Migration and Remittances during the Global Financial Crisis and Beyond

Page 92

62

l

GABRIELA MUNDACA

than remittances. Otherwise the economy might experience formation of asset bubbles and excessive consumption of final goods.

Equilibrium Conditions In equilibrium, k t +2 = k t +2 =

⎡⎛ R ⎞(n w + rem ) + ρrem ⎤ . t t +1 ⎢⎣⎝ π ⎠ t t ⎥⎦

(4.18)

Equation (4.18) indicates that working capital at t+2 depends on the returns (R) on the long-run investments made using wages (wt) and remittances received at time t (remt), the returns on the remittances received at time t+1 (remt+1), whether they are invested in human capital (ρ > 1) or simply to alleviate liquidity needs (ρ = 1), and the probability that individuals will become late consumers. This should be so because capital formation takes two periods. _ Inserting equations (4.5) and (4.16) into equation (4.18) and dividing it b kt yields θ

γ

R(1 − θ)π (1 − π)Γ 1 Γ 2 (R − 1) + R remt = + × (1 − π) (1 − π) γ γ kt kt π 1+ π 1+ Γ 1Γ 2 Γ 1Γ 2 π π

k t +2

(

) (

)

⎛ Γ2 ⎞ − 1⎟ + ρ ⎝ π ⎠ remt +1 γ −1

+

Γ 1 Γ 2 ρ(1 − π) ⎜

(

1+

(1 − π) π

γ

Γ 1Γ 2

)

×

(4.19)

kt

or k t +2 kt

⎡ remt ⎤ ⎡ remt +1 ⎤ + β2 ⎢ ⎥ ⎥, ⎣ kt ⎦ ⎣ kt ⎦

= α + β1 ⎢

where θ

R(1 − θ)π , α= (1 − π) γ π 1+ Γ 1Γ 2 π

(

γ

)

(1 − π)Γ 1 Γ 2 (R − 1) + R β1 = , (1 − π) γ π 1+ Γ 1Γ 2 π

(

)

(3.20)


Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.