Golden Growth part2

Page 163

GOLDEN GROWTH

Table A7.3: Regression results for growth and initial government revenues in Europe, 1995–2010 Variables Europe 1995 to 2010 Government size Real per capita income Number of observations Adjusted R squared Arellano-Bond AR(2) test (p value) Hansen J-statistics (p value) Europe 1995 to 2006 Government size Real per capita income Number of observations Adjusted R squared Arellano-Bond AR(2) test (p value) Hansen J-statistics (p value)

(1) OLS

(2) OLS

(3) Pooled OLS

(4) Robust regression

-0.0003 -0.0000** 42 0.2944

-0.0005 -0.0000** 33 0.6253

-0.0007 -0.0000*** 124 0.5363

-0.0001 -0.0000** 124 0.6033

-0.0009 -0.0000*** 91 0.4109

-0.0001 -0.0000*** 91 0.5259

Table A7.4: Regression results for growth and initial social transfer spending in Europe, 1995–2010 Variables Europe 1995 to 2010 Government size Real per capita income Number of observations Adjusted R squared Arellano-Bond AR(2) test (p value) Hansen J-statistics (p value) Europe 1995 to 2006 Government size Real per capita income Number of observations Adjusted R squared Arellano-Bond AR(2) test (p value) Hansen J-statistics (p value)

(1) OLS

(2) OLS

(3) Pooled OLS

(4) Robust regression

-0.0023 -0.0000** 42 0.3307

-0.0003 -0.0000* 33 0.6017

-0.0011** -0.0000*** 127 0.5487

-0.0005 -0.0000** 127 0.5934

-0.0023 -0.0000** 42 0.3307

-0.0003 -0.0000* 33 0.6017

-0.0017** -0.0000*** 94 0.4497

-0.0008** -0.0000*** 94 0.5262

Table A7.5: Regression results for growth and average public investment spending in Europe, 1995–2010 Variables Europe 1995 to 2010 Government size Real per capita income Number of observations Adjusted R squared Arellano-Bond AR(2) test (p value) Hansen J-statistics (p value) Europe 1995 to 2006 Government size Real per capita income Number of observations Adjusted R squared Arellano-Bond AR(2) test (p value) Hansen J-statistics (p value)

(1) OLS

(2) OLS

(3) Pooled OLS

(4) Robust regression

0.0101** -0.0000*** 42 0.4341

0.0033 -0.0000* 33 0.6170

0.0011 -0.0000** 126 0.5646

0.0009 -0.0000** 126 0.5901

0.0101** -0.0000*** 42 0.4341

0.0033 -0.0000* 33 0.617

0.0035 -0.0000** 93 0.4494

0.0036** -0.0000*** 93 0.5268

***, **, and * denote significance at the 1 percent, 5 percent, and 10 percent levels, respectively. Note: See note for table A7.2. Source: World Bank staff calculations.

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