01

MIT NET-ZERO GROWTH

DATA SOURCES architectural drawings building automation system building audits measured use for 2012-2013 weather data

a vision for the future of campus and kendall square

02

MODEL INPUTS 3D geometry construction materials temperature setpoints internal loads

03

DETAILED MODELS higly detailed analysis of selected buildings calibration to measured data

04

new development

GROUPING grouping of buildings by similar usage types and envelope constructions group calibration

[15]

[2890]

05

DEFINITION

CAMPUS SCALE

using carbon emissions as metric

energy use by building type CVRMSE < 10% and NMBE < 5%

considering the campus as one entity

138

by building group

considering current and future expansion plans of MIT

buildings

CLIMATE CHANGE Calibrating

climate change scenario prediction using Climate Change World Weather File Generator developed by the Sustainable

A B

and at most 3*C warmer in August and September. Source: Belcher SE, Hacker JN, Powell DS. Constructing design weather data for future climates. Building Services Engineering Research and Technology 2005; 26 (1): 49-61.

renewable or low-emission energy sources.

Measured vs Simulated EUI Academic Buildings

Measured vs Simulated EUI MIT Building Groups

1.2

1.2

Labs

0.8

0.6

0.4

Energy Consumption [GWh]

[MWh/m]

1.0

Measured EUI

Measured EUI

[MWh/m]

1.0

0.8

0.6

Recreational Academic

0.4

Dorms 0.2

Heating 300

Cooling

0.2

Service 0.0

200

0.0 0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

MWh/m

Simulated EUI

0.6

0.8

1.0

2014

1.2

2020

2030

2040

2050

MWh/m

Simulated EUI

Average Annual Temperature

Temperature

Measured vs Simulated EUI 30

45

Temperature [C]

Monthly Energy Consumption (GWh)

40 35 30 25

20

11.4

12.4

13.6

20 15 10

10 5 0 1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

1

2

3

4

5

6

2014

Measured

7

2020

8

2050

9

10

11

12

2014 2020 2050

Simulated Electricity

Heating

Cooling

MIT Net-Zero Growth Course Project for â&#x20AC;&#x2DC;4.433: Modelling Urban Energy Flows - Towards Sustainable Cities and Neighborhoodsâ&#x20AC;&#x2122; | Project Team: Aiko Nakano, Denise Rivas, Manos Saratsis, Julia Sokol | Instructors:

Cambridge, MA | Spring 2014