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Adapting to Climate Change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia
MAP 2.2
Projected Changes in Annual and Seasonal Temperature by Mid-Century a. Change in mean annual temperature
Degrees Celsius 1.0 – 1.5
1.5 – 2.0
2.0 – 2.5
2.5 – 3.0
3.0 – 3.5
2.5 – 3.0
3.0 – 3.5
b. Change in winter (DJF) temperature
Degrees Celsius 1.0 – 1.5
1.5 – 2.0
2.0 – 2.5
3.5 – 5.5
c. Change in summer (JJA) temperature
Degrees Celsius 1.5 – 2.0
2.0 – 2.5
2.5 – 3.0
research groups undertook an interdisciplinary project—PRUDENCE (Prediction of Regional scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining EuropeaN Climate change risks and Effects)—to provide high resolution climate change scenarios for Europe at the end of the twenty-first century using RCMs (Christensen et al. 2007). In terms of extreme temperature events, the PRUDENCE RCM projections reiterate the patterns seen in the GCM projections presented here. By the end of the twenty-first century, Central Europe (roughly corresponding to the same subregion of this study) is projected to experience the same number of hot days (>30°C) as Spain and Sicily.