T H E SECTION II
S T A T E
O F
CONSUMER DEMOGRAPHICS
A R I Z O N A ’ S
H I S P A N I C
CHAPTER 6
M A R K E T
TRADE WITH MEXICO
Excerpt from Extending the Border Zone to the Entire State of Arizona: Estimated Expenditures and Economic Impact Simulations, 2013–2016
Summary Table: Total Effects Of Potential Spending By Mexican Visitors Due To Proposed Border Zone Extension BASELINE IMPACTS OF 2016 PROJECTIONS OF MEXICAN VISITORS SPENDING Spending baseline projections Expected jobs created from baseline spending
2,907,340,000 29,677
ADDITIONAL SPENDING BY MEXICAN VISITORS DUE TO PROPOSED BORDER ZONE EXPANSION - BEST CASE SCENARIO, 2016 A 3 percent increase in total border crossers A 15 percent increase in passenger crossers traveling farther north Total potential spending
75,350,000 105,870,000 181,220,00
JOBS EFFECTS OF ADDITIONAL SPENDING
769 1,410 2,179
A 3 percent increase in total border crossers A 15 percent increase in passenger crossers traveling farther north Total Jobs effect
TOTAL EFFECT OF POTENTIAL SPENDING BY MEXICAN VISITORS DUE TO PROPOSED BORDER ZONE EXTENSION, 2016 Spending - baseline projections and additional spending Expected jobs created from baseline projections and additional spending
3,088,560,000 31,856
U.S. State Department Hearing on Border Security – 2013. Based on a scenario of a three percent increase in border crossings resulting from the positive message the extension would send, and a 15 percent increase in passenger crossings who decide to travel north of the 75-mile border zone due to the extension 7 8
DATO S
TUCSON 2015 181