Trade Finance during the Great Trade Collapse

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12,928 0.283

–0.104*** [0.030]

–0.208*** [0.024] –0.146*** [0.031] 0.311 [0.442]

(1)

OLS

12,928

–0.178*** [0.050]

–0.443*** [0.044] –0.223*** [0.056] 0.626 [0.732]

(2)

Tobit

11,628 0.284

–0.117*** [0.030]

0.765*** [0.281]

–0.230*** [0.025] –0.133*** [0.032]

(3)

OLS

11,628

–0.197*** [0.049]

1.177** [0.481]

–0.488*** [0.046] –0.196*** [0.057]

(4)

Tobit

12,928 0.282

0.053 [0.062]

–0.266*** [0.020] –0.178*** [0.046] –0.736 [0.748]

(5)

OLS

12,928

0.072 [0.107]

–0.542*** [0.036] –0.269*** [0.081] –0.958 [1.284]

(6)

Tobit

0.073 [0.062] 11,628 0.282

–0.478 [0.622]

–0.289*** [0.021] –0.175*** [0.043]

(7)

OLS

0.099 [0.109] 11,628

–0.681 [1.088]

–0.590*** [0.039] –0.255*** [0.076]

(8)

Tobit

Source: Authors’ calculations based on recovery dataset. Note: OLS = ordinary least squares. EFD = external financial dependence. TCD = trade credit dependence. Standard errors (in brackets) are clustered by country and by ISIC three-digit industry level. The sample is stratified by country. All regressions include country and sector fixed effects (ISIC three-digit). Other controls: total product exports at reentry, total number of suppliers at reentry, demand shock, and number of previous spells. ***p < 0.01 **p < 0.05 *p < 0.1.

Observations R-squared

Exports at exit ⫻ TCD

Exports at exit ⫻ EFD

Years of experience at exit ⫻ TCD

Years of experience at exit ⫻ EFD

TCD

EFD

Exports at exit

Years of experience at exit

Variables

OLS and Tobit estimates

Table 12.9 Financial Dependence, Exporter Characteristics, and Recovery


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