Energy efficiency and impacts to climate change Armin Teskeredzic Mechanical Engineering Faculty University of Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina
Shift in philosophy from ESD to EED! From energy savings to cap consumption! ďƒ˜ ESD prescribes the target in terms of relative amount of final energy (3% intermediate and 9% final target)! ďƒ˜ EED prescribes the limits (cap) in terms of absolute amount of primary and/or final consumption!
Cap consumption
How the targets for EnC in 2020 are set? PRIMES model Used for EnC6! SMK – Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo* modeled together! Ukraine & Moldova joined Energy Community latter! Target was to prescribe cap consumption for EnC8!
How the targets for EnC in 2020 are set? PRIMES model Used for EnC6!
First the PEC was needed to be estimated for UKR & MOL! IEA – Energy balance for 2012 used to estimate the ratio of PEC in UKR+MOL vs. EnC6!
X
Primary and final energy consumption caps! ďƒ˜ EnC 8 estimated primary energy consumption in 2020 using PRIMES!
đ???đ??„đ??‚đ??„đ??§đ??‚ = đ?&#x;?đ?&#x;–đ?&#x;• đ??Œđ??đ??¨đ??ž đ??…đ??„đ??‚đ??„đ??§đ??‚ = đ?&#x;?đ?&#x;‘đ?&#x;‘ đ??Œđ??đ??¨đ??ž
đ???đ??„đ??‚đ??„đ??§đ??‚ = đ?&#x;?đ?&#x;‘đ?&#x;‘ đ??Œđ??đ??¨đ??ž 20% savings
đ?&#x;?đ?&#x;–đ?&#x;”, đ?&#x;“ đ??Œđ??đ??¨đ??ž
Primary and final energy consumption caps! ďƒ˜ Preliminary estimations of PEC for individual countries! ďƒ˜ EnC well prepared for keeping the consumption below cap!
Primary and final consumption caps - Macedonia!
4% annually!
Macedonia will not reach the cap consumption!!!
8% annually!
Importance of new EE directive (example DH)! • Current status and future development presented in strategic EU 27 document Heat Roadmap 2050, • Analysis of baseline conditions year 2010! • Sector development vision presented by 2030. & 2050. godine (science & private business hand in hand)!
Facts & Figures: 6000 DH systems in EU! 60 million people connected to DH! Market share of DH = 12%
Importance of new EE directive (example DH)! 4 Generations of DH systems 4G: LTDH, Optimal mix 3G: Compact substations., with RES, EE demand side; consumption based, RES; t ≈ 70O C t < 100O C
2G: Cogeneration; t >100O C 1G: Steam heating; t < 200O C
Monitoring & Verification Platform (MVP) Platform for information exchange between different policy levels! Evidence based monitoring tool (individual measures and programs)! Long term vision – tool for strategic planning and monitoring! Existence of local/municipal EE or CO2 reduction plans (SEAP, MEEAP)! NEED FOR SIMPLE, INNOVATIVE AND COST-OPTIMAL MONITORING SOLUTION! State
NEEAP
Regions
EE Plans
*CoM – Covenant of mayors; http://www.covenantofmayors.eu/index_en.html
Cities SEAP/ MEEP
Croatia – example of EE M&V system Croatian administrative structure
Time schedule for plans
NEEAP
State
Yearly
3 Years
+ +
+ + +
EEP 20+
Counties/ Districts
>35.000 people
Cities/
EEP 17+
Municipalities
Current status: 74+ cities joined CoM*! # plans: 38 to 100??? # of measures???
Registration of all plans at one place!
Elegant solution ;-) *CoM – Covenant of mayors; http://www.covenantofmayors.eu/index_en.html
MVP geographical coverage & perspective! MVP project MultEE Horizon Plan
MVP a tool for planning (upgrade)! Known data: Area [m2], Location [HDD], Fuel, Construction year [XXXX], Ratio of windows and walls!
Reference building – representing 10!
EE Measures: 1. Wall insulation 2. New windows 3. Solar thermal collector 4. New boiler 5. Heat allocators with TSV
BU-Methodology (kWh, tCO2)
x10
= kWh, tCO
2, €
Implemented projects* (€) 13
THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION! Contact: ateskeredzic@bih.net.ba