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number of Counties Manukau residents giving birth outside of the Counties Manukau DHB area did not change significantly between 2012 and 2013.

Figure 2 CM Health Facility Deliveries by NZ Deprivation Score, 2006-2013

There are a range of possible reasons for the observed reduction in birth numbers. Analysis of national data by the Ministry of Health suggests this change is not confined to Counties Manukau. Given the factors that have contributed to the reduction in birth numbers are unclear, the projections and forecast modelling of the workforce also have an element of uncertainty.

The

current reduction may affect prior projections due to a decrease in overall numbers but do not alter the rate of future growth. In this modelling exercise, no assumptions have been made for any substantial change to the projections for Counties Manukau births. Updated Statistics New Zealand population figures will be available in 2015 and may be used to refresh the model if there is significant change.

Figure 3 Counties Manukau Women Giving Birth: Location Comparison

(source: National Minimum

Dataset)

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2014 2015 maternity quality and safety programme  

This Annual Report (2014-2015) covers the continued progress and initiatives undertaken over the last 12 months as part of the Maternity Qua...

2014 2015 maternity quality and safety programme  

This Annual Report (2014-2015) covers the continued progress and initiatives undertaken over the last 12 months as part of the Maternity Qua...