Page 1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 800 Adults, including 240 cell phone only respondents

Date: October 25-28, 2013

48 Male 52 Female

Study #13452 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 800 interviews among Adults is ±3.46%

Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

Q2a

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST.) 18-24 .................................................................... 25-29 .................................................................... 30-34 .................................................................... 35-39 .................................................................... 40-44 .................................................................... 45-49 .................................................................... 50-54 .................................................................... 55-59 .................................................................... 60-64 .................................................................... 65-69 .................................................................... 70-74 .................................................................... 75 and over .......................................................... Not sure/refused ................................................

Q2b

To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................................................... No, not Hispanic .............................................. Not sure/refused ............................................

Q2c

10 8 9 9 11 7 8 10 12 6 4 5 1

11 89 -

And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White .............................................................. Black .............................................................. Asian .............................................................. Other .............................................................. Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. Not sure/refused ..........................................

74 12 2 4 7 1


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013 Q3

Study #13452 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High

Headed in the right direction...... Off on the wrong track ............... Mixed (VOL) ............................ Not sure ...................................

9/01 72 11 11 6

Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3

4/11 28 63 6 3

2/11 31 60 6 3

1/11 35 56 5 4

8/59/10 32 58 6 4

6/10 29 62 5 4

5/611/10 34 56 6 4

3/10 33 59 5 3

6/09 42 46 9 3

4/09 43 43 10 4

2/09 41 44 9 6

1/09 26 59 9 6

10/2528/13 22 70 4 4

10/79/13 14 78 4 4

9/13 30 62 5 3

7/13 29 61 6 4

6/13 32 59 6 3

4/13 31 61 5 3

2/13 32 59 6 3

1/13 35 57 4 4

12/12 41 53 3 3

10/12+ 41 53 4 2

9/2630/12+ 40 53 5 2

9/1216/12+ 39 55 4 2

8/12+ 32 61 4 3

7/12+ 32 60 5 3

6/12 31 61 5 3

5/12 33 58 5 4

4/12 33 59 6 2

3/12 33 58 5 4

1/12 30 61 5 4

12/11 22 69 6 3

11/11 19 73 5 3

10/11 17 74 5 4

8/11 19 73 5 3

7/11 25 67 5 3

6/11 29 62 6 3

5/11 36 50 10 4

12/10 28 63 6 3

11/10 32 58 6 4

10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4

10/1418/10+ 32 59 6 3

9/10 32 59 5 4

8/2630/10 30 61 6 3

1/23 25/10 32 58 7 3

1/1014/10 34 54 10 2

12/09 33 55 10 2

10/09 36 52 9 3

9/09 39 48 10 3

7/09 39 49 9 3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013 Q4

Study #13452 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? High

Approve ................. Disapprove ............ Not sure ..............

Low 10/2528/13 42 51 7

10/2528/13 42 51 7

10/79/13 47 48 5

9/13 45 50 5

8/13 44 48 8

7/13 45 50 5

6/13 48 47 5

4/13 47 48 5

2/13 50 45 5

1/13 52 44 4

4/09 61 30 9

12/12 53 43 4

10/12+ 49 48 3

9/2630/12+ 49 48 3

9/1216/12+ 50 48 2

8/12+ 48 49 3

7/12+ 49 48 3

6/12 47 48 5

5/12 48 46 6

4/12 49 46 5

3/12 50 45 5

1/12 48 46 6

12/11 46 48 6

11/11 44 51 5

10/11 44 51 5

8/11 44 51 5

7/11 47 48 5

6/11 49 46 5

5/11 52 41 7

4/11 49 45 6

2/11 48 46 6

1/11 53 41 6

12/10 45 48 7

11/10 47 47 6

10/2830/10+ 45 50 5

10/1418/10+ 47 49 4

9/10 46 49 5

8/2630/10 45 49 6

8/59/10 47 48 5

6/10 45 48 7

5/2023/10 48 45 7

5/611/10 50 44 6

3/10 48 47 5

1/2325/10 50 44 6

1/1014/10 48 43 9

12/09 47 46 7

10/09 51 42 7

9/09 51 41 8

8/09 51 40 9

7/09 53 40 7

6/09 56 34 10

4/09 61 30 9

2/09 60 26 14

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013 Q5

Study #13452 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and groups. I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Barack Obama1 October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 .......................... July 2013 ..................................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... April 2013..................................... February 2013.............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. September 12-16, 2012+ ............. August 2012+............................... July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011..................................... February 2011.............................. January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010...................... August 5-9, 2010.......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... October 2009 ............................... September 2009 .......................... July 2009 ..................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009..................................... February 2009.............................. January 2009 ...............................

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

24 26 25 28 28 30 31 31 37 34 37 35 31 33 29 32 30 28 28 22 26 23 24 27 33 28 28 29 25 28 29 29 29 26 27 27 28 31 29 29 36 38 37 41 45 47 43

17 21 20 20 19 17 18 21 16 15 15 13 17 16 19 17 18 21 22 23 19 23 20 22 21 22 21 23 23 21 18 19 18 20 19 20 19 19 23 21 20 18 18 19 19 21 23

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

13 11 12 12 13 10 11 11 9 8 6 9 8 8 14 10 13 14 10 13 15 14 12 14 14 14 15 15 14 12 12 9 12 12 13 13 15 11 14 13 11 11 10 11 12 12 17

13 11 16 14 12 15 14 11 14 12 11 11 13 11 11 12 13 12 14 15 13 12 14 13 13 13 15 14 14 13 15 17 14 14 14 15 14 14 14 15 12 14 14 12 10 9 8

32 30 26 26 28 27 26 26 24 31 31 31 30 32 27 29 26 25 25 27 27 28 30 24 18 23 20 18 24 26 27 26 27 27 27 25 24 24 20 22 21 19 20 17 13 10 6

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

10

1

32

1

6

40

Barack Obama High February 2009 ..................................... 47 21 12 9 Presidential Term Low October 25-28, 2013............................ 24 17 13 13 All-time Obama Low October 28-30, 2006+ ......................... 14 17 18 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5 (cont'd) The Republican Party1 October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... February 2013 ............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+............................... July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 .......................... November 2010 .......................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010 ..................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... October 2009 ............................... September 2009 .......................... July 2009 ..................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009..................................... February 2009 ............................. High December 2001 ........................... Low October 25-28, 2013 ....................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

16 17 21 24 21 20 21 21 24 24 23 21 23 22 24 23 21 21 22 24 22 24 24 27 27 23 22 23 23 23 18 24 23 22 25 25 23 23 19 23 19 19 22 19

24 21 27 26 24 24 23 20 18 18 22 23 23 23 23 24 23 23 21 21 24 22 24 24 23 24 24 25 25 25 28 26 26 26 24 27 27 27 27 27 29 29 25 24

23 24 23 18 20 24 18 18 18 16 18 18 19 19 19 19 23 18 18 23 23 21 22 21 17 20 18 19 21 22 24 23 21 22 20 18 24 24 23 22 21 23 22 25

30 29 21 23 26 25 27 25 25 29 25 26 24 24 24 25 25 26 26 23 21 23 22 19 20 19 23 23 22 21 22 19 19 20 23 20 18 19 23 21 20 21 22 22

1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3

21

36

18

13

9

3

6

16

24

23

30

1

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

6 7 7 8 8 6 9 15 14 12 11 10 9 11 8 8 6 9 11 8 8 8 7 7 11 11 12 8 8 7 6 6 10 8 6 7 7 5 6 5 9 6 7 7


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5 (cont'd) The Democratic Party1 October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... February 2013 ............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ .............................. July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012 .................................... March 2012.................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................ June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011 .................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+.................. October 14-18, 2010+.................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010 ..................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010.......................... May 6-11, 2010............................ March 2010.................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... October 2009 ............................... September 2009 .......................... July 2009 ..................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009 .................................... February 2009 .............................. December 2008 ............................ High January 2000 ................................ Low July 2006 ......................................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

22 25 27 25 23 27 23 21 21 23 23 23 22 24 23 23 23 25 25 22 25 26 26 24 28 26 23 24 22 25 22 24 26 26 28 25 27 25 28 27 29 26 28 29 32

21 18 22 22 22 17 19 17 17 16 20 25 19 21 24 23 25 22 19 21 21 22 22 25 20 18 17 16 20 19 22 21 18 19 19 22 20 19 20 18 19 16 19 18 22

18 20 20 19 17 19 16 17 17 17 17 18 21 19 18 21 23 18 20 19 19 18 18 19 18 18 19 19 20 19 18 20 18 18 19 17 18 19 14 17 17 16 15 14 15

22 20 18 18 19 19 19 23 22 23 23 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 22 25 20 17 21 16 23 23 23 26 22 24 26 24 22 24 24 21 23 26 22 22 20 21 19 17 13

2 3 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1

20

30

23

15

10

2

7

25

27

22

17

2

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

15 14 13 14 18 17 21 21 21 19 17 14 17 15 15 15 9 15 12 11 13 15 12 15 9 14 16 14 15 11 11 11 15 11 9 14 11 10 14 14 13 19 17 20 17

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5 (cont'd)

The Tea Party Movement October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... January 2013 ............................... July 2012+ ................................... April 2012..................................... January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011................................. June 2011 .................................... April 2011..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010 ..................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................... June 2010 .................................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... High June 2010 .................................... Low October 7-9, 2013 ........................ John Boehner October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... January 2012 ............................... February 2011 ............................. January 2011 ............................... November 11-15, 2010 ................ October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... October 2009 ............................... January 2007 ............................... Harry Reid October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ January 2013 ............................... January 2012 ............................... November 11-15, 2010 ................ September 2010 .......................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................... January 10-14, 2010 ................... October 2009 ............................... January 2009 .............................. January 2007 ............................... September 2006+ ........................ February 2005 .............................

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

9 9 9 11 9 14 10 10 10 12 12 11 13 13 13 15 14 14 14 15 12 14 15 16 13 14

14 12 16 15 14 14 17 18 17 15 16 17 15 16 16 18 16 18 16 15 16 16 19 15 16 14

22 20 23 26 20 23 23 19 21 21 21 20 20 20 22 20 21 18 20 21 19 23 21 21 22 20

10 13 15 13 15 14 11 16 15 14 12 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 11 13 12 12 12 10 10 6

37 34 27 25 32 29 27 27 28 30 29 29 27 30 24 23 25 28 27 23 24 22 19 20 18 15

8 12 10 11 10 6 12 10 9 8 10 9 11 7 11 10 11 10 12 13 17 13 14 18 21 31

15

19

21

12

19

14

9

12

20

13

34

12

3 5 3 3 4 6 7 8 3 5 2 1

14 12 15 16 14 14 16 11 11 9 7 4

20 20 23 23 22 22 23 20 16 19 12 12

18 17 18 14 16 9 9 7 6 8 7 4

25 25 19 15 16 12 6 10 12 9 8 2

20 21 22 29 28 37 39 44 52 50 64 77

5 5 4 4 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 4

12 13 12 10 11 12 9 10 12 12 9 8 7

17 16 20 23 20 20 22 20 18 22 13 15 21

11 12 10 10 11 12 7 8 7 10 9 6 5

23 20 18 21 21 20 24 24 19 11 8 12 3

32 34 36 32 34 33 36 35 42 43 58 57 60

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5 (cont'd)

Mitch McConnell October 25-28, 2013 .................... January 2013 ............................... January 2012 ............................... November 11-15, 2010 ................ September 2010 .......................... October 2009 .............................. January 2007 ............................... Ted Cruz October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... Federal government employees October 25-28, 2013 .................... February 2011 .............................. 1 Hillary Clinton October 25-28, 2013* .................. September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... April 2013..................................... January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... November 2011 ........................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011..................................... December 2010 ........................... January 10-14, 2010 ................... July 2009 ..................................... February 2009 ............................. January 2009 ............................... December 2008 ........................... September 2008+ ........................ August 2008+............................... June 2008+ .................................. April 2008+ .................................. March 24-25, 2008+..................... March 7-10, 2008+....................... January 2008 ............................... June 2007 .................................... March 2007 .................................. December 2006 ........................... April 2006..................................... December 2004 ........................... July 2003 ..................................... March 2001 .................................. January 2001 ............................... High February 2009 ............................. Low March 2001 .................................. Chris Christie October 25-28, 2013** ................. May 30-June 2, 2013 .................... February 2013 .............................. August 2012+................................ June 2011 .....................................

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

2 2 3 3 3 3 2

9 10 7 8 9 6 9

22 22 25 22 20 19 19

14 11 7 8 9 8 5

14 11 12 11 9 6 1

39 44 46 48 50 58 64

9 7 4

10 7 6

16 13 13

8 8 4

22 20 8

35 44 65

15 14

21 28

33 34

15 14

11 8

5 2

22 26 29 32 34 34 33 26 29 26 25 26 32 27 27 23 17 18 20 17 22 24 18 16 21 19 24 16 16 27

24 25 20 24 22 24 22 29 27 28 27 27 27 29 26 24 25 28 22 20 23 23 24 23 22 19 21 21 19 22

20 17 18 14 19 14 22 23 21 18 22 15 18 14 20 15 16 14 14 15 11 11 15 17 17 19 14 20 15 13

12 12 13 14 12 16 12 12 11 11 13 15 11 15 14 17 18 17 19 21 14 11 16 15 12 13 11 13 18 12

21 19 18 15 13 12 10 9 11 16 12 16 11 14 12 20 23 22 25 27 29 30 26 28 26 28 29 27 31 24

1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 3 1 2

32

27

18

11

11

1

16

19

15

18

31

1

9 12 12 11 10

24 29 24 17 13

24 22 20 21 19

10 8 10 10 7

7 4 2 9 7

26 25 32 32 44

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Chris Christie ..................................................... 33 17 Hillary Clinton ..................................................... 46 33 Federal government employees ......................... 36 26 The Democratic Party ........................................ 37 40 Barack Obama ................................................... 41 45 Ted Cruz ............................................................ 19 30 Mitch McConnell ................................................ 11 28 Harry Reid .......................................................... 17 34 The Tea Party Movement................................... 23 47 John Boehner ..................................................... 17 43 The Republican Party......................................... 22 53

D/S 14 13 10 -3 -4 -11 -17 -17 -24 -26 -31

And, switching topics… Q6 Do you think America is in a state of decline, or do you feel that this is not the case? 10/2528/13* In a state of decline ........................... 63 Not in a state of decline ..................... 34 Not sure........................................... 3

1/11 54 42 4

8/2630/10 65 31 4

12/09 61 35 4

9/1922/08+ 74 22 4

6/08+ 69 25 6

11/07 57 38 5

12/91 63 32 5

10/91 53 42 5

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

Now, thinking about something else… Q7 Thinking for a moment about our system of government and how well it works, do you feel generally optimistic as far as the future is concerned, do you feel generally pessimistic about it, or feel uncertain about our system of government and how well it works?

Generally optimistic .......... Generally pessimistic ....... Uncertain .......................... Not sure .......................... 1

10/2528/13 30 28 41 1

6/13 31 29 39 1

3/111 26 23 49 2

10/102 33 20 46 1

1/083 44 23 33 -

2/834 51 21 27 1

2/81 51 21 26 2

Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News/Washington Post. Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News/Yahoo News Post. Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Gallup/USA Today. 4 Comparative data prior to 2008 comes from a survey conducted by the Roper Organization. 2 3

2/79 49 22 26 3

8/77 47 21 29 3

2/77 57 14 26 2

8/75 45 24 29 3

8/74 55 15 27 3


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, although it’s a long way off… Q8 What is your preference for the outcome of NEXT year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? 10/2528/13+ Republican-controlled Congress .......... 41 Democrat-controlled Congress ............. 45 Not sure .............................................. 14

10/79/13+ 39 47 14

9/13+ 43 46 11

7/13+ 44 44 12

6/13+ 42 45 13

10/12+ 43 45 12

9/2630/12+ 43 47 10

8/12+ 42 47 11

7/12+ 45 46 9

6/12+ 44 45 11

5/12+ 43 44 13

4/12+ 44 46 10

3/12+ 41 46 13

1/12+ 41 47 12

12/11+ 43 45 12

11/11+ 43 46 11

10/11+ 41 45 14

8/11+ 47 41 12

6/11+ 44 44 12

10/10+ 44 46 10

9/10+ 44 44 12

8/2630/10+ 43 43 14

8/59/10+ 42 43 15

6/10+ 45 43 12

5/2023/10+ 44 43 13

5/611/10+ 44 44 12

3/10+ 42 45 13

1/2325/10+ 42 44 14

1/1014/10+ 41 41 18

12/09+ 41 43 16

10/09+ 38 46 16

9/09+ 40 43 17

7/09+ 39 46 15

4/09+ 39 48 13

11/08+ 36 48 16

10/08+ 36 49 15

9/08+ 37 50 13

8/08+ 36 47 17

7/08+ 36 49 15

6/08+ 33 52 15

4/08+ 34 49 17

3/08+ 35 49 16

11/07+ 37 46 17

9/07+ 35 47 18

10/06+ 37 52 11

9/06+ 39 48 13

7/06+ 38 48 14

6/06+ 38 49 13

4/06+ 39 45 16

3/06+ 37 50 13

1/06+ 38 47 15

12/05+ 38 46 16

11/05+ 37 48 15

10/05+ 39 48 13

7/05+ 40 45 15

5/05+ 40 47 13

10/04+ 43 44 13

9/04+ 42 46 12

6/04+ 42 44 14

5/04+ 41 44 15

3/04+ 42 45 13

1/04 42 43 15

12/13/03 42 42 16

10/02+ 43 42 15

9/02 42 42 16

7/02 43 41 16

6/02 42 41 17

1/02 44 40 16

12/01 42 40 18

12/99 40 44 16

10/99 39 41 20

7/99 39 43 18

6/99 42 41 17

4/99 41 40 19

3/99 37 43 20

10/98+ 41 43 16

9/98 40 39 21

7/98 41 40 19

6/98 39 40 21

2/98 41 37 22

1/98 40 42 18

12/97 41 37 22

9/97 41 39 20

7/97 45 39 16

4/97 44 38 18

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013 Q9

Study #13452 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In the next election for U.S. Congress, do you feel that your representative deserves to be reelected, or do you think that it is time to give a new person a chance?

10/2528/13+ Deserves to be reelected ........... 29 Give new person a chance ........ 63 Not sure ................................... 8

7/13+ 32 57 11

8/12+ 43 47 10

3/12+ 40 48 12

8/11+ 42 47 11

10/2830/10+ 37 51 12

8/2630/10+ 31 56 13

6/10+ 35 57 8

1/1014/10+ 39 49 12

12/09+ 38 49 13

10/09+ 41 49 10

9/09+ 40 49 11

7/08+ 40 47 13

11/07+ 39 51 10

6/07+ 41 48 11

10/1316/06+ 39 45 16

9/3010/2/06+ 38 45 17

9/811/06+ 41 43 16

7/06+ 38 48 14

6/06+ 42 45 13

3/06+ 41 48 11

1/06+ 41 46 13

12/05+ 41 44 15

11/05+ 37 51 12

5/05+ 42 45 13

10/04+ 49 34 17

10/02+ 42 39 19

9/02 41 42 17

10/00+ 50 35 15

9/00+ 49 38 13

6/00+ 49 39 12

12/99 42 47 11

10/98+ 48 37 15

12/97+ 41 45 14

10/94+ 39 49 12

9/94 30 53 17

5/94 34 50 16

1/94 35 47 18

10/93 34 52 14

9/93 37 47 16

7/93 30 55 15

10/92+ 31 56 13

9/92+ 31 56 13

7/92+ 27 62 11

4/92+ 33 57 10

2/92+ 37 52 11

1/92+ 42 48 10

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Now, thinking some more about how you might vote for Congress next year‌ Q10 If the choice in your district had the following, would you be more likely to vote for a -- (ROTATE:) Republican candidate for Congress, a Democratic candidate for Congress -- or an independent or third party candidate for Congress?

Republican candidate .................................................. Democratic candidate ................................................... Independent/third party candidate ................................ Not sure ...................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

10/2528/13+ 28 35 30 7

9/10+ 31 36 25 8

8/2630/10+ 32 34 25 9

6/10+ 31 34 25 10


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013 Q11

Study #13452 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In general, do you think that it is better for the same political party to control both the Congress and the presidency, so they can work together more closely, or do you think that it is better to have different political parties controlling the Congress and the presidency to prevent either one from going too far?

Better if same party controls Congress and the presidency ........... Better if different parties control Congress and the presidency ...... Not sure .........................................................................................

10/2528/13+ 34 58 8

8/2630/10+ 29 62 9

5/610/10+ 31 62 7

3/10+ 31 60 9

10/45/08+ 41 48 11

12/03 32 57 11

12/02 29 62 9

10/00+ 41 47 12

9/00+ 41 47 12

12/99 33 60 7

9/98 34 55 11

9/97 25 67 8

6/96+ 43 44 13

12/95 42 48 10

1/95 33 55 12

10/94 36 55 9

6/94 30 59 11

1/94 33 56 11

10/93 30 58 12

12/92 37 51 12

10/92+ 39 47 14

9/92+ 40 46 14

8/92+ 43 44 13

7/92+ 40 47 13

4/92+ 32 61 7

10/91+ 24 67 9

1/92+ 28 62 10

10/90+ 23 67 10

1/90+ 24 63 13

9/86+ 28 64 8

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q12a

And in general, do you feel that Congress is contributing to the problems in Washington or is working to solve these problems?

Contributing to problems .............................. Working to solve problems ........................... Some of both (VOL) ................................... Neither (VOL) ............................................. Not sure ......................................................

Q12b

10/2528/13 74 17 3 2 4

4/92 71 20 3 2 4

And in general, do you feel that your own representative in Congress is contributing to the problems in Washington or is working to solve these problems?

Contributing to problems .............................. Working to solve problems........................... Some of both (VOL) ................................... Neither (VOL) ............................................. Not sure ......................................................

10/2528/13 43 40 2 2 13

4/92 30 53 2 2 13

10/91 21 56 6 2 15

10/90 26 57 6 2 9


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Moving on… (Q13A AND Q13B ROTATED AMONG INDEPENDENTS) (ASKED ONLY OF DEMOCRATS AND INDEPENDENTS (QF3:1-4)) Q13a Do you want Democratic leaders in the House and Senate to make compromises to gain consensus on the current budget debate, or do you want them stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain consensus on the budget? Total Democrats and Independents

Make compromises ............................................. Stick to their positions ......................................... Depends (VOL) ................................................. Neither (VOL).................................................... Not sure ............................................................

10/2528/13 69 22 2 7

Make compromises ............................................. Stick to their positions ......................................... Depends (VOL) ................................................. Neither (VOL).................................................... Not sure ............................................................

10/2528/13 68 23 2 7

Make compromises ............................................. Stick to their positions ......................................... Depends (VOL) ................................................. Neither (VOL).................................................... Not sure ............................................................

10/2528/13 71 18 2 1 8

12/12 71 23 2 1 3

7/11 65 27 1 7

4/11 71 23 1 5

12/101 64 29 2 1 4

4/11 68 26 1 5

12/101 63 29 2 1 5

4/11 76 18 1 1 4

12/101 65 27 2 2 4

Democrats 12/12 70 25 2 3

7/11 62 30 8 Independents

1

12/12 74 17 2 2 5

7/11 73 18 2 7

In December 2010, the Question was phrased “Do you want Democratic leaders in the House and Senate to make compromises to gain consensus on legislation, or do you want them stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain consensus on legislation?”


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND INDEPENDENTS (QF3:4-7)) Q13b Do you want Republican leaders in the House and Senate to make compromises to gain consensus on the current budget debate, or do you want them stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain consensus on the budget? Total Republicans and Independents

Make compromises .............................................. Stick to their positions .......................................... Depends (VOL) .................................................. Neither (VOL) ..................................................... Not sure .............................................................

10/2528/13 53 38 2 1 6

Make compromises .............................................. Stick to their positions .......................................... Depends (VOL) .................................................. Neither (VOL) ..................................................... Not sure .............................................................

10/2528/13 46 47 2 1 4

Make compromises .............................................. Stick to their positions .......................................... Depends (VOL) .................................................. Neither (VOL) ..................................................... Not sure .............................................................

10/2528/13 67 20 2 3 8

12/12 62 32 1 1 4

7/11 53 42 1 4

4/11 48 47 1 4

12/101 53 38 3 6

4/11 38 56 1 5

12/101 47 47 2 4

4/11 66 30 4

12/101 64 23 3 1 9

Republicans 12/12 59 37 1 3

7/11 43 52 1 4 Independents

1

12/12 69 22 1 1 7

7/11 68 24 1 7

In December 2010, the question was phrased “Do you want Republican leaders in the House and Senate to make compromises to gain consensus on legislation, or do you want them stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain consensus on legislation?�


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND INDEPENDENTS (F3:4-7)) Q14a When it comes to your viewpoint of the Democratic Party which of these statements comes closest to your point of view. (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) Total Republicans & Independents

Republicans

Independents

While I disagree with many of the Democratic Party’s ideas and policy, it has several good leaders and quite a few good policy areas with which I agree ...........................

18

11

32

While I disagree with many of the Democratic Party’s ideas and policy, it has some people and a couple of policy areas with which I agree ..............................................

45

47

41

I disagree with almost everything the Democratic Party’s stands for in their ideas and policies and I do not like any of their leaders .......................................................................

33

39

20

Not sure ...............................................................................

4

3

7

(ASKED ONLY OF DEMOCRATS AND INDEPENDENTS (F3:1-4)) Q14b When it comes to your viewpoint of the Republican Party which of these statements comes closest to your point of view. (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)

While I disagree with many of the Republican Party’s ideas and policy, it has several good leaders and quite a few good policy areas with which I agree ........................... While I disagree with many of the Republican Party’s ideas and policy, it has some people and a couple of policy areas with which I agree .............................................. I disagree with almost everything the Republican Party’s stands for in their ideas and policies and I do not like any of their leaders ....................................................................... Not sure ..............................................................................

Total Democrats & Independents

Democrats

Independents

22

21

23

49

47

53

28 1

31 1

19 5


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, turning to the economy... Q15 During the next twelve months, do you think that the nation's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?

Economy will get better ..................... Economy will get worse .................... Economy will stay about the same.... Not sure ..........................................

1

10/2528/13 23 34 42 1

10/79/13 17 42 38 3

9/13 27 24 48 1

7/13 31 21 47 1

6/13 32 18 49 1

12/12 38 28 33 1

10/12+ 45 9 34 12

9/2630/12+ 44 13 35 8

9/1216/12+ 42 18 32 8

8/12+ 36 18 38 8

7/12+ 27 25 45 3

6/12 35 20 41 4

5/12 33 19 46 2

4/12 38 19 42 1

3/12 40 23 35 2

1/12 37 17 44 2

12/11 30 22 47 1

11/11 25 28 47 -

10/11 21 32 45 2

8/11 22 30 47 1

7/11 26 31 41 2

6/11 29 30 39 2

4/11 33 21 46 -

2/11 29 29 41 1

1/11 40 17 42 1

12/10 32 24 42 2

11/10 37 15 46 2

10/1418/10+ 37 20 41 2

9/10 32 24 41 3

8/2630/10 26 26 45 3

8/59/10 34 25 39 2

6/10 33 23 43 1

5/610/10 40 20 38 2

3/10 41 22 36 1

1/1014/10 41 19 38 2

10/09 42 22 33 3

9/09 47 20 30 3

7/09 44 21 32 3

6/09 46 22 29 3

4/09 38 30 30 2

10/08+ 38 20 37 5

10/06+ 22 22 51 5

10/04+ 43 10 33 14

10/02+ 41 20 34 5

10/98+ 17 24 54 5

10/94 31 24 40 5

Prior to April 2001, the question was phrased, “Over the next year…” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking about the recent debate over the federal budget… Q16 As you know, President Obama and the Republicans in Congress did not reach a budget agreement, and this led to a shutdown of the federal government. Who do you think was more to blame for this shutdown – (ROTATE) President Obama, the Republicans in Congress – would you say both were equally to blame or that neither were to blame? President Obama ..................... Republicans in Congress ......... Both equal................................. Neither ...................................... Not sure ..................................

23 38 36 2 1

Q17

For each of the following individuals and groups, please tell me if their actions and positions in the recent negotiations that led to a shutdown of the federal government have made you feel (ROTATE) -- more favorable or less favorable -- toward that individual or group or has your opinion not changed one way or the other. (RANDOMIZE) ITEMS RANKED BY % MORE FAVORABLE Opinion Not Less More Changed Favorable Not Sure Favorable Barack Obama ..................................... 21 41 38 The Democrats in Congress ................. 16 38 45 1 Tea Party Republicans in Congress ..... 12 45 37 6 The Republicans in Congress .............. 9 53 38 -

Q18

As you may know, Congress passed a bill that ended the 16-day government shutdown and provides th funding for government operations until January 15 when a new bill funding the government must be passed. Do you feel that it is likely or not likely there will be another government shutdown on January 15th? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (IF LIKELY OR NOT LIKELY, ASK:) And do you feel that way strongly or not-so-strongly? Total Likely .................................. Strongly ......................................... Not so strongly .............................. Total Not Likely ........................... Not so strongly ........................... Strongly ........................................ Do not have an opinion ............... Not sure ......................................

Q19

50 37 13 28 13 15 20 2

Were you or anyone in your family affected by the federal government shutdown, in terms of employment, services, or benefits? 10/2528/13 Yes, have been affected ............. 27 No, have not been affected ........ 73 Not sure .................................... -

10/79/13 31 68 1

1/96 18 81 1

11/95 18 81 1


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013 Q20

Study #13452 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

How much harm, if any, did the government shutdown have on the U.S. economy – a great deal, quite a bit, just some, very little, or none at all?

Great deal ............................. Quite a bit .............................. Just some .............................. Very little ............................... None at all ............................. Not sure ............................. 1

10/2528/13 33 24 22 12 5 2

10/71 9/13 34 31 21 10 2 2

In early October, the question read “How much harm, if any, is the government shutdown having on the U.S. economy…”

(ASKED OF FORM A ON 10/25-27 ONLY) Q21a In a few words or a short phrase, what lessons do you hope that President Obama and the Democrats learn from the confrontation over the budget and the recent government shutdown? SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE

(ASKED OF FORM B ON 10/25-27ONLY) Q21b In a few words or a short phrase, what lessons do you hope that Speaker John Boehner and the Republicans learn from the confrontation over the budget and the recent government shutdown? SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now as you may know, Barack Obama’s health care plan was passed by Congress and signed into law in 2010… Q22 From what you have heard about the new health care law, do you think it is (ROTATE) – a good idea or a ad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (If Good idea/Bad idea, ask:) And, do you feel that way strongly, or not so strongly?

Total Good idea .............. Strongly ........................... Not so strongly ................ Total Bad idea ................ Not so strongly ............... Strongly ........................... Do not have an opinion .. Not sure .........................

10/2528/13 37 28 9 47 5 43 14 1

10/79/13 38 31 7 43 5 38 17 2

9/13 31 24 7 44 6 38 24 1

7/13 34 26 8 47 6 41 18 1

6/13 37 28 9 49 6 43 13 1

Total Good idea .............. Strongly ........................... Not so strongly ................ Total Bad idea ................ Not so strongly ............... Strongly ........................... Do not have an opinion .. Not sure .........................

7/12+ 40 31 9 44 5 39 15 1

6/12 35 25 10 41 6 35 22 2

4/12 36 27 9 45 6 39 17 2

12/11 34 23 11 41 8 33 24 1

1/11 39 29 10 39 5 34 21 1

10/1418/10+ 36 25 11 46 5 41 16 2

6/10+ 38 28 10 46 7 39 15 1

5/61 10/10 38 28 10 44 6 38 17 1

Good idea ......................... Bad idea ........................... Do not have an opinion .. Not sure .........................

3/10 36 48 15 1

1/2325/10 31 46 22 1

1/1014/10 33 46 18 3

12/09 32 47 17 4

10/09 38 42 16 4

9/09 39 41 17 3

8/09 36 42 17 5

7/09 36 42 17 5

1

6/09 33 32 30 5

4/09 33 26 34 7

Prior to May 2010, the question did not ask “And, do you feel that way strongly, or not so strongly?” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q23

When it comes to your opinion about the health care law, do you feel that it…(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) Is working well the way it is ............................. Needs minor modifications to improve it ........ Needs a major overhaul .................................. Should be totally eliminated ............................ Other (VOL) ................................................... Not sure ........................................................

Q24

6 38 28 24 1 4

Has what you have seen, read, or heard over the last few weeks about the new health care law made you feel (ROTATE) -- more confident or less confident -- about the law or has your opinion of the law not changed? More confident .............................................................. Less confident .............................................................. No change.................................................................. Have not seen, read, or heard about law (VOL)....... Not sure ......................................................................

9 40 50 1


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013 Q25

And, have you seen read or heard the news coverage about the problems people have reported experiencing when trying to use the new federal health care exchange website to apply for health insurance coverage? (IFYES:) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just some about this? Total Yes Yes, a lot ...................................... Yes, some ................................... No ................................................ Not sure .......................................

Q26

Study #13452 -- page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

83 59 24 16 1

And, thinking some more about the problems people have reported experiencing with the new federal health care exchange website, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view.(ROTATE) These problems are short-term technical issues that happen in large projects like this and can be corrected. …or… These problems point to longer-term issues with the new health care law and its overall design that cannot be corrected. ….or, is it too soon to say one way or the other? Short-term technical issue/can be corrected.......... Long-term design issue/cannot be corrected ......... Too soon to say ....................................................... Both (VOL) ............................................................. Neither (VOL) ......................................................... Not sure .................................................................

37 31 30 2

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1a Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (state from Q1x)]? Registered ......................................... Not registered .................................... Not sure...........................................

85 15 -

QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in last November's election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else?+ Total Yes, Voted Voted for Barack Obama ............................. Voted for Mitt Romney ................................. Voted for someone else ............................... Not sure ....................................................... No, Did Not Vote ............................................ Not sure .....................................................

91 44 37 5 5 9 -

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF2

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ....................................................... Some high school ................................................ High school graduate .......................................... Some college, no degree..................................... Vocational training/school.................................... 2-year college degree .......................................... 4-year college/bachelor's degree......................... Some postgraduate work, no degree .................. 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree..... Doctoral/law degree ............................................ Not sure/refused ................................................

4 24 19 2 8 25 3 12 3 -


HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Late October 2013

QF3

Study #13452 -- page 21 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................. Not very strong Democrat ............... Independent/lean Democrat ............ Strictly Independent......................... Independent/lean Republican .......... Not very strong Republican ............. Strong Republican ........................... Other (VOL) ..................................... Not sure.........................................

QF4

18 11 14 17 14 8 12 4 2

Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party Movement?

Yes ......................... No .......................... Depends (VOL) .... Not sure ...............

10/2528/13+ 22 70 3 5

10/79/13+ 20 70 2 8

9/13+ 21 67 3 9

7/13+ 21 67 3 9

6/13+ 24 65 3 8

2/13+ 20 64 4 12

1/13+ 23 63 4 10

10/12+ 24 64 3 9

9/2630/12+ 25 66 2 7

9/1216/12+ 22 65 4 9

8/12+ 26 63 3 8

7/12+ 25 65 2 7

6/12+ 24 64 3 9

5/12+ 30 60 2 8

4/12+ 25 64 2 9

3/12+ 28 63 2 7

1/12+ 27 66 2 5

12/11+ 27 65 3 5

11/11+ 25 69 2 4

10/11+ 26 64 3 7

8/11+ 27 62 4 7

6/11+ 26 63 3 8

5/11+ 26 62 2 10

4/11+ 25 67 3 5

2/11+ 29 61 3 7

1/11+ 27 62 3 8

12/10+ 29 61 3 7

11/10+ 30 59 4 7

10/2830/10+ 28 61 3 8

10/1418/10+ 30 59 2 10

9/10+ 28 61 3 8

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF5

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ........................................ Somewhat liberal .............................. Moderate........................................... Somewhat conservative .................... Very conservative ............................. Not sure ..........................................

7 15 39 20 16 3

Espionaje | Oct | WSJ  

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