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Free NFL Football Pick For 9/16/2012 From The Pittsburgh Steelers (-5 @ Bovada) are showing excellent value at home against the New York Jets. The Jets were our Play of the Day last week against the Bills. But we're going to fade them on the road in this spot. The Steelers were defeated on national television last Sunday night in Denver. Despite the loss, their defense still looked decent considering they were facing Peyton Manning at home. Ultimately it was the Broncos Defense that impressed in that game, especially in the final minutes. In New York's 48-28 victory at home last week against the lowly Buffalo Bills, Mark Sanchez was 19 of 27 for 266 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT. But Sanchez was hardly touched in that game as the Bills failed to register a single sack.

That won't be the case this Sunday in Pittsburgh. The Steelers Defense will be hungry to flex in front of the home crowd against an overrated Jets offense, after struggling to contain Peyton Manning and Company on the road. We fully expect Pittsburgh to get after Sanchez, and won't be surprised to see a few sacks, a couple of turnovers, and some offensive penalties. And the Steelers should have no problem picking up big chunks of yards on the ground against the Jets Defense that gave up almost 200 rushing yards to the Bills last week. This one might get ugly. The New York Jets are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up loss. Plus the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between these two AFC rivals. We'll side with the Steelers to bounce back against New York at Heinz Field on Sunday.

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Free NFL Football Pick For 9/16/2012 From