01
MIT NET-ZERO GROWTH
DATA SOURCES architectural drawings building automation system building audits measured use for 2012-2013 weather data
a vision for the future of campus and kendall square
02
MODEL INPUTS 3D geometry construction materials temperature setpoints internal loads
03
DETAILED MODELS higly detailed analysis of selected buildings calibration to measured data
04
new development
GROUPING grouping of buildings by similar usage types and envelope constructions group calibration
[15]
[2890]
05
DEFINITION
CAMPUS SCALE
using carbon emissions as metric
energy use by building type CVRMSE < 10% and NMBE < 5%
considering the campus as one entity
138
by building group
considering current and future expansion plans of MIT
buildings
CLIMATE CHANGE Calibrating
climate change scenario prediction using Climate Change World Weather File Generator developed by the Sustainable
A B
and at most 3*C warmer in August and September. Source: Belcher SE, Hacker JN, Powell DS. Constructing design weather data for future climates. Building Services Engineering Research and Technology 2005; 26 (1): 49-61.
renewable or low-emission energy sources.
Measured vs Simulated EUI Academic Buildings
Measured vs Simulated EUI MIT Building Groups
1.2
1.2
Labs
0.8
0.6
0.4
Energy Consumption [GWh]
[MWh/m]
1.0
Measured EUI
Measured EUI
[MWh/m]
1.0
0.8
0.6
Recreational Academic
0.4
Dorms 0.2
Heating 300
Cooling
0.2
Service 0.0
200
0.0 0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
MWh/m
Simulated EUI
0.6
0.8
1.0
2014
1.2
2020
2030
2040
2050
MWh/m
Simulated EUI
Average Annual Temperature
Temperature
Measured vs Simulated EUI 30
45
Temperature [C]
Monthly Energy Consumption (GWh)
40 35 30 25
20
11.4
12.4
13.6
20 15 10
10 5 0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
2014
Measured
7
2020
8
2050
9
10
11
12
2014 2020 2050
Simulated Electricity
Heating
Cooling
MIT Net-Zero Growth Course Project for â&#x20AC;&#x2DC;4.433: Modelling Urban Energy Flows - Towards Sustainable Cities and Neighborhoodsâ&#x20AC;&#x2122; | Project Team: Aiko Nakano, Denise Rivas, Manos Saratsis, Julia Sokol | Instructors:
Cambridge, MA | Spring 2014