ClimateChangeRpt_FINAL_12Nov_Web_0

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BAETTIG ET AL.: CLIMATE CHANGE INDEX

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Figure!6.9.!Individual#CCI#indicators.#Each#indicator#is#a#multiJmodel#mean#of#a#highJ#and#lowJemissions#scenario# (i.e.,#SRES#A2#and#B2).#Changes#are#between#the#control#period#1961–1990#and#the#scenario#period#2071–2100.#JJA# denotes#the#mean#of#JuneJJulyJAugust,#while#DJF#is#for#DecemberJJanuaryJFebruary.#Source:%Baetttig#et#al.,#(2007).#

# As#discussed#in#Section#4.3,#a#composite#climate#index#(CCI)#may#be#constructed#from#the#excess# occurrences#in#individual#climate#extremes,#using#the#equation#presented#there.#The#results#of# doing#so#are#shown#in#Figure!6.10,#which#shows#the#composite#CCI#aggregated#by#country#for#the# 2071J2100#period.#The#largest#CCI#values#are#in#South#America#and#Africa,#where#the#ToE#for# temperature#is#only#a#few#decades#away#and#where#projected#annual#mean#precipitation#deficits# are#largest#(Fig.#6.9b).#Large#CCI#values#are#also#projected#for#Antarctica#and#much#of#Asia#and# Canada.#Combining#these#results#with#corresponding#maps#of#projected#population#and# socioeconomic#data#would#be#expected#to#give#some#insight#into#climate#change#impacts#(see#also# Section#7).## #

Figure 1. Individual CCI-indicators. Each indicator is a multi model ensemble mean of the two IPCC SRES scenarios A2 and B2. Changes refer to the control period 1961 – 1990 and the scenario period 2071 – 2100.

Determining"the"Impact"of"Climate"Change"on"Insurance"Risk"and"the"Global"Community" 3 of 6

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