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URBAN OUTFITTER (URBN)

Price: $28.64

Industry: Nonfood Retail-Wholesale Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Thu Jun 23 13:39 EDT 2011 URBN URBAN OUTFITTER

$28.64

Power Gauge Rating

URBN - Very Bearish TM

The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for URBN is very bearish due to very negative expert opinions, poor financial metrics and bearish price/volume activity.

Financial Metrics

Expert opinions about URBN are very negative which is evidenced by analysts revising earnings estimates downward and a high short interest ratio.

Earnings Performance

Price/Volume Activity

Expert Opinions

News Sentiment Rating

Neutral URBN URBAN OUTFIT..

May 28, 2011

TM

Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for URBN is neutral. Stories concerning URBN have a balanced or neutral sentiment.

News Sentiment :Neutral

Power Trend - 5 Year Chart

The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential.

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High Potential

Neutral

Low Potential

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Financials & Earnings

Financial Metrics

Financial Metrics Rating

Bearish

LT Debt/Equity Ratio

URBN's financial metrics are poor. The company has relatively low revenue per share and may be overvalued.

Price to Book Value

The rank is based on a low long term debt to equity ratio, high price to book value ratio, high return on equity and high price to sales ratio.

Return on Equity

Price to Sales Ratio

Business Value

Assets and Liabilities

Valuation

Returns

Ratio

TTM

Ratio

TTM

Ratio

Current Ratio

3.31

Price/Book

3.54

Return on Invest

19.1%

LT Debt/Equity

0.00

Price/Sales

2.04

Return on Equity

19.1%

Earnings Performance

TTM

Earnings Performance Rating

Neutral

Earnings Growth

URBN's earnings performance has been neutral. The company has a history of strong earnings growth and is priced relatively high compared to next year's projected EPS.

Earnings Surprise

Earnings Trend

The rank is based on high earnings growth over the past 3-5 years, worse than expected earnings in recent quarters, a relatively poor trend in earnings this year, a relatively high projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.

Projected P/E Ratio

Earnings Consistency

5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth

Revenue(M) Rev % Growth EPS EPS % Growth

EPS Estimates

01/07

01/08

01/09

01/10

01/11

1,224.72

1,507.72

1,834.62

1,937.82

2,274.10

12.14%

23.11%

21.68%

5.62%

17.35%

$0.71

$0.97

$1.20

$1.31

$1.64

-11.25%

36.62%

23.71%

9.17%

25.19%

EPS Surprise

Factor

Actual EPS Prev

EST EPS Current

Change

$0.42

$0.33

-0.09

Quarterly EPS Yearly EPS Factor

$1.64

$1.55

-0.09

Actual EPS Growth

Est EPS Growth

Change

15.98%

19.07%

+3.09

3-5 year EPS

EPS Quarterly Results Estimate

Actual

Difference

Latest Qtr

$0.25

$0.23

$-0.02

1 Qtr Ago

$0.52

$0.45

$-0.07

2 Qtr Ago

$0.42

$0.43

$0.01

3 Qtr Ago

$0.39

$0.42

$0.03

% Difference

FY

Qtr 1

Qtr 2

Qtr 3

Qtr 4

Total

-8.00

01/09

$0.18

$0.29

$0.37

$0.46

$1.30

-13.46

01/10

$0.31

$0.42

$0.44

$0.46

$1.63

2.38

01/11

$0.24

-

-

-

-

7.69

Fiscal Year End Month is January.

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Price Trend & Expert Opinions Price/Volume Activity

Price/Volume Activity Rating

Bearish

Relative Strength vs Market

Chaikin Money Flow

Price and volume activity for URBN is bearish. URBN has underperformed the S&P 500 over 26 weeks and has a declining price trend.

Price Trend

The rank for URBN is based on its relative weakness versus the market, negative Chaikin money flow, a negative Chaikin price trend and a positive Chaikin price trend ROC.

Price Trend ROC

Volume Trend

Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index

Chaikin Money Flow

Chart shows whether URBN is performing better or worse than the market.

Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.

Price Activity

Price Activity

Volume Activity

Factor

Value

Factor

52 Week High

38.50

% Change Price - 4 Weeks

-5.14%

Average Volume 20 Days

3,049,402

52 Week Low

28.27

% Change Price - 24 Weeks

-19.92%

Average Volume 90 Days

3,453,569

% Change YTD Rel S&P 500

-20.42%

Expert Opinions

Value

% Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P

-2.68%

% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P

-20.57%

Factor

Value

Chaikin Money Flow Persistency

48%

Expert Opinions

Very Bearish

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Expert opinions about URBN are very negative. Analysts are lowering their EPS estimates for URBN and short interest in URBN is high.

Short Interest

Insider Activity

The rank for URBN is based on analysts revising earnings estimates downward, a high short interest ratio, insiders purchasing stock, pessimistic analyst opinions and relative weakness of the stock versus the Nonfood Retail-Wholesale industry group.

Analyst Opinions

Relative Strength vs Industry

Earnings Estimate Revisions Current Current Qtr Next Qtr

0.33 0.44 Current

Current FY

1.55

Analyst Recommendations

7 Days Ago % Change 0.33 0.44

0.00% 0.00%

30 Days Ago % Change 1.56

-0.01

Factor Mean this Week Mean Last Week

EPS Estimates Revision Summary Value

Buy 0.00

Mean 5 Weeks Ago

Buy

Last 4 Weeks

Down

Up

Down

Curr Qtr

0

0

1

6

Curr Yr

0

1

1

8

Next Qtr

0

1

0

5

Next Yr

0

1

0

9

Buy

Change

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Last Week Up

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The Company & Its Competitors

News Headlines for URBN

URBN's Competitors in Nonfood Retail-Wholesale Company

Power Gauge

Historic EPS growth

Projected EPS growth

Profit Margin

PEG

PE

Revenue(M)

URBN

15.98%

19.07%

11.16%

0.99

18.71

2,274

GPS

-1.69%

8.88%

7.76%

1.38

9.64

14,664

FL

-2.14%

11.00%

4.00%

1.42

17.51

5,049

JNY

-5.99%

11.00%

1.07%

0.80

7.41

3,643

JWN

4.05%

11.75%

6.66%

1.31

15.52

9,310

ANF

5.55%

18.83%

5.18%

1.13

26.89

3,469

PSS

4.99%

12.00%

2.53%

0.99

10.85

3,376

LTD

0.21%

13.08%

8.66%

1.17

16.69

9,613

Two New Suitors Are Said To Be Interested in J. Crew - Jan 6, 2011 Urban Outfitters OKs repurchase of added shares - Nov 18, 2010 Ahead of the Bell: Urban Outfitters shares jump Nov 16, 2010

Company Details

Company Profile

URBAN OUTFITTER 5000 SOUTH BROAD STREET PHILADELPHIA, PA 19112 USA Phone: 2154545500 Fax: 215-454-5163 Website: http://http://www.urbanoutfitters.co m Full Time Employees: 16,000 Sector: Retail/Wholesale

Urban Outfitters, Inc. operates two business segments consisting of a lifestyle-oriented general merchandise retailing segment and a wholesale apparel business. The retailing segment operates through retail stores and direct response, including a catalog and two web sites. The company's wholesale business designs and markets young women's casual wear which it provides to the company's retail operations and sells to specialty retailers worldwide.

Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe. Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the information included herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as an endorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual. The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investment decisions. Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes the confidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by ZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not be responsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools. This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1

Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com

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Stock Research Report for URBN as of 6/23/11 - Chaikin Power Tools