The Great Recession and Developing Countries: Economic Impact and Growth Prospects (Part 1 of 2)

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Table 6A.5. Impact of the Crisis: Summary FY98 to FY03

FY04 to FY08

Change from Highest 2-year average Expected potential value FY98–FY03 to FY04–FY08 before crisis just prior to the crisis

GDP growth (%, at factor cost)

5.2

8.9

3.7

9.6

8.0

6.7

7.4

TFP growth (%)

0.9

3.4

2.5

3.5

3.0

2.7

3.0

FY09

FY10

Export growth (%)

8.3

25.4

17.1

25.8

20.0

13.8

–3.6

Export (% GDP)

10.4

28.1

17.7

32.0

20.0

13.3

–5.1

Gross fixed capital formation (% GDP)

6.9

32.5

34.0

32.9

32.8

22.9

29.8

Capital inflows (% GDP) (eop)

2.1

4.6

2.5

6.8

4.5

0.5

4.1

Fiscal deficit (% GDP)

9.0

7.1

–1.9

10.6

5.5

8.7

9.8

Source: Reserve Bank of India, Handbook of Statistics; authors’ estimates. Note: eop = end of period.


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