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SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

ENERGY

ENERGY TRANSITION SIMULATOR Gain the insight to make better decisions in an evolving energy system Energy systems around the world are undergoing enormous change. Wind and solar power, hydrogen plus new usage patterns and market mechanisms are potential game changers. But their benefits and impacts are hugely interlinked, making it hard to plot the right investment path. DNV GL’s Energy Transition Simulator lets you develop in-depth understanding of how the choices you and other stakeholders make affect your business. So you can make better strategic decisions in an evolving energy landscape. The pressing need to reduce emissions while continuing to meet ever-increasing demand for energy is driving huge growth in variable renewable energy sources such as solar and wind. Their different generation patterns combined with new usage patterns, for example due to the growth of electric vehicles, are in turn driving the deployment of new technologies such as smart grids and energy storage plus market mechanisms including energy trading and demand response. The impact of each of these developments is intricately interwoven, making defining an investment strategy extremely complex. Take the right investment decision Is hydrogen better than electricity for heating in your industry? Should you invest massively in offshore wind now, or would a progressive approach reap bigger rewards? Will rapid divestment of fossil-fuelled power plants really help achieve emission reduction targets? And what would this imply for security of supply of energy?

Our Energy Transition Simulator lets you explore questions such as these and try out strategies in a realistic and interactive yet risk-free environment. Based on DNV GL’s Energy Transition Outlook, this digital role-playing simulation lets you see the complications and motivations of each stakeholder in the energy system and helps you test your own strategy in an interactive way. The Energy Transition Simulator is a state-of-the-art digital simulator that lets you experience and explore the complex dynamics of an evolving energy system. It presents an energy system in a country called Enerland. With the support of a DNV GL game master and expert facilitator, you play as one of five stakeholders in Enerland, a fictitious energy system. You can play in either interactive group mode where different players or teams of players manage the different stakeholders, or in single-player mode where the other four roles are computer controlled.


The simulation Working as part of the region’s energy system, your goal is to increase your bank balance while helping Enerland reduce its carbon dioxide emissions by 80% over the period 2020 – 2050. Enerland is a country where all the energy demand (electricity and heat) is met with local generation units. At the start of the simulation, electricity is mainly supplied by coal-fired and gas-fired power plants, plus a few wind farms. The country has a gas infrastructure, including natural gas resources and some hydrogen assets like small power-to-hydrogen as well as blue hydrogen through steam methane reforming plants (SMR).

Enerland’s energy system is represented by 5 playable roles, each with their own objective: Renewable energy investor - Invest in onshore and offshore wind and solar PV  Gas exploitation company - Produce and supply natural gas, hydrogen (both through SMR and electrolysis) and potentially invest in offshore wind  Transmission System Operator (power & gas) - Balance transmission of power, natural gas and hydrogen, invest in infrastructure  Fossil power generation company - Produce and supply power, conventional and renewables  Industry - Invest in energy efficiency measures and sustainable processes and supply waste heat 

In addition, there are two non-playable roles which are managed by the simulator master: the government who regulates the energy market and household consumers who can shape demand for heat and electricity.

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How to play The simulation is run in sessions led by a DNV GL energy transition expert and a simulation master. At the beginning of a session an introduction in the roles and the assets (and their characteristics) is provided. Each role begins the simulation with an initial bank balance and portfolio of assets. Play is split into 6 rounds, each representing five years. In each round, players must decide how much of their existing bank balance to invest and which new assets to invest in. Mimicking the real world, decisions can be made after negotiation with the other roles in the scenario (whether managed by other players or the simulation master). The decisions are then entered into the system via a digital interface on a laptop or tablet. Once all decisions for that round are entered, the simulator calculates the impact over that five-year period based on realistic techno/economic assumptions and market trends based on DNV GL’s Energy Transition Outlook. The results are shown on the players’ interfaces, and our energy transition expert then leads a group discussion to help players reflect on the choices they have made and take corrective actions where necessary. Benefits At the end of the simulation, an automated report is generated showing each player’s investments and carbon dioxide emissions in each round. This can act as the basis for further facilitated discussions to help players:  Gain insight into the complexity and interactions in the energy system  Better understand the impact of their decisions  Develop a vision for the future of the energy transition  Explore ways to apply that vision to your own

MORE INFORMATION? To find out more about the Energy Transition Simulator or to see a demo, please contact us today at contact.energy@dnvgl.com or +31 26 356 9111.

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Energy transition simulator  

Gain the insight to make better decisions in an evolving energy system

Energy transition simulator  

Gain the insight to make better decisions in an evolving energy system

Profile for dnvgl