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Table 11.6. Domestic demand forecast – (population figures in tens of millions). Category Human population in millions
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
70
72
73
75
77
79
Local low land consumption: Beef (‘000)
32200
33120
33580
34500
35420
35340
Mutton (‘000)
9800
10080
10220
10500
10780
11060
Goat meat (‘000)
9800
10080
10220
10500
10780
11060
Cattle
293
301
305
314
322
330
Sheep
980
1008
1022
1050
1078
1106
Goats
1089
1120
1135
1167
1198
1229
53
54
54
55
55
55
92
93
94
95
97
98
Cattle
385
394
399
409
419
428
Sheep
980
1006
1022
1050
1078
1106
Goats
1089
1120
1135
1167
1198
1229
53
54
54
55
55
55
Livestock equivalent (‘000 heads):
Camels Highland demand for cattle (‘000 heads) Total domestic demand (‘000 heads):
Camels Source: Belachew and Jamberu, 2003.
International demand for meat and live animals Meat
The world meat import stood at 2,759,192 t for the year 2000. Out of this, beef and veal constituted 67% while mutton and goat meat accounted for 31 and 2%, respectively. The annual meat import by African countries is estimated at 86,043 t with a value of 92 million dollars. The percentage share is 39 and 61% for beef and mutton, respectively. Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, United Arab Emirates and Yemen together have a total population of 207 million people with annual growth rates of 2.2 percent. Their annual meat demand is estimated at 206,846 t and valued at 399 million dollars. Of this, beef and veal account for 48% while the share of mutton and goat meat is 46 and 6%, respectively. Live animals
The world demand for live animals stood at 26,477,214 head in the year 2000. Out of this number, cattle accounted for 31.5%, and sheep and goats together for 68%. African countries imported 3.2 million head of live animals at a value of 480 million dollars in the year 2000. Sheep and goats accounted for 74% of the total. The share of cattle and camels stood at 25 and 1%, respectively. The Middle East countries have, on average, an annual estimated import of 12 million head of live animals (cattle, sheep, goats and camels). The total import value is estimated at 656 million dollars.
Sheep and Goat Production Handbook for Ethiopia