higher

Age 80-84

3.10

2.30

Higher

Age 85+

4.03

2.60

Higher

2015 Population Distribution by Senior Age Cohorts

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 33


Socio-Demographic Overview

According to Statistics Canada, 59,560 people left Saskatchewan for other provinces since 2013 – half of whom moved to Alberta. 53,921 people moved to Saskatchewan from other provinces netting a loss of 5,639 people. Even so Saskatchewan’s population continued to grow (albeit more slowly than before) because of more births than deaths and because of the massive influx of new immigrants to this province. Population growth remains historically high at 1.0 per cent growth year over year, after peaking at 2 per cent growth in the prior two years. Moose Jaw

Census Population

MOOSE JAW POPULATION BY AGE COHORT According to Manifold Data Mining, the current make-up of the city’s population is similar to the province with the exception that Moose Jaw has a lower distribution of children aged 0 to 14 years (16.39% compared to 18.22% for the province) and a higher concentration of those aged 75 years and older (19.52 % compared 16.52 for the province). Saskatchewan (%)

SASKATCHEWAN POPULATION GROWTH The population of the province grew to 1,138,879 (October 2015), up from 1,132,640 in January 2015, because of international migration which net 4,075 people. Net international migration, which remains the main source of new comers to Saskatchewan, was 11,434 in 2014. International migrants are coming for jobs, and as those job opportunities evaporate migrants go elsewhere.

follows: Swift Current (3.7%); Yorkton (4.2%); Humboldt (13.6%); Weyburn (11.1%); Lloydminster (20.4% - the highest growth), while Warman and Martensville almost doubled in size.

Moose Jaw (%)

CANADA’S AGING POPULATION The number of people 65 and over crossed a threshold comprising a slightly greater proportion of Canadians aged 14 years and younger. Fortunately Saskatchewan has more time to prepare for an aging population than most of the other provinces as its rising immigration and First Nations population (disproportionately young) are helping to keep it young despite the number of baby boomer moving into retirement age.

36,804

1,130,030

Age 0-14

16.39

18.22

Age 15-24

12.37

13.57

Age 25-34

12.75

13.34

Age 35-44

11.6

12

Age 45-54

13.65

13.71

Age 55-64

13.72

13.16

Age 65+

19.52

16.02

2015 Population Distribution by Age Cohort Population

1996

32,973

Source: Manifold Data Mining

2001

32,131

2006

32,132

2011

33,274

• Median age in Moose Jaw is 41.9 years, compared to 41.6 years in 2006; national median age is 40.6 and provincial is 38.2.

Source: Census 1996, 2001, 2006, 2011 MOOSE JAW’S POPULATION OUTLOOK According to Manifold Data Mining, the city’s population is 36,804. This estimate reflects the growth from new neighborhoods being built and immigration. For the outlook period 20142019 Moose Jaw’s annual population growth is forecast to slow to 0.54%. Moose Jaw’s population grew by 3.6 percent between the 2011 Census (33,274) and 2006 Census (32,132). The Rural Municipality of Moose Jaw experienced a net loss of 6.6%, dropping to 1,147 people compared to 1,228 in 2006. Moose Jaw was one of the cities to have recorded the lowest annual population growth in the province between the 2006 and 2011, along with Prince Albert, at 1.1%, compared to the growth rate of other cities, as 34 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

• Moose Jaw residents: female 51.8% and male residents 48.2% • Seniors (65 and over) represent 18.9% of city’s population, compared to national average of 14.8% and provincial average of 14.9%. This is down slightly from 2006 when 19.7% of Moose Jaw’s population fell into the senior age cohort. • Number of children (14 and under) remains about the same from 2006, 16.9% of population, compared to 16.8% nationally and 19.1% provincially • A positive indication for the city was Moose Jaw’s second largest group experiencing growth, namely the 20-39 year age group. This increase in numbers reflects new job creation, and an in-migration of young people from other regions; this is likely the cause of the increase in 0-4 year olds.


MOOSE JAW ABORIGINAL POPULATION Over the past two decades, the aboriginal population has increased throughout Canada. In 1996, the aboriginal population represented only 2.8 per cent of the Canadian population; in 2011 it increased to 4.3 per cent with the majority located in Ontario and Western Canada. There are 74 First Nations Bands in Saskatchewan. Approximately 50 per cent of aboriginals live on a reserve; 28 per cent of aboriginal population is under the age of 14 years. The number of aboriginals living in Moose Jaw over the age of 18 years is estimated to be 805, the lowest in the province. ABORIGINAL POPULATION BREAKDOWN BY CITY Aboriginal Population

18 and over

2011 (+15, 16 and 17 year olds)

Moose Jaw

805

65

Regina

11,605

1,395

Saskatoon

14,990

1,535

Prince Albert

9,530

1,025

North Battleford

2,255

150 30

Yorkton

1,110

(15 years old only)

LABOUR FORCE The Conference Board of Canada says job creation should rebound to 3,000 jobs in 2016 and 7,000 in 2017. Job growth for the year slumped badly in 2015, with fewer than 7,000 new jobs created, compared to 16,000 new jobs in 2013 and nearly 6,000 in 2014. Two-thirds of those jobs were part-time in the service and hospitality sector, which are typically lower-paying and do not compensate for the losses of lucrative jobs in construction, education or other sectors. The number of jobs has decreased in the Public sector, especially public administration and education.

900 fewer people working in December than a year ago. According to Sask Trends Monitor, 30,400 people were unemployed at the end of 2015, and all time record, and up 33 per cent from 2014. There is also an increase in Employment Insurance claims, nearing recession levels of 2009-10. The weakening labour market in Saskatchewan has seen the job vacancy rate drop dramatically to 2.6 per cent (about 9,200 jobs) while BC, PEI, Nova Scotia and New Brunswick saw increases. Saskatchewan’s vacancies are in the service sector and in micro companies with less than 4 employees. According to Manifold Data Mining, the city’s current labour force has grown to an estimated 20,787 people. The employment rate was 60.9% with an estimated unemployment rate of 5.7%. Workforce by gender: Female 51.8% Male 48.2% SELF-EMPLOYED The number of self employed in Moose Jaw amounted to 1,420 or 8.7% of total employed, compared to Saskatchewan at 15.2%.

The province’s 573,900 person workforce was 2,800 higher in 2015 than in 2014, with 10,400 more people looking for work. While the unemployment rate is still among the lowest in Canada at 5.5 per cent, the number of unemployed increased reflecting weakness in the oil patch, resources, construction and manufacturing sectors. This has pushed the jobless rate up for the first time in five years, and slowed wage growth. According to the Labour Force Survey (January 2015), the Moose Jaw/Swift Current Region had the lowest unemployment rate in the entire country at 1.3 per cent.

LABOUR FORCE - EMPLOYMENT BY AGE COHORT According to the 2011 Census, 16.6% of the Moose Jaw labour force employed were aged 15-24 years, while those aged 55 to 64 years made up 14.5% of those employed, compared to 15% and 16.1 % respectively for Saskatchewan.

The stalled provincial economy, battered by low oil prices, has left a record number of people unemployed despite having the lowest jobless rate (5.5% for December 2015, up from 3.7% in 2014) in the country. There were almost

EMPLOYED BY INDUSTRY Moose Jaw’s workforce is largely employed in the Retail Trade; Health Care and Social Assistance; and Accommodation and Food Services Sectors.

Age Group

Moose Jaw Employed

Saskatchewan Employed

15-24

16.6%

15%

55-64

14.5%

16.1%

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 35


Census 2011 Characteristics

2015 Estimated* City of Moose Jaw

2015 Estimated* 2006 Saskatchewan Saskatchewan

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

Total population 15 years and over

30,771

924,147

766,230

In the labour force

20,787

644,369

524,305

Employed

19,906

614,308

494,900

881

30,061

29,400

Not in the labour force

9,984

279,779

241,930

Participation rate

67.56%

69.73%

68.4%

Employment rate

64.69%

66.47%

64.6%

4.24%

4.67%

5.6%

Unemployed

Unemployment rate

*Source: Manifold Data Mining Estimates EMPLOYED BY OCCUPATION Moose Jaw has higher distribution of its labour force employed in Health, Sales and Service, Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities occupations compared to the province. The city has a much lower percentage of people who work in Management occupations than the province. LEVEL OF EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT Moose Jaw has a higher percentage of people (47.8%) who have post secondary certificates, diplomas or degrees compared to the province (46.5%). The city has more people with apprenticeship or trades certificates and college certificates than the province but a lower percentage (10.25%) with bachelor degrees and above bachelor degrees compared to the province (15.17%). HOUSEHOLD INCOME According to Manifold Data Mining, the average 2014 household income for Moose Jaw is $73,864, compared to $86,119 for the province. The median family income for the city is $93,497, compared to $103,641 for the province.

AVERAGE INCOME According to Manifold Data Mining, the average 2015 income for Moose Jaw is $42,051, compared to $45,374 for the rest of the province. The city has it highest distribution of incomes in the $20,000-$29,000 range, with only 4.25 per cent with incomes above $100,000 compared to the rest of the province at 6.07%. AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS In September 2015 Saskatchewan posted average weekly earnings of $984, up from $979 in September 2014. Nationally Saskatchewan remains in third place behind Alberta at $1,136 and Newfoundland and Labrador at $1,004, and well above the national average of $955. AVERAGE DWELLING PRICE According to Manifold Data Mining, the average dwelling value in Moose Jaw is significantly lower than the province, at $315,703 and $357,696 respectively. Also the city has 32.5% of its population who are tenants compared to the province at only 25 per cent. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX The province’s CPI posted a 2.1 per cent increase in the annual inflation rate, above the national average of 1.6 per cent, in December. Nationally consumers paid 3.7 per cent more for groceries due to the falling loonie and higher costs of meat and higher cost to import fresh vegetables. Transportation index was unchanged thanks to lower retail gasoline prices. Moose Jaw compared to Saskatchewan

Estimated 2015 Moose Jaw* (%)

Saskatchewan (%)

Total Labour Force 15+

20,787

644,369

All Occupations

98.44

98.42

1.56

1.58

A. Management Occupations

10.25

14.28

Low

B. Business, finance and administration

13.52

14.41

Similar

C. Natural and applied sciences

4.62

4.31

Similar

D. Health

7.32

6.49

High

E. Social sciences, education, government services and religion

11.41

11.67

Similar

Labour Force by Occupation

Occupations - Not Applicable

F. Art, culture, recreation and sport

1.60

1.46

Similar

G. Sales and service occupations

26.12

22.08

High

H. Trade, transport and equipment operators and related

17.77

17.08

Similar

I. O  ccupations unique to the primary industry

3.00

4.18

Low

J. Occupations unique to processing, manufacturing and utilities

2.84

2.47

High

Source: Manifold Data Mining 36 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE


Socio-Demographic Snapshot Moose Jaw

Moose Jaw

Saskatchewan

Population 2015 (Estimated)*

36,802

1,130,030

Population 2011 Census

33,274

1,039,581

Population 2006 Census

32,132

968,157

Population 2001 Census

32,973

978,935

Population Growth (2006 to 2011)

3.5%

7.4%

Dominant Language - English

91.8%

84.5%

% Aboriginal Population 2011 Census

4.3%

% Immigrant Population (from Americas, USA, United Kingdom, Germany, Africa, Asia, Philippines, Korea, China, etc.) 2011 Census

5.6%

2014 Labour Force age 15 and over *

20,787

644,369

2011 Labour Force age 15 and over

17,330

562,305

4.24

4.67

2014 Employment Rate (%) in Labour Force*

64.69

66.47

2014 Total number occupied private dwellings *

16,368

445,885

2011 Total number occupied private dwellings

14,585

409,645

% Home owners

67.5%

70.29%

% Tenants

32.5%

25.05%

Presence of Income 15 years and over

30,771

924,147

1,271

42,359

29,500

881,789

• Average Total Income

$42,051

$45,374

• Median Total Income

$31,666

$34,287

2011 Average Employment Income

$56,651

$59,816

2011 Median Employment Income

$48,183

$48,283

• Males - Average Employment Income

$63,410

$66,559

• Males –Median Employment Income

$55,506

$53,827

• Females - Average Employment Income

$47,813

$50,408

• Females –Median Employment Income

$40,611

$42,589

$73,864

$86,119

$58,111

$64,753

$93,497

$103,641

30,771

924,147

Education – no certificate, diploma or degree

26.45%

25.84%

Education – high school diploma

25.77%

27.66%

47.78

46.51

• Apprenticeship, trades or other non-university

14.76

14.76

• College, non university or diploma

19.17

15.76

• University Bachelor’s degree

7.51

11.19

• Education – Post-grad or Professional Degree

2.74

3.98

2014 Unemployment Rate (%) in Labour Force *

Without Income With Income

2014 Average Household Income* (note: 2011 Census $65,369) 2014 Median Household Income* 2015 Median FAMILY Income* Highest Level of Schooling 15 Years +

Post Secondary certificate, diploma or degree

Source: 2011 Census and *Manifold Data Mining Inc.

THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 37


Local Workforce Attraction & Retention industrial jobs. Training and industrial work experience will be required. GRADUATE RETENTION PROGRAM The program is an incentive to graduates to stay in the province providing personal income tax credits to rebate up to $20,000 in tuition fees to post-secondary students. This tuition rebate against taxes is paid out over 10 years. The rebate is based on the amount of tuition fees paid - $3,000 for certificates, $6,400 for diplomas, $15,000 for three-year degrees and $20,000 for four-year degrees. The program was launched in 2008 and 58,000 graduates have already used the program with the government paying out $200M in rebates. TRAINING FOR SKILLED JOBS Polytechnic Institutes are offering more apprenticeship training handling approximately 6,000 apprentices annually across the province.

Even with historically high rate of population growth, the number of people entering the workforce in the province is not large enough to replace the aging population leaving. Succession planning and retirements will force changes, and advancements will happen from within creating excellent opportunities. Older members in the work force are expected to retire in the next decade and local companies will be forced to compete for new employees. In the next 5 years, 20% of the workforce will be eligible for retirement. In particular there are many management positions nearing retirement. It is estimated Saskatchewan will need 35,000 new workers and 60,000 replacement workers in the next five years. For example, 18 per cent of the province’s construction workforce is expected to retire over the next 10 years - the industry will have to recruit young people to replace as many as 8,800 skilled workers reaching retirement this decade. LOCAL JOBS Approximately 900 people work in the heavy industrial plants located near Belle Plaine with as many as half living in Moose Jaw. Numbers are expected to grow as the K+S Mine potash mine becomes operational. This means new job opportunities in trades and technologies, administration, management, and general labourers. The potash mines, along with their supply chains, will need workers trained in the Engineering Technologies, Building Trades and Business Administration. Higher levels of educational attainment will be necessary to prepare for the next decade and beyond. Those with only Grade 12 and no experience will be shut out of the higher paying 38 > THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE

CANADA-SASKATCHEWAN JOB GRANT PROGRAM (CSJG) This program provides financial assistance to Saskatchewan employers to help workers get the training needed for available jobs. Through this program, employers and government partner to fund training that will provide individuals with the skills needed by employers in today’s workplace. The Canada Job Grant will allocate up to $15,000 for training per prospective employee (up to $5,000 by the employer with half allowed in the form of in-kind wages and up to $10,000 by government) to a maximum of $250,000 yearly. This is an Employer-Driven Program which means the employer must: • Decide what training is required; • Select the candidates; • Choose a third party trainer and contract directly for training (minimum of 25 hours); • Have a job available for the trainee at the end of the training; and • Contribute minimum one-third of eligible training costs; includes tuition, student fees, textbooks, software, examinations. Note: Small employers with less than 50 employees may apply trainee wages towards a portion of their in-kind contribution. TRAINING SKILLED FARM LABOUR Producers need more skilled labour for their farming operations. The Province has launched an agricultural operator pilot program at some of its Regional Colleges to give practical, hands-on training to people interested in working on Saskatchewan farms, in seeding, spraying and harvest. More courses are being developed for the livestock industry, including haying, beef cattle reproduction and calving, and cattle husbandry and handling.


MINIMUM WAGE Indexing minimum wage regulations (tied to the consumer price index) was introduced in the Province in 2014, and will provide security for minimum wage earners and ensure predictability for business owners. Saskatchewan’s minimum wage rate is $10.50 per hour. As of October 31, 2015 minimum wage across Canada is as follows: Minimum Wage Across Canada

Rate

Saskatchewan (current)

$10.50

Alberta

$11.20

British Columbia

$10.45

Manitoba

$11.00

New Brunswick

$10.30

Newfoundland

$10.50

Northwest Territories

$12.50

Nova Scotia

$10.60

Nunavut

$11.00

Ontario

$11.25

Prince Edward Island

$10.50

Quebec

$10.55

Yukon

$10.86

WORKERS COMPENSATION BOARD (WCB) WCB has approved the 2016 average employer premium rate at $1.34 per $100 of payroll a reduction of 8.2 per cent from the 2015 level of $1.46 per $100 of payroll IMMIGRATION Recruiting skilled overseas employees with more and more diverse ethnic and cultural backgrounds will increase as local employers rely on attracting skilled workers from other countries to grow. Foreign workers can fill labour shortages in Canada and bring new skills and knowledge to help the city’s economy grow. Changes to the Saskatchewan Immigration Nominee Program (SINP) are intended to address concerns

of both immigrants and the federal government. The changes consolidate nine categories into three main categories: (i) the international skilled worker category; (ii) the Saskatchewan experience category; and (iii) the entrepreneur and farm category – with new eligibility requirements. The focus is on attracting workers with high-skill employment offers, while accepting some applications from workers in demand occupations without the requirement of pre-arranged employment. The province announced the new Saskatchewan Express Entry category in early 2015 adding 775 additional nominees to SNIP, bringing the total number of SNIP nomination up to 5,500 for 2015. In June 2015, the provincial government launched the new online application system for SNIP with Citizenship and Immigration Canada (CIC) committing to process applications within six months or less, compared to one to four years under the old “first come, first served” application system. The new category targets individuals with post secondary education and training in occupation that are in demand in the province. These high-skilled individuals must have significant work experience, high language skills, and be well educated. The online application is available on www.economy.gov.sk.ca/ immigration/express-entry or call 306-798-7467. Changes to the Temporary Foreign Worker Program announced by the Federal government have added new requirements, fees and longer wait times even though small business relies on the program to fill vacancies in critical demand trades. The federal government caps the number of new foreign workers that companies can hire at 20 per cent. In 2016 the cap will be cut to 10 per cent. NEWCOMERS CENTRE The centre for Moose Jaw Multicultural Council’s Gateway for Newcomers is located at 432 Main Street North, Moose Jaw, SK., (phone 306.693.4677), offering programs and services including access to English as a Second Language classes, childcare, and assistance with employment and immigration related matters. THE MOOSE JAW ADVANTAGE > 39


Relocating to Moose Jaw? REFER TO MOOSE JAW’S RELOCATION GUIDE This guide provides all the information you will need about relocating to Moose Jaw, including map, housing, schools, daycares, employment, health and wellness, sports and recreation, arts and culture and entertainment. Its directory provides contact information on everything from utility hook-ups, health cards and bus passes to garbage collection, laundries and dog licenses. Everyone loves Moose Jaw and those who live here know it is a perfect place to call “home”! It’s a SAFE and satisfying place to raise a family, with an abundance of parks, sporting and recreational facilities, walking trails, and family attractions. Moose Jaw residents enjoy an exceptional quality of life! Moose Jaw is a safe and caring community offering one of the best small city lifestyle in Canada, and not so surprisingly, was recently named #2 by Cities Journal as ONE OF THE TOP 15 SMALL CITIES IN CANADA TO LIVE IN!

For more information contact Deb Thorn, Economic Development Services City of Moose Jaw, 228 Main Street North (2nd Floor) Moose Jaw SK S6H 3J8

EMAIL debthorn@moosejaweconomicdevelopment.com PHONE 306.693.7332 (OFFICE)

moosejaweconomicdevelopment.com

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Moose Jaw Advantage 2016  

Moose Jaw, truly a city as unique as its name, is located in the heartland of the prairies, nestled in the picturesque valley carved out by...

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