Libya Time Zero
0BFrom the “El Dorado Canyon” to the “Odyssey Dawn” operation Dimitris Korgianitis
SUMMARY May 2011
Libya Time Zero
From the “El Dorado Canyon” to the “Odyssey Dawn” operation
SUMMARY WHAT ARE WE TO DO WITH OUR LIVES?, H. G. Wells, 1931, σελ. 14
«But unlike conspiracies in general this widening protest
and conspiracy against established things would, by its very nature, go on in the daylight, and it would be willing to accept participation and help from every quarter. It would, in fact, become an "Open Conspiracy," a necessary, naturally evolved conspiracy, to adjust our dislocated world. »
The “Arab Spring” and subsequent upraises where put in to a line of thought just like the trees of the same forest being consumed one after the other by the flames of the same fire. Even though some of this concept holds to be true the whole approach is rather a crude simplification. Libyans are not a likely poor population as their neighbors in Egypt and Tunisia. Whatever the CIA’s Factbook says – 1/3rd under the poverty line (2 dollars per day) – as I have clearly documented is absolutely groundless. The biggest problem of that country turns to be the unemployment and the housing issue as a result of the huge demographic growth (3,3% per year – 30% is 15 years old) and not food, education or healthcare which even not in a top quality are subsided by the state. To be sure, less than one month before the “Abou Salim’s” protest of the 15/2 there were a widespread unrest lasting at least five days, when people in several towns invaded thousands new apartments while many of them without having any legitimate contract. As Libya escaped the double embargo of the UN and the USA exploded by the low oil prices, after fifteen years of economic frustration the regime had to cope with the necessity of the neglected country’s infrastructure and
Libya Time Zero economic diversification. In Benghazi the housing problem was related to 1,400 unfinished new apartments. But this turmoil did not lead to a final uprising even though this problem could said to be a socially hot one albeit effectively caused a “state of emergency” in the town Benghazi which is notorious as an opposition center in the past and present. The revolution eventually started not by this pressing trans – tribal issue but centered on the protests of the relatives of the Abou – Salim prison’s victims and their lawyers. These first demonstrations and the subsequent not lethal clashes with the security forces are reported to “take place late night or early morning” so that Libyan people woke up on breaking news at the “Day of Rage” when the killings of innocent civilians took place. This day was appointed by the National Conference for the Libyan Opposition (NCLO) which was founded at London on 2006, a union of rather fractioned opposition groups as in a previous conference that hold in the Washington Center of International Studies back in 1994 the only common agreement reached was that “if we topple Kaddafi we have succeed”. The “Day of Rage” functioned as a memorial of the 17/2/2006 when in Benghazi 12 people were killed by the security forces while the angry mob put fire on the Italian Embassy demonstrating not for civil rights but against the infamous drawings of the prophet Mohamed that an Italian politician used on his Ti-shirt on a TV presence. It was by that insulted Islamic feelings that people turned against the regime and not by the tradition of some French Revolution or the flag of the rule of law.
Libya Time Zero These three elementary forces, namely the relatives, the lawyers and the exiled opposition groups are the social backbone of the revolution along with the numerous youth of Benghazi as the UN authorities felt necessary to inform rebels that conscription of fifteen years old boys in the army consists a crime according to the International Law. In this coalition from the beginning took posts defecting important members of the regime now heading to bring democracy along with some exiles all educated in the USA, while in the leadership of the “Ministry of Defense” hooked someone that in the past was backed by the CIA and came all over Virginia where he was living some decades “without apparent financial resources”. In the following table we can see the major facts that took place from the first protests of the 15/2 which in the graph is the day “0” to the rebels’ rejection of the “road map” proposed by the African Union on 10/3 (day 54th). As you can see English Special Forces (SAS) where in situ by the 6th day after the “Day of Rage” while CIA involved two days later. While the Media’s favorite picture is that nobody likes Kaddafi, a claim framed by the defectors’ stats, it is more than obvious that if this was at least a bit of truth Kaddafi wouldn’t manage to resist 63 days as we speak against the overwhelming bombing campaign without any support from his own people. Having said that I conclude that the “democratic revolution” carried by people which for the second time took the opportunity to brutalize unprotected black immigrants may not inspire the whole Libyan population. Even more, I doubt that the National Transitional Council the temporary government of the rebellion will be able to govern peacefully even the East part of the country as soon as the de facto “martial law” of
the present war reaches to an end. To this end the maximization of the possibilities point to
Libya Time Zero the death of Kaddafi himself and a subsequent prosecution of Saif al Islam along with other members that in conjunction with a suitable new “democratic media campaign” could finally disparage the dignity of the long – lived regime. It seems that this is the real objective of first the UN and now NATO intervention, as something that can be read between the lines of the Responsibility to Protect mandate. Lastly, judging from the Iraqi and Afghanistan State building projects where the war game hasn’t over yet along with the Balkan’s newly formed democracies that look like a criminal heaven I doubt that the Libyan fairytale will have any better end. In the future of course the Libyan people could finally enjoy in some way the famous freedom of speech but I doubt that they will have anything to say.